Rishi Sunak - Prime Minister

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Discussion

turbobloke

104,579 posts

262 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Gecko1978 said:
Killboy said:
Are we back at the denial phase, or is this bargaining?
I think things might not be going labour way. I still can't see me voting at all (having voted tory all my lifr). But I like everyone will take a tax cut happily over a tax rise etc and that's a head ache if rates come down rishi cuts tax again what can Kier do say we are going to make you worse off is not a winner
Indeed.

The post you replied to is deeply ironic.


NerveAgent

3,389 posts

222 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Gecko1978 said:
Killboy said:
Are we back at the denial phase, or is this bargaining?
I think things might not be going labour way. I still can't see me voting at all (having voted tory all my lifr). But I like everyone will take a tax cut happily over a tax rise etc and that's a head ache if rates come down rishi cuts tax again what can Kier do say we are going to make you worse off is not a winner
It won’t be a tax cut though, will it? It will just be the Tories manipulating you in to thinking it is, then taking it back in some other way.

captain_cynic

12,468 posts

97 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Gecko1978 said:
I think things might not be going labour way. I still can't see me voting at all (having voted tory all my lifr). But I like everyone will take a tax cut happily over a tax rise etc and that's a head ache if rates come down rishi cuts tax again what can Kier do say we are going to make you worse off is not a winner
I don't think it's that simple.

People have seen their lives get measurably worse over the last 4 years, I doubt many will be easily fooled by a token tax cut that will be clawed back some other way (increase in IPT or APD seem Tory favourites) and probably not even benefit the poor or middle classes.

Pretty much whoever gets in, taxes are going to rise. It can either be honest or opaque and the opaque one will be far worse.

It's just hope against all hope that the Tories can still win.

119

7,168 posts

38 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
NerveAgent said:
Gecko1978 said:
Killboy said:
Are we back at the denial phase, or is this bargaining?
I think things might not be going labour way. I still can't see me voting at all (having voted tory all my lifr). But I like everyone will take a tax cut happily over a tax rise etc and that's a head ache if rates come down rishi cuts tax again what can Kier do say we are going to make you worse off is not a winner
It won’t be a tax cut though, will it? It will just be the Tories manipulating you in to thinking it is, then taking it back in some other way.
The same as Labour then, unless there is a magic money tree they have access to.

Gecko1978

9,913 posts

159 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
captain_cynic said:
Gecko1978 said:
I think things might not be going labour way. I still can't see me voting at all (having voted tory all my lifr). But I like everyone will take a tax cut happily over a tax rise etc and that's a head ache if rates come down rishi cuts tax again what can Kier do say we are going to make you worse off is not a winner
I don't think it's that simple.

People have seen their lives get measurably worse over the last 4 years, I doubt many will be easily fooled by a token tax cut that will be clawed back some other way (increase in IPT or APD seem Tory favourites) and probably not even benefit the poor or middle classes.

Pretty much whoever gets in, taxes are going to rise. It can either be honest or opaque and the opaque one will be far worse.

It's just hope against all hope that the Tories can still win.
Ir35...nothing Rishi and Hunt do will undo that damage hence I won't vote for them. But if NI goes to say 7% thanks very much.

Dingu

3,920 posts

32 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
captain_cynic said:
It's just hope against all hope that the Tories can still win.
Anyone who wants more of this st show is bonkers. Everything they do turns to crap. The best thing that could happen to the party is a period in opposition to sort themselves out. For themselves and the country, the two party system barely works, it’s dysfunctional when either party is weak.

S600BSB

5,321 posts

108 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Dingu said:
captain_cynic said:
It's just hope against all hope that the Tories can still win.
Anyone who wants more of this st show is bonkers. Everything they do turns to crap. The best thing that could happen to the party is a period in opposition to sort themselves out. For themselves and the country, the two party system barely works, it’s dysfunctional when either party is weak.
Can’t really see them sorting themselves out tbh. Far more likely that they will continue to chase the loony right and destroy themselves in the process. Historians will have a field day with all the mistakes they have made with Brexit, Rwanda etc.

