Reform UK - A symptom of all that is wrong?

Reform UK - A symptom of all that is wrong?

Author
Discussion

markh1973

1,825 posts

169 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Carl_VivaEspana said:
MC Bodge said:
Could somebody translate this please?
Just to help clarify, I was responding to Amy's response that British Nationalism is and has always been around.

Yes, British Nationalism comes and goes like a dose of flu but after the spike in the very early 1980s, British Nationalism was pretty much eliminated to a small number of fringe groups due to years of centrist policies being adopted by whomever was in charge of the U.K.

Fringe Nationalist interest groups like Combat 18, National Front, Stormfront, the lads that murdered Stephen Lawrence those types of people.

The adoption of DEI, Trans-activism, Net Zero, Welfare State dependency, ULEZ, Open Borders, Lack of law & order as 'centre ground' by some areas of the political social media sphere has alienated those that consider themselves not Nationalists but socially conservative. People from Kidderminster, Stoke, Blackpool, Middlesbrough, Clacton, Orpington places like that.

The outcome is that the dots are now (unfortunately) joining between these groups into a larger voting block of loosely aligned people and what you have with Reform, is a symptom of what's going wrong with British politics.
Orpington - not really much in common with any of the other places in your list

TTwiggy

11,552 posts

205 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
markh1973 said:
Orpington - not really much in common with any of the other places in your list
Welling would be a better fit (the BNP had their 'bookshop' there).

MC Bodge

21,738 posts

176 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
tangerine_sedge said:
It's a story as old as time... People who have been left behind are given someone to blame (currently those pesky immigrants/people with purple hair) by right wing rebel-rousers out to make a quick buck/garner political support.

The ironic thing, is that those people are usually left behind by Conservative governments, but feel drawn to right wing authoritarianism. I guess it allows them to be the ones punching down, rather than be on the perceived receiving end.
Exactly. "Othering" and feeling part of a tribe united in stopping those terrible "others".

S600BSB

4,828 posts

107 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
MC Bodge said:
tangerine_sedge said:
It's a story as old as time... People who have been left behind are given someone to blame (currently those pesky immigrants/people with purple hair) by right wing rebel-rousers out to make a quick buck/garner political support.

The ironic thing, is that those people are usually left behind by Conservative governments, but feel drawn to right wing authoritarianism. I guess it allows them to be the ones punching down, rather than be on the perceived receiving end.
Exactly. "Othering" and feeling part of a tribe united in stopping those terrible "others".
I think that is a fair analysis

Timothy Bucktu

15,282 posts

201 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
S600BSB said:
MC Bodge said:
tangerine_sedge said:
It's a story as old as time... People who have been left behind are given someone to blame (currently those pesky immigrants/people with purple hair) by right wing rebel-rousers out to make a quick buck/garner political support.

The ironic thing, is that those people are usually left behind by Conservative governments, but feel drawn to right wing authoritarianism. I guess it allows them to be the ones punching down, rather than be on the perceived receiving end.
Exactly. "Othering" and feeling part of a tribe united in stopping those terrible "others".
I think that is a fair analysis
You can literally say the same for Leftists though. And nobody is more drawn to authoritarianism than Lefty types. They were by far the most compliant during the lockdown/Covid era...they loved being told what to do and showing their support by any means!

Carl_VivaEspana

12,319 posts

263 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
smn159 said:
I can see how someone who lives abroad and reads right wing opinion sites could come to that conclusion
I am not sure my subscription to the Spectator is going to radicalise me, especially if I am living and reading it in a Socialist-run country. Obviously, in this world, if the the Spectator was labelled as a hate speech site, it would not surprise me hehe

In Spain though VOX is polling at almost the same level as Reform in the U.K, maybe there is a correlation, maybe not.

As a foreign immigrant who is learning a new language, you do discover a new found respect for immigrants in general but the debating point is the level and type of immigration to the UK, not to halt immigration entirely.

MC Bodge

21,738 posts

176 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Timothy Bucktu said:
You can literally say the same for Leftists though. And nobody is more drawn to authoritarianism than Lefty types. They were by far the most compliant during the lockdown/Covid era...they loved being told what to do and showing their support by any means!
There is a little more variety than "leftie" and "righty".

Populism and authoritarianism comes in various flavours too.

