Boomer life according to the economist

Boomer life according to the economist

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Sheepshanks

32,967 posts

120 months

Monday 13th May
quotequote all
GT03ROB said:
Correctly sold they were a quite legitimate tool. My point was more that the market has always sought to find ways to lower the cost of buying to get people in. Low cost endowments were one of those tools, too many didn’t deliver & gave those that took them a headache.

A 40yr mortgage is really not a problem. As I’ve said let inflation do its work & what once was expensive is not 20yrs later, never mind 40yrs.
I had a couple of low-cost endowment mortgages. At the time, they felt like a scam as it was pretty well the only way to get a mortgage - it's hard to imagine today, but then you almost had to know someone to get a mortgage, and money was released to a few applicants at a time, and if you missed out, you had to wait until the next release.

Our first low-cost endowment seemed brilliant - tax relief on the premiums (as well as the interest, with Miras, of course) and the policy included joint life assurance so the cost wasn;t much more than life assurance on its own. Was paying £25/mth. Sold after 6 yrs and cashed it in as needed the money towards the next house and got £3K. Second one was dearer and didnt have tax relief. It did more or less pay off the mortgage though.


Regarding inflation, I have colleagues in SE who did IO and found that even after inflation they still had hefty amounts to find at the end of their mortgages. I know two were relying on inheritances and both went wrong for them. My boss is IO but he bought a hefty place which has increased in value massively and he's always intended to down-size and retire when the mortgage is due - looks like that's worked well for him.

otolith

56,492 posts

205 months

Monday 13th May
quotequote all
Sheepshanks said:
Regarding inflation, I have colleagues in SE who did IO and found that even after inflation they still had hefty amounts to find at the end of their mortgages. I know two were relying on inheritances and both went wrong for them. My boss is IO but he bought a hefty place which has increased in value massively and he's always intended to down-size and retire when the mortgage is due - looks like that's worked well for him.
A former colleague of my other half has done that (or is going to, we've not heard from her since she retired). Big house in Surrey on interest only, downsizing and moving to Dorset. But they do own other properties outright.

Slow.Patrol

551 posts

15 months

Monday 13th May
quotequote all
Sheepshanks said:
I had a couple of low-cost endowment mortgages. At the time, they felt like a scam as it was pretty well the only way to get a mortgage - it's hard to imagine today, but then you almost had to know someone to get a mortgage, and money was released to a few applicants at a time, and if you missed out, you had to wait until the next release.
I also had a low cost endowment. It was the only mortgage I could get as was expected to pay out £40k. Thankfully I converted to a normal repayment after about five years, but kept the policy going. I think I got £18k in the end. No compensation was available as the IFA who sold the policy went bust. At the time, most building societies had a waiting list for mortgages, so the only way was to use an IFA who could pull strings.

Sheepshanks

32,967 posts

120 months

Monday 13th May
quotequote all
Slow.Patrol said:
I also had a low cost endowment. It was the only mortgage I could get as was expected to pay out £40k. Thankfully I converted to a normal repayment after about five years, but kept the policy going. I think I got £18k in the end. No compensation was available as the IFA who sold the policy went bust. At the time, most building societies had a waiting list for mortgages, so the only way was to use an IFA who could pull strings.
Ah, yes - I didn't change the mortgage, but did overpay for the last few years. Can't rmember the amounts now, but towards the end (2011) the interest payments were in the teens of pounds per month but I was actually paying a couple of hundred. I did get compensation from the endowment provider, Clerical Medical. I only went for it as I'd called them when the news first broke and they laughed and dismissed the idea that there would be a shortfall out of hand.

havoc

30,216 posts

236 months

Monday 13th May
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NortonES2 said:
But how many people stay in their first property for ever? By the time they buy their 2nd or 3rd house they should be better off.
You assume that your average person will be able to buy another (presumably bigger/better) house.

Based off the last 15 years, we've seen wage inflation lag behind CPI, and CPI lag behind house price inflation. Which, if that continues, means that it will get ever harder to get on the ladder and ever harder to move "up the chain" *, for pretty much everyone in the bottom 7-8 deciles, maybe more than that.

Hell, even IF house prices stagnate for a decade (as many of us on here hope is the bare minimum, but is unlikely to happen), that won't even half reverse the effect of the last 15 years.

You can no longer base future generations activities off what Boomers and Gen-X have enjoyed.



* That phrase now should be consigned to history - there is no chain for the majority of Gen-Y / -Z.

GT03ROB

13,338 posts

222 months

Tuesday 14th May
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havoc said:
You assume that your average person will be able to buy another (presumably bigger/better) house.

