So many BMW M2 for sale..

So many BMW M2 for sale..

Author
Discussion

swanny71

2,854 posts

209 months

Wednesday 23rd November 2016
quotequote all
Not sure people are obsessed with M2 prices, rather they are looking forward to being able to pick one up at a reasonable price and not have to pay 'overs' because too many muppets ordered one solely in the hope of making money.

Hopefully speculators will get their fingers burned and those who ordered for the right reasons will thoroughly enjoy the car and suffer minimum depreciation.

MikeE

1,829 posts

284 months

Wednesday 23rd November 2016
quotequote all
bennyboysvuk said:
FocusRS3 said:
That's more like it. Around £6k depreciation for 2k miles of driving.

Where will these be next year? Mid to high thirties?
And what do we think will happen to the value of this car when the innevitable price rise comes next year due to the 20% depreciation of the pound? I just put the spec in for my M2 due for delivery in January, it was £52K. Now if BMW only have to raise prices by 10% to offset the 20% sterling depreciation my car will be £5K more expensive for anyone who wants one next year. Plus there's the new road tax rules coming in in April which will make ownership of an M2 post-April 4th more expensive. Both these things should help to keep residuals healthy in my opinion.

Helicopter123

8,831 posts

156 months

Wednesday 23rd November 2016
quotequote all
MikeE said:
bennyboysvuk said:
FocusRS3 said:
That's more like it. Around £6k depreciation for 2k miles of driving.

Where will these be next year? Mid to high thirties?
And what do we think will happen to the value of this car when the innevitable price rise comes next year due to the 20% depreciation of the pound? I just put the spec in for my M2 due for delivery in January, it was £52K. Now if BMW only have to raise prices by 10% to offset the 20% sterling depreciation my car will be £5K more expensive for anyone who wants one next year. Plus there's the new road tax rules coming in in April which will make ownership of an M2 post-April 4th more expensive. Both these things should help to keep residuals healthy in my opinion.
Mike - BMWs are made in Germany. Pound only off c. 11% against the Euro post Brexit. You might see 2-3% price hikes but thats it. Tax changes actually very modest in the context of ownership. I don't see either having ant impact on M2 residuals.

MikeE

1,829 posts

284 months

Wednesday 23rd November 2016
quotequote all
Helicopter123 said:
MikeE said:
bennyboysvuk said:
FocusRS3 said:
That's more like it. Around £6k depreciation for 2k miles of driving.

Where will these be next year? Mid to high thirties?
And what do we think will happen to the value of this car when the innevitable price rise comes next year due to the 20% depreciation of the pound? I just put the spec in for my M2 due for delivery in January, it was £52K. Now if BMW only have to raise prices by 10% to offset the 20% sterling depreciation my car will be £5K more expensive for anyone who wants one next year. Plus there's the new road tax rules coming in in April which will make ownership of an M2 post-April 4th more expensive. Both these things should help to keep residuals healthy in my opinion.
Mike - BMWs are made in Germany. Pound only off c. 11% against the Euro post Brexit. You might see 2-3% price hikes but thats it. Tax changes actually very modest in the context of ownership. I don't see either having ant impact on M2 residuals.
How much is the usual annual price increase on new BMWs, 2%? So given the £ has dropped 11% to the euro plus the annual 2% increase you only see BMW increasing prices by 2-3% next year, I and the UK economists would be surprised by that I think.

I don't know the exact details of the road tax changes but I've seen a fair number of people on here suggesting they want to get their new car registered before 4th April so some are concerned about it.

Of course I expect my M2 to depreciate and it would be nice if it didn't but then if I'm overly sensitive to that why buy such an extravagance in the first place smile


Edited by MikeE on Wednesday 23 November 15:33

FocusRS3

3,411 posts

91 months

Wednesday 23rd November 2016
quotequote all
I hadn't noticed the spec and yes manual not for everyone .
Funny how journo's bang on about having a manual but the mkt clearly wants DCT more

MikeE

1,829 posts

284 months

Wednesday 23rd November 2016
quotequote all
FocusRS3 said:
I hadn't noticed the spec and yes manual not for everyone .
Funny how journo's bang on about having a manual but the mkt clearly wants DCT more
Yep agreed, sure manual may well be more fun for that 10% of the time you want to boon it but as a daily driver the other 90% of the time the DCT is an advantage.

