The decline of manual values

The decline of manual values

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Discussion

g7jhp

Original Poster:

6,970 posts

239 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Read this 'manual cars could be extinct in 5 years' article

Obviously it's for new cars and older manual cars will still exist, but the decline in the number of people who are taking a manual test is going to lead to a reduction in the number of people who can legally drive a manual.

This will lead to a reduction in demand over time, which could lead to a drop in prices.

kambites

67,647 posts

222 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
I guess small engined manual city cars and superminis, ie the sort of thing which typically ends its life as someone's first car, are likely to lose value. I don't think it's really clear whether supply or demand will be falling faster for other types of used manual vehicles though.

Nomme de Plum

4,698 posts

17 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
This seems rather UK centric. Stick shift in the USA has largely been ignored for a long time. Even in the 90s when I lived there.

Autos are now much more efficient and people generally accept they are more convenient.

kambites

67,647 posts

222 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
This seems rather UK centric. Stick shift in the USA has largely been ignored for a long time. Even in the 90s when I lived there.

Autos are now much more efficient and people generally accept they are more convenient.
More Euro-centric, I think; generally speaking other European countries have always had pretty similar car buying habits to us. I'm not sure which, if any of them, have automatic-only driving licences like the UK though.

Krikkit

26,577 posts

182 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Nomme de Plum said:
This seems rather UK centric. Stick shift in the USA has largely been ignored for a long time. Even in the 90s when I lived there.
Except in sports/exotic cars, where the US buys loads more manuals than the EU - BMW used to offer manual M cars when we had auto-only.

Nomme de Plum

4,698 posts

17 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Krikkit said:
Nomme de Plum said:
This seems rather UK centric. Stick shift in the USA has largely been ignored for a long time. Even in the 90s when I lived there.
Except in sports/exotic cars, where the US buys loads more manuals than the EU - BMW used to offer manual M cars when we had auto-only.
Yes but the numbers are relatively very small in comparison to mass market cars.


It's actually less than 2% of all new cars sold in the USA which are manual.

In Europe it is 32%

Edited by Nomme de Plum on Tuesday 7th May 17:26


Edited by Nomme de Plum on Tuesday 7th May 17:28

Baldchap

7,708 posts

93 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Most car users drive because they have to, not because they want to.

Autos these days are faster, more efficient and less effort than doing it yourself. If your car is simply a tool, the choice is obvious.

Panamax

4,144 posts

35 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Many "fast " cars are auto only these days. With high power, high torque engines the driveline computer does a very good job of suppressing damage to clutch and gears caused by a human driver. It lets the manufacturer to scale back some of the engineering where components are less likely to be over-stressed. Computerised torque management is a big thing.

TwigtheWonderkid

43,558 posts

151 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Baldchap said:
Most car users drive because they have to, not because they want to.

Autos these days are faster, more efficient and less effort than doing it yourself. If your car is simply a tool, the choice is obvious.
This is the correct answer.

I think in years to come we'll adopt the US driving test system. Everyone will take their test in an auto and get a full licence to drive auto and manual. If you need to drive a manual and have never learnt, you'll just get a friend or someone to teach you at the time. They've done that forever in the USA and it hasn't led to carnage. Not many will ever drive a manual, but those that do have never passed a test for a manual. They just learnt when they needed to.

LuS1fer

41,154 posts

246 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Autos are boring and uninvolving and for as long as manual cars are made, I will continue to buy them.

cerb4.5lee

30,905 posts

181 months

Tuesday 7th May
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A manual gearbox definitely doesn't seem as popular now as they used to be, although autos are now so much better than they used to be as well though I think.

When I think back to the ZF6 Autos I've had in comparison to the ZF8 auto or the Merc 9 speed auto, the more modern autos are head and shoulders better I reckon. I'm even a fan of the DCT in the F82 M4, whereas years ago I wouldn't have entertained a DCT in a car like that to be honest.

I do still have 2 cars with a 3 pedal manual though, so I'm still very much a fan of the old school way of doing it too. driving

Forester1965

1,748 posts

4 months

Tuesday 7th May
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I haven't had a manual car since 2018 and I'm now really, really hankering after one.


Ecosseven

1,987 posts

218 months

Tuesday 7th May
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I've always owned manuals because I like the involvement they offer, however it is inevitable that they will cease to be offered in new cars within the next few years. My plan is to replace my existing MX-5 NC2 with a tidy MX-5 ND2 or ND3 in the next 3 years and keep it for as long as I can. I've fine having an auto in a daily driver hatchback, saloon, or SUV but in a car like an MX-5 I would always want a manual.

FMOB

982 posts

13 months

Tuesday 7th May
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Panamax said:
Many "fast " cars are auto only these days. With high power, high torque engines the driveline computer does a very good job of suppressing damage to clutch and gears caused by a human driver. It lets the manufacturer to scale back some of the engineering where components are less likely to be over-stressed. Computerised torque management is a big thing.
Is that Audi's with the high torque 3.0 diesel lump are laggy, lazy piles of ste to drive?

Geffg

1,148 posts

106 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Probably be another 30yrs for vans to ditch manual.
Vans seem to be so far behind cars in tech. I couldn’t believe when one of our vans was off the road and a hire van got dropped off, was a new vauxhall vivaro and didn’t have ac, parking sensors and just a big standard display for the radio Even the transits come in pauper spec for most of them, no electric mirrors etc, which between those 2 vans mentioned I’m not sure any car doesn’t have those things now.
I remember I got a new caddy off work in 2015 and it had windy windows! When the kids seen it they wondered how you opened the windows!

TwigtheWonderkid

43,558 posts

151 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
LuS1fer said:
Autos are boring and uninvolving and for as long as manual cars are made, I will continue to buy them.
Manuals are slow, thirsty, a pain in heavy traffic (which is only going to get heavier) and need replacement clutches and stuff.

lord trumpton

7,458 posts

127 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Im looking for a car at the moment and its got to be an auto

The only time Id want a manual is when buying say a modern classic like an e46 M3 for example where the auto alternative was ste.

Modern autos and dual clutch boxes are bang on. CVT are dreadful


Pueblo

24 posts

7 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
lord trumpton said:
Im looking for a car at the moment and its got to be an auto

The only time Id want a manual is when buying say a modern classic like an e46 M3 for example where the auto alternative was ste.

Modern autos and dual clutch boxes are bang on. CVT are dreadful
Except the Toyota / Lexus eCVT which is seamless.

Baldchap

7,708 posts

93 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
Geffg said:
was a new vauxhall vivaro and didn’t have ac, parking sensors and just a big standard display for the radio
Must have been an absolute base model. My 2018 has all of those features, nav and touchscreen.

Honourable Dead Snark

425 posts

20 months

Tuesday 7th May
quotequote all
I kind of regret going back to manual. Find it more of a hindrance more often than not so wouldn’t be surprised if this is my last unless I get to the point of having a daily + a weekend car.