Crash at Shoreham Air show

Author
Discussion

HoHoHo

14,987 posts

251 months

Friday 25th August 2017
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Trevatanus said:
True, but he was an experienced pilot, who had flown many hours. We could just say "it was his fault" or we could find out WHY he did what he did, so it does not happen again?
I also thought he'd been reprimanded for a breach of rules at a previous show?

Eric Mc

122,053 posts

266 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
The thread will probably start going round in circles again. I don't think there is much to add to this discussion that hasn't been said already.

HoHoHo

14,987 posts

251 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
The thread will probably start going round in circles again. I don't think there is much to add to this discussion that hasn't been said already.
yes

Sadly with legalities as they are investigations take time and need to be watertight.

I'm sure when the authorities are ready they will provide answers.

RoverP6B

4,338 posts

129 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
Too low on entry? Not a problem if you've got that much turbojet behind you... you're going straight up anyway. Even the 'little' Avon in the T.7 makes 7,500lb of thrust - double that of the hottest Viper in the BAC Strikemaster. No, in my view, AAIB and Rolls-Royce glossed over the matter of the historically troublesome fuel control unit - why were they fitted with an override switch? The Avon 200s don't have them, and are known to be less troublesome. Something went wrong on the way up. There looked to me to be a vibration suggesting the engine wasn't running well... Andy Hill had flown the same display perfectly the year before (although Chris Heames subsequently claimed to have flown it that day!). The one thing the Hunter does NOT like is large aileron inputs at low airspeed - it WILL flick and spin. I was told that by Bill Bedford himself, who I had the privilege of calling a personal friend, and who was frequently to be seen at Kingston LONG after his retirement. Now, the Hunter will spin like a top until you tell it to stop, a bit of out-spin rudder and aileron and it will kick out of the spin instantly, but when you've not got a lot of height to play with in the first place, it might seem more prudent to try to complete the manoeuvre and pile on the G - although the Hunter was officially rated for 7G, it will actually take 12G quite happily. The only realistic alternative would be to abandon the loop at the top and go into a gentle inverted descent, build some airspeed THEN half-roll out...

RoverP6B

4,338 posts

129 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
If the engine had been working properly, it really wouldn't have mattered that he went in a bit low. It is quite customary, as the AAIB report highlighted, for pilots to start a manoeuvre on the low side, as long as they can be confident of meeting their ceiling height and the floor on the way back down. Andy Hill had no reason, at the moment he started, to suppose that he would not be able to do so. The major unanswered question remains, what went wrong with the engine... the Avon 121/122 has long had a bit of a reputation, the Hunter F.5 with the big Sapphire was a more reliable aircraft, and consequently the Avon 200s used a different compressor design, more closely related to that of the Sapphire, and a redesigned FCU... but for whatever reason the T.7s were never re-engined.

Dr Jekyll

23,820 posts

262 months

Friday 25th August 2017
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
It's not that clear and simple a rule though

Minimum height 200 feet.
Minimum height for aerobatics 500 feet, so climb to 500 before starting the manoeuvre.
But the manoeuvre started with a climb.......

Quite apart from proving intent.

Dr Jekyll

23,820 posts

262 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
But there's no requirement to level out at 500 feet before starting the loop.

'Your honour, all I did below 500 feet was climb, the aerobatics all happened once I'd climbed above 500 feet'.

Dr Jekyll

23,820 posts

262 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
anonymous said:
[redacted]
Even regarding the climb as part of the manoeuvre, how far below the floor was it? He clearly ended the loop at least 500 feet too low, and could hardly have entered it that low, so something else seems to have happened. Making any low entry a contributory factor only.

aeropilot

34,670 posts

228 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
RoverP6B said:
The only realistic alternative would be to abandon the loop at the top and go into a gentle inverted descent, build some airspeed THEN half-roll out...
So why didn't he...?

He should have seen he hadn't hit his gates at that point (for whatever reason) and exited the manoeuvre as per the established escape as you describe.....which is what every experienced ex-Hunter pilot that I've seen comment have said.



JuniorD

8,628 posts

224 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
If the conclusion was that the aircraft was fine and not a factor in the crash, then what does that leave us with? A big white piloty-looking elephant that some people are just not willing to see standing in the room. And without even calling it a failing or error on the part of the pilot, there has to be some acceptance that some factor, associated with or acting upon the human behind the controls, is more likely to be the probable cause.



Robertj21a

16,478 posts

106 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all

Whatever the final outcome is, I just hope that some proper controls are put in place to stop anything similar happening again. It's one thing to attend an air show, it's quite another to be an innocent motorist killed when simply driving along a road.

HoHoHo

14,987 posts

251 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
RoverP6B said:
If the engine had been working properly, it really wouldn't have mattered that he went in a bit low. It is quite customary, as the AAIB report highlighted, for pilots to start a manoeuvre on the low side, as long as they can be confident of meeting their ceiling height and the floor on the way back down. Andy Hill had no reason, at the moment he started, to suppose that he would not be able to do so. The major unanswered question remains, what went wrong with the engine... the Avon 121/122 has long had a bit of a reputation, the Hunter F.5 with the big Sapphire was a more reliable aircraft, and consequently the Avon 200s used a different compressor design, more closely related to that of the Sapphire, and a redesigned FCU... but for whatever reason the T.7s were never re-engined.
Has it been proved there was an issue with the engine?

