World War 3??

Author
Discussion

WhoseGeneration

4,090 posts

209 months

Saturday 27th November 2010
quotequote all
Problem is, in terms of the current and future World superpower, NK is an anachronism, meaning a situation that is not easily resolved, for each to be able to concentrate on the real conflict. Economic stuff.

CDP

7,470 posts

256 months

Saturday 27th November 2010
quotequote all
More to the point: Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam have all demonstrated air power alone doesn't win if the enemy is prepared for street to street or jungle fighting.

NK has been preparing for this for over half a century at the neglect of everything else, in particular her people.

The Americans will be just as keen as the Chinese to avoid getting deeply involved.

I can't see either side planning on venturing (much) over the DMZ except for a bit of artillery. There are bound to be enough listening devices to stop anybody venturing under it again too. Assuming all the tunnels have been found.

WhoseGeneration

4,090 posts

209 months

Saturday 27th November 2010
quotequote all
CDP said:


The Americans will be just as keen as the Chinese to avoid getting deeply involved.
Politics and economics.
Politics, do we need this conflict situation? How does it suit our intent?
Economics, which of us, China or the USA surrogate, wants to have the cost of bringing NK into the modern age?
Interlinked yes but any resolution will provide a clue as to the future.

CDP

7,470 posts

256 months

Sunday 28th November 2010
quotequote all
WhoseGeneration said:
Economics, which of us, China or the USA surrogate, wants to have the cost of bringing NK into the modern age?
Until they got nukes I think both sides were quite happy to see NK contained in it's little 50's box.

Somehow I can see NK just as likely to use them on China as Japan or SK.

sneijder

5,221 posts

236 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
Front page of BBC now, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-11871641

Wikileaks claiming China no longer sees North Korea as a useful or reliable ally, South Korea claiming the North is dead financially now, and the government will collapse within 2-3 years of the Dear Leaders death.

An unnamed Chinese source has also supposedly told the South that the whole of Korea would be best under the control of Seoul, without US presence.

Asterix

24,438 posts

230 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
I said roughly the same in the other thread.

CommanderJameson

22,096 posts

228 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
sneijder said:
Front page of BBC now, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-11871641

Wikileaks claiming China no longer sees North Korea as a useful or reliable ally, South Korea claiming the North is dead financially now, and the government will collapse within 2-3 years of the Dear Leaders death.

An unnamed Chinese source has also supposedly told the South that the whole of Korea would be best under the control of Seoul, without US presence.
Turns out China would like a capitalist Korea to whom they could sell things.

Who knew?

jmorgan

36,010 posts

286 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
Yeah, shock that. Is wikilweaks actually doling out anything in the "WOW" factor?

neil_bolton

17,113 posts

266 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
CDP said:
WhoseGeneration said:
Economics, which of us, China or the USA surrogate, wants to have the cost of bringing NK into the modern age?
Until they got nukes I think both sides were quite happy to see NK contained in it's little 50's box.

Somehow I can see NK just as likely to use them on China as Japan or SK.
Until they got nukes I think both sides were quite happy to see NK contained in it's little 50's box.

Somehow I can see NK just as likely to use them on China as Japan or SK.
Thinking out aloud, NK could well turn into the new China. Rationale behind my thinking being that China is finding wage prices rising severely, and NK could well outstrip China in terms of location and mineral wealth.

I might be wrong mind you, but they could turn it around if they do it right, I'd also expect the leading countries to be encouraging it too, in order to keep the cost of manufacturing down.

China wouldn't be too happy though, and probably would prefer they stay in the dark ages.

jmorgan

36,010 posts

286 months

Tuesday 30th November 2010
quotequote all
Unless of course China invade North Korea....... stranger things have happened at sea....





Oh OK. Worth a thought though.