Can Aston Martin Survive in the Electric Vehicle Era?

Can Aston Martin Survive in the Electric Vehicle Era?

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Discussion

ExecutiveAction

337 posts

38 months

Sunday 5th September 2021
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pschlute said:
I think Ivan, you need to complain to your handler about the quality of the translating program the Kremlin have provided to you. Very few of us in the UK have "drawing rooms" any more. Your language might have given Lord Grantham or Lord Peter Whimsey cause to pause, but to modern Britons we see you for the charlatan you are.
I see that we have abandoned rational debate.

We should be pushing for an Italian solution, like the one highlighted above but we don’t, we just accept it. That’s the reality of the UK today. Modern Britons don’t seem to be much good at identifying charlatans, they are happy to be governed by them.


Edited by ExecutiveAction on Sunday 5th September 08:59

Jon39

Original Poster:

12,896 posts

144 months

Sunday 5th September 2021
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Perhaps this a line of discussion, might help to answer the topic question.

Will electric DBXs attract customers more easily, than an electric Aston Martin sports car?


EVR

1,824 posts

61 months

Sunday 5th September 2021
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volvodrummer said:
Interesting post from Jason Camissa on IG. Seems Italy might be fighting the EU to exempt their supercar brands from the 2035 ICE ban.
https://www.instagram.com/p/CTaUpHFPdoz/?utm_sourc...
Good news, thanks for posting.

volvodrummer

94 posts

34 months

Sunday 5th September 2021
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EVR said:
Good news, thanks for posting.
I think this whole thing is going to be interesting as it unfolds toward 2035. I tend to agree with Matt Farrah/The SmokingTire, that it's easy for a politician to say something without any thought towards its real-world feasibility. I think that EVs can play a large part in the transition we need to make, but they are not a panacea to the issue. Given the pollution that battery and solar panel production introduce, surely this means this means that we're comfortable with nuclear power? If not, then where does the juice come from at the scale required?

This road will be twisty.

oilit

2,637 posts

179 months

Sunday 5th September 2021
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Jon39 said:

Perhaps this a line of discussion, might help to answer the topic question.

Will electric DBXs attract customers more easily, than an electric Aston Martin sports car?
Or an electric cygnet getmecoat would be more likely to get my money

I have just read that we are possibly going to run out of gas this winter (more uk press bad news), without gas there is less electric - how do you power that new electric xyz then?

Edited by oilit on Sunday 5th September 19:24

Piston Ted

251 posts

61 months

Sunday 5th September 2021
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volvodrummer said:
Interesting post from Jason Camissa on IG. Seems Italy might be fighting the EU to exempt their supercar brands from the 2035 ICE ban.
https://www.instagram.com/p/CTaUpHFPdoz/?utm_sourc...
That is good news, hopefully Aston would be exempt too

Piston Ted

251 posts

61 months

Sunday 5th September 2021
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Jon39 said:

Perhaps this a line of discussion, might help to answer the topic question.

Will electric DBXs attract customers more easily, than an electric Aston Martin sports car?
I think that would probably be an easier sell for Aston, the DBX isn’t an all out sports car it’s the ‘workhorse’ car of the range, it’s less reliant on hitting all the senses in the way an out and out sports car such as Vantage needs to. Driving a DBX off road or trundling the children to school in central London wouldn’t be any different an experience without the V8 soundtrack . . . However thundering through the Italian alps in a DBS or Vantage minus that glorious noise is a completely different ball game in my opinion.

ExecutiveAction

337 posts

38 months

Sunday 5th September 2021
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Jon39 said:

Perhaps this a line of discussion, might help to answer the topic question.

Will electric DBXs attract customers more easily, than an electric Aston Martin sports car?
Now that’s a good idea - because 4x4 drivers are much more brand than product driven, and as Porsche have proved many or even most of the customers are not dyed in the wool enthusiasts. Maybe the DBX should be the flag bearer for EV. Maybe the next iteration of the DBX should be based on Marek Reichman’s still born Lagonda concept - dramatic and luxurious but a million miles away from the appearance of an ICE vehicle.

Sure, I still have serious doubts whether the EV will e er be truly practicable, but if they are going to do it, this would be the way, not an EV dressed up as a Vantage.

dbs2000

2,690 posts

193 months

Monday 6th September 2021
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ExecutiveAction said:
It seems that you are either an EV enthusiast or you are not. You know what side of the fence I am on. Why you would want a car with half the effective range and an extra 400kg of batteries just beats me.
Except the V8, transmission, fluids and other components pretty much can offset a battery, obviously not true in a small car but with a fat DBX very much on point. When we get solid state that 400kg will be 200kg, unaffected by the cold and considerably faster to charge. Change is constant. EV's are 90% efficient vs 20% of ICE without screwing up the sea beds. As sad as it makes me to say it, the logistics around petrol are absolute madness.

