Is the end nigh for the Euro? [vol. 3]

Is the end nigh for the Euro? [vol. 3]

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Discussion

dandarez

13,282 posts

283 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
Tony427 said:
The usual suspects were discussing the demise of the Euro on This Week last night and were joined by Clegg's, Spanish international lawyer, Mrs.

Turns out that in her opinion, the EU and the Euro were a massively successful political project. All talk of its demise is ridiculous and no other country is looking to leave.

All Italy's problems, it seems, were of their own making because they did not carry our economic reform.

A completely deluded woman, much like her other half.

Andrew Neil kept on pointing out that she was in fact talking factual bks, whilst Portillo said the Euro project is doomed if it fails or even if it carries on, and Liz (nice legs) Kendall says that it desperately needs reform if it is to continue.

It really was like they were talking to a brick wall.

What crisis, there's no crisis.

Desperately deluded.

Cheers,

Tony
Accurate post Tony.
And I must confess I do like Portillo, he seems to be far more on the ball these days then when he was an MP. Must be all those train journeys!
As for Miriam González Durántez, deluded? Like many of her ilk, absolutely out of touch with the real world. But then they don't have any connection whatsoever with the real world.

PS
I do like the way you courteously end your posts, makes it hard to object to anything. biggrin

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
It's quite good to see Michael Portillo has pretty much said what I have been saying for the last few years on almost every subject. When he was in Politics I didn't take to the guy at all, but for the last few years I've come to respect his opinions and like the bloke. I think part of that is me getting older and becoming more experienced, having moved away from my Manchester roots. I left school at the height of the Thatcher government in 82, so was living in a very left of centre area of the country and have changed some of my views over time.

He also said last night that you will hear a lot from the EU negotiator in the next year, but the EU soundings are irrelevant, its the heads of state that matter. I've been saying that for months on the other threads.

Gargamel

14,987 posts

261 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
Andy Zarse said:
Yes she was beyond belief. Whilst I greatly admired her purblind pigheadedness, it was a salutary reminder that there's none so blind as them as won't see.
I guess this is the crux of what has led to Trump/Brexit. If someone "in the elite" tells everyone it is a success, but you can't get access to medicine, your children can't find work (40% youth unemployment) or you are renting a dump of a house with no prospect of owning a house - then it is clear that the system isn't working for you or interested in you.

At least if you had someone saying, we need reform, we need to do more, we need to help etc - you could just about still believe in it.

Fact is the latest moves to taper QE suit Germany, but throw the fringe states to the wolves (again)


-Pete-

2,892 posts

176 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
Gargamel said:
mondeoman said:
Was there a timescale suggested?
I think he said by autumn...
smile

YankeePorker

4,765 posts

241 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
Digga said:
I don't play golf, but was told by a Dane who did that if there's beer cans thrown into the rough by a tee, that the stock joke is "the Swedes were here before us". hehe
The old saying was "Keep Copenhagen tidy, take a Swede to the ferry terminal!". Now they've built the bridge I suppose the bus terminal would be more appropriate.

The Danes very sensibly voted to keep the Kroner rather than adopting the Euro, so the would have the same advantage as the UK if they ever decide to leave the EU. I think for any country in the €zone, trying to leave it or the EU would be a hell of a challenge.

You recall the situation that the Greeks were in - had they planned ahead and had warehouses with new Drachma currency they would have been in a position to drive a hard bargain when talking to Brussels. I seem to recall an expert from Delarue commenting at the time that to design and print the currency necessary to be able to switch over you need at least a one year head start. I wonder if there are any €zone countries who have done the required contingency planning on the quiet?

Digga

40,316 posts

283 months

Friday 9th December 2016
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YankeePorker said:
I wonder if there are any €zone countries who have done the required contingency planning on the quiet?
IIRC not only did Germany do the planning, they also had the presses ready for the 'neu Deutsche mark': http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/255228/Mark-se...

London424

12,829 posts

175 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
India have done a decent job recently of printing up new currency on the quiet for a billion or so people.

Digga

40,316 posts

283 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
London424 said:
India have done a decent job recently of printing up new currency on the quiet for a billion or so people.
rofl

London424

12,829 posts

175 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
Digga said:
London424 said:
India have done a decent job recently of printing up new currency on the quiet for a billion or so people.
rofl
Seriously...the roll out was horrendous but the fact they were able to do it is pretty impressive.

