Will Brown give Argentina the Falklands?

Will Brown give Argentina the Falklands?

Poll: Will Brown give Argentina the Falklands?

Total Members Polled: 527

Yes: He will and rightly so: 3%
Yes: He will because he is a t*at: 17%
No: He won't but should: 1%
No: Not even Brown is that stupid: 20%
He had better f***ing Not: 59%
Author
Discussion

Los Palmas 7

29,908 posts

231 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
Alfa_75_Steve said:
Their main attack aircraft is still the Pucara, which was proven to be pretty damned useless against Sea Harriers last time out

rhinochopig

17,932 posts

199 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
Alfa_75_Steve said:
We still have 2 operational carriers, and Invincible has been mothballed in such a way she could be re-activated if we needed her.

Long range bombing was largely ineffective last time round, so the loss of the Vulcans isn't even an issue.

Ground forces could be an issue - but there again, we'd need less of them these days as the technology gap between us and the Argies has grown to a great extent over the last 25 years - cruise missiles could easily take care of the kind of mission planned for the Vulcans last time.

The airport is now upgraded to a standard needed to operate fast jets - which would give us a considerable advantage over last time, as once we had control of that, we could fly anything we wanted from there.

However, I don't think they'd even try it again - we now have fast jets permanently stationed on the islands - not many, granted, but enough to see off any sea-based attack before it happened - especially as their rather ancient 'fleet' of aircraft are operating right at the outer edge of their capabilities just to reach the islands - leaving them very little chance of hanging around for a proper fight.

In fact, looking at their aerial resources, they'd be buggered before it all kicked off.

Their main attack aircraft is still the Pucara, which was proven to be pretty damned useless against Sea Harriers last time out, their Daggers / Fingers are all mothballed, and only 10 Skyhawks are operational. Given that the Israelis and the Americans wouldn't be providing spares to them for these ancient aircraft, the chances of them risking them to fight us is exceptionally minimal, I'd have thought.

They do, however, have a whole 3 submarines these days......
They've also got 7 Mig 29s. It'll be interesting to see how the harrier does against them.

MrV

2,748 posts

229 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
The question is Winky desperate enough to want to stay in power ?

I am not sure if he has the guile to do it but winning the Falklands back was enough to keep the Tories in ,so a few quiet words behind the scenes saying how we wouldn't be bothered to do anything if they invaded again and hay presto Falklands invasion II,WMFN gets a war we can win and a ticket back into office for another 4 yrs

james_tigerwoods

16,289 posts

198 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
s2art said:
james_tigerwoods said:
s2art said:
james_tigerwoods said:
s2art said:
How? Any build up and there will be subs lurking.
A "surprise" attack - would be in and there far quicker than we can react. The subs would have to be retasked and they wouldn't be able to do anything about an Argentinian rapid deployment force that was airlifted in. The subs would also have to be given effective ROE - which, I think, would need a declaration of war.
Nonsense. We would get wind of any build up. Airlifted in against the defences already on the Falklands? Pull the other one. Argentina just doesnt have the capability.
Would we? Are there sufficient intelligence assets in place? Would we be able to organise, plan and have those resources in place before the Argentinians - bearing in mind the airlift capability would have to be retasked from the other theaters of "war" to there - I'm not sure there would be enough aircraft/military war materials to be able to do it.

Well, I think it'd be possible, but it would not be easy.

I'd like to think the US would get involved, but, let's be honest - they wouldn't. Would they?
WE already have Tornados/Typhoons there. Plus missiles, weapons, several hundred men, A VC10 for air to air refuelling, helicopters etc.
And I am very sure we have sufficient intelligence, some from the USA, to detect any build-up.
I guess that might deter them, but I think the main deterrent, tragically, might be weight of world opinion - it'd be down to a UN resolution to decide how to handle it ultimately.

I'm getting off my soapbox now - Goodnight Seattle...

