War with Russia

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Discussion

XM5ER

5,091 posts

248 months

Wednesday 25th February 2015
quotequote all
Transmitter Man said:
Do you have a graph for the Ruble?

Phil
Equally not pretty but recently calm

skyrover

12,673 posts

204 months

Wednesday 25th February 2015
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trust said:
Ukrainian refugees rebuild their lives after Poland flies them to safety

RYBAKI, Poland (Thomson Reuters Foundation) - When Ukrainian construction supervisor Anton Jakuszewski was seized by pro-Russian separatists in the eastern city of Luhansk last summer he thought his life was over.

“I was afraid I would not survive the day. I was afraid I would not be able to say goodbye to my family. That day I understood that I could be killed at any time for any reason,” he said.

The 34-year-old says the rebels accused him of being a “thief and a capitalist” and took him to their commander’s office to decide if he should be killed. The commander turned out to be a former classmate and the terrified Jakuszewski was quietly released. But that day he resolved to leave his homeland for good.

Last month Jakuszewski and his 7-year-old daughter Barbara were among a group of 179 Ukrainians of Polish descent and their spouses who were evacuated by the Polish government in a one-off rescue operation from the rebel-held region bordering Russia.

More than 5,600 people have been killed and nearly a million driven from their homes in fighting between Ukrainian forces and pro-Russian separatists in Donetsk and Luhansk provinces. Moscow denies Western allegations that it is helping the rebels.

The refugees told how fear of death had paralysed life in the east since war broke out last April, leaving many too scared to leave their homes.

“I heard constant shooting from my apartment. When I went to the store I feared for my life,” said Artem Karrenko who described how his neighbour was killed by a rocket during a trip to the shops.

Karrenko, a cook in his mid-30s, said people in the large industrial city of Donetsk no longer went to work or school. Houses had no gas, electricity or water. Shops only offered basics like milk, cheese and bread.

“It was clear to us that the situation in Ukraine would not improve. It wasn’t difficult to decide to escape because we want to bring our children up in safety. We only thought about our children,” said Karrenko, who fled with his wife, who is of Polish origin, their baby son and daughter.

Jakuszewski added that he did not want his daughter growing up under communism.

“Nobody dares to say anything against the separatists. They are determined to revive the communist system, have already established the NKWD (Soviet law enforcement agency) and treat all people as possible spies,” he said.

RESCUE OPERATION

The risky evacuation took place amid high secrecy to avoid being targeted by rebels. The refugees were transported in buses to an airport in the eastern Ukrainian city of Kharkiv on January 10. Shortly after the operation a passenger bus was struck during fighting not far from Donetsk, killing 12 civilians.

From Kharkiv, military planes flew the refugees to Poland where they were taken to two centres run by the Catholic charity Caritas in the northeastern villages of Rybaki and Lansk.

The evacuees, who include engineers, doctors, cooks, nurses and teachers, will receive healthcare, language lessons, schooling for their children and help in finding employment and housing.

Many told how they had lost everything and would have to start from scratch. They were unable to sell their properties before they left and had been forced to abandon successful businesses and careers.

Their forefathers migrated from Poland to Ukraine after World War II or during the 60s and 70s when they were drawn by work opportunities in the industrial region.

The last census from 2001 estimated there were 6,500 Ukrainians with Polish roots living in the mainly Russian-speaking southeast region. Many have left since the fighting began; a few have made it to Poland under their own steam, but the majority have migrated to western Ukraine or east into Russia.

NO RETURN

The refugees told how the conflict had divided society, destroyed relationships between neighbours, and even turned family members against one another.

“Everyone has to keep their thoughts to themselves. Every criticism can have very negative consequences,” said Natalia Mudrijewska, an English teacher who escaped with her travel agent husband and two young sons.

“I have not spoken with my brother in Canada for more than six months. He mostly watches Russian television and believes that Ukrainians from the western part of the country entered the Donetsk region and are shooting at their own citizens. He does not believe it when I tell him that it is the Russians who attacked Ukraine.”