PetrolBreakfast

78 posts

152 months

Wednesday 23rd November 2016
quotequote all
MikeE said:
How much is the usual annual price increase on new BMWs, 2%? So given the £ has dropped 11% to the euro plus the annual 2% increase you only see BMW increasing prices by 2-3% next year, I and the UK economists would be surprised by that I think.

I don't know the exact details of the road tax changes but I've seen a fair number of people on here suggesting they want to get their new car registered before 4th April so some are concerned about it.

Of course I expect my M2 to depreciate and it would be nice if it didn't but then if I'm overly sensitive to that why buy such an extravagance in the first place smile


Edited by MikeE on Wednesday 23 November 15:33
In a previous thread I mentioned these numbers for the car tax
---
I think this is right looking at the tax bands for a manual M2 (199g/km)

Pre April 1st 2017
Year 1 - £490
Every Year- £265
5 Year total - £1550

Post April 2017
Year 1 - (£1200 + £310) £1510
Next 4 years (£310 + £140) £450 per year
5 Year total - £3310

That first year is a stinker so it certainly gives the new car buyer, post April 2017 something to think about and that might help pre April 2017 used values. If its a used pre April 2017 vs used post April 2017 option then its £450 vs £265 for 4 years until the post April 2017 car then drops to £140 a year road tax so much less of an impact.

I think the DCT (185g/km) model sneaks into the lower bracket so its first year is £400 cheaper which offsets the extra cost of DCT a little. Will that mean less Manual M2's after April 2017?
---

As for the price increase, I am not an economist by any means but my line of work means I (very) loosely of have an awareness of products that hedge currency exposures for large corporates. Car makers are the most forward planning companies when it comes to this. There was an article a while back that stated BMW had hedges for £/Euro & other currency transactions for 60 months in advance, blips like this don't affect them and if you read this article https://www.ft.com/content/f21b3a92-f907-11e1-8d92... as well as currency hedges they manage their supply chain and where they buy parts and materials to further negate risk.

They do not sit around in Munich crying that the pound has gone down by 10/20% and they didn't see it coming. Even if they did move prices that would then set a precedent that they would have to reduce prices when the pound gets stronger, would be a PR and financial nightmare for them. Particularly in countries where the currency fluctuations are more volatile than £/Euro. Look at the charts, £/Euro has changed 0.03% over 60 months, Euro / Brazillian Real 32%...

Edited by PetrolBreakfast on Wednesday 23 November 20:51

MikeE

1,829 posts

284 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
PetrolBreakfast said:
MikeE said:
How much is the usual annual price increase on new BMWs, 2%? So given the £ has dropped 11% to the euro plus the annual 2% increase you only see BMW increasing prices by 2-3% next year, I and the UK economists would be surprised by that I think.

I don't know the exact details of the road tax changes but I've seen a fair number of people on here suggesting they want to get their new car registered before 4th April so some are concerned about it.

Of course I expect my M2 to depreciate and it would be nice if it didn't but then if I'm overly sensitive to that why buy such an extravagance in the first place smile


Edited by MikeE on Wednesday 23 November 15:33
In a previous thread I mentioned these numbers for the car tax
---
I think this is right looking at the tax bands for a manual M2 (199g/km)

Pre April 1st 2017
Year 1 - £490
Every Year- £265
5 Year total - £1550

Post April 2017
Year 1 - (£1200 + £310) £1510
Next 4 years (£310 + £140) £450 per year
5 Year total - £3310

That first year is a stinker so it certainly gives the new car buyer, post April 2017 something to think about and that might help pre April 2017 used values. If its a used pre April 2017 vs used post April 2017 option then its £450 vs £265 for 4 years until the post April 2017 car then drops to £140 a year road tax so much less of an impact.

