Is the end nigh for the Euro? [vol. 2]

Is the end nigh for the Euro? [vol. 2]

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1point7bar

1,305 posts

150 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
Puffing Devil said:
What do people make of this recent spate of resignations - they seem to be sharply gathering pace as of February.
Synthetic CDO's coming home to roost?

bosscerbera

8,188 posts

245 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
1point7bar said:
Puffing Devil said:
What do people make of this recent spate of resignations - they seem to be sharply gathering pace as of February.
Synthetic CDO's coming home to roost?
Presented as it is, I guess it begs questions but to draw any conclusion/opinion a reference to the 'norm' is needed (e.g. the same period in prior years). And 100 looks like a long list ...but it's taken from all over the world and from 1000s of institutions. It's also an incredibly incestuous circle - this could be a game of musical chairs. Have these hundred simply swapped seats?

It's worthy of further investigation but it would be rash to make anything of it in isolation.

Gargamel

15,043 posts

263 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
I am guessing this one is getting re hire anywhere

97. 2/28/12 (AUSTRALIA) Bank manager Colin John Carleton jailed nine years for $3m theft
http://goo.gl/ggPvq


However a close look at the list and it is pretty random, includes Sir Fred losing his Knighthood, some chaps retiring after 40 odd years sterling service, the odd fraud and some natural resignations etc.

As BC says above, looks like a normal list of worldwide people moves.

(aprat from the three 7ft lizards slipped into the list - that is a bit suspicious)

Crusoe

4,070 posts

233 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
All still going to plan, Germany realising that they are caught and can't leave the Euro

Spiegel said:
"We're caught in a trap, if the euro breaks apart, we're left with an outstanding balance of nearly €500 billion, owed by a system that no longer exists." That figure, €500 billion, is more than one and a half times Germany's annual federal budget."

These outstanding balances owed by other central banks open Germany up to blackmail, he explains. "Now everyone knows we have to save the euro, at almost any cost."
http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,...

Talk of Greece (greek government source) expecting to need to use their CAC collective action clauses as not enough investors have signed up, need 66% at least or they can't even use the CAC clauses though some of the big banks have agreed in recent days. Expect the Insurance to start paying out if the CAC is activated.

FT said:
Greece faces a decisive week in its struggle to avert a sovereign default, with a planned debt swap poised on a knife-edge amid doubts over the level of participation by private bondholders.

The government’s tender offer has got off to a slow start, with its advisers trying to round up non-institutional bondholders and even Greek investors showing reluctance to sign up quickly, according to insiders.

Private holders of €206bn in Greek bonds have until Thursday evening to decide whether to take part in a swap where they would trade bonds for a package of bonds and cash that would knock about €100bn off Athens’ debts.

Greece must get 75 per cent of holders to participate to avoid forcing the deal on holdouts through so-called “collective action clauses” which were inserted retroactively into Greek bonds by the government last week. If less than 66 per cent participate, even the CACs would become invalid, scuppering the entire deal.

People close to some bondholders warned other investors to take seriously threats by policymakers that if the deal fails Greece will default on its debt. “Some investors seem to think they will be rescued. That just isn’t the case,” one said.

Globs

13,841 posts

233 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
Puggit said:
Dutch Freedom Party pushes for retun of Guilder:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis...

Before anyone rubbishes the FP, they hod 1/6 of seats in he Dutch parliament, and are often the balance of power.
Yes, it's a large movement from a contributor nation saying popular things!

DT said:
Dutch Freedom Party pushes euro exit as €2.4 trillion rescue bill looms
The Dutch Freedom Party has called for a return to the Guilder, becoming the first political movement in the eurozone with a large popular base to opt for withdrawal from the single currency.
Someone also seems to have calculated the real cost of saving the euro... an extra €2.4, which for the 400m people in the EU represents €6000 for each man, women and child in the EU. And that's just in the next 4 years!

