Is the end nigh for the Euro? [vol. 3]

Is the end nigh for the Euro? [vol. 3]

Author
Discussion

LongQ

13,864 posts

234 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Gargamel said:
Secondly, that is only direct contribution. What about the costs of compliance with EU legislation, directives and other procedures.

I am all for harmonisation of standards, where sensible. but as we have seen over the years many are nonsense.

Other than local bureaucracy and some EU specific items (if there are any these days outside the right to label, say, cheese and champagne according to source, most standards are not within the EU competence as such. They represent the views of 27 countries (that may not agree with each other) as a single voice on committees where most other nations have their own votes.

Being as this is a motoring based forum one only has to look at the "World car" platform development to see the signs of global standards in play. The motor industry is not alone in such developments towards standardisation. Of course the major corporations are unlikely to be against such moves either.

I doubt that local import blocking arrangements, as practised in France, for example, a few decades back, would work for long in these times. Global corporations would have a vested interest to make sure that their components could be deployed locally wherever they were made around the world. Cross border investment - especially EU companies heavily invested in the UK - would hardly be keen to see such a lucrative subsidised market collapse and undermine their own positions.

That's not to say that things might not get very "interesting" for a while ...

hidetheelephants

24,484 posts

194 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Andy Zarse said:
What I meant by my (admittedly badly-worded) comment earlier was that being an EU member does raise barriers to trade with other non-EU countries, not that it prevents all trade (as I suspect you realised). We cannot agree our own free trade deals with the vast majority of the world economy. And when the EU negotiates on these deals it has to do so for 27 different countries with inevitable compromises. On every trade deal there must be nothing, and I repeat NOTHING, done to damage French agriculture for example. This is a main reason why there's still, 70 years after the end of WW2, no free trade deal with the USA. It's utterly crazy.
One of the main reasons there's no free trade deal with the US is that their industrial farming is even scarier than ours, with cattle injected with monkey gland extract* every 5 minutes, insane subsidies for corn producers and other weirdness.

*May not be true, but there's definitely something getting injected into it.

Walford

2,259 posts

167 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Europe is in recession, stopping trade with the UK would turn it into a depression, talk of ending free trade is ridiculous

Andy Zarse

10,868 posts

248 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
LongQ said:
Andy Zarse said:
CAP is a disgraceful blight on humanity. Why the likes of Bonio etc aren't up in arms about it I do not know. CAP crushes markets for African farmers, impoverishes them and their fragile societies. I want no further part of this disgusting evil.
From what I read he's probably not able to put his arms up at the moment.


getmecoat
Why not? What have I missed? Is it something terrible?

Mermaid

21,492 posts

172 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Walford said:
Europe is in recession, stopping trade with the UK would turn it into a depression, talk of ending free trade is ridiculous
No-one is going to stop trading with the UK. People trade with China, Russia, israel, Zimbabwe and probably NK too. (maybe not the last one)

Art0ir

9,402 posts

171 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Mermaid said:
No-one is going to stop trading with the UK. People trade with China, Russia, israel, Zimbabwe and probably NK too. (maybe not the last one)
NK have a pretty good trade in slaves actually. Russian timber and Qatar's world cup will be brought to you by the 21st century slave trade smile

LongQ

13,864 posts

234 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Andy Zarse said:
LongQ said:
Andy Zarse said:
CAP is a disgraceful blight on humanity. Why the likes of Bonio etc aren't up in arms about it I do not know. CAP crushes markets for African farmers, impoverishes them and their fragile societies. I want no further part of this disgusting evil.
From what I read he's probably not able to put his arms up at the moment.


getmecoat
Why not? What have I missed? Is it something terrible?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-30122767

Dangerous things, bicycles.




Edited by LongQ on Thursday 20th November 17:57

Andy Zarse

10,868 posts

248 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Mermaid said:
Walford said:
Europe is in recession, stopping trade with the UK would turn it into a depression, talk of ending free trade is ridiculous
No-one is going to stop trading with the UK. People trade with China, Russia, israel, Zimbabwe and probably NK too. (maybe not the last one)
Recession? Much of it is, or until very recently has been, in actual depression.

Really we need to come up with a stronger new word, something which trumps the ubiquitous "depression". Not even a "lost decade" really covers it: Perma-slump maybe appropriate for Greece, Portugal and especially Italy who's economy is now smaller than when it joined the Euro in 1999...

Mermaid

21,492 posts

172 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Andy Zarse said:
Recession? Much of it is, or until very recently has been, in actual depression.

Really we need to come up with a stronger new word, something which trumps the ubiquitous "depression". Not even a "lost decade" really covers it: Perma-slump maybe appropriate for Greece, Portugal and especially Italy who's economy is now smaller than when it joined the Euro in 1999...
Manipulated & then buggered, now deep into Wonga. wink

Andy Zarse

10,868 posts

248 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Driller said:
Steffan said:
Driller said:
Steffan said:
I can only see one end to this nonsense.
No, wait, don't tell me...hehe
Well, this made me smile so smile from me.
thumbup



PS Driller, genuinely sorry to hear of your travails in the other thread. It's tough being caught in such a trap.