I think the DCT (185g/km) model sneaks into the lower bracket so its first year is £400 cheaper which offsets the extra cost of DCT a little. Will that mean less Manual M2's after April 2017?
---

As for the price increase, I am not an economist by any means but my line of work means I (very) loosely of have an awareness of products that hedge currency exposures for large corporates. Car makers are the most forward planning companies when it comes to this. There was an article a while back that stated BMW had hedges for £/Euro & other currency transactions for 60 months in advance, blips like this don't affect them and if you read this article https://www.ft.com/content/f21b3a92-f907-11e1-8d92... as well as currency hedges they manage their supply chain and where they buy parts and materials to further negate risk.

They do not sit around in Munich crying that the pound has gone down by 10/20% and they didn't see it coming. Even if they did move prices that would then set a precedent that they would have to reduce prices when the pound gets stronger, would be a PR and financial nightmare for them. Particularly in countries where the currency fluctuations are more volatile than £/Euro. Look at the charts, £/Euro has changed 0.03% over 60 months, Euro / Brazillian Real 32%...

Edited by PetrolBreakfast on Wednesday 23 November 20:51
Good bit of analysis there. The road tax changes will influence some to buy pre-17 no doubt. I knew they hedged but wasn't aware it was 5 years ahead so agreed Brexit won't impact new prices next year.

FocusRS3

3,411 posts

91 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
MikeE said:
PetrolBreakfast said:
MikeE said:
How much is the usual annual price increase on new BMWs, 2%? So given the £ has dropped 11% to the euro plus the annual 2% increase you only see BMW increasing prices by 2-3% next year, I and the UK economists would be surprised by that I think.

I don't know the exact details of the road tax changes but I've seen a fair number of people on here suggesting they want to get their new car registered before 4th April so some are concerned about it.

Of course I expect my M2 to depreciate and it would be nice if it didn't but then if I'm overly sensitive to that why buy such an extravagance in the first place smile


Edited by MikeE on Wednesday 23 November 15:33
In a previous thread I mentioned these numbers for the car tax
---
I think this is right looking at the tax bands for a manual M2 (199g/km)

Pre April 1st 2017
Year 1 - £490
Every Year- £265
5 Year total - £1550

Post April 2017
Year 1 - (£1200 + £310) £1510
Next 4 years (£310 + £140) £450 per year
5 Year total - £3310

That first year is a stinker so it certainly gives the new car buyer, post April 2017 something to think about and that might help pre April 2017 used values. If its a used pre April 2017 vs used post April 2017 option then its £450 vs £265 for 4 years until the post April 2017 car then drops to £140 a year road tax so much less of an impact.

I think the DCT (185g/km) model sneaks into the lower bracket so its first year is £400 cheaper which offsets the extra cost of DCT a little. Will that mean less Manual M2's after April 2017?
---

As for the price increase, I am not an economist by any means but my line of work means I (very) loosely of have an awareness of products that hedge currency exposures for large corporates. Car makers are the most forward planning companies when it comes to this. There was an article a while back that stated BMW had hedges for £/Euro & other currency transactions for 60 months in advance, blips like this don't affect them and if you read this article https://www.ft.com/content/f21b3a92-f907-11e1-8d92... as well as currency hedges they manage their supply chain and where they buy parts and materials to further negate risk.

They do not sit around in Munich crying that the pound has gone down by 10/20% and they didn't see it coming. Even if they did move prices that would then set a precedent that they would have to reduce prices when the pound gets stronger, would be a PR and financial nightmare for them. Particularly in countries where the currency fluctuations are more volatile than £/Euro. Look at the charts, £/Euro has changed 0.03% over 60 months, Euro / Brazillian Real 32%...

Edited by PetrolBreakfast on Wednesday 23 November 20:51
Good bit of analysis there. The road tax changes will influence some to buy pre-17 no doubt. I knew they hedged but wasn't aware it was 5 years ahead so agreed Brexit won't impact new prices next year.
Sorry being a bit of a div pls explain .
So if I buy any new car prior to April 17 I'll pay the higher rate of road tax at the time and going forward as opposed to waiting post April and paying less or other way round ? And how about buying used car prior to April 17?

Tks

MikeE

1,829 posts

284 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
FocusRS3 said:
MikeE said:
PetrolBreakfast said:
MikeE said:
How much is the usual annual price increase on new BMWs, 2%? So given the £ has dropped 11% to the euro plus the annual 2% increase you only see BMW increasing prices by 2-3% next year, I and the UK economists would be surprised by that I think.