DT said:
Mr Wilders made his decision after receiving a report by London-based Lombard Street Research concluding that the Netherlands is badly handicapped by euro membership, and that it could cost EMU’s creditor core more than €2.4 trillion to hold monetary union together over the next four years. "If the politicians in The Hague disagree with our report, let them show the guts to hold a referendum. Let the Dutch people decide," he said.
It seems everyone except Ozzie is being royally screwed by the euro.

1point7bar

1,305 posts

150 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
26. 1/21/12 (Greece) Institute of International Finance negotiator Charles Dallara quits
http://goo.gl/NbPlt
27. 1/21/12 (Greece) Institute of International Finance negotiator Jean Lemierre quits
http://goo.gl/E3AkE

The guys who were representing the private bondholders in the Greek default.

Odd timing.

Andy Zarse

10,868 posts

249 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
1point7bar said:
26. 1/21/12 (Greece) Institute of International Finance negotiator Charles Dallara quits
http://goo.gl/NbPlt
27. 1/21/12 (Greece) Institute of International Finance negotiator Jean Lemierre quits
http://goo.gl/E3AkE

The guys who were representing the private bondholders in the Greek default.

Odd timing.
Read it. (And many other links on that ridiculous list, such a Lloyds Bank's Horta-Osorio resigning.) Dallara quit Greece on friday. Meaning he got in an aeroplane and flew off. He didn't resign!

Globs

13,841 posts

233 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
Puffing Devil said:
What do people make of this recent spate of resignations - they seem to be sharply gathering pace as of February.

"It is not known under what circumstances these individuals have left their positions, I make no judgement on that. I find the timing of so many resignations extremely curious and a temporal marker in history of high significance. No one should assume I make any judgement about the character of these people. I frankly don't know their reputations except for a few rather famous ones.

This list includes Banks, Investment Houses, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Equity Funds, Savings Retirement Funds and other shadow banking organizations. The line is very blurry between these entities, some are owned by banks some are banks, some invest in banks as well as owning entire industries (common in Hong Kong and Japan).