My understanding is everything was working as it should and nothing was found to be faulty on the aircraft.

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
There I was thinking activity, the report must have come out. Nothing to see here coffee
What sign can we use?

Dr Jekyll

23,820 posts

262 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
HoHoHo said:
RoverP6B said:
If the engine had been working properly, it really wouldn't have mattered that he went in a bit low. It is quite customary, as the AAIB report highlighted, for pilots to start a manoeuvre on the low side, as long as they can be confident of meeting their ceiling height and the floor on the way back down. Andy Hill had no reason, at the moment he started, to suppose that he would not be able to do so. The major unanswered question remains, what went wrong with the engine... the Avon 121/122 has long had a bit of a reputation, the Hunter F.5 with the big Sapphire was a more reliable aircraft, and consequently the Avon 200s used a different compressor design, more closely related to that of the Sapphire, and a redesigned FCU... but for whatever reason the T.7s were never re-engined.
Has it been proved there was an issue with the engine?

My understanding is everything was working as it should and nothing was found to be faulty on the aircraft.
It hasn't been proved either way. There was some evidence on the videos of the known intermittent fault manifesting itself.

aeropilot

34,670 posts

228 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
Dr Jekyll said:
HoHoHo said:
RoverP6B said:
If the engine had been working properly, it really wouldn't have mattered that he went in a bit low. It is quite customary, as the AAIB report highlighted, for pilots to start a manoeuvre on the low side, as long as they can be confident of meeting their ceiling height and the floor on the way back down. Andy Hill had no reason, at the moment he started, to suppose that he would not be able to do so. The major unanswered question remains, what went wrong with the engine... the Avon 121/122 has long had a bit of a reputation, the Hunter F.5 with the big Sapphire was a more reliable aircraft, and consequently the Avon 200s used a different compressor design, more closely related to that of the Sapphire, and a redesigned FCU... but for whatever reason the T.7s were never re-engined.
Has it been proved there was an issue with the engine?

My understanding is everything was working as it should and nothing was found to be faulty on the aircraft.
It hasn't been proved either way. There was some evidence on the videos of the known intermittent fault manifesting itself.
Given, that there was nothing definitive in the AAIB report, and he fact that in July the CAA lifted the grounding notice on the Hunter, which they wouldn't have done if there was a question over the engine, or whether they had lifted the restriction on the 200 series Hunters, but kept the 100 series T's grounded might have suggested there was still a ? over the 100 series Hunters.

As it is, all are cleared to fly again.




eccles

13,740 posts

223 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
Robertj21a said:
Whatever the final outcome is, I just hope that some proper controls are put in place to stop anything similar happening again. It's one thing to attend an air show, it's quite another to be an innocent motorist killed when simply driving along a road.
You can have all the rules you want, but if the driver doesn't stick to them they are meaningless.

aeropilot

34,670 posts

228 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
eccles said:
Robertj21a said:
Whatever the final outcome is, I just hope that some proper controls are put in place to stop anything similar happening again. It's one thing to attend an air show, it's quite another to be an innocent motorist killed when simply driving along a road.
You can have all the rules you want, but if the driver doesn't stick to them they are meaningless.
More a simple case of human beings are by nature fallible, and will always be suseptible to making split second mistakes, no matter how onerous the rules are.


eccles

13,740 posts

223 months

Friday 25th August 2017
quotequote all
aeropilot said:
eccles said:
Robertj21a said:
Whatever the final outcome is, I just hope that some proper controls are put in place to stop anything similar happening again. It's one thing to attend an air show, it's quite another to be an innocent motorist killed when simply driving along a road.
You can have all the rules you want, but if the driver doesn't stick to them they are meaningless.
More a simple case of human beings are by nature fallible, and will always be suseptible to making split second mistakes, no matter how onerous the rules are.
It seems to be a particular failing for display pilots. There have been quite a few crashes over the years where the pilot was doing manoeuvrers that either he or the aircraft weren't cleared for.

Robertj21a

16,478 posts

106 months

Saturday 26th August 2017
quotequote all
aeropilot said:
More a simple case of human beings are by nature fallible, and will always be suseptible to making split second mistakes, no matter how onerous the rules are.
Pushing any 'acrobatics' out to sea, or over remote land (think Salisbury Plain !) would ensure that the general public is better protected from activities in which they have no wish to be involved.

It's for the law makers and organisers to come up arrangements for venues that are safer, and then consider how those wishing to attend can view the activities.

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Saturday 26th August 2017
quotequote all
Robertj21a said:
Pushing any 'acrobatics' out to sea, or over remote land (think Salisbury Plain !) would ensure that the general public is better protected from activities in which they have no wish to be involved.

It's for the law makers and organisers to come up arrangements for venues that are safer, and then consider how those wishing to attend can view the activities.
Not just displays
They should probably ban all flights overland, just in case
and over shipping see Dartmouth thread