Borghetto

3,274 posts

183 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
London424 said:
India have done a decent job recently of printing up new currency on the quiet for a billion or so people.
I don't think the huge queues at Banks and ATMs would agree. Apparently the lower denominated notes are not the right size for the ATMs to dispence and could take up to a year to adjust them nationwide.

Edited by Borghetto on Friday 9th December 16:24

London424

12,829 posts

175 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
I was talking more about the printing up money on the quiet.

How long do you think we'd be able to keep something like that secret before a leak? 1/2 day?

YankeePorker

4,765 posts

241 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
Digga said:
IRC not only did Germany do the planning, they also had the presses ready for the 'neu Deutsche mark': http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/255228/Mark-se...
Yep I remember these rumours at the time but I think it was just hot air. Nevertheless, if the government of a €zone country receives credible advice that the future of the currency is dubious, I think they would be duty bound to do the necessary contingency planning. Catch 22 really, because if the news gets out that such preparations are underway it would clearly undermine the stability of the € and make it's failure more likely.

London424

12,829 posts

175 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
MPS shares big drop and now suspended.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/12/09/eur...

paulrockliffe

15,698 posts

227 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
London424 said:
MPS shares big drop and now suspended.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/12/09/eur...
Suspended twice. But if you look at the long-term for those shares anything that happens now to them is pretty irrelevant; they've lost 98% of their value in 5 years, so even a halving in the price is only 1% against the long-term price. They were worthless yesterday, they're worthless today and they'll be worthless tomorrow.

Gandahar

9,600 posts

128 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
No.

See previous volumes over many years for the answer. Why do you keep bashing this stupid drum?

Daily Mail readers with a sperm count approximate to belt size and brain cells?

loser

The answer is no, the end is not high for the Euro.

Read it and weep if you want it to be.

Cheers





Edited by Gandahar on Friday 9th December 22:09

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
Gandahar said:
The answer is no, the end is not high for the Euro.






Edited by Gandahar on Friday 9th December 22:09
Looking that way at the moment laugh

Gargamel

14,987 posts

261 months

Friday 9th December 2016
quotequote all
Gandahar said:
No.

See previous volumes over many years for the answer. Why do you keep bashing this stupid drum?

Daily Mail readers with a sperm count approximate to belt size and brain cells?

loser

The answer is no, the end is not high for the Euro.

Read it and weep if you want it to be.

Cheers





Edited by Gandahar on Friday 9th December 22:09


I'd hate to see this thread defend into the kind of bile filled nonsense elsewhere on NP&E, so if you want to believe all is well in Euroland and those of us who don't are fools. Then so be it..

I am content to be a contrarian, The money is running out and a reckoning is coming for the Euro countries.

wc98

10,391 posts

140 months

Saturday 10th December 2016
quotequote all
paulrockliffe said:
London424 said:
MPS shares big drop and now suspended.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/12/09/eur...
Suspended twice. But if you look at the long-term for those shares anything that happens now to them is pretty irrelevant; they've lost 98% of their value in 5 years, so even a halving in the price is only 1% against the long-term price. They were worthless yesterday, they're worthless today and they'll be worthless tomorrow.
it will be fine now they have nationalised the bank i am sure .
edit, should have said now they look like they will nationalise it.

Edited by wc98 on Saturday 10th December 00:08

LongQ

13,864 posts

233 months

Saturday 10th December 2016
quotequote all
David Cameron seems to think the Euro may not survive.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/davi...

and a number of other reports.

Still, what would he know and when has he been right about anything?

loafer123

15,440 posts

215 months

Saturday 10th December 2016
quotequote all

Interesting letter in the Telegraph this morning...

SIR – William Hague (Comment, December 6) is right about the euro being “a misconceived and terrible blunder” but does not draw the only realistic conclusion. It is Germany that must leave the currency.

Germany has a simple choice: continue paying what amounts to Danegeld in endless bail-outs to southern-European banks and bondholders to keep its exchange rate artificially low, or accept a substantially higher exchange rate and pay for transitional arrangements on its way out of the euro.

Either way, the huge cost to the German taxpayer will be a small price to pay to correct the errors of the past and restore some hope of competitiveness, growth and prosperity in Europe. It would also be a significant step in creating a revitalised and sustainable EU, one that Britain may be happy to rejoin.

Rupert Gather
Chairman, Investec
London W1