Based off the last 15 years, we've seen wage inflation lag behind CPI, and CPI lag behind house price inflation. Which, if that continues, means that it will get ever harder to get on the ladder and ever harder to move "up the chain" *, for pretty much everyone in the bottom 7-8 deciles, maybe more than that.

Hell, even IF house prices stagnate for a decade (as many of us on here hope is the bare minimum, but is unlikely to happen), that won't even half reverse the effect of the last 15 years.

You can no longer base future generations activities off what Boomers and Gen-X have enjoyed.

* That phrase now should be consigned to history - there is no chain for the majority of Gen-Y / -Z.
The flaw in this argument however is the point about wage inflation. In the past you want a bigger house earn more money. That means get a better job, take on more responsibility, not wait for inflation to raise your wages. Normally wage inflation will reduce the proportion of your take home you spend on a mortgage over time minimising its impact but it was never going to get you a bigger house.

Based on wage inflation since I started work I'd be on little more than the average salary today of around 30k or whatever & I'd probably still be in the 2 up 2 down that was my 1st house. For some reason I'm on a bit more than that

Downward

3,664 posts

104 months

Tuesday 14th May
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Poor Boomers…

'Our dream of retiring to our second home by the seaside is turning into a nightmare'

Fiona Wilson, 66, and her husband, David, 68, bought the seaside property in Whitby, North Yorkshire, 14 years ago as a rental opportunity - but now they face a 'punitive' tax rise

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A couple fear their dream of retiring in their £150,000 second home will be shattered due to 'punishing' new tax rules that could see their tax bill double.
Fiona Wilson, 66, and her husband David, 68, bought their seaside property in Whitby, 14 years ago as a rental opportunity. The property was an addition to their main home in Potto, North Yorkshire, which they bought for £205,000 in 1999.

However, after retiring, they decided to make the Whitby property their second home, looking forward to frequent coastal trips. Now, they face a "punitive" tax increase that could cost them thousands or force them to sell the three-bedroom property.

The couple bought the cottage for £150,000 in 2010 with the intention of renting it out to holidaymakers to supplement their retirement income. Fiona explained: "We were both working full time. I was a teacher and my husband was a pharmacist.

"We deliberately bought it as a source of extra income to be used to supplement our retirement as part of a retirement plan."
The couple enjoyed low tax while the property was rented out, thanks to 100 per cent business rate relief. Upon retirement, they chose to keep the cottage for personal use rather than continue renting it out.

However, they were shocked to learn that the annual tax of £1,800 is set to nearly double to £4,000 by April 2025. This increase is due to North Yorkshire Council's introduction of a 'second home premium' charge of 100%, as part of the Levelling Up Act (2023).

Faced with this steep rise, Fiona is contemplating selling the property. She said: "It's going to cost an awful lot of money to keep the two homes."
She predicts that the property will likely be bought by someone intending to use it as a holiday let, adding: "We think the policy is flawed. [It's designed] to encourage people with second homes to put them on the market."

Fiona, a life-long Conservative voter, voiced her disappointment with her MP, Sir Robert Goodwill.
"It's totally unfair. It's un-Conservative to punish people who have worked very hard," she said. "I have no problem paying tax but on this occasion, this is a punitive tax. We can afford to pay the double tax - we just think it's very unfair."
Gary Fielding, North Yorkshire Council's corporate director for strategic resources, defended the new tax: He said: "The new council tax premium on second homes is a key part of North Yorkshire Council's strategy to help provide good quality, sustainable properties for residents."
"Coming into force on April 1 next year, the new scheme will effectively double council tax bills for second homeowners and will generate between £11.5 million and £16.5 million in additional council tax revenue.
"The ultimate aim, however, is to bring second homes back into use in communities where many people have been priced out of the housing market.

The Leaper

4,979 posts

207 months

Tuesday 14th May
quotequote all
Downward said:
"The ultimate aim, however, is to bring second homes back into use in communities where many people have been priced out of the housing market.
Except the locals will not be able to afford them, which is why the policy will not achieve its aim. And it was the locals who sold out anyway and created the holiday home problem.

R.

OoopsVoss

479 posts

11 months

Tuesday 14th May
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The Leaper said:
Except the locals will not be able to afford them, which is why the policy will not achieve its aim.
R.
Of course it won't. Until they invest in growth and economic opportunity in the local communities - this will do little more than marginally plug a funding gap in local council budgets - falling far short of investment.

As far as policy goes, F- for effort and attainment.