Despite the announcement of a ceasefire this month, the Ukrainian refugees do not believe they will ever return to their homes.

“Even after the end of the conflict it will take 10 or 20 years to rebuild the country,” said Victoria, a mother of three, who declined to give her full name.

“All the infrastructure and the economy has been destroyed – schools, roads and factories. Everywhere there are missile launch pads and mines. How could everything disappear just like that? What kind of a future could my children have there?

“When I was packing our belongings, I knew there would be no going back.”
http://www.trust.org/item/20150225094729-qghia/?so...

McWigglebum4th

32,414 posts

204 months

Wednesday 25th February 2015
quotequote all
Cheese Mechanic said:
This really is getting scarey

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cam...

A training mision sure enough , but this must be under NATO auspice. If this kicks off, it will go tactical nuclear within days, if nerves do not hold.
On the bright side

We will never see another series of x-factor


Blaster72

10,839 posts

197 months

Wednesday 25th February 2015
quotequote all
McWigglebum4th said:
Cheese Mechanic said:
This really is getting scarey

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cam...

A training mision sure enough , but this must be under NATO auspice. If this kicks off, it will go tactical nuclear within days, if nerves do not hold.
On the bright side

We will never see another series of x-factor
"will go tactical nuclear within days, if nerves do not hold"

I've read some rubbish on Pistonheads but this really is scraping the bottom of the barrel.

The Russians aren't about to start launching nuclear weapons, not today, not tomorrow or at any point in the future.

McWigglebum4th

32,414 posts

204 months

Wednesday 25th February 2015
quotequote all
Blaster72 said:
McWigglebum4th said:
Cheese Mechanic said:
This really is getting scarey

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cam...

A training mision sure enough , but this must be under NATO auspice. If this kicks off, it will go tactical nuclear within days, if nerves do not hold.
On the bright side

We will never see another series of x-factor
"will go tactical nuclear within days, if nerves do not hold"

I've read some rubbish on Pistonheads but this really is scraping the bottom of the barrel.

The Russians aren't about to start launching nuclear weapons, not today, not tomorrow or at any point in the future.
So no nuclear winter and radioactive zombies then

Balls


Blaster72

10,839 posts

197 months

Wednesday 25th February 2015
quotequote all
McWigglebum4th said:
So no nuclear winter and radioactive zombies then

Balls
Sorry, no zombies just yet spin

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
Blaster72 said:
McWigglebum4th said:
Cheese Mechanic said:
This really is getting scarey

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/david-cam...

A training mision sure enough , but this must be under NATO auspice. If this kicks off, it will go tactical nuclear within days, if nerves do not hold.
On the bright side

We will never see another series of x-factor
"will go tactical nuclear within days, if nerves do not hold"

I've read some rubbish on Pistonheads but this really is scraping the bottom of the barrel.

The Russians aren't about to start launching nuclear weapons, not today, not tomorrow or at any point in the future.
You know in the movies where there is a mexican standoff and everyone has weapons drawn, someone makes a loud noise and everyone starts blazing away?

http://nuclear-news.net/2015/02/16/now-danger-of-n...

It's all about nerves.

It might not go nuclear, at least to start with, but it could get very messy, very quickly.

Blaster72

10,839 posts

197 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
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How do people manage to find these websites? That's not a credible source of information, just read their disclaimer.

No ones going Nuclear over Ukraine, trust me.

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
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Does it make sense?

Also, that scientific launch is well known, if you're informed, to have caused a massive panic.

Blaster72

10,839 posts

197 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
Asterix said:
Does it make sense?

Also, that scientific launch is well known, if you're informed, to have caused a massive panic.
Come again? confused

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
Blaster72 said:
Asterix said:
Does it make sense?

Also, that scientific launch is well known, if you're informed, to have caused a massive panic.
Come again? confused
You read the article?

Hopefully some credible sources in this lot for you - https://www.google.ae/search?q=Jan.+25%2C+1995+mis...


