Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 4

Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 4

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isaldiri

18,761 posts

169 months

Wednesday 15th May
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off_again said:
You are somewhat splitting hairs here. Yes, technically, based on the specified date - Feb 2022, vs Feb 2024, there is a big difference in the amount of land seized by Russia. So yes, technically you are correct.
Well, you are the ones splitting hairs about whether i am correct, technically or otherwise. my point of contention with the post above was that it stated 'the russians had gained little ground' - that does not quite match what is on the ground because the russians quite obvious are in control of a big chunk of land more than pre war.

I'm not exactly saying that they have not completely failed at their initial objectives and shown an impressive amount of incompetence because they also manifestly have done so and your constantly reference to how they are supposed to be the 2nd most powerful military is neither here nor there.

pingu393

7,921 posts

206 months

Wednesday 15th May
quotequote all
isaldiri said:
off_again said:
You are somewhat splitting hairs here. Yes, technically, based on the specified date - Feb 2022, vs Feb 2024, there is a big difference in the amount of land seized by Russia. So yes, technically you are correct.
Well, you are the ones splitting hairs about whether i am correct, technically or otherwise. my point of contention with the post above was that it stated 'the russians had gained little ground' - that does not quite match what is on the ground because the russians quite obvious are in control of a big chunk of land more than pre war.

I'm not exactly saying that they have not completely failed at their initial objectives and shown an impressive amount of incompetence because they also manifestly have done so and your constantly reference to how they are supposed to be the 2nd most powerful military is neither here nor there.
Quite early on, we discovered that ruzzia would have considered the first day of the Somme to have been an overwhelming success. We advanced and gain some ground. So what if 20,000 died - we gained some ground.

Even if they are forced to hand back everything bar a lonely cattle shed, they will consider it a victory.

Earlier on today, they sent a tank down a road to deliberately set off a mine. Tank destroyed, crew dead, mine cleared - job done.

These are not "normal" people. Don't try to judge them by our standards.


CharlesdeGaulle

26,469 posts

181 months

Wednesday 15th May
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I gave isaldiri the benefit of the doubt that he might be a credible alternative critical thinker right from the start of this thread. I'm beginning to doubt my judgement.

asfault

12,340 posts

180 months

Thursday 16th May
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Recent times have reminded me of the speech that M gives the snotty out of touch politician in skyfall.
How there are no more border wars and fighting is now in the shadows.
How ironic

martynr

1,117 posts

175 months

Thursday 16th May
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A Slowak PM has been shot and the shooter a 71 year old pro rusky. The man has had some training by spetznaz. No wonder he got through the security. I am very surprised that Robert Fico was't hard enough with his politics?

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/05/15/7455...

Sky news quoted hate speech on the net. I thought that this tune and lyrics represent it.



off_again

12,391 posts

235 months

Thursday 16th May
quotequote all
isaldiri said:
off_again said:
You are somewhat splitting hairs here. Yes, technically, based on the specified date - Feb 2022, vs Feb 2024, there is a big difference in the amount of land seized by Russia. So yes, technically you are correct.
Well, you are the ones splitting hairs about whether i am correct, technically or otherwise. my point of contention with the post above was that it stated 'the russians had gained little ground' - that does not quite match what is on the ground because the russians quite obvious are in control of a big chunk of land more than pre war.

I'm not exactly saying that they have not completely failed at their initial objectives and shown an impressive amount of incompetence because they also manifestly have done so and your constantly reference to how they are supposed to be the 2nd most powerful military is neither here nor there.
Absolutely, your comment of 'the russians had gained little ground' does need to be put into context also. Yes, this is a valid statement if we look at the longer timeframe - yes, the Russians have gained ground since Feb 2022 and for the last year or so, they have gained very little at massive expense.

Context is critical and we should all make sure we add it where we can. But often emotion gets in the way and we fail to add it. Thats OK, but it does happen.

borcy

3,155 posts

57 months

Thursday 16th May
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https://twitter.com/Doktor_Klein/status/1790766793...

Ukraine free to use US weapons to directly target Russia.

Russian airbases hit again

https://twitter.com/Mylovanov/status/1790861735936...

halo34

2,476 posts

200 months

Thursday 16th May
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Biggy Stardust said:
That they have 500k troops massed ready to pounce. I say again- it doesn't match reality.
I didnt reference that at any point am afraid - I just asked a question, so not sure what the point is. My question was open ended, what happens if Russia manages to advance fully into Ukraine - its not difficult to read my post to see that I didnt specifically agree/disagree with their troop numbers or capability.

If you are going to pick on something I said then make it relevant to what I asked please.

Hereward

4,206 posts

231 months

Thursday 16th May
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martynr said:
A Slowak PM has been shot and the shooter a 71 year old pro rusky. The man has had some training by spetznaz...
Seems he needed more training. Multiple shots from short range and the target is alive in a stable condition, unfortunately.

redback911

2,748 posts

267 months

Thursday 16th May
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halo34 said:
Biggy Stardust said:
That they have 500k troops massed ready to pounce. I say again- it doesn't match reality.
I didnt reference that at any point am afraid - I just asked a question, so not sure what the point is. My question was open ended, what happens if Russia manages to advance fully into Ukraine - its not difficult to read my post to see that I didnt specifically agree/disagree with their troop numbers or capability.

