Blanket 20mph limit across Wales from 2023

Blanket 20mph limit across Wales from 2023

Author
Discussion

jmsgld

1,010 posts

177 months

Friday 25th March 2022
quotequote all
bigothunter said:
ingenieur said:
The whole of the conclusions section of the Welsh study into this is eye opening so I'll post it in full:

6. Conclusions
>>>The fact that for each average 1mph speed reduction in an urban area there is a 6% reduction in collisions fits well with the findings from the UK studies reported here.
Is this 6% reduction arithmetic or geometric progression?

If arithmetic, then lowering the speed limit from 30 to 20mph would reduce collisions by 60%. Has this been huge improvement been verified elsewhere?

Amusingly, this logic suggests a 13mph speed limit would eliminate all collisions (ie zero). That's the one for me hehe
Changing the limit from 30 to 20mph will only actually reduce the average speed by approximately 1mph.

There aren't enough data to reliably show a statistically significant reduction in accidents / causalities etc at 20mph limits. Some report an increase, some a decrease and most no change.

It seems a colossal waste of money to me.




bigothunter

11,325 posts

61 months

Friday 25th March 2022
quotequote all
jmsgld said:
Changing the limit from 30 to 20mph will only actually reduce the average speed by approximately 1mph.

There aren't enough data to reliably show a statistically significant reduction in accidents / causalities etc at 20mph limits. Some report an increase, some a decrease and most no change.

It seems a colossal waste of money to me.
Many drivers ignore 20 limits so there is no speed reduction at all. But ISA will address that 'problem' and we will be forced to obey all speed limits.

Colossal waste of money depends upon the objectives of 20 limits. Improved safety is not the genuine incentive.

jmsgld

1,010 posts

177 months

Friday 25th March 2022
quotequote all
No, I suspect it is more about placating the misinformed masses.

Hopefully with ISA there will be less of an incentive to concentrate on motorists as a source of revenue, and we will see an end to scamera vans etc.

bigothunter

11,325 posts

61 months

Saturday 26th March 2022
quotequote all
jmsgld said:
No, I suspect it is more about placating the misinformed masses.

Hopefully with ISA there will be less of an incentive to concentrate on motorists as a source of revenue, and we will see an end to scamera vans etc.
It is more about getting the motorist off the highway.

ISA is a joke...

jules_s

4,292 posts

234 months

Saturday 26th March 2022
quotequote all
Just got back from visiting the MIL in Aberfan

The B4054 (Cardiff Rd) now has average speed cameras circa every 500m for its duration

Beggars belief. Total and utter overkill fora bunch of villages where you almost always have to stop at some point.

BoggoStump

315 posts

50 months

Sunday 27th March 2022
quotequote all
this is what speeding tickets pay for, now to catching more speeders. cars will be gps locked to speed limits by 2030.

Xenobian

146 posts

27 months

Sunday 27th March 2022
quotequote all
PF62 said:
The solution isn’t to ignore them and carry on as before but to encourage excessive compliance, so everyone drives everywhere at 10 to 15mph, and I mean *everyone* *everywhere* these limits apply. First gear everywhere.

When Wales grinds to a halt with traffic jams, shops running out of stock because trucks can’t get through, etc. then perhaps the idiots will wake up.
Absolutely. Let us hope it pans out like this....

bigothunter

11,325 posts

61 months

Sunday 27th March 2022
quotequote all
BoggoStump said:
this is what speeding tickets pay for, now to catching more speeders. cars will be gps locked to speed limits by 2030.
Locking new cars to speed limits starts from July 2022, in 14 weeks time frown

Plymo

1,152 posts

90 months

Sunday 27th March 2022
quotequote all
Xenobian said:
PF62 said:
The solution isn’t to ignore them and carry on as before but to encourage excessive compliance, so everyone drives everywhere at 10 to 15mph, and I mean *everyone* *everywhere* these limits apply. First gear everywhere.

When Wales grinds to a halt with traffic jams, shops running out of stock because trucks can’t get through, etc. then perhaps the idiots will wake up.
Absolutely. Let us hope it pans out like this....
Unfortunately, that's unlikely - like most laws that are too strict with little public support it'll be widely ignored, and instead of majority speed limit compliance in urban areas, it'll be the majority speeding.
It'll probably also lessen the effect of the "proper" 20 limits where they are really needed.

bigothunter

11,325 posts

61 months

Monday 28th March 2022
quotequote all
Plymo said:
Xenobian said:
PF62 said:
The solution isn’t to ignore them and carry on as before but to encourage excessive compliance, so everyone drives everywhere at 10 to 15mph, and I mean *everyone* *everywhere* these limits apply. First gear everywhere.

When Wales grinds to a halt with traffic jams, shops running out of stock because trucks can’t get through, etc. then perhaps the idiots will wake up.
Absolutely. Let us hope it pans out like this....
Unfortunately, that's unlikely - like most laws that are too strict with little public support it'll be widely ignored, and instead of majority speed limit compliance in urban areas, it'll be the majority speeding.
It'll probably also lessen the effect of the "proper" 20 limits where they are really needed.
Your new car or the new car heading the queue, will not tolerate breaking speed limits from July this year.