Edited by Asterix on Thursday 26th February 06:29

Blaster72

10,839 posts

197 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
I did read the article, in summary the threat of a Nuclear launch by Russia is a bit higher than 20 years ago when a missile test almost had the Russians suspect a US first strike.

In my humble opinion, we're not about to start a Nuclear war with Russia over a scrappy bit of land in eastern Ukraine. The whole reason certain countries are armed to the teeth with nukes is precisely to prevent anyone launching in the first place. Putin knows it, the USA knows it and at the moment only a certain religious faction would be crackers enough to actually think about pressing that button.

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
I take your point, and agree with it to a degree. However, in the same way some Austrian bloke getting shot in Sarajevo was the catalyst for WW1, it can never be discounted that a 'scrappy bit of land' could do the same. Sadly, we have no idea of what could happen, so we have to plan for the worst, as they will have too. The problem then arises that now the scenarios are planned for and possible, it only takes once bad judgement call due to escalation and everyone is toast.

It doesn't bear thinking about - but people will have.

Also remember that Russia's conventional forces, while possibly not the best trained or equipped, are huge. The only forces that could compete on numbers are the US. Unless they're parked really close by, which they can't be for fear of escalation again, the only defense the West will have if Russia decided to steam roll through NATO territory will be tactical armaments.

Again - sounds like a daft scenario - but weird st happens.

Edited by Asterix on Thursday 26th February 07:06

Rogue86

2,008 posts

145 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
Russia might have a larger (but less capable) conventional fighting force than the UK, but it is dwarfed by NATO. Thats the point of NATO.

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
Rogue86 said:
Russia might have a larger (but less capable) conventional fighting force than the UK, but it is dwarfed by NATO. Thats the point of NATO.
I agree, I have my doubts that NATO will come together as a cohesive entity if the chips are down.

NailedOn

3,114 posts

235 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
Russia's state gas and oil supplier is Gazprom.
Putin is threatening to cut off oil to Europe.
Gazprom sponsor the European Champions League.
UEFA and Putin are well matched. Plantini was on of those who voted for the Qatar World Cup.
You can certainly form a view of people by the company they keep.

hidetheelephants

24,366 posts

193 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
Asterix said:
Rogue86 said:
Russia might have a larger (but less capable) conventional fighting force than the UK, but it is dwarfed by NATO. Thats the point of NATO.
I agree, I have my doubts that NATO will come together as a cohesive entity if the chips are down.
You mean apart from the centralised command system, various rapidly deployable units including a new one specially for the Baltic states, spares and consumables commonality and regular and frequent readiness exercises. Yeah, NATO will totally be caught with their pants down, no preparation at all, shocking complacency.

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
hidetheelephants said:
Asterix said:
Rogue86 said:
Russia might have a larger (but less capable) conventional fighting force than the UK, but it is dwarfed by NATO. Thats the point of NATO.
I agree, I have my doubts that NATO will come together as a cohesive entity if the chips are down.
You mean apart from the centralised command system, various rapidly deployable units including a new one specially for the Baltic states, spares and consumables commonality and regular and frequent readiness exercises. Yeah, NATO will totally be caught with their pants down, no preparation at all, shocking complacency.
It's not the Control & Command system I doubt.

scherzkeks

4,460 posts

134 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
Blaster72 said:
"will go tactical nuclear within days, if nerves do not hold"

I've read some rubbish on Pistonheads but this really is scraping the bottom of the barrel.

The Russians aren't about to start launching nuclear weapons, not today, not tomorrow or at any point in the future.
Of course they aren't. But you must view this in the proper light: the US and some of its proxies want war, which is why the current propaganda seems so desperate in Anglo media outlets. Most of what I've read in the big German papers, for example, has been more balanced so far. My favorite PH headline to date was the one about Putin possibly seeking to take over Eastern Europe. smile

Bluebarge

4,519 posts

178 months

Thursday 26th February 2015
quotequote all
scherzkeks said:
the US and some of its proxies want war
Congratulations, that's the biggest lie you've told so far clap

Meanwhile, those Russian tanks in Eatern Ukraine are just distributing flowers rolleyes