Alfa_75_Steve

7,489 posts

201 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
s2art said:
james_tigerwoods said:
s2art said:
How? Any build up and there will be subs lurking.
A "surprise" attack - would be in and there far quicker than we can react. The subs would have to be retasked and they wouldn't be able to do anything about an Argentinian rapid deployment force that was airlifted in. The subs would also have to be given effective ROE - which, I think, would need a declaration of war.
Nonsense. We would get wind of any build up. Airlifted in against the defences already on the Falklands? Pull the other one. Argentina just doesnt have the capability.
Well, they could drop a lot of troops in from the back of Hercules, but the problem with that is that our fast jet cover would be scrambled as soon as they enter the 'exclusion zone' - not good for the prospects of slow, unarmed aircraft - especially as they only have Pucaras or a handful of Skyhawks as cover, versus 4 Typhoons.

We also have 2 subs in the area, plus a Type 42 Destroyer and a River Class Patrol Vessel.

I don't think they'd be able to catch us out like they did 25 years back.

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
rhinochopig said:
Alfa_75_Steve said:
We still have 2 operational carriers, and Invincible has been mothballed in such a way she could be re-activated if we needed her.

Long range bombing was largely ineffective last time round, so the loss of the Vulcans isn't even an issue.

Ground forces could be an issue - but there again, we'd need less of them these days as the technology gap between us and the Argies has grown to a great extent over the last 25 years - cruise missiles could easily take care of the kind of mission planned for the Vulcans last time.

The airport is now upgraded to a standard needed to operate fast jets - which would give us a considerable advantage over last time, as once we had control of that, we could fly anything we wanted from there.

However, I don't think they'd even try it again - we now have fast jets permanently stationed on the islands - not many, granted, but enough to see off any sea-based attack before it happened - especially as their rather ancient 'fleet' of aircraft are operating right at the outer edge of their capabilities just to reach the islands - leaving them very little chance of hanging around for a proper fight.

In fact, looking at their aerial resources, they'd be buggered before it all kicked off.

Their main attack aircraft is still the Pucara, which was proven to be pretty damned useless against Sea Harriers last time out, their Daggers / Fingers are all mothballed, and only 10 Skyhawks are operational. Given that the Israelis and the Americans wouldn't be providing spares to them for these ancient aircraft, the chances of them risking them to fight us is exceptionally minimal, I'd have thought.

They do, however, have a whole 3 submarines these days......
They've also got 7 Mig 29s. It'll be interesting to see how the harrier does against them.
Against Typhoons if they try it, rather than Harriers.

Ordinary_Chap

7,520 posts

244 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
james_tigerwoods said:
s2art said:
james_tigerwoods said:
s2art said:
How? Any build up and there will be subs lurking.
A "surprise" attack - would be in and there far quicker than we can react. The subs would have to be retasked and they wouldn't be able to do anything about an Argentinian rapid deployment force that was airlifted in. The subs would also have to be given effective ROE - which, I think, would need a declaration of war.
Nonsense. We would get wind of any build up. Airlifted in against the defences already on the Falklands? Pull the other one. Argentina just doesnt have the capability.
Would we? Are there sufficient intelligence assets in place? Would we be able to organise, plan and have those resources in place before the Argentinians - bearing in mind the airlift capability would have to be retasked from the other theaters of "war" to there - I'm not sure there would be enough aircraft/military war materials to be able to do it.

Well, I think it'd be possible, but it would not be easy.

I'd like to think the US would get involved, but, let's be honest - they wouldn't. Would they?
We are better set this time around to deal with any invasion.

After their first attempt I seriously don't think they would have a crack since all of the odds this time around are distinctly in our favor.

Alfa_75_Steve

7,489 posts

201 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
Do they have MIG 29s? - The wiki pages for the MIG and for the Argentine air force don't mention it.

I know wiki may well be wrong, though.

rhinochopig

17,932 posts

199 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
s2art said:
rhinochopig said:
Alfa_75_Steve said:
We still have 2 operational carriers, and Invincible has been mothballed in such a way she could be re-activated if we needed her.