1. 9/01/11 (USA NY) Bank of New York Mellon Chief Robert P. Kelly Resigns in a Shake-UP
http://goo.gl/NdW7q
2. 09/20/11 (SCOTLAND) SCOTTISH WIDOWS (RETIREMENT INVESTMENT SAVINGS FUND) There could be no Scottish representative on the board of Lloyds Banking Group, owner of Bank of Scotland, in future after it announced the departure of Lord Sandy Leitch, the chairman of Scottish Widows and group deputy chairman.
http://goo.gl/Dx8qs
3. 9/25/11 (SWITZERLAND) UBS CEO Oswald Gruebel quits over £1.5bn rogue trader crisis
http://goo.gl/WCeqB
4. 9/28/11 (SWITZERLAND) SNB Bank Council: Fritz Studer resigns as per end-April 2012
http://goo.gl/7dNiD
5. 10/29/11 (CHINA) China Construction Bank Corp Chairman Guo Shuqing resigns
http://goo.gl/fdd9v
6. 10/29/11 (CHINA) Agricultural Bank of China Ltd Chairman Xiang Junbo resigns
http://goo.gl/yWX9R
7. 11/01/11 (INDIA) More directors of the Beed district bank resign
http://goo.gl/HD8BQ
8. 11/02/11 (UK) Lloyds Banking Group chief executive, António Horta-Osório, is to take leave of absence on health grounds for six to eight weeks, the BBC has reported. (STILL OUT AS OF 2/24/12 - DEFACTO RESIGNATION)
http://goo.gl/3L9gE
9. 11/21/11 (JAPAN) UBS’s Japan Investment Banking Chairman Matsui to Resign
http://goo.gl/OiDiq
10. 11/29/11 (USA) R. David Land Submits Resignation from the Boards of Directors of Peoples Bancorp. and Seneca National Bank
http://goo.gl/XncOc
11. 12/15/11 (UK) Senior private banker James Fleming resigns from Coutts [private bank]
http://goo.gl/ANN5B
12. 12/23/11 (USA VA) Bank feud: Chairman Mark Giles quits VNB
http://goo.gl/dFDpH
13. 12/23/11 (USA VA) Bank feud: Board Member Claire Gargalli quits VNB
http://goo.gl/kowkW
14. 12/23/11 (USA VA) Bank feud: Board Member Leslie Disharoon quits VNB
http://goo.gl/kstLp
15. 12/23/11 (USA VA) Bank feud: Board Member Neal Kassell quits VNB
http://goo.gl/NrrPZ
16. 1/01/12 (NIGERIA) United Bank for Africa Plc Victor Osadolor resigns
http://goo.gl/b6AoA
17. 1/01/12 (ISRAEL) Israel's Bank Leumi CEO Galia Maor steps down after 16 years
http://goo.gl/xwlFt
18. 1/03/12 (USA VA) Suffolk Bancorp president and CEO J. Gordon Huszagh steps down
http://goo.gl/joExI
19. 1/03/12 (UK) Arbuthnot Banking Group: Neil Kirton resigned from the Board
http://goo.gl/SKE7j
20. 1/03/12 (UK) Arbuthnot Banking Group: Atholl Turrell left the Board.
http://goo.gl/bzZtQ
21. 1/05/12 (UK) Saunderson House [Private Bank] CEO Nick Fletcher steps down
http://goo.gl/zvo1L
22. 1/09/12 (SWITZERLAND) SNB Chairman Philipp Hildebrand resigns
http://goo.gl/5qsUu
23. 1/19/12 (SPAIN) Spanish bank Santander's Americas chief Francisco Luzon quits
http://goo.gl/jEY7Y
24. 1/30/12 (UK) Butterfield Private Bank head Danny Dixon Steps Down
http://goo.gl/sdY1p
25. 1/20/12 (JAPAN) Normura's head of wholesale banking Jasjit Bhattai quits
http://goo.gl/6FuWe
26. 1/21/12 (Greece) Institute of International Finance negotiator Charles Dallara quits
http://goo.gl/NbPlt
27. 1/21/12 (Greece) Institute of International Finance negotiator Jean Lemierre quits
http://goo.gl/E3AkE
28. 1/29/12 (NEW ZEALAND) New Zealand Reserve Bank Gov Alan Bollard to Step Down
http://goo.gl/BwUgv
29. 1/31/12 (SCOTLAND) Royal Bank of Scotland former CEO Fred Goodwin Stripped of Knighthood
http://goo.gl/CoLVS
30. 2/01/12 (SOUTH AFRICA) ABSA [Barclay's Bank] deputy CEO Louis von Zeuner resigns
http://goo.gl/IP8nH
31. 2/01/12 (UK) Lloyds Bankging Group head of wholesaleTruett Tate quits
http://goo.gl/OqRVo