Downward

3,664 posts

104 months

Tuesday 14th May
quotequote all
The Leaper said:
Downward said:
"The ultimate aim, however, is to bring second homes back into use in communities where many people have been priced out of the housing market.
Except the locals will not be able to afford them, which is why the policy will not achieve its aim. And it was the locals who sold out anyway and created the holiday home problem.

R.
Maybe the locals died and had no family or the family they had don’t live near so sold up ?

Hustle_

24,778 posts

161 months

Tuesday 14th May
quotequote all
Who says owning two houses should be cheap / cost effective.

The Leaper said:
Downward said:
"The ultimate aim, however, is to bring second homes back into use in communities where many people have been priced out of the housing market.
Except the locals will not be able to afford them, which is why the policy will not achieve its aim. And it was the locals who sold out anyway and created the holiday home problem.

R.
If the wealthy second home investors aren't buying, or are willing to pay less, then values of such properties will fall.

NRS

22,254 posts

202 months

Tuesday 14th May
quotequote all
The Leaper said:
Downward said:
"The ultimate aim, however, is to bring second homes back into use in communities where many people have been priced out of the housing market.
Except the locals will not be able to afford them, which is why the policy will not achieve its aim. And it was the locals who sold out anyway and created the holiday home problem.

R.
Nonsense, any increase of house supply and less competition will help house prices. It's been very noticeable for many the massive influx of buyers of holiday homes/WFH buyers who have caused rapid house price increases in smaller communities. Also just look to the US for example where some communities are really hollowed up due to second home buyers buying up everything. I'm all for taxing second homes more, you don't need them so it should have a more luxury tax rate on it.

havoc

30,216 posts

236 months

Tuesday 14th May
quotequote all
GT03ROB said:
The flaw in this argument however is the point about wage inflation. In the past you want a bigger house earn more money. That means get a better job, take on more responsibility, not wait for inflation to raise your wages. Normally wage inflation will reduce the proportion of your take home you spend on a mortgage over time minimising its impact but it was never going to get you a bigger house.

Based on wage inflation since I started work I'd be on little more than the average salary today of around 30k or whatever & I'd probably still be in the 2 up 2 down that was my 1st house. For some reason I'm on a bit more than that
I do broadly agree.

HOWEVER...not everyone enjoys the sort of real-terms pay-rises that your average PHer has. Go to work in the public sector and without promotions / additional responsibility you'll find your real-terms salary going backwards. Same for a lot of manufacturing and retail jobs. 30-smth SiL is a pharmacy tech, left the NHS because of something like 4 years without a pay rise, then found herself facing similar issues working for GP practices and has since been put at risk and forced to take sttier terms for no more money (alternative was redundancy). She's still on less, real-terms, than she was ~7-8 years ago.

The world of work is not a friendly place for some.

havoc

30,216 posts

236 months

Tuesday 14th May
quotequote all
Hustle_ said:
Who says owning two houses should be cheap / cost effective.
Quite.

We have a housing shortage in this country. 2 people are taking up 2 entire homes and are now moaning that public policy appears to be punishing them.

Boo fking hoo.

GT03ROB

13,338 posts

222 months

Wednesday 15th May
quotequote all
havoc said:
GT03ROB said:
The flaw in this argument however is the point about wage inflation. In the past you want a bigger house earn more money. That means get a better job, take on more responsibility, not wait for inflation to raise your wages. Normally wage inflation will reduce the proportion of your take home you spend on a mortgage over time minimising its impact but it was never going to get you a bigger house.

Based on wage inflation since I started work I'd be on little more than the average salary today of around 30k or whatever & I'd probably still be in the 2 up 2 down that was my 1st house. For some reason I'm on a bit more than that
I do broadly agree.

HOWEVER...not everyone enjoys the sort of real-terms pay-rises that your average PHer has. Go to work in the public sector and without promotions / additional responsibility you'll find your real-terms salary going backwards. Same for a lot of manufacturing and retail jobs. 30-smth SiL is a pharmacy tech, left the NHS because of something like 4 years without a pay rise, then found herself facing similar issues working for GP practices and has since been put at risk and forced to take sttier terms for no more money (alternative was redundancy). She's still on less, real-terms, than she was ~7-8 years ago.

The world of work is not a friendly place for some.
I agree. Wages in real terms have fallen in recent years. People that have stood still in terms of promotions/etc in both the public & private sectors have seen falls in wages in real terms. In the current world if you are not prepared or able to run you will go backwards.

