The official 2014 warm sunshine and BBQ thread...

The official 2014 warm sunshine and BBQ thread...

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Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Monday 28th July 2014
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There's a chance we could be heading towards a pattern change. Low pressure now looking more likely to arrive for Friday (sorry!).

After that we could head back towards fine weather, but long term trend forecasts are pointing towards a disappointing August (again.)

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Monday 28th July 2014
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Mr GrimNasty said:
Looking at the radar, those storms just bubbled up and stayed in one position. That's going to wallop anything under it!

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Monday 28th July 2014
quotequote all
MetOffice video shows why the storms were so bad in a limited area - they bubbled up and never moved!

https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/4937030380798...

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Wednesday 30th July 2014
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Encouraging signs that after a low-dominated weekend for most of the UK, the South will bounce back next week. August not looking toooooo bad at the moment but we need to get rid of the low pressure and take stock.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Thursday 31st July 2014
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Silver940 said:
Huh? Now in my amateur eyes, the jet-stream is the last thing we ever want. Either it brings warm wet weather in winter or cooler wet weather in summer. It always brings wind frown

Continental high pressure is what we want! When do we want it? NOW!

PS risk of thunder in most parts of UK today, away from far SE and NE

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Thursday 31st July 2014
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Sonic said:
Saturday not looking good frown
Sadly not - 2 Atlantic fronts are likely, rain for most/all

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Thursday 31st July 2014
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Bill said:
When is it due to arrive?
Errrr - how do you say all day without upsetting someone?

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Thursday 31st July 2014
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Digger said:
How's London / SE looking next week Pugs? From what I can tell it's not clear cut, so expecting a bit of a mixed bag!?
Mixed bag is about right - warming up to mid 20s again is likely, but the Atlantic will be effecting most of the UK, so can't discount wetter/cooler periods.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Saturday 2nd August 2014
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eek

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Saturday 2nd August 2014
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Looking at next week's weather - the South is going to get another warm plume coming up from the Continent - effects should be felt Thursday through to Saturday. Could be heading back towards 30oC.

However...

Charts are showing the Atlantic is still in charge and we could be back below 20oC and extremely wet within 48 hours. Low pressure systems dominate between Iceland and Scotland, lots of wet weather, especially for the northern parts of west coast.

Still looking hopeful for 2nd half of August, but that's an awfully long way off.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Saturday 2nd August 2014
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mcelliott said:
Did you really have to include the however!! Bright and breezy here by the way.
I'm glad I did - even since writing that the chances of warmth diminished markedly frown

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Sunday 3rd August 2014
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Headsup - too early to be certain, but Hurricane Bertha is currently on track to miss any land in N America, and then boomerang back to our side of the Atlantic. Next weekend could be decidedly awful.

Of course, it will just be a depression when it reaches us, but it could bring an awful lot of wind, rain and storms.

Guess who's on a cross channel ferry on Sunday night? irked

Bullseye!




Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Tuesday 5th August 2014
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Heavy rain in the SW tonight, followed by Bertha on Sunday. As you can see from the above chart (which updates) - we're in the firing line for some wet and windy weather - but it won't be any where near hurricane force.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Wednesday 6th August 2014
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knight said:
Er, I am! Should I be worried? wink
If you're on the Portsmouth-Caen overnight then yes - my kids are unruly hehe

The charts don't have a clue how to handle this, widely varying outcomes, but the most common appears to be good news - although we'll still get wet weather associated with an Atlantic low, it seems that it will have mostly blown itself out before it reaches us. Current most likely trajectory is down the Channel between England/France.

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Wednesday 6th August 2014
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beko1987 said:
Aww I was hoping to empty the shed and give it a good tidy up on saturday, will have to stay inside drinking beer instead.

It's a very grey day in Marlow atm, had a few heavy burts of rain this morning but it's still warm!
Saturday sees a short lived ridge of high pressure - excuse well and truly busted!

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Thursday 7th August 2014
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Current thoughts are that Bertha is now likely to deepen and then scream up the Channel during Sunday - hopefully clearing out of the way before our ferry!

Tough st to our friends on a cruise ship in the Bay of Biscay hehe

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Thursday 7th August 2014
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Mr GrimNasty said:
Not going to be fun for the South Coast gardens either though, even 30-40mph gusts will ruin a lot of fruit/veg this time of year.

I'm hoping it turns well north or south, but not hopeful.
Odds are stacked against you...


Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Thursday 7th August 2014
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benjj said:
Me and a pal are on a Monday afternoon Dover-Calais crossing in a pair of ridiculous old German cars. Am hoping all this st will have gone by then and we'll have a dry run down to the Hotel de France.
Benjj - our house is 5 mins from the Hotel de France (assuming you mean La Chartre sur le Loir). We should pop over for a 1664!

Assuming our ferry doesn't sink on Sunday night!

Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Friday 8th August 2014
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There's a chance of some thunder-scrotums today eek


Puggit

Original Poster:

48,530 posts

249 months

Friday 8th August 2014
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lowdrag said:
Here in France it pisseth, but on the good side we ain't 'arf got a load of mushrooms! €30 a kilo they sell for too tongue out
:wave:

Heading over to Sarthe on Sunday night, so will be there for lunch on Monday.