ExecutiveAction

337 posts

38 months

Monday 6th September 2021
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If the EV's develop in the way that you describe, well and good. For my money we have been waiting for that development for a long time and it hasn't happened. As and when range and weight cease to be an issue, we will have a viable form of transport, which may or may not be dull. I think it is best, as Jon39 has perhaps indicated, if the EV's were not pretending to be ICEV's.

As to the logistics of petrol being madness, I'm not sure what you mean. It works. It is a resource which is there to be exploited, or are we now saying that any form of mining is no longer acceptable? It is viable, even when the Government is taking a massive cut in tax. It has become more efficient faster, dare I say, than the equivalent EV's, once the pressure came on, and that is no bad thing.

volvodrummer

94 posts

34 months

Monday 6th September 2021
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ExecutiveAction said:
As to the logistics of petrol being madness, I'm not sure what you mean. It works. It is a resource which is there to be exploited, or are we now saying that any form of mining is no longer acceptable? It is viable, even when the Government is taking a massive cut in tax. It has become more efficient faster, dare I say, than the equivalent EV's, once the pressure came on, and that is no bad thing.
I have a feeling that we're going to see all the big oil companies either join Porsche/Siemens or copy them to figure out E-fuel production at-scale. I give it 3yrs and we'll see it at the pump next to the other grades.

Jon39

Original Poster:

12,896 posts

144 months

Monday 6th September 2021
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dbs2000 said:
When we get solid state that 400kg will be 200kg, unaffected by the cold and considerably faster to charge.

I have heard this being mentioned by people for quite a while.
I don't know anything about solid state batteries, so can someone explain some of the technicalities of this breakthrough?
Half the weight, double the range, much quicker to charge, it all sounds excellent. Will they draw less from the grid too, if charging is faster. That would help with the generation capacity problem.

I recently came across an interesting comment.
There were apparently more electric cars in use in the early 1900s, than internal combustion cars. The final killer for electric cars then was said to be Henry Fords mass production method, which suddenly reduced the cost of IC personal transport.
Was that true ?


Piston Ted

251 posts

61 months

Monday 6th September 2021
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volvodrummer said:
ExecutiveAction said:
As to the logistics of petrol being madness, I'm not sure what you mean. It works. It is a resource which is there to be exploited, or are we now saying that any form of mining is no longer acceptable? It is viable, even when the Government is taking a massive cut in tax. It has become more efficient faster, dare I say, than the equivalent EV's, once the pressure came on, and that is no bad thing.
I have a feeling that we're going to see all the big oil companies either join Porsche/Siemens or copy them to figure out E-fuel production at-scale. I give it 3yrs and we'll see it at the pump next to the other grades.
I’m absolutely staggered that the oil companies didn’t jump on this sooner - surely they must have seen this coming? They must have industrial ‘spies’ and the like researching the competition. Are all the boardrooms of these companies now full of CEOs running around panicking that EV’s are being pushed relentlessly by governments?

ExecutiveAction

337 posts

38 months

Monday 6th September 2021
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In fact they are being told by politicians that EV is the future and there will be no more ICEV so they better deal with it. Of course if that does not happen or ends in embarrassing failure like most political initiatives, all the politicians will be denying that they had anything to do with it.

But fine, give it a throw and maybe we will get solid state, lighter, batteries with long range and fast charging. I would suspect that by that time the only driving we will be doing is in a simulator, maybe a very good simulator, that makes authentic Aston Martin noises and maybe might feature, for a price, an AM made seat, steering wheel and dashboard.

steveatesh

4,903 posts

165 months

Monday 6th September 2021
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ExecutiveAction said:
If the EV's develop in the way that you describe, well and good. For my money we have been waiting for that development for a long time and it hasn't happened. As and when range and weight cease to be an issue, we will have a viable form of transport, which may or may not be dull. I think it is best, as Jon39 has perhaps indicated, if the EV's were not pretending to be ICEV's.
What is the right range for an EV then? My Tesla has more range than my Vantage, and the weight isn’t an issue, it’s power to weight that matters and it accelerates 0-60 in 4.2 seconds, plus 30-70 is phenomenal. The fact that maximum torque comes in from zero revs really gives you that pushed back into your seat feeling, far more than my Vantage does.

We go from Sunderland to Brighton with just one stop (20 minutes to charge, so less than we would normally stop for a toilet/refreshment break) and arrive with over a third of the charge left, if I did it in the vantage or my Boxster I’d still need to stop once and arrive with a need to fill up quickly. Plus it costs a fraction of the price in the Tesla.

In terms of fun, the four wheel drive makes it very good round corners, combines with the acceleration makes it as much fun as you would want.

I can imagine all those years ago your ancestors, at the introduction of mechanically propelled vehicles, will have said “ha, new fangled rubbish, will never catch on, I’ll stay with Neddy any day of the week”. smile



dbs2000

2,690 posts

193 months

Tuesday 7th September 2021
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ExecutiveAction said:
If the EV's develop in the way that you describe, well and good. For my money we have been waiting for that development for a long time and it hasn't happened. As and when range and weight cease to be an issue, we will have a viable form of transport, which may or may not be dull. I think it is best, as Jon39 has perhaps indicated, if the EV's were not pretending to be ICEV's.
It took over 100 years for ICE to get to this point.

