Climate change - the POLITICAL debate. Vol 3

Climate change - the POLITICAL debate. Vol 3

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zygalski

7,759 posts

147 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
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durbster said:
The double standards are very obvious. Arguments are repeated on both sides in here, yet you only call one side for it. Science is posted by both sides, yet you only call one side for it. There is nobody more relentlessly repetitive than TB, yet you don't call him on it.

That's your double standards at play.


br d

8,410 posts

228 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
zygalski said:
durbster said:
The double standards are very obvious. Arguments are repeated on both sides in here, yet you only call one side for it. Science is posted by both sides, yet you only call one side for it. There is nobody more relentlessly repetitive than TB, yet you don't call him on it.

That's your double standards at play.
Off topic but that has to be the most mis-used meme on PH. Surely that's ironic clapping?

zygalski

7,759 posts

147 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
br d said:
zygalski said:
durbster said:
The double standards are very obvious. Arguments are repeated on both sides in here, yet you only call one side for it. Science is posted by both sides, yet you only call one side for it. There is nobody more relentlessly repetitive than TB, yet you don't call him on it.

That's your double standards at play.
Off topic but that has to be the most mis-used meme on PH. Surely that's ironic clapping?
I see it more as a very serious dose of the claps.

don4l

10,058 posts

178 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
durbster said:
don4l said:
You seem to be saying that we should believe the experts. There doesn't appear to be anything else in your posst.

Why do you think that the Royal Society adopted the phrase "Nullius in verba" back in the 1650s?

Were they wrong?

Or... are you wrong?
Ugh, not this again.

That quote basically means "don't believe anything from an authority unless they can prove it scientifically".
It means "Don't believe anything". Take nothing by word.

Even if you never studied Latin, it should be obvious what "nullius in verba" means.

It is both succinct and clear.

They chose it as a motto for very good reasons. They realised that every scientist in history had been wrong about everything. They were bright enough to understand that they were unlikely to be the first generation who were right about everything.


Kepler accurately described the motion of the planets. After 100 years no one had found any fault with his theories, so they called them Kepler's Laws.

Then along came Newton, who noticed that Kepler hadn't noticed that the mass of the Sun seemed to play an important role in the motion of the planets. In fact, the mass of the planets themselves were also involved(along with the mass of the asteroids, comets and anything else in the vicinity).

Newton's theories went unchallenged for more than 100 years, so they became known as "Laws".

Then along came an unqualified scientist who proposed a revelotionary new theory that involved bendy time. Of course, lots of people mocked him. After all, he wasn't a qualified physicist. He was just a patent clerk.

12 years after Einstein published his theories, a total eclipse occurred. Many scientsts gathered to prove that Einstein was wrong. They knew that the starlight would not get bent by the gravitational effects of the Sun. As it turned out, the starlight did get bent.

This did not mean that Einstein was right. It just meant that he wasn't wrong.

How long do you think it will take to prove that Einstein, like Newton and Kepler and yourself, is just wrong?



LongQ

13,864 posts

235 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
durbster said:
The double standards are very obvious. Arguments are repeated on both sides in here, yet you only call one side for it. Science is posted by both sides, yet you only call one side for it. There is nobody more relentlessly repetitive than TB, yet you don't call him on it.

That's your double standards at play.

Edited by durbster on Sunday 4th September 12:45
So, durbster, take all your science related posts to the science thread and you will solve your own problem.

Read what I wrote again.

I have repeatedly, presumably on those pages you have not managed to read, suggested that keeping the science and politics as separate discussions would be better and clearer for everyone. It seems that many disagree.

I note that, despite the constant stream of science references from yourself and others in this thread, the Science thread has, until today, been dormant for some months.

It's there, has a lot of content, so why don't you use it?

I'm sure you would get just as much attention over there as you do here. Possibly more if that's what you seek.

Meanwhile, unlike other places, you are welcome to post things with a political slant here and then maybe we can go round in circles arguing politics as politics rather then science as politics.

Remember, I have no control over this thread. Along with everyone else I can express opinions and certainly opinions about which content is likely to be the most beneficial to the headline subject. Others may agree or disagree.

One way or another you end yup with two platforms rather than one - double the exposure!

I think you will find that long term regular readers and posters - any over about 4 months - will recall a number of times that have suggested this separation of content and will sometimes nod towards the recommendation in their posts.

It seem you and one or two others want to deal with things differently - to the extent you have bypassed the "Science" thread since at least March of this year.

Why?

Why post here demanding answers on a science subject (mainly by whining if nobody replies to something that has already been discussed to an irrecoverable point of polarisation of opinions) and then whinge when it is pointed out to you that there is another thread for such matters to be discussed?

Is it simply to sucker people into providing answers you disagree with so you can then post criticisms about double standards?


To everyone:


Maybe we could try an experiment of self regulation and work out an agreed process by which posts that are clearly primarily "science" oriented are transferred to the Science thread for any further discussion.

I suppose this is something we should consider from time to time.