NRS

22,254 posts

202 months

Wednesday 15th May
quotequote all
GT03ROB said:
I agree. Wages in real terms have fallen in recent years. People that have stood still in terms of promotions/etc in both the public & private sectors have seen falls in wages in real terms. In the current world if you are not prepared or able to run you will go backwards.
But most people can’t get promoted/get better jobs. So yes, people can on an individual level make choices that will help but it stills results in most people heading backwards.

havoc

30,216 posts

236 months

Wednesday 15th May
quotequote all
NRS said:
GT03ROB said:
I agree. Wages in real terms have fallen in recent years. People that have stood still in terms of promotions/etc in both the public & private sectors have seen falls in wages in real terms. In the current world if you are not prepared or able to run you will go backwards.
But most people can’t get promoted/get better jobs. So yes, people can on an individual level make choices that will help but it stills results in most people heading backwards.
Maybe not most - even in more 'transactional' roles, you'll still get competent people who'll get promoted / get moved into a better role. For a while, at least.

...but certainly a large chunk of society. And I'd ask "is that the sort of world we WANT to live in?" Where you HAVE to run, to keep pushing yourself, just to stay ahead of this insidious drop in standard of living. And what happens when you hit 45 / 50 / 55 / 60 (will vary by person) and decide you've no longer got the energy or motivation to keep pushing? Where those coming up beneath you are more hungry (or desperate)?

GT03ROB

13,338 posts

222 months

Wednesday 15th May
quotequote all
havoc said:
And I'd ask "is that the sort of world we WANT to live in?" Where you HAVE to run, to keep pushing yourself, just to stay ahead of this insidious drop in standard of living.
Thats not the world we may want to live, but it's the world we do live in.

We cannot isolate ourselves from it. At a national level we may not want to do that, but there's a host of countries who do. Do I want my wages to stagnate because the American company I work for competes now with Indian companies that pay people in an equivalent position a lot less? Of course not. But thats the world.

havoc

30,216 posts

236 months

Wednesday 15th May
quotequote all
GT03ROB said:
Thats not the world we may want to live, but it's the world we do live in.

We cannot isolate ourselves from it. At a national level we may not want to do that, but there's a host of countries who do. Do I want my wages to stagnate because the American company I work for competes now with Indian companies that pay people in an equivalent position a lot less? Of course not. But thats the world.
I tend to agree, however:-
- Our wages HAVE been stagnating vs the USA and China in particular, and to a lesser degree (moreso post-Brexit) vs key EU nations also. So I'm not entirely sure how much worse it can get.
- Our government can choose policies (taxation, social, economic) which mitigate the effects. A decent transport system and a working social care system would be a good start.
- It was government policies that led to near-runaway house price inflation in the first place, as they thought it would be a good placebo effect to disguise the economic malaise we already facing.


...what I'm saying is that the Tories have over the last 15 years or so made this bed that we all need to lie in. While they and their rich mates are all much better off thank you very much and don't give two fks.

OoopsVoss

479 posts

11 months

Wednesday 15th May
quotequote all
havoc said:
GT03ROB said:
Thats not the world we may want to live, but it's the world we do live in.

We cannot isolate ourselves from it. At a national level we may not want to do that, but there's a host of countries who do. Do I want my wages to stagnate because the American company I work for competes now with Indian companies that pay people in an equivalent position a lot less? Of course not. But thats the world.
I tend to agree, however:-
- Our wages HAVE been stagnating vs the USA and China in particular, and to a lesser degree (moreso post-Brexit) vs key EU nations also. So I'm not entirely sure how much worse it can get.
- Our government can choose policies (taxation, social, economic) which mitigate the effects. A decent transport system and a working social care system would be a good start.
- It was government policies that led to near-runaway house price inflation in the first place, as they thought it would be a good placebo effect to disguise the economic malaise we already facing.


...what I'm saying is that the Tories have over the last 15 years or so made this bed that we all need to lie in. While they and their rich mates are all much better off thank you very much and don't give two fks.
Constantly thinking its better elsewhere or the UK is some fiscal backwater is the wrong approach. Everyone of your comparable examples have jumped in sh*t where the UK hasn't or doesn't want to. They've different priorities and taken different costs.

To face the UK's challenges requires a change in approach of government. Unlike all your examples, the UK might (according to some political voices) tip into technocratic leadership as we are past and tired off populism. The EU, US are about to get it in spades. I'm not overly optimistic much will change, but we are in nowhere near as much do-do as a pan flat autostrada suggests otherwise. If you want change we need focus on the real needs of the UK and thats basics - education, regional inequality and investment to support business growth.