How far will house prices fall [volume 4]

How far will house prices fall [volume 4]

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toohangry

416 posts

111 months

Friday 8th May 2015
quotequote all
Mr Whippy said:
As I've said before, own what you own outright.
rofl

The 6th Century BC called, it wanted it's fiscal policy back.

Mr Whippy

29,150 posts

243 months

Friday 8th May 2015
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p1stonhead said:
And for how many people is that remotely possible unless they have paid off a long mortgage?
I've no idea.

But if they take your owned and saved assets off you (Cyprus), then they can and already do take credit assets off you if you can't pay for them.

You either let things fail, or bail. How will they bail property owners who stretched too far, especially those with multiple properties (not homes)?

Yet more raiding of the people who Cameron recently said, would not be punished for doing the right thing... thinking savers and people without debt here.


I guess it's just a matter of time to see what happens... but we can't just bail out on imaginary money given our private and social economic situation right now!

Dave

gibbon

2,182 posts

209 months

Friday 8th May 2015
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Mr Whippy said:
Prices up, rents up, salaries static, interest rates near zero so no depreciating debt over mortgage lifetimes which normally lets people 'upgrade' (assuming prices don't outrun inflation which they will)

My 2p is that if prices don't crash, then hyperinflation will be round the corner.

As I've said before, own what you own outright. Anything you don't will probably disappear the way the banks operate these days.

Dave
None of this makes any sense imho. I was going to pick it apart, but to be honest i am not sure where to start.


z4RRSchris

11,373 posts

181 months

Friday 8th May 2015
quotequote all
gibbon said:
Mr Whippy said:
Prices up, rents up, salaries static, interest rates near zero so no depreciating debt over mortgage lifetimes which normally lets people 'upgrade' (assuming prices don't outrun inflation which they will)

My 2p is that if prices don't crash, then hyperinflation will be round the corner.

As I've said before, own what you own outright. Anything you don't will probably disappear the way the banks operate these days.

Dave
None of this makes any sense imho. I was going to pick it apart, but to be honest i am not sure where to start.
makes complete sense. either a correction or you inflate your way out

z4RRSchris

11,373 posts

181 months

Friday 8th May 2015
quotequote all
gibbon said:
Mr Whippy said:
Prices up, rents up, salaries static, interest rates near zero so no depreciating debt over mortgage lifetimes which normally lets people 'upgrade' (assuming prices don't outrun inflation which they will)

My 2p is that if prices don't crash, then hyperinflation will be round the corner.

As I've said before, own what you own outright. Anything you don't will probably disappear the way the banks operate these days.

Dave
None of this makes any sense imho. I was going to pick it apart, but to be honest i am not sure where to start.
makes complete sense. either a correction or you inflate your way out

Cheib

23,379 posts

177 months

Sunday 10th May 2015
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thelawnet said:
TheAnimal said:
So, house prices could double again under Conservatives?
Immediate sentiment has to be for another upward whack.

What that will mean in the long term is hard to say.
Spoke to the agent I just sold my place through. He had a house under offer at £4.25mil last week....as soon as the Tories won the seller moved his price up to £4.5mil and the buyer's paid up!

RAFsmoggy

274 posts

127 months

Sunday 10th May 2015
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The US markets are forecasting inflation kicking in around September then we will follow, 1st buyers will again be struggling.

thelawnet

1,539 posts

157 months

Sunday 10th May 2015
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Cheib said:
Spoke to the agent I just sold my place through. He had a house under offer at £4.25mil last week....as soon as the Tories won the seller moved his price up to £4.5mil and the buyer's paid up!
Yes at that price point there must be a huge amount of relief about mansion tax.

For the £425k houses it's not so pronounced.

Ari

19,362 posts

217 months

Sunday 10th May 2015
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
I think the concern is that they've already been playing, rather too much. And potentially they've run out of toys (AKA props).