I don't know the exact details of the road tax changes but I've seen a fair number of people on here suggesting they want to get their new car registered before 4th April so some are concerned about it.

Of course I expect my M2 to depreciate and it would be nice if it didn't but then if I'm overly sensitive to that why buy such an extravagance in the first place smile


Edited by MikeE on Wednesday 23 November 15:33
In a previous thread I mentioned these numbers for the car tax
---
I think this is right looking at the tax bands for a manual M2 (199g/km)

Pre April 1st 2017
Year 1 - £490
Every Year- £265
5 Year total - £1550

Post April 2017
Year 1 - (£1200 + £310) £1510
Next 4 years (£310 + £140) £450 per year
5 Year total - £3310

That first year is a stinker so it certainly gives the new car buyer, post April 2017 something to think about and that might help pre April 2017 used values. If its a used pre April 2017 vs used post April 2017 option then its £450 vs £265 for 4 years until the post April 2017 car then drops to £140 a year road tax so much less of an impact.

I think the DCT (185g/km) model sneaks into the lower bracket so its first year is £400 cheaper which offsets the extra cost of DCT a little. Will that mean less Manual M2's after April 2017?
---

As for the price increase, I am not an economist by any means but my line of work means I (very) loosely of have an awareness of products that hedge currency exposures for large corporates. Car makers are the most forward planning companies when it comes to this. There was an article a while back that stated BMW had hedges for £/Euro & other currency transactions for 60 months in advance, blips like this don't affect them and if you read this article https://www.ft.com/content/f21b3a92-f907-11e1-8d92... as well as currency hedges they manage their supply chain and where they buy parts and materials to further negate risk.

They do not sit around in Munich crying that the pound has gone down by 10/20% and they didn't see it coming. Even if they did move prices that would then set a precedent that they would have to reduce prices when the pound gets stronger, would be a PR and financial nightmare for them. Particularly in countries where the currency fluctuations are more volatile than £/Euro. Look at the charts, £/Euro has changed 0.03% over 60 months, Euro / Brazillian Real 32%...

Edited by PetrolBreakfast on Wednesday 23 November 20:51
Good bit of analysis there. The road tax changes will influence some to buy pre-17 no doubt. I knew they hedged but wasn't aware it was 5 years ahead so agreed Brexit won't impact new prices next year.
Sorry being a bit of a div pls explain .
So if I buy any new car prior to April 17 I'll pay the higher rate of road tax at the time and going forward as opposed to waiting post April and paying less or other way round ? And how about buying used car prior to April 17?

Tks
If you buy a new car and register it befor 4th April then you'll pay the current rate of road tax. If you register a new car after 4th April 2017 you'll pay the higher rate of tax.

So they'll be an incentive to register your new M2 before 4th April, and if buying a used M2 later next year it will be cheaper (on road tax) to buy one prior to 4th April.

FocusRS3

3,411 posts

91 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
MikeE said:
FocusRS3 said:
MikeE said:
PetrolBreakfast said:
MikeE said:
How much is the usual annual price increase on new BMWs, 2%? So given the £ has dropped 11% to the euro plus the annual 2% increase you only see BMW increasing prices by 2-3% next year, I and the UK economists would be surprised by that I think.

I don't know the exact details of the road tax changes but I've seen a fair number of people on here suggesting they want to get their new car registered before 4th April so some are concerned about it.

Of course I expect my M2 to depreciate and it would be nice if it didn't but then if I'm overly sensitive to that why buy such an extravagance in the first place smile


Edited by MikeE on Wednesday 23 November 15:33
In a previous thread I mentioned these numbers for the car tax
---
I think this is right looking at the tax bands for a manual M2 (199g/km)

Pre April 1st 2017
Year 1 - £490
Every Year- £265
5 Year total - £1550

Post April 2017
Year 1 - (£1200 + £310) £1510
Next 4 years (£310 + £140) £450 per year
5 Year total - £3310

That first year is a stinker so it certainly gives the new car buyer, post April 2017 something to think about and that might help pre April 2017 used values. If its a used pre April 2017 vs used post April 2017 option then its £450 vs £265 for 4 years until the post April 2017 car then drops to £140 a year road tax so much less of an impact.