32. 2/01/12 (UK) Llyods Banking Group Tim Tookey leaving end of February
http://goo.gl/vjO5M
33. 2/02/12 (VENEZUELA) Banking Crisis Arne Chacon arrested for Banking Corruption
http://goo.gl/bb5sh
34. 2/05/12 (USA - NY) Morgan's investment banking chairman Joseph Perella quit
http://goo.gl/pG2jF
35. 2/05/12 (USA - NY) Morgan Stanley investment banking Tarek Abdel-Meguid quit
http://goo.gl/bRv9K
36. 2/06/12 (INDIA) Dhanlaxmi Bank CEO Amitabh Chaturvedi quits:
http://goo.gl/OhCEb
37. 2/7/12 (USA) Bank Of America's Mortgage Business Chief Barbara Desoer Retires
http://goo.gl/i7AUY
38. 2/07/12 (INDIA) Kotak Mahindra Bank Falguni Nayar quits
http://goo.gl/fP03J
39. 2/07/12 (IRAN) Iran denies central bank resignation rumor (don't believe until its denied?)
http://goo.gl/PiQSy
40. 2/09/12 (VATICAN) Institute for the Works of Religion (IOR) Four Priests (names were not disclosed) charged In Vatican Banking Scandal. CEO Paolo Cipriani and bank president Ettore Gotti Tedeschi (a member of Opus Dei) are under investigation.
http://goo.gl/tW8Sj
41. 2/9/12 (UKRAINE) National Bank of Ukraine deputy governor Volodymyr Krotiuk quits
http://goo.gl/8BuXy
42. 2/10/12 (KOREA) Korea Exchange Bank chief Larry Klane steps down
http://goo.gl/DBKdc
43. 2/10/12 (INDIA) Tamilnad Mercantile Bank CEO A K Jagannathan resigns
http://goo.gl/wMl5g
44. 2/13/12 (KUWAIT) Kuwait Central Bank CEO Sheikh Salem Abdulaziz Al Sabbah resigns
http://goo.gl/GFvIy
45. 2/14/12 (NICARAQUA) Nicaraqua Central Bank President Antenor Rosales resigns
http://goo.gl/iQ0n8
46. 2/14/12 (UK) Social finance pioneer Malcolm Hayday quits Charity Bank
http://goo.gl/uHp6C
47. 2/15/12 (WORLD) World Bank CEO Zoellick resigns
http://goo.gl/dHDSm
Did the White House tell the World Bank president that he's out?
http://goo.gl/wUOgb
48. 2/15/12 (SLOVENIA) Nova Kreditna Banka Maribor CEO Andrej Plos resigns
http://goo.gl/SNsVI
49. 2/15/12 (SLOVENIA) Nova Ljubljanska Banka d.d. CEO Bozo Jasovic resigns
http://goo.gl/TyYiJ
50. 2/16/12 (UK) The Financial Services Authority Margaret Cole is to step down
http://goo.gl/yT6rS
51. 2/16/12 (GHANA) Databank Group Executive Chair Ken Ofori-Atta steps down
http://goo.gl/c7PtU
52. 2/16/12 (SAUDI ARABIA) Saudi Hollandi Banks Managing Director Geoffrey Calvert Quits
http://goo.gl/CtmOU
53. 2/16/12 (AUSTRALIA) ANZ Bank Australia CFO Peter Marriott resigns
http://goo.gl/I7Alo
54. 2/16/12 (UK) Royal Bank of Scotland Sr Equities Trader Jason Edinburgh Arrested
http://goo.gl/WczHh
55. 2/16/12 (UK) Royal Bank of Scotland director equities bus. Vincent Walsh director Arrested
http://goo.gl/I7Alo
56. 2/16/12 (UK) Marex Spectron senior trader Michael Elsom Arrested
http://goo.gl/I7Alo
57. 2/16/12 (AUSTRALIA) Royal Bank of Scotland Austrailan CEO Stephen Williams resigns
http://goo.gl/4r16D
58. 2/17/12 (USA) Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein out as by summer
http://goo.gl/UjpzD
59. 2/17/12 (SWITZERLAND) SNB Council President Hansueli Raggenbass resigns
http://goo.gl/1n1Nr
60. 2/18/12 (Pakistan) The Bank of Azad Jammu & Kashmir executive Zulfiqar Abbasi resigns
http://goo.gl/G0woP
61. 2/20/12 (RUSSIA) Head of Russian Bank Regulator Gennady Melikyan Steps Down
http://goo.gl/Unuez
62. 2/20/12 (SWITZERLAND) Credit Suisse Chief Joseph Tan resigns
http://goo.gl/F5twL
63. 2/20/12 (ISRAEL) Bank Leumi le-Israel Ltd: Zvi Itskovitch resigns
http://goo.gl/aA0RW
64. 2/20/12 (USA WA) First Financial Northwest Director Spencer Schneider Quits
