When can the classic car price bubble crash?

When can the classic car price bubble crash?

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Discussion

Yertis

18,061 posts

267 months

Sunday 27th November 2016
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_Leg_ said:
Thread started in June 2015, it's now the end of 2016 and nothing has changed.

Some people think that prices are mad because they still think of these things as cars. This is no longer the case. Collectible cars have moved into the same realm as stamps, art etc where normal rules no longer apply.

A dress worn by Marilyn Monroe recently sold for $4,800,000 US. It sold for $1,267,500 US in 1999. That makes the price increases in collectible cars look extremely tame.

This painting reportedly sold for $300,000,000.



A 250 GTO sold for $38,115,000 in 2014. I know what I would rather have and it's red, shiny, very shouty and would have $261,885,000 in change in the boot too. Nice.



Edited by _Leg_ on Sunday 27th November 11:54
There is a big difference between cars and paintings, stamps or Marilyn Monroe's dress. Which is that whether you use them or not, cars require continuous maintenance, and are relatively expensive to store (especially at the 250GTO end).

_Leg_

2,798 posts

212 months

Sunday 27th November 2016
quotequote all
Yertis said:
_Leg_ said:
Thread started in June 2015, it's now the end of 2016 and nothing has changed.

Some people think that prices are mad because they still think of these things as cars. This is no longer the case. Collectible cars have moved into the same realm as stamps, art etc where normal rules no longer apply.

A dress worn by Marilyn Monroe recently sold for $4,800,000 US. It sold for $1,267,500 US in 1999. That makes the price increases in collectible cars look extremely tame.

This painting reportedly sold for $300,000,000.



A 250 GTO sold for $38,115,000 in 2014. I know what I would rather have and it's red, shiny, very shouty and would have $261,885,000 in change in the boot too. Nice.



Edited by _Leg_ on Sunday 27th November 11:54
There is a big difference between cars and paintings, stamps or Marilyn Monroe's dress. Which is that whether you use them or not, cars require continuous maintenance, and are relatively expensive to store (especially at the 250GTO end).
It very much depends how you go about it. If you pay for your cars to be stored, I guess it could get expensive. However, I bought some land behind my house, extended my boundary around it and built a fairly large garage. Ok, it cost me quite a bit to build but in 20 years when I'm too old to keep a 16 car collection I'll convert the garage to a house and sell it for a tidy profit. In the meantime storage is essentially free other than a bit of electricity and water.

As for maintaining the cars this year I've spent less than £1000 maintaining my 6 vintage/classics, £900 maintaining my modern sports cars (£750 of which was a major service for my 997.2 GT3RS) and £300 maintaining my modern collectible/sports cars. My supercars have cost nothing as they're all under warranty/free servicing. My work horse Mercedes GL on the other hand has cost £1500 this year (new pads and discs, a service and it's wheels refurbishing).

Paintings need to be stored in high security places with special lighting so they don't fade and I'm pretty sure a $4.7M dress isn't hanging in someone's wardrobe at home too. Wherever it is it won't be a cardboard box, it'll be somewhere where it's guaranteed not to be damaged by vermin or conditions.

Bear in mind too that this is with me driving all of the cars. If the owner hung the painting in their lounge or wore the dress, maintaining them would be more expensive.

However, I bought my cars because I love cars and see them as a cost for my personal entertainment. The fact that some of them appreciate is a happy coincidence and nothing more. I wouldn't ever buy cars to make money, my original post above was merely highlighting that these "bonkers prices" that people refer to in this thread aren't actually bonkers when compared to other collectibles. Indeed, for what you get, they're cheap.

As I said, "I know what I would rather have and it's red, shiny, very shouty and would have $261,885,000 in change in the boot too. Nice.". That $261,885,000 would pay for a lot of maintenance.

Yertis

18,061 posts

267 months

Sunday 27th November 2016
quotequote all
_Leg_ said:
Bear in mind too that this is with me driving all of the cars. If the owner hung the painting in their lounge or wore the dress, maintaining them would be more expensive.

However, I bought my cars because I love cars and see them as a cost for my personal entertainment. The fact that some of them appreciate is a happy coincidence and nothing more. I wouldn't ever buy cars to make money, my original post above was merely highlighting that these "bonkers prices" that people refer to in this thread aren't actually bonkers when compared to other collectibles. Indeed, for what you get, they're cheap.
I agree entirely, and at the upper levels with all these things as you've said, the normal rules cease to apply – to maintain a DB5 shouldn't really cost any more than an MGB wink But at the lower level, if I spent £75,000 on a painting (unlikely I admit) I could hang it on my wall and that would be that – I wouldn't wear it out bu looking at it. But if I spent £75,000 on, say, a Ferrari 308 then the expenses would only just be beginning.

Slidingpillar

761 posts

137 months

Monday 28th November 2016
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I know a couple with a vintage Bentley. Struggled to come up with the cash years ago, and would have no chance today.

Car has been raced, hill climbed, sprinted, and done pretty well every form of motorsport known to man. When the price of these cars took off, so did the price of some spares which is more than a pain.

elms

1,926 posts

253 months

Monday 28th November 2016
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Yertis said:
There is a big difference between cars and paintings, stamps or Marilyn Monroe's dress. Which is that whether you use them or not, cars require continuous maintenance, and are relatively expensive to store (especially at the 250GTO end).
Using the 250GTO as an example, most owners will already have a storage anyway. Its like saying if you buy a painting you'll need to pay for a wall to hang it on.

But storage will be perhaps £100 - 200pcm. The insurance on big ticket cars isn't actually that expensive in relation to the value, and even a painting or Monroe's dress will require some £ outlay for insurance.

Continuous maintenance? Once a year service isn't bank breaking on old Ferraris, and with every £ you put in on maintenance you are just adding to the value with its history file.

DonkeyApple

55,408 posts

170 months

Monday 28th November 2016
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With art you can cover all your costs by lending it out. The borrower will pay all insurance, maintenance and storage costs typically.

In addition, in some cases you can generate a return by claiming tax relief on the asset under loan.

I would guess that some cars can benefit from being loaned out to museums etc in a similar way.

lowdrag

12,900 posts

214 months

Thursday 1st December 2016
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I was searching for a thread and came across this from three years ago. Note anything similar people?

http://www.pistonheads.com/gassing/topic.asp?t=126...

lowdrag

12,900 posts

214 months

Sunday 5th March 2017
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Obviously I was completely wrong. Only £145,600 for this beautiful example of Jaguar's finest:-

http://www.historics.co.uk/buying/auctions/2017-03...

And then of course, a mere £125,000 for this example:-

http://www.historics.co.uk/buying/auctions/2017-03...

And then this much modified LHD to RHD car was a piffling £128,800:-

http://www.historics.co.uk/buying/auctions/2017-03...

Yup, the market is surely in crisis.