Are you asleep to this imminent major change? confused

bigothunter

11,325 posts

61 months

Monday 28th March 2022
quotequote all
jules_s said:
Just got back from visiting the MIL in Aberfan

The B4054 (Cardiff Rd) now has average speed cameras circa every 500m for its duration

Beggars belief. Total and utter overkill fora bunch of villages where you almost always have to stop at some point.
Cardiff Road is the A4054 according to Google Maps. So it's a major ‘trunk’ road,

Are you saying sections of this principal road are limited to 20 mph?

wst

3,494 posts

162 months

Monday 28th March 2022
quotequote all
ingenieur said:
Turns out the reason for the blanket 20mph everywhere is that they're worried if they make one road into a 20mph road that people won't like travelling at 20mph so they will use an alternative route where the limit is still 30mph.
The reason for a default is to save work. You only need to change the exceptions. Residential streets which were never designed for through-traffic being 20mph makes sense, major thoroughfares will be manually allocated 30 to incentivise staying on those.

The other idea is low traffic neighbourhoods to push traffic out of residential areas and onto major thoroughfares, and 1-way systems to funnel traffic in certain directions. All useful tools for improving how traffic moves within towns (nb. the metric is not your personal A-B time, nobody but you cares about that.)

LankyFreak

670 posts

29 months

Monday 28th March 2022
quotequote all
Peter3442 said:
On some good downhill stretches, we'll be seeing some of the more adventurous cyclists breaking the speed limit.
I deeply enjoy doing this on my BMX,

accepting all comments on my immaturity

donteatpeople

831 posts

275 months

Wednesday 30th March 2022
quotequote all
C70R said:
mr_fibuli said:
there might still be a handful of 30s left in the whole of Wales next year
So then not:

mr_fibuli said:
every 30mph road in Wales will become a 20 limit
Perhaps if you weren't so melodramatic about it, you might get a bit more support.
Definitely this.

There's no way I'm signing that petition, it's completely unsupportable. The opening line "The Welsh Government has plans to change every 30mph road in Wales to 20mph" is a lie, that's not a good start. It then goes on to claim that lorries will struggle to drive up hills in the lower gears they have to use in 20 limits, which is an interesting take on physics. Using a Facebook poll as evidence was the cherry on top. It has no credibility at all, utter nonsense.


jmsgld

1,010 posts

177 months

Thursday 31st March 2022
quotequote all
donteatpeople said:
C70R said:
mr_fibuli said:
there might still be a handful of 30s left in the whole of Wales next year
So then not:

mr_fibuli said:
every 30mph road in Wales will become a 20 limit
Perhaps if you weren't so melodramatic about it, you might get a bit more support.
Definitely this.

There's no way I'm signing that petition, it's completely unsupportable. The opening line "The Welsh Government has plans to change every 30mph road in Wales to 20mph" is a lie, that's not a good start. It then goes on to claim that lorries will struggle to drive up hills in the lower gears they have to use in 20 limits, which is an interesting take on physics. Using a Facebook poll as evidence was the cherry on top. It has no credibility at all, utter nonsense.
The petition could certainly have been better worded, but that should not be a reason not to sign it. By signing it you are simply showing that you disagree with the changing of default speed limits in built up areas form 30 to 20mph.

I would argue that the conclusions from the Welsh study posted previously were equally poorly written, and certainly no more true.



donteatpeople

831 posts

275 months

Thursday 31st March 2022
quotequote all
jmsgld said:
The petition could certainly have been better worded, but that should not be a reason not to sign it.
Of course it is. That’s the sales pitch and I’m not buying it.

jmsgld said:
By signing it you are simply showing that you disagree with the changing of default speed limits in built up areas form 30 to 20mph.
That’s one of the main issues, that’s not what the petition says.

It actually says:
“Stop the Welsh Govt imposing blanket 20mph speed limits across the whole of Wales by 2023”

Which categorically isn’t happening. So I suppose in the strictest sense I could support it, but it’s pointless.


jmsgld said:
I would argue that the conclusions from the Welsh study posted previously were equally poorly written, and certainly no more true.
I’d disagree.

Stella Tortoise

2,651 posts

144 months

Thursday 31st March 2022
quotequote all
Mr Tidy said:
That doesn't seem unreasonable when most of the M4 in Wales has a 40 limit! banghead
It does?

jules_s

4,292 posts

234 months

Thursday 31st March 2022
quotequote all
bigothunter said:
jules_s said:
Just got back from visiting the MIL in Aberfan

The B4054 (Cardiff Rd) now has average speed cameras circa every 500m for its duration

Beggars belief. Total and utter overkill fora bunch of villages where you almost always have to stop at some point.
Cardiff Road is the A4054 according to Google Maps. So it's a major ‘trunk’ road,

Are you saying sections of this principal road are limited to 20 mph?
Yep - through all the villages enforced by average speed cameras as above

https://www.wales247.co.uk/plans-to-extend-average...

You have been warned smile



Evanivitch

20,172 posts

123 months

Thursday 31st March 2022
quotequote all
Stella Tortoise said:
Mr Tidy said:
That doesn't seem unreasonable when most of the M4 in Wales has a 40 limit! banghead
It does?
It doesn't. Unless you count the Briton Ferry flyover as "most of the M4" right now.

Stella Tortoise

2,651 posts

144 months

Thursday 31st March 2022
quotequote all
Evanivitch said:
It doesn't. Unless you count the Briton Ferry flyover as "most of the M4" right now.
I thought that was 50, oops!

Edited by Stella Tortoise on Thursday 31st March 20:30