If you are going to pick on something I said then make it relevant to what I asked please.
My bad. I mentioned the 500,000 troops reportedly being amassed on the front line, based on some media reports. I sincerely hope this is just misinformation or propaganda because the alternative would be dire.

While Ukrainian forces are well-trained and well-armed, a war of attrition where Russia can deploy ten times more troops would be catastrophic. Various combat footage shows Ukrainian defenders constantly outnumbered but still managing to hold the line. However, if Ukraine cannot rotate its frontline troops, combat fatigue will inevitably set in.

BikeBikeBIke

8,265 posts

116 months

Thursday 16th May
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redback911 said:
My bad. I mentioned the 500,000 troops reportedly being amassed on the front line, based on some media reports. I sincerely hope this is just misinformation or propaganda because the alternative would be dire.
You were just out by a factor of 10 - the reported number is 50k. Easy mistake to make. (But significant!)

borcy

3,155 posts

57 months

Thursday 16th May
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https://twitter.com/PStyle0ne1/status/179100141914...

Ukrainian perspective on the latest Russian offensive.

halo34

2,476 posts

200 months

Thursday 16th May
quotequote all
redback911 said:
My bad. I mentioned the 500,000 troops reportedly being amassed on the front line, based on some media reports. I sincerely hope this is just misinformation or propaganda because the alternative would be dire.

While Ukrainian forces are well-trained and well-armed, a war of attrition where Russia can deploy ten times more troops would be catastrophic. Various combat footage shows Ukrainian defenders constantly outnumbered but still managing to hold the line. However, if Ukraine cannot rotate its frontline troops, combat fatigue will inevitably set in.
Dont worry, I honestly wasnt actually picking up on that.

It was a broader thought about Russia wearing Ukraine down over time and making gains enough that we see them "rolling" right in - my phrasing was perhaps wrong.

In a war of attrition more than a single push.

RustyMX5

7,249 posts

218 months

Thursday 16th May
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martynr said:
A Slowak PM has been shot and the shooter a 71 year old pro rusky. The man has had some training by spetznaz. No wonder he got through the security. I am very surprised that Robert Fico was't hard enough with his politics?

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/05/15/7455...

Sky news quoted hate speech on the net. I thought that this tune and lyrics represent it.
Judging by what I'm reading in the Slovak press, I'd say the story is significantly more nuanced than your statement implies. And for the record, there's no indication he's pro Russia; Fico is though.

Adam.

27,379 posts

255 months

Thursday 16th May
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redback911 said:
While Ukrainian forces are well-trained and well-armed, a war of attrition where Russia can deploy ten times more troops would be catastrophic.
Well-armed? Isn't the major concern that they are not at all, and are running out of munitions, such that they have little to shoot back with relative to the hordes of Russians shelling the hell out of everything. And they lack AA kit so Russia is able to attack from the air too. Russia seems to have taken advantage of the slow supplies from Europe and the Republcian tts stalling the aid package.

US are worried (sorry if paywall): https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/14/us/politics/rus...

I find a lot of commentary here over-optimistic, but sincerely hope they are right and I am not.



Cheib

23,329 posts

176 months

Thursday 16th May
quotequote all
borcy said:
https://twitter.com/Doktor_Klein/status/1790766793...

Ukraine free to use US weapons to directly target Russia.

Russian airbases hit again

https://twitter.com/Mylovanov/status/1790861735936...
That is a significant change of tune from the US and echoes what Cameron (I think) said recently about UK weapons. Finally seems that the NATO/Supporting countries are really seeing the gravity of the situation and understand that being “worried about escalation” is folly.

Great to see ATACMS being used deep in to Crimea…another S400 battery cops it as well as aircraft, fuel and munitions. Seems like there’s nothing the Russians can do to stop ATACMS, maybe just maybe things might be about to get much more difficult for the Russians. I remember when HIMARS started being used the quoted impact on Russian logistics was huge….ATACMS has twice the range and with the cluster munitions will be more effective I imagine.

Pupp

12,256 posts

273 months

Thursday 16th May
quotequote all
BikeBikeBIke said:
redback911 said:
My bad. I mentioned the 500,000 troops reportedly being amassed on the front line, based on some media reports. I sincerely hope this is just misinformation or propaganda because the alternative would be dire.
You were just out by a factor of 10 - the reported number is 50k. Easy mistake to make. (But significant!)
RUSI mention 510k troops attacking Ukraine along a now extended front; think they’re accepted as being pretty reliable analysts…

https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications...

TheJimi

25,054 posts

244 months

Thursday 16th May
quotequote all
Pupp said:
BikeBikeBIke said:
redback911 said:
My bad. I mentioned the 500,000 troops reportedly being amassed on the front line, based on some media reports. I sincerely hope this is just misinformation or propaganda because the alternative would be dire.
You were just out by a factor of 10 - the reported number is 50k. Easy mistake to make. (But significant!)
RUSI mention 510k troops attacking Ukraine along a now extended front; think they’re accepted as being pretty reliable analysts…

https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications...
Wonder if that will precipitate apologies for some of the more snide response aimed at those mentioning the 500k number.

borcy

3,155 posts

57 months

Thursday 16th May
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Did RUSI assess there was 500k or mention reports from others that there were 500k?

I don't know myself.

Iamnotkloot

1,447 posts

148 months

Thursday 16th May
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Good report in the DT today on the latest offensive

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/05/16/...
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