Long range bombing was largely ineffective last time round, so the loss of the Vulcans isn't even an issue.

Ground forces could be an issue - but there again, we'd need less of them these days as the technology gap between us and the Argies has grown to a great extent over the last 25 years - cruise missiles could easily take care of the kind of mission planned for the Vulcans last time.

The airport is now upgraded to a standard needed to operate fast jets - which would give us a considerable advantage over last time, as once we had control of that, we could fly anything we wanted from there.

However, I don't think they'd even try it again - we now have fast jets permanently stationed on the islands - not many, granted, but enough to see off any sea-based attack before it happened - especially as their rather ancient 'fleet' of aircraft are operating right at the outer edge of their capabilities just to reach the islands - leaving them very little chance of hanging around for a proper fight.

In fact, looking at their aerial resources, they'd be buggered before it all kicked off.

Their main attack aircraft is still the Pucara, which was proven to be pretty damned useless against Sea Harriers last time out, their Daggers / Fingers are all mothballed, and only 10 Skyhawks are operational. Given that the Israelis and the Americans wouldn't be providing spares to them for these ancient aircraft, the chances of them risking them to fight us is exceptionally minimal, I'd have thought.

They do, however, have a whole 3 submarines these days......
They've also got 7 Mig 29s. It'll be interesting to see how the harrier does against them.
Against Typhoons if they try it, rather than Harriers.
Typhoons can't be carrier launched (at the moment), so how would they get there?

Morningside

24,111 posts

230 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
I suspect he will, publicly apologise for taking it from them in the first place and as a gesture of goodwill give them £2999 million for aid and development.
Oh, and then tell all the residents to fk off, but bunging them a £10 note for their trouble.

Alfa_75_Steve

7,489 posts

201 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
rhinochopig said:
Typhoons can't be carrier launched (at the moment), so how would they get there?
We already have 4 on the ground over there.

If we did lose out to an invasion force, the main priority would be to get back hold of the air base, then we could ship aircraft over on container ships, as we did first time around.

Anyway, the GR9s on the Invincible class carriers are vastly more capable fighters and ground attack aircraft than the old Sea Harriers were - and we now have significantly better AEW cover from Sea Kings, and better 'goal keeper' capabilities, which negates some of the need for Sea Harrier capabilities.

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
rhinochopig said:
s2art said:
rhinochopig said:
Alfa_75_Steve said:
We still have 2 operational carriers, and Invincible has been mothballed in such a way she could be re-activated if we needed her.

Long range bombing was largely ineffective last time round, so the loss of the Vulcans isn't even an issue.

Ground forces could be an issue - but there again, we'd need less of them these days as the technology gap between us and the Argies has grown to a great extent over the last 25 years - cruise missiles could easily take care of the kind of mission planned for the Vulcans last time.

The airport is now upgraded to a standard needed to operate fast jets - which would give us a considerable advantage over last time, as once we had control of that, we could fly anything we wanted from there.

However, I don't think they'd even try it again - we now have fast jets permanently stationed on the islands - not many, granted, but enough to see off any sea-based attack before it happened - especially as their rather ancient 'fleet' of aircraft are operating right at the outer edge of their capabilities just to reach the islands - leaving them very little chance of hanging around for a proper fight.

In fact, looking at their aerial resources, they'd be buggered before it all kicked off.

Their main attack aircraft is still the Pucara, which was proven to be pretty damned useless against Sea Harriers last time out, their Daggers / Fingers are all mothballed, and only 10 Skyhawks are operational. Given that the Israelis and the Americans wouldn't be providing spares to them for these ancient aircraft, the chances of them risking them to fight us is exceptionally minimal, I'd have thought.