I think the DCT (185g/km) model sneaks into the lower bracket so its first year is £400 cheaper which offsets the extra cost of DCT a little. Will that mean less Manual M2's after April 2017?
---

As for the price increase, I am not an economist by any means but my line of work means I (very) loosely of have an awareness of products that hedge currency exposures for large corporates. Car makers are the most forward planning companies when it comes to this. There was an article a while back that stated BMW had hedges for £/Euro & other currency transactions for 60 months in advance, blips like this don't affect them and if you read this article https://www.ft.com/content/f21b3a92-f907-11e1-8d92... as well as currency hedges they manage their supply chain and where they buy parts and materials to further negate risk.

They do not sit around in Munich crying that the pound has gone down by 10/20% and they didn't see it coming. Even if they did move prices that would then set a precedent that they would have to reduce prices when the pound gets stronger, would be a PR and financial nightmare for them. Particularly in countries where the currency fluctuations are more volatile than £/Euro. Look at the charts, £/Euro has changed 0.03% over 60 months, Euro / Brazillian Real 32%...

Edited by PetrolBreakfast on Wednesday 23 November 20:51
Good bit of analysis there. The road tax changes will influence some to buy pre-17 no doubt. I knew they hedged but wasn't aware it was 5 years ahead so agreed Brexit won't impact new prices next year.
Sorry being a bit of a div pls explain .
So if I buy any new car prior to April 17 I'll pay the higher rate of road tax at the time and going forward as opposed to waiting post April and paying less or other way round ? And how about buying used car prior to April 17?

Tks
If you buy a new car and register it befor 4th April then you'll pay the current rate of road tax. If you register a new car after 4th April 2017 you'll pay the higher rate of tax.

So they'll be an incentive to register your new M2 before 4th April, and if buying a used M2 later next year it will be cheaper (on road tax) to buy one prior to 4th April.
Gotcha cheers mike hopefully get a new at prior to April then.
Had mind set on an M140 but now thinking M2 given park lane say they can get me one at list but no discount of course through the likes of coast to coast .
1m still appealing too

bennyboysvuk

3,491 posts

248 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
FocusRS3 said:
Gotcha cheers mike hopefully get a new at prior to April then.
Had mind set on an M140 but now thinking M2 given park lane say they can get me one at list but no discount of course through the likes of coast to coast .
1m still appealing too
After seeing your comment in another thread, I'd recommend you steer clear of the M140i. Even though I've not tried one it is clear that the M135i and M140i aren't a patch on a real M car and if you're looking for proper M car thrills, any lesser car will be disappointing. I can't tell you how slow, refined and dull an F80 M3 makes an M135i feel.

bennyboysvuk

3,491 posts

248 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
Andy OH said:
bennyboysvuk said:
That's more like it. Around £6k depreciation for 2k miles of driving.

Where will these be next year? Mid to high thirties?
Isn't £42,995 just under list price for a basic manual car. Unless you know the exact spec of this car how is that £6K depreciation? More like £1-£2K depreciation.
Edited by Andy OH on Wednesday 23 November 12:06
Apologies, I assumed that OTR price was around £49k with a couple of toys thrown in.

FocusRS3

3,411 posts

91 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
bennyboysvuk said:
After seeing your comment in another thread, I'd recommend you steer clear of the M140i. Even though I've not tried one it is clear that the M135i and M140i aren't a patch on a real M car and if you're looking for proper M car thrills, any lesser car will be disappointing. I can't tell you how slow, refined and dull an F80 M3 makes an M135i feel.
Interesting Tks for post .
I'll give it all some more thought although 0-62 in 4.6 isn't dull and with no LSD it's going to be lively I'd have thought .

Tks Benny

Andy OH

1,906 posts

250 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
bennyboysvuk said:
Andy OH said:
bennyboysvuk said:
That's more like it. Around £6k depreciation for 2k miles of driving.

Where will these be next year? Mid to high thirties?
Isn't £42,995 just under list price for a basic manual car. Unless you know the exact spec of this car how is that £6K depreciation? More like £1-£2K depreciation.
Edited by Andy OH on Wednesday 23 November 12:06
Apologies, I assumed that OTR price was around £49k with a couple of toys thrown in.
No problem.

