Ferrari 250GTO going to auction - how much will it make?

Ferrari 250GTO going to auction - how much will it make?

Author
Discussion

jamesatcandsc

Original Poster:

232 posts

156 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
I can't remember if this has ever happened before (a couple have been entered, but subsequently been bought before the sale and the last one to cross the rostrum, at Bonhams' Gstaad sale in December 2000, failed to meet reserve), but this one is no-reserve, so it WILL be sold... and I dread to think how much it is going to make.

Ferrari 250GTO to be sold by Bonhams

My guess is $55million, give or take a few million bucks. Anyone else want to play?

benjj

6,787 posts

163 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
Gut reaction: £37m / $63m

SPT28

425 posts

206 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
I'm thinking over £40m, someone will want this as the pinnacle in their collection.

TheProfessor

158 posts

145 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
With its racing provenance and the cachet associated with a GTO I'd say around £45m-50m in the current climate.

When did the last one pop up for sale/change hands?

jdw1234

6,021 posts

215 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
I reckon the price will massively dissappoint and lead to the collapse of the classic car bubble.


ToneyCaroney

1,037 posts

184 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
jdw1234 said:
I reckon the price will massively dissappoint and lead to the collapse of the classic car bubble.
Ha ha, excellent!

£30-35M

benjj

6,787 posts

163 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
I think the last private sale went for about 35m or so in 2013.

Obviously there could have been others change hands in the mean time but don't think I've heard about it in the press etc.

napierrailton

12 posts

187 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
jamesatcandsc said:
I can't remember if this has ever happened before (a couple have been entered, but subsequently been bought before the sale and the last one to cross the rostrum, at Bonhams' Gstaad sale in December 2000, failed to meet reserve), but this one is no-reserve, so it WILL be sold... and I dread to think how much it is going to make.

Ferrari 250GTO to be sold by Bonhams

My guess is $55million, give or take a few million bucks. Anyone else want to play?
You'd have to say $50m+ is readily achievable but if any 2 individuals decided that they really want it then we could see any price!
Chris Evans sold his Series 2 & was rumoured to be after an earlier car. I wonder whether his pockets are deep enough!

As an aside, doesn't the record belong to the ex-Fangio Mercedes-Benz W196 rather than the Ferrari 275 stated in the article? £19.6m equates to more than $27.5m

jamesatcandsc

Original Poster:

232 posts

156 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
napierrailton said:
jamesatcandsc said:
I can't remember if this has ever happened before (a couple have been entered, but subsequently been bought before the sale and the last one to cross the rostrum, at Bonhams' Gstaad sale in December 2000, failed to meet reserve), but this one is no-reserve, so it WILL be sold... and I dread to think how much it is going to make.

Ferrari 250GTO to be sold by Bonhams

My guess is $55million, give or take a few million bucks. Anyone else want to play?
You'd have to say $50m+ is readily achievable but if any 2 individuals decided that they really want it then we could see any price!
Chris Evans sold his Series 2 & was rumoured to be after an earlier car. I wonder whether his pockets are deep enough!

As an aside, doesn't the record belong to the ex-Fangio Mercedes-Benz W196 rather than the Ferrari 275 stated in the article? £19.6m equates to more than $27.5m
Yes. The road car record is held by the RM NART Spider, the outright record by the Bonhams W196. That said, I sometimes question all this stuff about records when we all know that some cars are selling privately for loads more than either of those cars made at auction.

Dave Hedgehog

14,549 posts

204 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
$100 mill

Grandad7184

2,017 posts

135 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
£33-35 mill

jdw1234

6,021 posts

215 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
ToneyCaroney said:
jdw1234 said:
I reckon the price will massively dissappoint and lead to the collapse of the classic car bubble.
Ha ha, excellent!

£30-35M
Its a far more interesting bet and if it happens I get to say I called it!!!


