The economic consequences of Brexit

The economic consequences of Brexit

Poll: The economic consequences of Brexit

Total Members Polled: 732

Far worse off than EU countries.: 15%
A bit worse off than if we'd stayed in.: 35%
A bit better off than if we'd stayed in.: 41%
Roughly as rich as the Swiss.: 10%
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Author
Discussion

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Ghibli said:
don4l said:
Nothing could be simpler.

If the exchange rate is £1.00= €1.30, then your Spanish customer is paying €26.00 per item. You make £90.00

The rate drops to £1.00 = €1.10.

€26.00 is now worth £23.63. Your income is now 9*£23.63 = £212.72.

You have made £112.72.

That is £22.72 more than you made when the Pound was worth €1.30.

I know that we are largely anonymous on here, but shouldn't you do the most basic of checks before asking such ridiculuous questions?
How does this work if my customer is paying me in sterling ?

I haven't mentioned being paid in euros.
Precisely. It's a different example now.

I would also question the wisdom of selling and being paid in EUR when your overheads and outgoings (eg payroll, building costs, taxes, etc) have to be paid in GBP. You're rather exposed to FX movements.

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Dr Jekyll said:
Then you can raise the sterling price knowing that it's the same price for the customers point of view because sterling is cheaper than before.
Should I do the same with my UK customer to cover my loss. Obviously it will cost him more using sterling.

RYH64E

7,960 posts

245 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Dr Jekyll said:
There is because you can choose to reduce the Euro price a bit and still make say £11.36 more profit per item than when the pound was worth 1.10.
Components and raw materials are increasing in price, anything imported is costing more because of the weakness of the pound (primarily against the USD), and even UK sourced products are costing more because those suppliers typically import raw materials or components, there's little room for price cuts for most of us. When the increased costs begin to feed through into higher shop prices there will be upward pressure on wages as well.

don4l

10,058 posts

177 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Ghibli said:
don4l said:
Nothing could be simpler.

If the exchange rate is £1.00= €1.30, then your Spanish customer is paying €26.00 per item. You make £90.00

The rate drops to £1.00 = €1.10.

€26.00 is now worth £23.63. Your income is now 9*£23.63 = £212.72.

You have made £112.72.

That is £22.72 more than you made when the Pound was worth €1.30.

I know that we are largely anonymous on here, but shouldn't you do the most basic of checks before asking such ridiculuous questions?
How does this work if my customer is paying me in sterling ?

I haven't mentioned being paid in euros.
Jesus Christ!

You have a Spanish customer who trades in Sterling?

Go away!

Dr Jekyll

Original Poster:

23,820 posts

262 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Ghibli said:
Dr Jekyll said:
Then you can raise the sterling price knowing that it's the same price for the customers point of view because sterling is cheaper than before.
Should I do the same with my UK customer to cover my loss. Obviously it will cost him more using sterling.
There is likely to be a small amount of inflation yes, which doesn't affect the argument.

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
don4l said:
Jesus Christ!

You have a Spanish customer who trades in Sterling?

Go away!
He came to me and it's my currency.

Would he only trade in sterling if I bought from him.

Dr Jekyll

Original Poster:

23,820 posts

262 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
Components and raw materials are increasing in price, anything imported is costing more because of the weakness of the pound (primarily against the USD), and even UK sourced products are costing more because those suppliers typically import raw materials or components, there's little room for price cuts for most of us. When the increased costs begin to feed through into higher shop prices there will be upward pressure on wages as well.
But you don't export something for exactly the price of the imported materials used to produce it. Part of the selling price covers UK salaries and overheads, so the increase in cost is less than the fall in the exchange rate.

In the early 1980s a strong pound caused great problems for UK manufacturers, despite the fact that their imports were cheaper their UK costs often made it impossible to sell abroad for a competitive price. Similarly a weak pound unarguably makes exports more competitive.

don4l

10,058 posts

177 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Ghibli said:
don4l said:
Jesus Christ!

You have a Spanish customer who trades in Sterling?

Go away!
He came to me and it's my currency.

Would he only trade in sterling if I bought from him.
If he is in Spain then he trades in Euros.

If you are in the UK then you trade in Pounds.

You are spouting utter ste!

What age are you?


catso

14,798 posts

268 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
don4l said:
If he is in Spain then he trades in Euros.

If you are in the UK then you trade in Pounds.

You are spouting utter ste!