Killboy

7,454 posts

203 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Timothy Bucktu said:
You can literally say the same for Leftists though. And nobody is more drawn to authoritarianism than Lefty types. They were by far the most compliant during the lockdown/Covid era...they loved being told what to do and showing their support by any means!
Weren't tighty righty types more likely to die from COVID?

MC Bodge

21,738 posts

176 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Killboy said:
Weren't tighty righty types more likely to die from COVID?
Anecdotally, one of my in-law's friends of that persuasion, who was very dismissive of the whole thing and didn't take any care, died of it.

dai1983

2,922 posts

150 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Killboy said:
Weren't tighty righty types more likely to wk themselves dry over Captain Tom and Churchil like supreme leader Boris?
Fixed it.

smn159

12,776 posts

218 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Timothy Bucktu said:
You can literally say the same for Leftists though. And nobody is more drawn to authoritarianism than Lefty types. They were by far the most compliant during the lockdown/Covid era...they loved being told what to do and showing their support by any means!
Right wing authoritarianism is well documented. While left wing authoritarianism undoubtably exists (although there is debate on this in social psychology circles), it is much rarer.

Your point is therefore what you'd like to be true rather than what is supported by the evidence.

Hard to believe on a Reform thread I know, but there you go

skwdenyer

16,631 posts

241 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Timothy Bucktu said:
You can literally say the same for Leftists though. And nobody is more drawn to authoritarianism than Lefty types. They were by far the most compliant during the lockdown/Covid era...they loved being told what to do and showing their support by any means!
That trouble with this comment is that it is proof by assumption. You're taking as your starting point that lockdown / Covid were overblown from a Government perspective, and then using that assumption to attack anyone who accepted it. Around here (where right-wingers outnumber left-wingers about 5:1), I can assure you the "righties" were the first to police everyone else for moving too close, straying out for too long, and so on. It is not a right-wing position inherently to have opposed lockdown; but certain people who opposed lockdown are also right-wing.

If we all stopped talking in these absurd playground-style "leftie" and "righty" terms, we might actually make some progress as a society, and stop being so manipulated by those with an agenda!

Baroque attacks

4,444 posts

187 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Timothy Bucktu said:
You can literally say the same for Leftists though. And nobody is more drawn to authoritarianism than Lefty types. They were by far the most compliant during the lockdown/Covid era...they loved being told what to do and showing their support by any means!
Just sounds like a grrr Covid grumble of little relevance.

Timothy Bucktu

15,282 posts

201 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Baroque attacks said:
Timothy Bucktu said:
You can literally say the same for Leftists though. And nobody is more drawn to authoritarianism than Lefty types. They were by far the most compliant during the lockdown/Covid era...they loved being told what to do and showing their support by any means!
Just sounds like a grrr Covid grumble of little relevance.
I was using that as an example.

IanH755

1,869 posts

121 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
Reform are just a symptom of a root cause that is being ignored, and as long as the root cause is ignored the symptoms (increasing size and scope of parties like Reform) will continue to increase.

So whats the "root cause" - If I had to guess I'd say that its the wilful ignorance of a "conservative" party to too many of their supporters core values and, because of that, the parties foundations have become rotten, so whilst everything looks rosy to those within the party, everyone else outside can see the rot underneath and they don't want anything more to do with it any more.

The only problem is that, due to the UK's almost exclusive "2 party system", if you didn't vote "conservative" then you got Labour, who almost everyone "conservative" could see would be a disaster for the whole country over the past 2 elections, so they felt forced to keep voting for a "conservative" party, not out of loyalty, pride, agreement with policies etc, but just as a way to keep Labour out of power.

Only now the rotten foundations have started to fail rapidly over the past few years, Labour don't seem to be the same cult that they were under Corbyn now Starmer is showing some backbone, and there's a rise in smaller political parties who aren't ignoring the "conservative" voters, and are giving them a voice.

So when the Tories lose the next election, which they will and likely by a landslide I'm guessing, all of this will have been caused not by "Reform taking Tory votes" but by a rotten Tory party who deliberately kept ignoring their supporters until most of them left whilst those within the party effectively said "Let them eat cake" when told of the impending collapse.

skwdenyer

16,631 posts

241 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
IanH755 said:
Reform are just a symptom of a root cause that is being ignored, and as long as the root cause is ignored the symptoms (increasing size and scope of parties like Reform) will continue to increase.