They do, however, have a whole 3 submarines these days......
They've also got 7 Mig 29s. It'll be interesting to see how the harrier does against them.
Against Typhoons if they try it, rather than Harriers.
Typhoons can't be carrier launched (at the moment), so how would they get there?
I am not sure if they are there yet, they are replacing Tornados sometime about now. How do they get there. Fly AFAIK.

mel

10,168 posts

276 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
james_tigerwoods said:
s2art said:
How? Any build up and there will be subs lurking.
A "surprise" attack - would be in and there far quicker than we can react. The subs would have to be retasked and they wouldn't be able to do anything about an Argentinian rapid deployment force that was airlifted in. The subs would also have to be given effective ROE - which, I think, would need a declaration of war.
That shows a complete and utter lack of understanding and knowledge for the resources that we constantly hold on station, apart from MPA which has nearly 100 times the number of marines present last time, we have a submarine constantly on station and a guard ship normally in or around the the area, fast air is stationed at MPA along with some rotary, substantial quantities of ground to air missiles, and a small quantity of light armour. We've also got several mountain sites that keep a nice "eye" on the Argentinians each with a couple of hundred personel on and then a scattering of dispersed forces around the islands. I honestly believe that if an attempt was made to land it could and would be repelled before any sort of beach head could be established, along with the fact that reinforcments could be on station within 48 hours which is quicker than any task force could reach the islands from the main land (contry to popular belief they're not as close to Argentina as the Isle of Wight is to Portsmouth!)

Oh and it's not really big news anyway the Argies have never relented on their claim and for the last 20 odd years their special forces have frequently been popping over to have a look, at one point it was almost joked about that they treated the islands as a training area! Oh and as for the declaration of war and the ROE stuff earlier that's just complete b0ll0x, every serviceman on the islands is very aware of their ROE in standing orders, and at any time if you deploy out of MPA or Stanley (not just zipping between the two) you do so with weapons and ammunition.

sone

4,591 posts

239 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
Good Grief morn Broon bashing aint you lot bored yet!. God only knows what would happen if he did actually say something. You lot are at Defcon 4 already shoot

mel

10,168 posts

276 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
Actually maybe I ought to change that to "we might have a submarine there all time" you see that's the beauty of them, once they leave the UK no one apart from a very select few know where the fook they are including all of Argentina, and do remember they're Navy are still very much once bitten twice shy when it comes to our sub surface capability!

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
mel said:
Actually maybe I ought to change that to "we might have a submarine there all time" you see that's the beauty of them, once they leave the UK no one apart from a very select few know where the fook they are including all of Argentina, and do remember they're Navy are still very much once bitten twice shy when it comes to our sub surface capability!
I am pretty sure that if there looked to be anything brewing then more than one sub would be lurking there.

kong

596 posts

213 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
sone said:
Good Grief morn Broon bashing aint you lot bored yet!. God only knows what would happen if he did actually say something. You lot are at Defcon 4 already shoot
Looks like we've got a live one folks......

Martial Arts Man

6,603 posts

187 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
The US and the Argies are pretty tied together these days, no?

I was under the impression that this was the case; therefore, it follows that any military action by Malvinas-huners would have to be approved by the big O in Washington.....

There must be some smaller, S.American country that nobody cares about that they can have a pop at if they need a war I would have thought.

james_tigerwoods

16,289 posts

198 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
mel said:
That shows a complete and utter lack of understanding and knowledge for the resources that we constantly hold on station
I never claimed full knowledge, merely playing devil's advocate

Tyre_Tread

10,539 posts

217 months

Wednesday 25th March 2009
quotequote all
JonRB said:
We wouldn't have a chance in hell of mounting a task force like we had in 1982. And even back then it was a bit dodgy with an Aircraft Carrier nicked from under the noses of the decommissioning crew and some long-range bombers that were earmarked for the junk heap (I do miss the Vulcan)

Edited by JonRB on Wednesday 25th March 17:38
We still have one Vulcan flying (just).

Might be a bit tight though based upon the Black Buck Mission and the book about it.