http://goo.gl/6Dj0i
65. 2/21/12 (ARGENTINA) Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) Gen Mgr Benigno Velez, resigns
http://goo.gl/DuMrm
66. 2/21/12 (BANGLADESH) Nitol Insurance Co. Ltd director Abdul Matlub resigns
conflict of interest with director seat on unknown bank
http://goo.gl/aEmwB
67. 2/21/12 (BANGLADESH) Nitol Insurance Co. Ltd director Selima Ahmad resigns
conflict of interest with director seat on unknown bank
http://goo.gl/aEmwB
68. 2/21/12 (BANGLADESH) Nitol Insurance Co. Ltd director Abdul Musabbir Ahmad resigns
conflict of interest with director seat on unknown bank
http://goo.gl/aEmwB
69. 2/21/12 (BANGLADESH) City General Insurance Co. Ltd director Geasuddin Ahmad resigns
conflict of interest with director seat on unknown bank
http://goo.gl/aEmwB
70. 2/21/12 (BANGLADESH) Social Islami Bank Limited director Taslima Akter resigns
conflict of interest with director seat on Eastland Insurance Company Limited
http://goo.gl/aEmwB
71. 2/21/12 (JAPAN) CITIBANK JAPAN: Bakhshi is taking over duties from Brian Mccappin, who the bank said in December would resign after the unit was banned for two weeks from trading tied to the London and Tokyo interbank offered rates.
http://goo.gl/Z1rnw
72. 2/22/12 (HONG KONG) DZ BANK project finance head Tim Meaney quits
http://goo.gl/ppKno
73. 2/22/12 (USA) Goldman Sachs Hedge Fund Group Chief Howard Wietschner to Retire
http://goo.gl/x4Zsr
74. 2/23/12 (SOUTH AFRICA) Richard Gush resigns from Standard Bank
http://goo.gl/DTL5S
75. 2/23/12 (SCOTLAND) Royal Bank of Scotland Group director John McFarlane resigns.
http://goo.gl/KoEUI
76. 2/24/12 (INDIA) Breaking: ICICI Bank GC Pramod Rao resigns
http://goo.gl/5eUqU
77. 2/24/12 (HONG KONG) Citigroup Pvt Bank Global Real Estate Kwang Meng Quek Resigns
http://goo.gl/JIC9A
78. 2/24/12 (NEW ZEALAND) FSF Executive Director Kirk Hope resigns
http://goo.gl/6UJau
79. 2/24/12 (USA) Evercore Partners Head Eduardo Mestre steps down
http://goo.gl/n5RLY
80. 2/25/12 (AUSTRALIA AND NZ) Goldman Sachs Chairman Stephen Fitzgerald quits
http://goo.gl/nMTLW
81. 2/27/12 (GERMANY) Deutsche Bank Americas chief Seth Waugh steps down
http://goo.gl/8lxSw
82. 2/27/12 (BAHRAIN) Khaleeji Commercial Bank CEO Ebrahim Ebrahim quits
http://goo.gl/yKjzL
83. 2/27/12 (FRANCE) Societe Generale’s Investment Banking Chief Michel Péretié Steps Down
http://goo.gl/IJ5Lw
84. 2/27/12 (MALAYSIA) Elaf Bank CEO Dr El Jaroudi resigns
http://goo.gl/eVCS5
85. 2/27/12 (INDIA) Kotak Mahindra Bank Ms Falguni Nayar Quits
http://goo.gl/pTbII
86. 2/27/12 (GERMANY) Equiduct chairman Artur Fischersteps down
http://goo.gl/Q0dWR
87. 2/27/12 (BAHRAIN) - Mumtalakat Holding [Sovereign Wealth Fund] CEO Al Zain resigns
http://goo.gl/hhHSm
88. 2/27/12 (IRAN) Bank Melli CEO Mahmoud Reza Khaavari Resigns - Flees to Canada!
http://goo.gl/DDEUk
89. 2/27/12 (IRAN) Bank Saderat CEO Mohammad Jahromi resigns
http://goo.gl/ZD0mc
90. 2/27/12 (UK) Lloyds Banking Group Glen Moreno steps down
http://goo.gl/dsXcE
91. 2/28/12 (HONG KONG) Hang Seng Bank CEO Margaret Leung Ko May-yee quits
http://goo.gl/Uo800
92. 2/28/12 (CHINA) Bank of China International ECM global head Marshall Nicholson quits
http://goo.gl/26MYq
93. 2/28/12 (SINGAPORE) DBS security head Jim Pasqurell quits, cites health reasons
http://goo.gl/NDJze
94. 2/28/12 (HONG KONG) Bank of America's Asia-Pac. mrkts Brian Canniffe quits
http://goo.gl/cRkCP
95. 2/28/12 (BELGIUM) KBC's CEO Jan Vanhevel is to retire after a career spanning 41 years.