£49K is indeed easily achieved with the DCT gearbox and a couple of options as DCT is £2,645 on it's own which makes the the car and just that gearbox £46,580. The M2 I've ordered is just over £50K eek

FocusRS3

3,411 posts

91 months

Thursday 24th November 2016
quotequote all
Andy OH said:
bennyboysvuk said:
Andy OH said:
bennyboysvuk said:
That's more like it. Around £6k depreciation for 2k miles of driving.

Where will these be next year? Mid to high thirties?
Isn't £42,995 just under list price for a basic manual car. Unless you know the exact spec of this car how is that £6K depreciation? More like £1-£2K depreciation.
Edited by Andy OH on Wednesday 23 November 12:06
Apologies, I assumed that OTR price was around £49k with a couple of toys thrown in.
No problem.

£49K is indeed easily achieved with the DCT gearbox and a couple of options as DCT is £2,645 on it's own which makes the the car and just that gearbox £46,580. The M2 I've ordered is just over £50K eek
Congrats nice bit of kit the M2 lucky lad

bennyboysvuk

3,491 posts

248 months

Friday 25th November 2016
quotequote all
FocusRS3 said:
Interesting Tks for post .
I'll give it all some more thought although 0-62 in 4.6 isn't dull and with no LSD it's going to be lively I'd have thought .
Tks Benny
0-62 does get boring so the other things the car can do provide the interest, but with no LSD, it's just annoying. Where the M3 is either digging in and getting traction or producing a fantastic power slide, the M135i/M140i is either showing the TC light or bucking around with the rear brakes trying to stop the inside wheel from spinning up. Wet T-junctions are tiresome in the M135i by comparison too. To provide more rear traction, BMW fit thinner ARBs so the car can roll more without lifting the inside wheel, so you get an in-precise body-rolling sensation too. The fake sound of the M3 I drove sounded better (and much louder) than the fake sound of my car too, so straight line stuff is still more interesting in the M. All that said, some people love the M135i/M140i for their GT nature and if you are after a good value GT car with good fuel consumption then it might fit the bill.

Good luck in your search for whichever one you choose. smile

FocusRS3

3,411 posts

91 months

Friday 25th November 2016
quotequote all
bennyboysvuk said:
FocusRS3 said:
Interesting Tks for post .
I'll give it all some more thought although 0-62 in 4.6 isn't dull and with no LSD it's going to be lively I'd have thought .
Tks Benny
0-62 does get boring so the other things the car can do provide the interest, but with no LSD, it's just annoying. Where the M3 is either digging in and getting traction or producing a fantastic power slide, the M135i/M140i is either showing the TC light or bucking around with the rear brakes trying to stop the inside wheel from spinning up. Wet T-junctions are tiresome in the M135i by comparison too. To provide more rear traction, BMW fit thinner ARBs so the car can roll more without lifting the inside wheel, so you get an in-precise body-rolling sensation too. The fake sound of the M3 I drove sounded better (and much louder) than the fake sound of my car too, so straight line stuff is still more interesting in the M. All that said, some people love the M135i/M140i for their GT nature and if you are after a good value GT car with good fuel consumption then it might fit the bill.

Good luck in your search for whichever one you choose. smile
Tks Benny good summary hope you're enjoying your car whatever you bought

chronic123

7 posts

81 months

Tuesday 18th July 2017
quotequote all
Just checked Pistonheads marketplace (80+) & Autotrader (100+); surprised to see the high number of M2 available for sale. Most of them are low mileage (even delivery mileage examples from 2016)

If I am not wrong total allocation was around 1900 cars for UK - I might be wrong but I don't think I am far off.

Just wanted to hear out what do you think about the high number of examples are on sale and the possible effect on the value of the car down the line?

JMBMWM5

2,285 posts

198 months

Tuesday 18th July 2017
quotequote all
vpr said:
Why not?

Of course they will hold better

Agreed....not sure why people keep banging on about "could have had an M4/3 for the same dough"

They're different cars. My woman has an M3 and my daughter an M2. M2 win hands down for me.
Wake up they aint selling, dealerships are chock full of them.