ExecutiveAction said:
I
As to the logistics of petrol being madness, I'm not sure what you mean. It works. It is a resource which is there to be exploited, or are we now saying that any form of mining is no longer acceptable?
If you have me 1 quid and I gave you only 20p back you'd be pretty annoyed, that's where ICE is. It is madly inefficient. Imagine EV's were the primary mode of transport and someone came along saying "hey, I've found this stuff deep under the ocean, we need to send out rigs, dig up the sea bed, risk massive leaks transporting said stuff to a refinery, there we refine it, then we need to transport it all over the place and then people will need to go to our distribution centres to buy said stuff, people will only be able to use 20% of it too, the rest it wasted or kicked out as co2" - you'd be laughed out of the door. When you get used to having a 'full' car every morning the old world seems bonkers.

Of course mining will have to continue but we really won't need to trashing the oceans in the future.

This is a great clip on the whole process https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk-LnUYEXuM&t=... (be it from one angle)


dbs2000

2,690 posts

193 months

Tuesday 7th September 2021
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Jon39 said:

I don't know anything about solid state batteries, so can someone explain some of the technicalities of this breakthrough?
You're essentially removing the heavy liquid electrolyte and replacing it with a solid barrier. This allows the battery packs to double up in density.

At present its about 260w / kg*. With solid state that could rise to 500w / kg. So Teslas model 3 pack would be good for 780km (537 miles). In reality you'd probably just choose a pack thats half the size, eliminating a few hundred KGs in batteries. SS is probably more important for small cars given range, packaging and cost are the issues there.

  • petrol is about 13kw / kg


Edited by dbs2000 on Tuesday 7th September 10:22

Peter McKean

79 posts

84 months

Tuesday 7th September 2021
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I have a Tesla Model 3 for commuting, and it's fine - an interesting and innovative technology platform which happens to have four wheels.

I appreciate it for thinking freshly about the whole car experience and think that is a good path for Tesla versus the old guard releasing electrified versions of their existing vehicles. It's a different mindset. This is a new automotive world where software smarts is all-important, and Tesla has a head start. Range, often considered the bête noire of electric vehicles, is a total non-issue. It's fine. Good, even. I charge at work on the occasions I am there, occasionally top up at home if I think I need it, and spend less time at petrol stations.

Other than straight line acceleration, the driving dynamics of the Model 3 are nothing special - it has lifeless steering and a terrible turning circle, but that doesn't mean that I think electric cars will all be that dull. There WILL be innovation in the the electric motors. Chassis, springs, steering and weight balance WILL still continue to play a big part in creating the feel of a vehicle.

If you can accept that auto makers will still find plenty of ways differentiate their vehicles, there is no reason why Aston Martin can't survive, as long as they can produce original, distinctive and beautiful cars.

Like any fundamental disruption in technology, there will always be plenty of people who want to keep what they're used to (and I totally get that), but the sky isn't necessarily falling.


TR-Spider

305 posts

79 months

Tuesday 7th September 2021
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dbs2000 said:
If you have me 1 quid and I gave you only 20p back you'd be pretty annoyed, that's where ICE is. It is madly inefficient. Imagine EV's were the primary mode of transport and someone came along saying "hey, I've found this stuff deep under the ocean, we need to send out rigs, dig up the sea bed, risk massive leaks transporting said stuff to a refinery, there we refine it, then we need to transport it all over the place and then people will need to go to our distribution centres to buy said stuff, people will only be able to use 20% of it too, the rest it wasted or kicked out as co2" - you'd be laughed out of the door.
The generation of electricity seems to be free of losses?

The mentioned difference in efficiency only exists when you choose to place your system boundary around your car...
When you choose to do a proper study including the production of car & energy, you will find that up to a milage of 150000-200000 km a ICEV produces LESS CO2 (with present electricity production mix).



dbs2000 said:
When you get used to having a 'full' car every morning the old world seems bonkers.
That is because "sun juice" flows out of your wall at night?

....well, nevermind - it's not really worth arguing anymore...everybody is free to choose his believes...but at least try to stay within the laws of Physics.

I'm just curious what new taxes will be raised to replace the huge tax loss coming from reduced fuel consumption once all cars and heatings are electric...

Jon39

Original Poster:

12,896 posts

144 months

Tuesday 7th September 2021
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TR-Spider said:
I'm just curious what new taxes will be raised to replace the huge tax loss coming from reduced fuel consumption once all cars and heatings are electric...

The 'road tax' on cars now seems to be in a muddle and quite unjust.
Most of us probably pay £600 p.a. for our Aston Martins (many probably very low use).
Classic cars, also mostly very low use, No road tax, No MoT and insurance costs only about £100 annually.
I think it is only £140 pa road tax for more recent Aston Martins.
Older cars £250, which becomes almost nothing for many younger cars.

Perhaps the government might move to charging per mile driven, in place of road tax (more likely in addition to).
Possibly advantageous for our low useage cars.