It seems to me one of those times is now.

Ridgemont

6,655 posts

133 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
zygalski said:
br d said:
zygalski said:
durbster said:
The double standards are very obvious. Arguments are repeated on both sides in here, yet you only call one side for it. Science is posted by both sides, yet you only call one side for it. There is nobody more relentlessly repetitive than TB, yet you don't call him on it.

That's your double standards at play.
Off topic but that has to be the most mis-used meme on PH. Surely that's ironic clapping?
I see it more as a very serious dose of the claps.
Learn something new every day smile From knowyourmeme:

site said:
Citizen Kane Clap

In 2005, a poster on the Straight Dope forums[3] noted that the slow clap first appeared on film in the 1941 film Citizen Kane. During the film, Orson Welles’ character Charles Kane is attempting to start a round of applause for his wife after a poorly received opera performance, but he is the only person clapping (shown below). Though Kane’s intention was to cheer on his wife, it came off as a person fiercely applauding a dreadful display. The GIF has since become one of the most well-known clapping GIFs online and has been used since as early as December 2007.
So yes, there's some misuse going on smile


Randy Winkman

16,513 posts

191 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
durbster said:
The double standards are very obvious. Arguments are repeated on both sides in here, yet you only call one side for it. Science is posted by both sides, yet you only call one side for it. There is nobody more relentlessly repetitive than TB, yet you don't call him on it.

That's your double standards at play.

Edited by durbster on Sunday 4th September 12:45
But TB has been officially sanctioned by PH to post science on climate change threads. laugh

zygalski

7,759 posts

147 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
I get all my best climate change info from Pistonheads, same as I look to mumsnet for advice about men's rights.

turbobloke

104,579 posts

262 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
zygalski said:
I get all my best climate change info from Pistonheads...
You'll get a more rounded view than from any believer blog.

However I have to disagree with the above sentiment due to the evidence available in terms of your post content (insults, strawmen and rhetorical devices).

Randy Winkman said:
But TB has been officially sanctioned by PH to post science on climate change threads. laugh
Have I? That's cool. Thanks for the notification. Even so, I'll respond in the best way as I see fit at each point; if for example we see more political activism from supposedly scientific organisations and there's data available to show how the activism is distorting reality, that's fair game.

I appreciate that your good self and the faithful side have nothing to offer in return, apart from playing the man not the ball, but that's useful in itself as it demonstrates the emptiness of a position that's not based on empirical data, but politics. The raison d'etre of this thread, in fact.

turbobloke

104,579 posts

262 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
LongQ said:
I think you will find that long term regular readers and posters - any over about 4 months - will recall a number of times that have suggested this separation of content and will sometimes nod towards the recommendation in their posts.
Quite so but as indicated in a recent post, when political activism distorts reality, posting reality in response to political activism seems justified. As OP you have from time to time noted in your own posts that it isn't always clear-cut where material should be posted, and I suspect that a relaxed approach is the most reasonable.

There are various mechanisms by which the faith side try to close down debate, as happens in e.g. CIF and RC, and this is one of them. A reasonable proportion of the papers linked to on PH climate threads, including this thread when for example it exposes political activism within the pseudoscience/junkscience of pro-AGW organisations, won't be found in other locations including IPCC reports as the IPCC isn't about presenting a balanced review, it's about advocacy, and their faithful disciples will follow suit at any opportunity and oppose open discussion including relevant information that represents heresy against their doctrine.

There will be (is) a follow-up action focusing on individuals, playing the man not the ball, partly as another attempt to stifle debate, and partly because they have nothing else to offer. This also mirrors the wider position where heretics opposing the new religion are attacked on a personal level.

robinessex

11,103 posts

183 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
For what it’s worth.

What is the fundamental point we (all) are discussing ? Answer. The temperature of the planet. All agree? So, ignoring the erroneous word average for convenience, I think all would accept that as earths climate is a chaotic system, being influenced by an almost infinite number of factors, the temp will NEVER remain constant. Following on from that statement, the inevitable question. Is it better for it to go up, or down ? Until we get that sorted, everything else is irrelevant. And to show what a nice fair chap I am, I invite Mr Durbster to provide the answer. And why as well.

dickymint

24,685 posts

260 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
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turbobloke

104,579 posts

262 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
dickymint said:
hehe

Buy Damart and candles.

Politics...by way of illustration, in terms of the point I made earlier about the overlap which arises in this thread between politics and science, try a Google search for NASA Earth's Energy Budget with no quotes and don't select an image search as the interesting thing is what's shown in the 'Images for NASA Earth's Energy Budget' strip.

These two images appear, one of them multiple times (the new one) and one only once (the old one). In fact there are various versions of the 'new' budget. Take these - below - as illustrations, which can be found from the above search on both NASA webpages and on other sites discussing the images.

NASA OLD ENERGY BUDGET


NASA NEW BUDGET


The old energy budget depicts 41% of the energy leaving the planet's surface as radiation, whereas the new energy budget has 79% of the energy as radiation. That change involves a factor of almost two, or if you prefer, an error of almost 100% in one of the depictions.