So whats the "root cause" - If I had to guess I'd say that its the wilful ignorance of a "conservative" party to too many of their supporters core values and, because of that, the parties foundations have become rotten, so whilst everything looks rosy to those within the party, everyone else outside can see the rot underneath and they don't want anything more to do with it any more.

The only problem is that, due to the UK's almost exclusive "2 party system", if you didn't vote "conservative" then you got Labour, who almost everyone "conservative" could see would be a disaster for the whole country over the past 2 elections, so they felt forced to keep voting for a "conservative" party, not out of loyalty, pride, agreement with policies etc, but just as a way to keep Labour out of power.

Only now the rotten foundations have started to fail rapidly over the past few years, Labour don't seem to be the same cult that they were under Corbyn now Starmer is showing some backbone, and there's a rise in smaller political parties who aren't ignoring the "conservative" voters, and are giving them a voice.

So when the Tories lose the next election, which they will and likely by a landslide I'm guessing, all of this will have been caused not by "Reform taking Tory votes" but by a rotten Tory party who deliberately kept ignoring their supporters until most of them left whilst those within the party effectively said "Let them eat cake" when told of the impending collapse.
All of that sounds great in theory. But there are important things missing from that analysis.

First, the UK is almost exclusively an - on average - centre-left country. I think there may have been one general election in the last 60 years in which the majority of votes didn't go to left or centre-left parties. That's the majority. The Conservatives have held power for so long mainly because they were the only plausible centre-right party going. It is one of many reasons why our electoral system needs wholesale reform.

Second, the Conservative leadership is elected by a tiny number of party members. It is high time we introduced primary elections in this country, or some other attempt to align the candidates with the electorate, and especially the leadership. Truss was prime minister thanks to just 81k people. It is safe to say those are 81k people who have a far more extreme relationship to politics than the average voter. It is an absurd system, which is almost guaranteed to create outcomes that are unhelpful for the party, the country, or both.

Third, because of our electoral system, the Conservative party is especially susceptible to division, and to drunken shifts in stance in order to try to achieve "unity" (which is nothing of the sort - it just means trying to head off splinter groups and new parties). This has made it especially open to being influenced by some rather extreme views. When inevitably it cannot live up to the hopes of those groups, they make a vocal noise about how the party has lost the connection with the "true Tory voters" and here we are.

Reform have made a big noise. They've achieved an outrageously large amount of media coverage. Despite that, they've achieved nothing electorally in the local elections. Had, say, the Liberal Democrats or Greens got as much platform time as Reform, I suspect the Conservative losses would have been even greater.

We must reform our voting system. In some areas in the recent local elections, one party could (and did) end up with 90% of the seats in an area despite getting well under 50% of the votes. There's no sense in which councils represent the diversity of views of people who live in those communities. The same is true in Westminster. The STV system as used in Scotland (and until recently used for the London Mayoral election, but scrapped in an apparent attempt to unseat the incumbent) has been shown to create far more representative outcomes. Proper PR would do better still.

Once we get away from the idea that we need large, monolithic parties, a lot of political problems become easier. I've no problem with Reform winning a few seats in Parliament. They should get the tiny number of MPs their tiny vote share dictates. What they shouldn't be allowed to do is to cause a wholesale lurch to the right (a right that simply doesn't represent the UK) by holding a far larger party hostage.

The same logic applies on the left BTW. Labour was right to marginalise Militant back in the day; and is right to try to marginalise Momentum. In a sane world, both would have become different parties, and held a few seats in line with their true levels of support.

Let's be clear; Reform got 11% of the vote in the areas in which it put up candidates, despite enormous media coverage. At a national level, Reform's vote share was tiny. Just like the various right-wing lobbying groups who regularly get airtime on the BBC and elsewhere, Reform is being indulged because it is newsworthy, not because it is wildly popular.

The Conservative part of yore was a broadly principled, focussed, ideologically-consistent, centre-right party. It isn't that it has lost its core voters; it is that it has lost itself in trying to chase extremes, rather than recognising that electoral reform and an end to those battles is what is ultimately in the best interests of both party and country.

Dave200

4,054 posts

221 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
IanH755 said:
Reform are just a symptom of a root cause that is being ignored, and as long as the root cause is ignored the symptoms (increasing size and scope of parties like Reform) will continue to increase.

