Pound Vs Dollar

Author
Discussion

Merritt

Original Poster:

1,638 posts

239 months

Wednesday 3rd June 2009
quotequote all
So, the value of the pound against the dollar has been improving & is currently at a 7month high of $1.64 / £

GRAPH HERE

Question is - where do you think it will stabilise? Im guessing that figures of $1.9 to the pound are unlikely?

Any thoughts?

Steve

Driver Rider

604 posts

198 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
I'd say 2:1 by the end of the year. I think the UK economy will recover quicker than the US economy. Also as interest rates have hit rock bottom in the UK and surely can only go up?

bananaman1

449 posts

198 months

Friday 5th June 2009
quotequote all
Henk Potts , the money expert on talk sport.Reckons $1.75 by the end of the year.

Chilli

17,318 posts

237 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
Tis nice to hear this. I went long at 1.6540, and am currently getting murdered. I can understand Gordon's mess is screwing with the £ at the mo, but also I expected many investors to dump the $ now that investor risk appetite is appearently growing....no signs of that in the last 3 or 4 days. I hope it turns around, and as early as Monday!
Any thoughts on the next few days?

bananaman1

449 posts

198 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
I reckon what with all the issues with Mr brown at the moment,could be abit rough over the next week or so.Pesonally i have my eye on usd/cad.

Edited by bananaman1 on Saturday 6th June 09:46

Chilli

17,318 posts

237 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
bananaman1 said:
I reckon what with all the issues with Mr brown at the moment,could be abit rough over the next week or so.Pesonally i have my eye on usd/cad.

Edited by bananaman1 on Saturday 6th June 09:46
Quite. However, the EUR/USD seems to be going well. Not sure whether to cut my losses. I know the minute I do, cable will rocket! Surely it won't fall that much further.

bananaman1

449 posts

198 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
FXstreet.com Independent Analyst Team − Trends are tumbling across the board, with euro under 1.40 and Gbp fighting the 1.60 level. Despite corrections have been expected, the in deep of actual movements put in doubt dollar weakness, and if rates hikes become a reality, majors won't look back in a long time.

Oh the joys of the forex
rolleyes

Edited by bananaman1 on Saturday 6th June 13:26

ShadownINja

76,510 posts

283 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
Chilli said:
Tis nice to hear this. I went long at 1.6540, and am currently getting murdered. I can understand Gordon's mess is screwing with the £ at the mo, but also I expected many investors to dump the $ now that investor risk appetite is appearently growing....no signs of that in the last 3 or 4 days. I hope it turns around, and as early as Monday!
Any thoughts on the next few days?
yikes

Just how big are your stops?

ShadownINja

76,510 posts

283 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
bananaman1 said:
Henk Potts , the money expert on talk sport.Reckons $1.75 by the end of the year.
In 2007, he predicted the FTSE would hit some all-time high in 2008 just before the markets crashed, didn't he?

ShadownINja

76,510 posts

283 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
Chilli said:
bananaman1 said:
I reckon what with all the issues with Mr brown at the moment,could be abit rough over the next week or so.Pesonally i have my eye on usd/cad.

Edited by bananaman1 on Saturday 6th June 09:46
Quite. However, the EUR/USD seems to be going well. Not sure whether to cut my losses. I know the minute I do, cable will rocket! Surely it won't fall that much further.
It fell 400 pips in 3 days. Or 4 cents in layman's terms.

bananaman1

449 posts

198 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
bananaman1 said:
Henk Potts , the money expert on talk sport.Reckons $1.75 by the end of the year.
In 2007, he predicted the FTSE would hit some all-time high in 2008 just before the markets crashed, didn't he?
Think most were predicting that the good times ,would roll on.

Chilli

17,318 posts

237 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
Stop is at 1.4950!
I got in at 1.6550. I watched it climb to 1.6630 twice in an hour. So, I wait. It gets back down to 1.6550 so I jump in expecting a 70-80 point gain, @ £10 a point, a nice days work.
Really didn't expect it to fall to 1.5948.
If this doesn't come back, I might have to go and get a real job!

bananaman1

449 posts

198 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
Chilli said:
Stop is at 1.4950!
I got in at 1.6550. I watched it climb to 1.6630 twice in an hour. So, I wait. It gets back down to 1.6550 so I jump in expecting a 70-80 point gain, @ £10 a point, a nice days work.
Really didn't expect it to fall to 1.5948.
If this doesn't come back, I might have to go and get a real job!
frown Hope it bounces back for u chilli,thats a nasty loss

Chilli

17,318 posts

237 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
bananaman1 said:
Chilli said:
Stop is at 1.4950!
I got in at 1.6550. I watched it climb to 1.6630 twice in an hour. So, I wait. It gets back down to 1.6550 so I jump in expecting a 70-80 point gain, @ £10 a point, a nice days work.
Really didn't expect it to fall to 1.5948.
If this doesn't come back, I might have to go and get a real job!
frown Hope it bounces back for u chilli,thats a nasty loss
Thanks mate. Tis a bh s I can't really get stuck into too much as I might need the capital to prop this one up. Broken my own rules again by having all my eggs in one basket and moving my stop.

ShadownINja

76,510 posts

283 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
Holy fark. So you have a 1600 pip stop and your target was 70 pips?

I know someone who traded with big stops and went for 50-100 pips here and there. Suffice to say, he's doing the 9 to 5 again.

Chilli

17,318 posts

237 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
Holy fark. So you have a 1600 pip stop and your target was 70 pips?

I know someone who traded with big stops and went for 50-100 pips here and there. Suffice to say, he's doing the 9 to 5 again.
Afraid so. I aim for about 2 or 3 trades a day, just picking a few points here and there. But as I said earlier, I broke my own rules and moved the stop. Promised myself I wouldn't do it again...I was just covinced it would turn!
If I get out of this alive, I'll stick to my strict rules...Promise God!

I really can't go back to the 9-5 Bank job....bores me to tears. And I can't do anything else. Apart from this and one other trade, I've had 30 or 40 (in the 3 weeks I've been at home)that have been fine, and I've been making good money. Been told so many times that you never win, but I desperately want to make a go if it! Trading from bed/sofa...out 10 minutes later, work done for the day!

ShadownINja

76,510 posts

283 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
What stop size do you normally use?

Chilli

17,318 posts

237 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
What stop size do you normally use?
100 points.

ShadownINja

76,510 posts

283 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
Chilli said:
ShadownINja said:
What stop size do you normally use?
100 points.
Certainly more sensible than... 1600! Don't look at the daily chart.

Chilli

17,318 posts

237 months

Saturday 6th June 2009
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
Chilli said:
ShadownINja said:
What stop size do you normally use?
100 points.
Certainly more sensible than... 1600! Don't look at the daily chart.
Quite. Sad thing is...this weekend is really dragging on....can't wait for monday's open!