DavidY

4,459 posts

284 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
It might not make huge amounts of money (ie >£30m). 10 years ago, Ferraris were one of 'the' choices for investment cars, now many other marques are on the rise, look at prices for Porsche RS's, Mclaren F1's and Lamborghini Countach's, combined with a lot of limited run 'investment' new cars, many new cars available around the £1m mark, some serious collectors investors may decide not to put all their eggs in one basket.

The classic car bubble will burst, its just a cyclic thing, just when we can't predict.

TheProfessor

158 posts

145 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
Trouble is cars like the GTO, famous Cobra's etc tend to have a very dedicated following and when one does come up they tend to break what ever previous price was achieved at the last public sale/auction.

Hopefully when the investment bubble bursts, E types, Mk2's etc will get a "price adjustment" and I might be able to scrape the funds together to get a nice 100/6, Interceptor etc.

Well I live in hope if nothing else....smile

jamesatcandsc

Original Poster:

232 posts

156 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
DavidY said:
The classic car bubble will burst, its just a cyclic thing, just when we can't predict.
As soon as interest rates go up usually.

That said, there are a couple of things that seem to be different this time around:
1) Some of the investment groups (the guys playing in the really big league) are happy to admit that they have no plans to cash in in this boom. Rather they are playing a long game and, even if the market crashes, they are looking at selling in the next inevitable boom. Guess that means that all their cars are going to be out of circulation for a long time, which is not good news. Others admit they are looking at a six-month turnaround and who can blame them given what GTO prices have done? I know of one that sold four years ago for circa £8million, double that just one year later and would be double that again now. Where else could you get that return?
2) Also, despite there being a global financial crisis, it seems that many more super-rich people this time around have been entirely unaffected by it and can continue to indulge themselves with cost being irrelevant. This is less depressing because these tend to be individuals who appreciate the cars, use them and show them.

So, there is a chance that even if the market bursts its seams, the very top end could be immune, but people shelling out £1million for Countachs, £200k for E-types and Dinos, or £80k for Austin-Healeys might want to be a bit more cautious!

I may be wrong, it may keep spiralling upwards forever or simply plateau, but who really wants a classic car world where normal enthusiasts simply can't afford to buy anything?

Edited by jamesatcandsc on Tuesday 1st July 17:44

RDMcG

19,142 posts

207 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
Definitely 50+ I would say.

thegreenhell

15,320 posts

219 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
It's been crashed into a building, killing its first owner, then repaired. Therefore I offer you two buttons and a curly-wurly, and that's doing you a favour. 'old out your 'and...

soxboy

6,214 posts

219 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
thegreenhell said:
It's been crashed into a building, killing its first owner, then repaired. Therefore I offer you two buttons and a curly-wurly, and that's doing you a favour. 'old out your 'and...
Wonder if it's a Cat C or Cat D then? I do hope the buyer does an HPI check first before he posts on General Gassing bleating that he's bought a lemon.

ToneyCaroney

1,037 posts

184 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
jdw1234 said:
ToneyCaroney said:
jdw1234 said:
I reckon the price will massively dissappoint and lead to the collapse of the classic car bubble.
Ha ha, excellent!

£30-35M
Its a far more interesting bet and if it happens I get to say I called it!!!
You might be right. Just need a Bugatti Royale to come to auction and we're all doomed wink


AllezWasps

554 posts

166 months

Tuesday 1st July 2014
quotequote all
My guess- 30-40 mill.
There will be plenty of people talking up the price to silly figures but I suspect whilst the classic car price bubble is not about to burst, it's not going to increase at the rate it has done in the past 20 or so years. People who can afford to bid are (dare I say it) investors as opposed to enthusiasts and aren't stupid.
The likes of Chris Evans (mentioned above) who is a genuine enthusiast, will not get anywhere near the asking price, irrespective of his wealth.
The sale price will undoubtedly have implications for future sale prices of the rarest and most desirable cars around but not necessarily the cars that currently go for more 'affordable' prices IMHO.