Andy Zarse

10,868 posts

248 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
LongQ said:
Andy Zarse said:
LongQ said:
Andy Zarse said:
CAP is a disgraceful blight on humanity. Why the likes of Bonio etc aren't up in arms about it I do not know. CAP crushes markets for African farmers, impoverishes them and their fragile societies. I want no further part of this disgusting evil.
From what I read he's probably not able to put his arms up at the moment.


getmecoat
Why not? What have I missed? Is it something terrible?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-30122767

Dangerous things, bicycles.
Oh no, boneheaded bicycling Bono badly breaks bonios. It will need a bit more than a Bandaid...

I'm very upset at this news.

RYH64E

7,960 posts

245 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Walford said:
Europe is in recession, stopping trade with the UK would turn it into a depression, talk of ending free trade is ridiculous
An alternative scenario is one where the remaining EU states manipulate duties, tariffs and quotas to induce UK companies to relocate to mainland europe. Honda, Nissan, Toyota etc are only here in the first place because they need a European manufacturing base to access the EU market, and financial services are very mobile so could easily relocate if it was in their interests to do so. Or maybe that would never happen because of the long standing affection and sense of obligation our neighbours feel towards the UK. After all, France, Germany or Spain would never do anything to harm the UK would they...

rovermorris999

5,203 posts

190 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
An alternative scenario is one where the remaining EU states manipulate duties, tariffs and quotas to induce UK companies to relocate to mainland europe. Honda, Nissan, Toyota etc are only here in the first place because they need a European manufacturing base to access the EU market, and financial services are very mobile so could easily relocate if it was in their interests to do so. Or maybe that would never happen because of the long standing affection and sense of obligation our neighbours feel towards the UK. After all, France, Germany or Spain would never do anything to harm the UK would they...
I think the WTO would have something to say about that. The tide would most likely flow the other way.

Mermaid

21,492 posts

172 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
Walford said:
Europe is in recession, stopping trade with the UK would turn it into a depression, talk of ending free trade is ridiculous
An alternative scenario is one where the remaining EU states manipulate duties, tariffs and quotas to induce UK companies to relocate to mainland europe. Honda, Nissan, Toyota etc are only here in the first place because they need a European manufacturing base to access the EU market, and financial services are very mobile so could easily relocate if it was in their interests to do so. Or maybe that would never happen because of the long standing affection and sense of obligation our neighbours feel towards the UK. After all, France, Germany or Spain would never do anything to harm the UK would they...
We would simply export all the French, Spanish, Portuguese, Greek etc workers back to where they came from increasing the angst of those countries. smile

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
An alternative scenario is one where the remaining EU states manipulate duties, tariffs and quotas to induce UK companies to relocate to mainland europe.
You mean playing games like giving £80m of EU taxpayer money to Ford to move Transit production from Southampton to Turkey. Given that they pull that kind of st while you're still in their club you actually have a very good point about what they might do when you leave. Your continued mebership of the EU is like a battered wife staying with her husband because of what he might do if she leaves.

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Mermaid said:
We would simply export all the French, Spanish, Portuguese, Greek etc workers back to where they came from increasing the angst of those countries. smile
Far better to offer significant tax breaks to all highly educated, wealthy EU citizens to move to the UK!

don4l

10,058 posts

177 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
RYH64E said:
Walford said:
Europe is in recession, stopping trade with the UK would turn it into a depression, talk of ending free trade is ridiculous
An alternative scenario is one where the remaining EU states manipulate duties, tariffs and quotas to induce UK companies to relocate to mainland europe. Honda, Nissan, Toyota etc are only here in the first place because they need a European manufacturing base to access the EU market, and financial services are very mobile so could easily relocate if it was in their interests to do so. Or maybe that would never happen because of the long standing affection and sense of obligation our neighbours feel towards the UK. After all, France, Germany or Spain would never do anything to harm the UK would they...
Another poster who doesn't understand what the WTO has achieved over the last couple of decades.

The EU would not have the power to impose duties on British manufactured cars.

Even if it did have the power, it wouldn't exercise it because Europe exports more to us than we export to them. Europe would lose far more than we would.




Mermaid

21,492 posts

172 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Germany's Commerzbank is to charge big corporate clients fees if they hold "substantial" deposits at the bank.

Commerzbank is the first major bank to make such a move and says it will encourage big clients to move cash into alternative investments.

Private savers and small and medium sized businesses will not be affected by the policy.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-30127868

Andy Zarse

10,868 posts

248 months

Thursday 20th November 2014
quotequote all
Mermaid said:
Private savers and small and medium sized businesses will not be affected by the policy.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-30127868
This week...

According to their CEO they weren't going to do it at all eight days ago!



RYH64E

7,960 posts

245 months

Friday 21st November 2014
quotequote all
don4l said:
Another poster who doesn't understand what the WTO has achieved over the last couple of decades.

The EU would not have the power to impose duties on British manufactured cars.

Even if it did have the power, it wouldn't exercise it because Europe exports more to us than we export to them. Europe would lose far more than we would.
Tariffs on non-EU manufactured cars are already in place, the import duty is 10%, it's the main reason why Honda, Toyota, Nissan, etc are here in the first place.