http://goo.gl/1rCWd
96. 2/28/12 (CANADA) Ontario Securities Commission chairwoman Peggy-Anne Brown quits
http://goo.gl/HIYXv
97. 2/28/12 (AUSTRALIA) Bank manager Colin John Carleton jailed nine years for $3m theft
http://goo.gl/ggPvq
98. 2/28/12 (SRI LANKA) Sri Lanka Com Bank CEO Amitha Gooneratne retires
http://goo.gl/YxvNA
99. 2/28/12 (SOUTH AFRICA) REDEFINE INCOME FUND director Gerald Leissner resigns
http://goo.gl/F0UgN
100. 2/28/12 (ITALY) UNICREDIT: Chairman Dieter Rampl not available for a new mandate
http://goo.gl/7aLRU
101. 2/28/12 (UK) Bank of England Sir David Lees re-appointed Chair of Bank of England and gives notice of resignation at end of 2013
http://goo.gl/LkJhV
102. 2/28/12 (IRELAND) State Street Global Advisors Cash Funds plc Director Keith Walsh resigns
http://goo.gl/n6uoM
103. 2/29/12 (AUSTRALIA) Perpetual portfolio manager Matt Williams steps down
http://goo.gl/Jh9jd
104. 2/29/12 (UK) Honister Capital CEO Richard Pearson steps down
http://goo.gl/014or
105. 3/1/12 (MALAYSIA) RHB Bank Bhd deputy managing director Renzo Viegas quits
http://goo.gl/wACrI
106. 3/1/12 (ITALY) Italian Banking Association Chairman Giuseppe Mussari talks to reporters in Rome after he and seven other executives offered to resign in protest over new banking-fee rules included in the government's legislation on boosting competition.
http://goo.gl/3llyT
107. 3/1/12 (USA FL) Florida Venture Forum [Venture Capital] Exec Dir Robin Lester quits
http://goo.gl/nA8g9
108. 3/1/12 (USA) PineBridge Investments said Win Neuger has resigned as chief executive. Neuger helped build AIG's third party asset management business, PineBridge still manages AIG assets
109. 3/1/12 (SINGAPORE) UBS Singapore - James Tulley is leaving Switzerland’s largest bank, it is not clear where he is going.
http://goo.gl/BGugF
110. http://goo.gl/SI7kT 3/1/12 (USA NH) Piscataqua Savings Bank CEO Jay Gibson retires
http://goo.gl/uEqDV
111. 3/2/12 (CHINA) China Construction Bank Corp, the assistant general manager and head of corporate banking Mickey Mehta quits
http://goo.gl/B9dR0
112. 3/2/12 (USA) Deutsche Bank Student Loan CEOJohn Hupalo quits to start student loan counseling firm.
http://goo.gl/8kZuc
113. 3/2/12 (UK) Bank of England Sir Mervin King resigns in June, Lord Sassoon tipped as replacement.
http://goo.gl/ZEUwf
114. 3/2/12 (BOTSWANA) Barclays Bank Botswana managing director Wilfred Mpai forced to resign
http://goo.gl/npBe2
115. 3/2/12 (HONG KONG) New Century Group Hong Kong Ltd [investment house and leisure group] Wilson Ng resigns
http://goo.gl/wFSV8
116. 3/2/12 (USA) Citigroup Richard Parsons to step down as chairman
http://goo.gl/BhZ0F
117. 3/3/12 (AUSTRIA) Volksbank AG (VBAG) The contract of CEO Gerald Wenzel will not be extended
http://goo.gl/w99tD
118. 3/4/12 (KOREA) Hana Financial Group Inc, prominent figure in the history of South Korean finance Kim Seung-yu , resigns
http://goo.gl/fmNxY
119. 3/4/12 (USA) JP Morgan prop trading chief Mike Stewart quits
http://goo.gl/gubPj
120. 3/5/12 ( SAUDI ARABIA) Al Rajhi Bank CEO Abdullah bin Sulaiman Al Rajhi has resigned
http://goo.gl/pNx0l
121. 3/5/12 (UK) Jupiter fund co-manager Tony Nutt steps down
http://goo.gl/RPqOp
122. 3/5/12 (UK) Jupiter fund co-manager John Hamilton steps down
http://goo.gl/RPqOp"
This smells of rats jumping from a sinking ship.... they'll all be stepping down and putting their golden handshakes into solid assets to weather the storm.

