Formula to reward exceeding forecast AND forecasting well
Discussion
Was chatting to a colleague about one of the few things I remember from my finance degree.
There was a clever formula to use for managing performance that rewarded actual over forecast but also factors in the accuracy of the forecast, i.e. If you beat a forecast because you deliberately forecast low it would reduce the positive score
If I can't find it on the web - anyone recognise this?
There was a clever formula to use for managing performance that rewarded actual over forecast but also factors in the accuracy of the forecast, i.e. If you beat a forecast because you deliberately forecast low it would reduce the positive score
If I can't find it on the web - anyone recognise this?
Thinking about it IIRC it was set such that
Forecast was compared to original budget
Actual was compared to Forecast
Actual achieving/not achieving forecast - biggest impact
Forecast widely out - reduces positive score
It worked such that getting a high actual result would always trump an accurate forecast, hence no incentive to forecast low and achieve very close to forecast
will google MAPE thanks
Forecast was compared to original budget
Actual was compared to Forecast
Actual achieving/not achieving forecast - biggest impact
Forecast widely out - reduces positive score
It worked such that getting a high actual result would always trump an accurate forecast, hence no incentive to forecast low and achieve very close to forecast
will google MAPE thanks
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