Was this change the result of some new observational science in such basic concepts...or was it to secure agreement with the Kiehl-Trenberth model (IPCC) which uses 79%...it's make-your-mind-up-time.

By which I also mean, is it science or politics.

In fact both are baloney but that may be for another thread depending on who's calling the shots wink however as any independent observer will note, a change of ~100% hardly reflects secure 'science'.

Somebody with time on their hands might want to do a bit of looking into some sound science around the proportion of energy likely to be lost via radiation from a white-hot bar of metal (say 1500 deg C) on the ground under air, compared to the ground itself some way away from the bar and therefore not heated by it (say 15 deg C).

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

257 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
zygalski said:
I get all my best climate change info from Pistonheads, same as I look to mumsnet for advice about men's rights.
Ho Ho Ho

You ought to do stand up. You're wasted here.

LongQ

13,864 posts

235 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
The apparent precision to .1 is interesting as are the last two sentences in the box at top right of the "new" graphically enhanced version.

However I'm struggling to make sense of the direct comparisons of apparent incoming and outgoing energy between the two of them. It does not help that one is in % and the other in Wm² and at first glance the values of the various components annotated do not appear to be directly comparable.

Why is the "greenhouse gases" back radiation almost the same value as the total incoming solar radiation?

The credits go to Loeb et al, 2009 and Trenberth et al, 2009 but the artistic work presumably is down to someone else.

It's one of those diagrams that seems to be intended to be clever and look nice in a way that means it will not be questioned by the average viewer.

As such it does indeed seem to have at least one foot in the political camp. For now I will assume that the other is in the science camp but I'm not really certain of that. It could have been presented much more clearly given the graphics capability employed. Not too difficult to include percentages and IN/OUT colour coding for example.

dickymint

24,685 posts

260 months

Sunday 4th September 2016
quotequote all
The BBC says - good news Pandas now off the endangered list. Yayy bounce ......... bad news climate change is due to wipe out 30% of their Bamboo :booooo: rofl

Randy Winkman

16,513 posts

191 months

Monday 5th September 2016
quotequote all
mybrainhurts said:
zygalski said:
I get all my best climate change info from Pistonheads, same as I look to mumsnet for advice about men's rights.
Ho Ho Ho

You ought to do stand up. You're wasted here.
I'd say it's a fair point. This is a car enthusiasts website. And the wonder of the internet is that if you want it, you can find good arguments that support pretty much anything. But if you then decide you want evidence to the contrary, you can find that too.

powerstroke

10,283 posts

162 months

Monday 5th September 2016
quotequote all
mybrainhurts said:
zygalski said:
I get all my best climate change info from Pistonheads, same as I look to mumsnet for advice about men's rights.
Ho Ho Ho

You ought to do stand up. You're wasted here.
Yes and there are still villages looking for idiots so he might find an opening, ,,durbester has had some offers but they have reliable carbon based energy supplys ,he wants to be cold in the winter and hot in the summer and only be allowed to cook and do washing when the wind blows and charge his car when its sunny.....

zygalski

7,759 posts

147 months

Monday 5th September 2016
quotequote all
powerstroke said:
mybrainhurts said:
zygalski said:
I get all my best climate change info from Pistonheads, same as I look to mumsnet for advice about men's rights.
Ho Ho Ho

You ought to do stand up. You're wasted here.
Yes and there are still villages looking for idiots so he might find an opening, ,,durbester has had some offers but they have reliable carbon based energy supplys ,he wants to be cold in the winter and hot in the summer and only be allowed to cook and do washing when the wind blows and charge his car when its sunny.....
Oh.
You're with the 3%.... wobblenutswobble

turbobloke

104,579 posts

262 months

Monday 5th September 2016
quotequote all
zygalski said:
powerstroke said:
mybrainhurts said:
zygalski said:
I get all my best climate change info from Pistonheads, same as I look to mumsnet for advice about men's rights.
Ho Ho Ho

You ought to do stand up. You're wasted here.
Yes and there are still villages looking for idiots so he might find an opening, ,,durbester has had some offers but they have reliable carbon based energy supplys ,he wants to be cold in the winter and hot in the summer and only be allowed to cook and do washing when the wind blows and charge his car when its sunny.....
Oh.
You're with the 3%....
Surely you can't mean the rounded up 3% consensus for manmadeup warming? Or is it 0.3%?

Reality said:
The Doran survey result was from 10,256 issued questionnaires with only 3,146 responses, with those responses were then whittled down to 75 out of 77 'expert active climate researchers’ (chosen by the survey people) to give the fake 97% consensus figure, when in fact it's between 2% and 3%.

Only 41 out of the 11,944 published climate papers Cook examined explicitly concluded that mankind caused most of the warming since 1950. That's 0.3%.
Non-existent Manmade Warming: Cook-ing the books matters.

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