I'd expect a much bigger list though - this looks like what I'd expect in normal times.. have you a graph of trends?

Crafty_

13,319 posts

202 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
Globs said:
It seems everyone except Ozzie is being royally screwed by the euro.
Nah, he's being screwed too, the difference is he doesn't realise it.

tertius

6,867 posts

232 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
Andy Zarse said:
1point7bar said:
26. 1/21/12 (Greece) Institute of International Finance negotiator Charles Dallara quits
http://goo.gl/NbPlt
27. 1/21/12 (Greece) Institute of International Finance negotiator Jean Lemierre quits
http://goo.gl/E3AkE

The guys who were representing the private bondholders in the Greek default.

Odd timing.
Read it. (And many other links on that ridiculous list, such a Lloyds Bank's Horta-Osorio resigning.) Dallara quit Greece on friday. Meaning he got in an aeroplane and flew off. He didn't resign!
I get the impression that list was created programmatically and not a great deal of actual ... research went into creating it. I don't think it means anything.

Ozzie Osmond

21,189 posts

248 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
tertius said:
I get the impression that list was created programmatically and not a great deal of actual ... research went into creating it. I don't think it means anything.
Compiled by Dan Brown, with a foreword by Erich von Däniken.

Don't miss Volume 2; a list of UK servicemen who have left the army in the last 12 months to avoid the fighting in the Falklands.

Steffan

10,362 posts

230 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
All quiet on the Western front? it would seem.

Not for long because the EU solution is no solution at all.

The EU blarney that everything in the Euro is fine is complete and utter tosh. The EU and their henchmen the ECB are throwing shedloads of EU taxpayers money around by running the Funny money presses whenever they feel like it. In a constant and continuing stream.

This cannot solve or even begin to address any of the fundamental problems that the Greeks, Italians, Spaniards, Portuguese and all the other insolvent EU sovereign nations cannot address themselves. It is window dressing with funny money on a monumental scale.

There are two inevitability's.

Firstly hyper inflation and currency devaluation in the EU will be forced upon the unsuspecting members because there is absolutely no growth in any of this liquidity slashing about.

No EU banks are increasing lending to manufacturers or businesses in the EU as a result of this largesse. They have trousered the lot for themselves. It is monumental window dressing without any growth in the economies affected.

Secondly, the value of the currency (Euro) must fall. As the money in circulation increases massively, without any growth or expansion in the economies concerned.

Th EU can extend the problem. But they cannot and are not actually addressing any of the underlying causes and therefore the results.