What age are you?
But if the Spanish customer buys from a UK company then he will pay in Pounds, at least my few overseas (including EU) customers do as that's what I invoice them in.

As an aside I have a Swiss supplier who invoices me in USD so not everyone uses their home currency.


anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
don4l said:
If you are in the UK then you trade in Pounds.
Yes, that's the point that is being made against you.

UK supplier, prices in GBP, sells in GBP, receives GBP.

If the UK supplier sells in EUR then movements of GBP to EUR are irrelevant to the sales side of the business. They may affect the purchase side, but that's not what you're focusing on.

Dr Jekyll

Original Poster:

23,820 posts

262 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Greg66 said:
Yes, that's the point that is being made against you.

UK supplier, prices in GBP, sells in GBP, receives GBP.

If the UK supplier sells in EUR then movements of GBP to EUR are irrelevant to the sales side of the business. They may affect the purchase side, but that's not what you're focusing on.
They are relevant because once you've got the Euros you can buy more GBP with them, so you are better off than before. Or you can lower your price to get the same GBP you started with, or somewhere in between.

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Ultimately the answer appears to be, ditch sterling and use the Euro or any other strong currency.

How very brexit.

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Ghibli said:
Ultimately the answer appears to be, ditch sterling and use the Euro or any other strong currency.

How very brexit.
To what question is that the answer to?

RYH64E

7,960 posts

245 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
catso said:
don4l said:
If he is in Spain then he trades in Euros.

If you are in the UK then you trade in Pounds.

You are spouting utter ste!

What age are you?
But if the Spanish customer buys from a UK company then he will pay in Pounds, at least my few overseas (including EU) customers do as that's what I invoice them in.

As an aside I have a Swiss supplier who invoices me in USD so not everyone uses their home currency.
My EU customers mostly pay in EUR, my RotW customers pay in either GBP or USD (USD preferably). Without exception, my non-EU suppliers want paying in USD regardless of what their domestic currency may be. As a consequence I have to run GBP, USD and EUR bank accounts.

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
Ghibli said:
Ultimately the answer appears to be, ditch sterling and use the Euro or any other strong currency.

How very brexit.
To what question is that the answer to?
How do I fk my economy and have 50% youth unemployment?

williamp

19,280 posts

274 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
as an aside, you can also get currency accounts, so a Uk based business can have, say a Euro account if they do a lot of work in the eurozone, they can buy and sell without messing with the exchange rate.

CaptainSlow

13,179 posts

213 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
Ghibli said:
Ultimately the answer appears to be, ditch sterling and use the Euro or any other strong currency.

How very brexit.
No the answer is you raise your sterling price to match the original Euro equivalent or keep it the same and have a lower Euro equivalent and get an increase in volume.

Ditching sterling for the Euro would be a complete disaster, ask Italy, Spain or Greece.

RYH64E

7,960 posts

245 months

Sunday 28th August 2016
quotequote all
CaptainSlow said:
Ditching sterling for the Euro would be a complete disaster, ask Italy, Spain or Greece.
Or Germany...

London424

12,829 posts

176 months

Monday 29th August 2016
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
CaptainSlow said:
Ditching sterling for the Euro would be a complete disaster, ask Italy, Spain or Greece.
Or Germany...
Am I due a parrot or have I massively misunderstood things?

davepoth

29,395 posts

200 months

Monday 29th August 2016
quotequote all
CaptainSlow said:
Greg66 said:
davepoth said:
Greg66 said:
don4l said:
Ghibli said:
If I buy ten units from Taiwan for £100 then sell them to Spain for £200 I make £100.

If the pound loses 10%

I buy nine units from Taiwan for £100 then sell them to Spain for £180 I make £80

Is this right ?
No.


Think it through.

Why did you drop your price the second time?
He didn't. Sale price per unit in both examples is £20.
So he'd buy 10 units for £110 and sell them for £200, making £90. However, the price to the customer in Spain has dropped by 10%, some might say unnecessarily. If you were selling to Spain in Euros the price would stay the same but you'd get 10% more Euros back, more than covering the original purchase cost.
In the example, you're not.
In that case a lower price leads to a volume increase so you earn lower margins but increase the volume.
Yup. Either you're invoicing in Euros in which case you make more margin on the value you add to the product, or you invoice in pounds, either giving the customer a discount or upping the price so that your margin is preserved.

The critical point here is that a cheap pound makes every penny of value added to a product that's subsequently exported worth more than it previously did. That's why a cheap pound is good for export.
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