Is the bubble about to burst?

Is the bubble about to burst?

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Discussion

delays

786 posts

216 months

Thursday 2nd June 2016
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Bubble won't burst until we see Central Bank interest rates becoming positive again.

For reference, European Central Bank lowered its deposit rate to -0.4% in March.

Fuels low interest rates, meaning cheap cash to buy that dream car. Rising asset prices generate a greater % return than most investments (bonds, cash in the bank, etc), so we get more investors driving the market.

Watch some of it fall away when cash is more expensive and returns are better elsewhere.

GT4P

5,223 posts

186 months

Thursday 2nd June 2016
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
Have you not also got to add on taxes of country of build/origin? Also there is the importers profit ie PGB.
At a quess I would say a £75k inc vat car porsche gb is buying in at circa £55k pre vat and build costs are most likely circa £30-35k

YoungMD

326 posts

121 months

Thursday 2nd June 2016
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GT4P said:
anonymous said:
[redacted]
Have you not also got to add on taxes of country of build/origin? Also there is the importers profit ie PGB.
At a quess I would say a £75k inc vat car porsche gb is buying in at circa £55k pre vat and build costs are most likely circa £30-35k
Geee whizzzz there is a lot of sudo accountants on here, allocation of costs, VAT, blar, blar....

One-off flagship specially editions will always take up a disproportionate amount of time, consideration, and development with very few models to spread any r&d over. I would bet my house that regardless of how dodgy your accounting is, using any remotely reasonable allocated based costing they are loss making.

Take £100 of R&D divide that by average production numbers, then divide it by gt3' what is the difference in cost per car??

Sam All

3,101 posts

102 months

Thursday 2nd June 2016
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Even at 6000 units? I don't think so.

mollytherocker

14,366 posts

210 months

Thursday 2nd June 2016
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Porsche911R said:
.... seems nieve.
Comedy gold. 10/10!

mollytherocker

14,366 posts

210 months

Thursday 2nd June 2016
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swimd said:
Don't forget that a small profit margin for Porsche may still be a giant profit margin compared to the industry average.
Absolutely true. I work in logisitics which is an industry with painfully low margins, if any....

Oh to work in the pharmaceutical industry where the risks and profits are staggeringly huge....

Sine Metu

302 posts

127 months

Thursday 2nd June 2016
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The last numbers I saw where 23K dollars as the average profit per car across the Porsche range versus 5000 for Audi and 850 for Volkswagen. Bentley are about 20K. The Cayenne is particularly profitable not just because it has a good margin (shared components) but because it simply sells in such quantities. As does the Macan now. Traditionally Porsche made far greater margins on the GT's and Turbo where they could charge a huge premium and add options on top to the wealthier buyers when in reality the majority of the costs and components were pretty much the same as the entry models. Typically a 7% margin on Carrera's but above 30% and even 40% on the top of the range cars.If you take a modern 911 Carrera and Turbo, there is a laughable price gap. The Carrera is 76K, the Turbo S 146K. Easy to see where the margin is.

EricE

1,945 posts

130 months

Friday 3rd June 2016
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This picture really says it all. Assuming Porsche only gets one third of its average profit on a GT4, they're still making close to the same profit that VW makes for selling 10 cars. wobble

Porsche911R

21,146 posts

266 months

Friday 3rd June 2016
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As I said people who say no profit in the GT cars are a bit daft. And it's these people who are in Finance lol, no wonder the UK is going down hill !

Edited by Porsche911R on Friday 3rd June 10:05

Sam All

3,101 posts

102 months

Friday 3rd June 2016
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Porsche911R said:
As I said people who say no profit in the GT cars are a bit daft. And it's these people who are in Finance lol, no wonder the UK is going down hill !
The UK is doing fine, not that it has anything to do with any PH contributors.

RSVP911

8,192 posts

134 months

Thursday 23rd June 2016
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Looks like the bubble is well and truly intact - 3 impact bumpers with asking prices between £K82 - £K 96 sold recently , one was a HK car. smile

http://www.pistonheads.com/gassing/topic.asp?h=0&a...

ooid

4,135 posts

101 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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Considering the inflation,a standard brand new 993 C2 would have been £106.245 today! (comparing to 1996 prices, for c2 coupe, which was just over 60k)

The good used ones -sort of- around 50k nowadays, so I do not think there is a massive bubble. (Judging by what is available at the moment?)



g7jhp

6,971 posts

239 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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Bubble soon to be tested by economic uncertainty!

Sam All

3,101 posts

102 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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g7jhp said:
Bubble soon to be tested by economic uncertainty!
It will settle down, the bubble is something else.

pork911

7,256 posts

184 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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Pop! Doesn't matter though since so many owners claimed not to care about values wink

9e 28

9,421 posts

202 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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g7jhp said:
Bubble soon to be tested by economic uncertainty!
Correct. Hopefully I get to pick up a 7 GT2 and 993 at reasonable money over next few years!

hunter 66

3,921 posts

221 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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When the Germans stop selling us RHD ..."Halo" models the existing ones will rocket in value ...

SEE YA

3,522 posts

246 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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pork911 said:
Pop! Doesn't matter though since so many owners claimed not to care about values wink
I am one of those, I bought the car value up or down does not matter.

Just got back from my fourth trip in the car from lemans24.

It was great time. It's the smile it puts on your face that counts.

Edited by SEE YA on Friday 24th June 09:55

pork911

7,256 posts

184 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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All good. With every car being a keeper there simply won't be any sales to confirm the new new normal.

Xps911

411 posts

148 months

Friday 24th June 2016
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