I see this ending with a god awful economic mess because more and more and more losses have been ramped up by the EU, without any of them actually being addressed. Or admitted. Or recognised in any way.

The crunch is coming.

I wish the EU would actually begin to address some of the problems.

They will not.


Gargamel

15,043 posts

263 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
As a result of the printing the price of oil across Europe has risen by about 2%

I. Guess by 8pm tomorrow we will find out if the bondholders are prepared to suck it up, or if the EU are going to have to pull a few more rabbits out.

Steffan

10,362 posts

230 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
coyft said:
Steffan, you forgot civil unrest.
I take your point: but this is such an extreme development I am hoping it will be limited in its spread. It is not something that should ever be happening within European Democracies.

If the EU manage to create the conditions of repressed anger and a sense of hopelessness within the masses, in Europe, that start serious civil uprisings with the madness of this nonsense the consequences could literally be deadly.

But it is not something I wish to speculate upon.

Too serious to discuss unless we are actually witnessing it in Europe.

Bing o

15,184 posts

221 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
Steffan said:
I take your point: but this is such an extreme development I am hoping it will be limited in its spread. It is not something that should ever be happening within European Democracies.

If the EU manage to create the conditions of repressed anger and a sense of hopelessness within the masses, in Europe, that start serious civil uprisings with the madness of this nonsense the consequences could literally be deadly.

But it is not something I wish to speculate upon.

Too serious to discuss unless we are actually witnessing it in Europe.
Utter arrogance to suggest that civil unrest won't happen in western democracies. Do you actually think that their is something special which means people won't riot when you make living unaffordable. If anything, the west has got fat on govt and consumer debt - take that away and you'll see a lot of anger. People are too quick to think that war in Europe will never happen again.

Ozzie Osmond

21,189 posts

248 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
Steffan said:
Andrew[MG] said:
Are we still betting on March 23rd being the date for meltdown?
My guess is later this month.
Ah well, we're a week into the month and it's business as usual. My 50p says that since you've been saying this same thing every month since June last year you'll be wrong again....

AndrewW-G

11,968 posts

219 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
Steffan said:
It is not something that should ever be happening within European Democracies.
Yet Italy and Greece are no longer democracies frown

Sorry to say, but I can see a significant degree of violent unrest in several countries, when the Euro collapses later this year . . . . There will be a lot of people who will see their own honest hard work destroyed by the EU and I could only sympathise with them, if they were to seek an eye for an eye.

Gargamel

15,043 posts

263 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
Ah well, we're a week into the month and it's business as usual. My 50p says that since you've been saying this same thing every month since June last year you'll be wrong again....
We are gradually peeling the onion though. Since last June two democratically elected leaders have been replaced, and over ONE Trillion in QE has been launched, plus retrospective legislature to change private commercial contracts all these things in defence of the Euro.

Working well would you say ?

Globs

13,841 posts

233 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
Steffan said:
Andrew[MG] said:
Are we still betting on March 23rd being the date for meltdown?
My guess is later this month.
Ah well, we're a week into the month and it's business as usual. My 50p says that since you've been saying this same thing every month since June last year you'll be wrong again....
He wan't wrong the first time Ozzie, the euro is a zombie currency.
Why on earth do you think it has any benefits?
What are the benefits you think it has?

eharding

13,817 posts

286 months

Wednesday 7th March 2012
quotequote all
Ozzie Osmond said:
Steffan said:
Andrew[MG] said:
Are we still betting on March 23rd being the date for meltdown?
My guess is later this month.
Ah well, we're a week into the month and it's business as usual. My 50p says that since you've been saying this same thing every month since June last year you'll be wrong again....
Telegraph - Greece on brink of default

For most of the day there weren't any firm figures on the uptake of the bond swap, but this evening it certainly looks very likely that the CACs will be invoked, and an official default declared - so you'll owe Steffan that 50p. Anyone interested in some Ozzie Default Swaps?
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