So whats the "root cause" - If I had to guess I'd say that its the wilful ignorance of a "conservative" party to too many of their supporters core values and, because of that, the parties foundations have become rotten, so whilst everything looks rosy to those within the party, everyone else outside can see the rot underneath and they don't want anything more to do with it any more.

The only problem is that, due to the UK's almost exclusive "2 party system", if you didn't vote "conservative" then you got Labour, who almost everyone "conservative" could see would be a disaster for the whole country over the past 2 elections, so they felt forced to keep voting for a "conservative" party, not out of loyalty, pride, agreement with policies etc, but just as a way to keep Labour out of power.

Only now the rotten foundations have started to fail rapidly over the past few years, Labour don't seem to be the same cult that they were under Corbyn now Starmer is showing some backbone, and there's a rise in smaller political parties who aren't ignoring the "conservative" voters, and are giving them a voice.

So when the Tories lose the next election, which they will and likely by a landslide I'm guessing, all of this will have been caused not by "Reform taking Tory votes" but by a rotten Tory party who deliberately kept ignoring their supporters until most of them left whilst those within the party effectively said "Let them eat cake" when told of the impending collapse.
Aren't Reform just a symptom of the current Tory party not catering to the needs of the older and less educated?

President Merkin

3,181 posts

20 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
Twice in one day now we've had the same argument trotted out - that Reform is a consequence of the Tories not Torying enough. The idea that Conservatism isn't Conservative enough for proponents of this argument is both ludicrous & soley in the eyes of the beholders. The past eght years or so have seen a Conservative government divest itself of practically all moderate voices, legislate repeatedly to suppress public protest, shut down the entire democratic process in pursuit of a single policy goal, threaten time & again to break international convention & depart from pan European human rights safeguards & gerrymander via statute.

The idea that the Conservatives aren't doing the bidding of the right is risible, it's the clarion call of the fruitloop & both an excellent illustration of both how the hard right can never be appeased & why Reform, UKIP, whatever guise the same old schtick presents itself as with which ever fast talking chancer's name over the door is always never more than the 10% end of public life, because they're the ones at the extreme but they can never see it.

tangerine_sedge

4,838 posts

219 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
President Merkin said:
Twice in one day now we've had the same argument trotted out - that Reform is a consequence of the Tories not Torying enough. The idea that Conservatism isn't Conservative enough for proponents of this argument is both ludicrous & soley in the eyes of the beholders. The past eght years or so have seen a Conservative government divest itself of practically all moderate voices, legislate repeatedly to suppress public protest, shut down the entire democratic process in pursuit of a single policy goal, threaten time & again to break international convention & depart from pan European human rights safeguards & gerrymander via statute.

The idea that the Conservatives aren't doing the bidding of the right is risible, it's the clarion call of the fruitloop & both an excellent illustration of both how the hard right can never be appeased & why Reform, UKIP, whatever guise the same old schtick presents itself as with which ever fast talking chancer's name over the door is always never more than the 10% end of public life, because they're the ones at the extreme but they can never see it.
It's tiresome straw grasping - anyone with a passing aquaintance with Bell curves, can see where most voters sit politically, and it's not at the extremes....

Gecko1978

9,771 posts

158 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
tangerine_sedge said:
President Merkin said:
Twice in one day now we've had the same argument trotted out - that Reform is a consequence of the Tories not Torying enough. The idea that Conservatism isn't Conservative enough for proponents of this argument is both ludicrous & soley in the eyes of the beholders. The past eght years or so have seen a Conservative government divest itself of practically all moderate voices, legislate repeatedly to suppress public protest, shut down the entire democratic process in pursuit of a single policy goal, threaten time & again to break international convention & depart from pan European human rights safeguards & gerrymander via statute.

The idea that the Conservatives aren't doing the bidding of the right is risible, it's the clarion call of the fruitloop & both an excellent illustration of both how the hard right can never be appeased & why Reform, UKIP, whatever guise the same old schtick presents itself as with which ever fast talking chancer's name over the door is always never more than the 10% end of public life, because they're the ones at the extreme but they can never see it.
It's tiresome straw grasping - anyone with a passing aquaintance with Bell curves, can see where most voters sit politically, and it's not at the extremes....
I think the tory party have focused on social agenda like boats and trans treatment but not on conservative economic policy. So higher taxes, more spending (but without great efficiency with cuts making things worse). So they have not been prudent masters of thr purse strings which we hope thr tories will be (hope not same as doing of course)