Mr Penguin

1,736 posts

41 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Rwanda will have no impact on the 2029/2030 election, let alone beyond that.

Dingu

3,920 posts

32 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Mr Penguin said:
Rwanda will have no impact on the 2029/2030 election, let alone beyond that.
Directly for sure, I guess the point above is whether the party continue down that route when it could impact indirectly?

valiant

10,537 posts

162 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
119 said:
The same as Labour then, unless there is a magic money tree they have access to.
It'll be the same one that the Tories have been using these last few years...

Unreal

3,740 posts

27 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
This is politics remember. Whether things work in the practical sense is not necessarily important. Source: Masks

JagLover

42,746 posts

237 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
NerveAgent said:
Interest rates have been the main focus for the working population because of the effects on mortgages (and rents). The rest is all insignificant compared to the potentially hundreds per month on the mortgage payment.
Yes for those who have a significant mortgage that will likely be the main concern, though the interaction with rents is less straightforward.

In terms of interest rates, I may be proved wrong but I doubt the days of near zero BOE base rates will return. This was an historical aberration in the aftermath of the Financial Crisis. I can easily see a low BOE base rate in the future being in the 2-3% range.

Any borrowing whose affordability was dependent on paying almost no interest may be in difficulty.

People will no doubt vote accordingly but I don't see that changing according to tie colour.

JagLover

42,746 posts

237 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Mr Penguin said:
Rwanda will have no impact on the 2029/2030 election, let alone beyond that.
Mass migration, and whatever policies are proposed to facilitate it or control it, will remain a political issue for the foreseeable future.

Rwanda is merely a part of that, being a proposal to curtail illegal migration, or more accurately a gesture and a pretence, but the illegal migration will continue indefinitely and remain a political issue in most European countries.

Mr Penguin

1,736 posts

41 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Dingu said:
Directly for sure, I guess the point above is whether the party continue down that route when it could impact indirectly?
They will do, as will the rest of Europe. Ideally, this would be dealt with at the European entrypoints in Spain, Italy, and Greece (along with wider reform to international law) but immigration tends to make Europe fragment so each country will continue to do it alone with Rwanda style policies.

But by the next election, it will just be a normal and established approach and nobody will remember how controversial it was at first.

S600BSB

5,321 posts

108 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Dingu said:
Mr Penguin said:
Rwanda will have no impact on the 2029/2030 election, let alone beyond that.
Directly for sure, I guess the point above is whether the party continue down that route when it could impact indirectly?
Indeed.

captain_cynic

12,468 posts

97 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Dingu said:
captain_cynic said:
It's just hope against all hope that the Tories can still win.
Anyone who wants more of this st show is bonkers. Everything they do turns to crap. The best thing that could happen to the party is a period in opposition to sort themselves out. For themselves and the country, the two party system barely works, it’s dysfunctional when either party is weak.
Could not agree more.

A two party system is bad enough but when the opposition is weak it's effectively a one party system.

119

7,168 posts

38 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
valiant said:
119 said:
The same as Labour then, unless there is a magic money tree they have access to.
It'll be the same one that the Tories have been using these last few years...
Well that one ain’t any good as it’s been stripped bare and killed off.

laugh

Lotobear

6,613 posts

130 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
119 said:
valiant said:
119 said:
The same as Labour then, unless there is a magic money tree they have access to.
It'll be the same one that the Tories have been using these last few years...
Well that one ain’t any good as it’s been stripped bare and killed off.

laugh
Yep, it's had the full agent orange treatment biglaugh

abzmike

8,651 posts

108 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
Political journos speculating on the PM naming July 4th for a snap election today... and usual sources refusing to deny...

turbobloke

104,579 posts

262 months

Wednesday 22nd May
quotequote all
abzmike said:
Political journos speculating on the PM naming July 4th for a snap election today... and usual sources refusing to deny...
Our high quality hacks tend to try to create news at least as much as report it. There's one person who knows the likely date at any given time.