Magog

2,652 posts

191 months

Thursday 14th May 2015
quotequote all
The surveyors survey of surveyors says things are on the up again.

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/05/13/uk-britai...

tangerine_sedge

4,899 posts

220 months

Thursday 14th May 2015
quotequote all
Magog said:
The surveyors survey of surveyors says things are on the up again.

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/05/13/uk-britai...
I surveyed the surveyors survey of surveyors that the surveyors surveyors supplied, and the surveyors supplied survey of surveyors suprisingly suggested that the surveyors who surveyed for the surveyors survey of surveyors suppose a super surge in spondulicks required to secure a substantial shack.



WCZ

10,584 posts

196 months

Thursday 14th May 2015
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tangerine_sedge said:
I surveyed the surveyors survey of surveyors that the surveyors surveyors supplied, and the surveyors supplied survey of surveyors suprisingly suggested that the surveyors who surveyed for the surveyors survey of surveyors suppose a super surge in spondulicks required to secure a substantial shack.
not sure exactly why but that tickled me and I spat a little bit of coffee out as a result!

robinessex

11,102 posts

183 months

Friday 15th May 2015
quotequote all
Excepting after the end of WW2, no government has/will do anything about housing, other that saying "we will".

Mr Whippy

29,150 posts

243 months

Friday 15th May 2015
quotequote all
z4RRSchris said:
gibbon said:
Mr Whippy said:
Prices up, rents up, salaries static, interest rates near zero so no depreciating debt over mortgage lifetimes which normally lets people 'upgrade' (assuming prices don't outrun inflation which they will)

My 2p is that if prices don't crash, then hyperinflation will be round the corner.

As I've said before, own what you own outright. Anything you don't will probably disappear the way the banks operate these days.

Dave
None of this makes any sense imho. I was going to pick it apart, but to be honest i am not sure where to start.
makes complete sense. either a correction or you inflate your way out
Thanks for agreeing.

I thought it made perfect sense too.

History rhymes and we've seen all this before in one place or another in relatively recent history.


In the end what is the value of anything. Stuff has a price, but value is hard to measure when everything else flaps around so much... or is itself distorted in value by Keynesian economic policy.

Dave

CAPP0

19,676 posts

205 months

Friday 15th May 2015
quotequote all
According to a few recent local sales and others which have recently gone on the market, our house in Kent is worth c.30% more than we paid 4 years ago - in fact there are a couple of houses the same as ours up for sale which if they sell at or near the asking price will mean they have achieved nearly 40% over what we paid.

I know someone who sold a small one-bed flat in SW11 in December, they had owned it about 8 or 9 years and the sale price was not far off double what they paid.

Mr Whippy

29,150 posts

243 months

Friday 15th May 2015
quotequote all
So the next house you're looking to buy likely costs a similar amount more, plus more fees and taxes, leaving you no better off unless you're downgrading.

While an entire generation has basically been pushed entirely out of reasonably priced housing.

I can't see any problems with it hehe


They should have let the lot crash in 2008. This almost decade of stupidity is going to cost almost all of us more in the long run!

Sheepshanks

33,191 posts

121 months

Friday 15th May 2015
quotequote all
CAPP0 said:
I know someone who sold a small one-bed flat in SW11 in December, they had owned it about 8 or 9 years and the sale price was not far off double what they paid.
Are you sure it's only doubled? It must be compromised in some way or they way over-paid. Average price in SW11 have at least trebled in that time.

Ari

19,362 posts

217 months

Thursday 4th June 2015
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What have average wages done in that time..?

Thankyou4calling

10,643 posts

175 months

Thursday 4th June 2015
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https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=...

Average house prices are close to 2007 peak according to land registry.

So it's taken 8 years.

Whilst many on PH espouse price rises in the South East and other hotspots the national picture is pretty grim.

Ilovejapcrap

3,287 posts

114 months

Thursday 4th June 2015
quotequote all
I'm in yorkshire my house is worth what I paid about 8 yrs ago.
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