Premium Bonds - Not a bean for months now!!!!

Premium Bonds - Not a bean for months now!!!!

Author
Discussion

funinhounslow

1,672 posts

143 months

Saturday 6th April
quotequote all
MWM3 said:
Nothing again on max holding.

That's 3 times over the past 6 draws. Something doesn't seem to be stacking up.
But against that we have this

towser44 said:
Winner in Somerset with £100 total holding bought in March 1982. Won £50,000

£250 total holding in Manchester with a £25,000 win

Cambs, £10 total holding bought in 1977 with a £10,000 win

Someone in London with £25 bought in 1958 has won £5,000

Bedfordshire, £21 holding bought in 1967 with a nice £1,000 win

My favourite, Kent, £2 holding bought in December 1968 with a £1,000 win lol
OK a lot of those bonds were purchased some time ago but that £25 bond purchased in 1958 has exactly the same odds of hitting as a similar purchase made in Feb this year.

The odds of a single bond winning are about 21,000/1 so even with a max holding the odd duff month is to be expected. Isn’t this the nature of a random draw?

Edited by funinhounslow on Saturday 6th April 09:09

DSLiverpool

14,790 posts

203 months

Saturday 6th April
quotequote all
I’ve pulled £10k and put it back in, no rhyme or reason but ultimately I want 5 tranches of £10k for no reason other than trying something.

funinhounslow

1,672 posts

143 months

Saturday 6th April
quotequote all
DSLiverpool said:
I’ve pulled £10k and put it back in, no rhyme or reason but ultimately I want 5 tranches of £10k for no reason other than trying something.
By doing that you’ve missed a draw which is much more significant.

It doesn’t matter if your bonds are in one big “lump” or lots of smaller ones - “random” doesn’t mean “equally distributed”

The odds of rolling 1,2 or 3 on a die are the same as 2, 4 or 6…

MWM3

1,764 posts

123 months

Sunday 7th April
quotequote all
funinhounslow said:
OK a lot of those bonds were purchased some time ago but that £25 bond purchased in 1958 has exactly the same odds of hitting as a similar purchase made in Feb this year.

The odds of a single bond winning are about 21,000/1 so even with a max holding the odd duff month is to be expected. Isn’t this the nature of a random draw?

Edited by funinhounslow on Saturday 6th April 09:09
The odd duff draw ... yes.

But 3 out of 6 ... not so much.

Should have won 14.2 prizes with average luck over that time frame and have had 8.





tertius

6,859 posts

231 months

Sunday 7th April
quotequote all
MWM3 said:
The odd duff draw ... yes.

But 3 out of 6 ... not so much.

Should have won 14.2 prizes with average luck over that time frame and have had 8.
A year or two ago I had five blank months in a row on max holdings.

daytonavrs

781 posts

85 months

Sunday 7th April
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toon10 said:
daytonavrs said:
Very poor results so far, on a large sum its 1% so far I calculated.....
can see taking money out to ISA forthcoming
That's below what I'd expect. For reference I've had 35 draws to date on max holdings. I've won on 31 of the 35 occasions and I'm at 5.5% overall. My brother consistently wins more than me although I'm not sure what that equates to percentage wise. I'm up more on my ISA to be fair but the bonds are my emergency fund rather than an investment.
Yeah sorry I should have added for accuracy sake that is for this year only and noticing a distinct drop in wins, far more than their announcement about 4 point something interest it's been better in the past.

northandy

3,496 posts

222 months

Thursday 11th April
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bunchofkeys said:
9 months of nothing so far. What a pile of horse poo.
I was putting 50 a month in when I started… I went 3 years before a prize 😂

£200 on max holding this month

the tribester

2,429 posts

87 months

Friday 12th April
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sunnyb13 said:
another nothing month.

£20k pulled out and into isa. thank you very much,
My wife has done the same. The excitement of the day interest is paid will not match Premium Bond day!

22

2,318 posts

138 months

Friday 12th April
quotequote all
the tribester said:
My wife has done the same. The excitement of the day interest is paid will not match Premium Bond day!
I think this plays a part. I never check how much interest I get on savings - just know that I do (& for tax returns etc). But I always check my premium bonds each month - usually with disappointment, but it's the chance of something better.

Johnnybee

2,289 posts

222 months

Saturday 13th April
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I've won £100 this month but haven't had an email confirming this or the funds paid into my bank account. I know they don't pay out immediately but it's never been this late before. Has this happened to anybody else, before I contact them?

Gtom

1,617 posts

133 months

Saturday 13th April
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We had nothing in February or March but we got £625 on £41k this April.

GTPork

43 posts

40 months

Saturday 13th April
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Johnnybee said:
I've won £100 this month but haven't had an email confirming this or the funds paid into my bank account. I know they don't pay out immediately but it's never been this late before. Has this happened to anybody else, before I contact them?
Mine landed in my account on Tuesday 9th

Prolex-UK

3,075 posts

209 months

Sunday 14th April
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GTPork said:
Johnnybee said:
I've won £100 this month but haven't had an email confirming this or the funds paid into my bank account. I know they don't pay out immediately but it's never been this late before. Has this happened to anybody else, before I contact them?
Mine landed in my account on Tuesday 9th
Same here

Alickadoo

1,764 posts

24 months

Wednesday 1st May
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The big winners for May are out.

https://www.nsandi.com/prize-checker/winners

snoopy25

1,872 posts

121 months

Wednesday 1st May
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Blimey some with holding of £6,300 won £100k! Gives me hope that i'll win something like that with the £5k I have in there biggrin

Even better holding of £2,250 wins £100k further down the list!

J210

4,542 posts

184 months

Wednesday 1st May
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I know they say all bonds are equal but it allways looks like people who invested 50k or a big lump sum win more than people who chipped away

Alickadoo

1,764 posts

24 months

Wednesday 1st May
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snoopy25 said:
Blimey some with holding of £6,300 won £100k! Gives me hope that i'll win something like that with the £5k I have in there biggrin

Even better holding of £2,250 wins £100k further down the list!
£100 won £100,000.

snoopy25

1,872 posts

121 months

Wednesday 1st May
quotequote all
J210 said:
I know they say all bonds are equal but it allways looks like people who invested 50k or a big lump sum win more than people who chipped away
To be fair they have more of a chance of winning with more 'entries' so to speak biggrin

greygoose

8,284 posts

196 months

Wednesday 1st May
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£25,000 on a £12 holding in Wales is a nice return.

Alickadoo

1,764 posts

24 months

Wednesday 1st May
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greygoose said:
£25,000 on a £12 holding in Wales is a nice return.
Yebbut, does that mean you have to live in Wales?