Malaysia Airlines Plane "Loses Contact"

Malaysia Airlines Plane "Loses Contact"

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TTmonkey

20,911 posts

248 months

Saturday 7th March 2015
quotequote all
The Horizon program next week that's being promoted on the BbC has an interesting 'fact'.
The route of the plane takes after they lose contact apparently does a deliberate fly by of the island of Panang. The pilot interviewed abut this talks of a 'long, emotional turn' over the island, where he was apparently born.

Now I've not heard this before, but if this is true in terms of the route of the plane, then to me it's a first real indication of some kind of 'purpose' of the person in control of the plane......

Steffan

10,362 posts

229 months

Saturday 7th March 2015
quotequote all
TTmonkey said:
The Horizon program next week that's being promoted on the BbC has an interesting 'fact'.
The route of the plane takes after they lose contact apparently does a deliberate fly by of the island of Panang. The pilot interviewed abut this talks of a 'long, emotional turn' over the island, where he was apparently born.

Now I've not heard this before, but if this is true in terms of the route of the plane, then to me it's a first real indication of some kind of 'purpose' of the person in control of the plane......
If its true being the critical factor. Until there is some identifiable real evidence of where the plane actually lies I can see no real progress in the resolution of this tragey. Huge number of theories no evidence as yet of where the plane lies. Could be a long while coming. I can see no way of resolving this until confirmed evidential discovery establishes this matter.

AreOut

3,658 posts

162 months

Saturday 7th March 2015
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Steffan said:
Perhaps unsurprisingly given the anniversary date a rerun of the possible explanations by the Malasian Government abound in the news this morning

see: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-31777060

In reality it would seem to me that until some real physical evidence of where the plane actually lies appears, there is as yet nothing concrete on what actually happened. Tragic accident of some sort seems the most probable explanation to me. But what actually happened we are really no nearer identifying. Desperate situation for all the relatives who lack real closure. Desperate tragedy for all those killed.

As ever, what seems to me to be, the least unlikely explanation gets my vote, which is some form of accident rendering the crew and passengers unconsious. But until real physical evidence is found this remains an unsolved mystery.
Inmarsat pings ARE evidence, malaysian radar track IS genuine, those two completely dismiss any "accident rendering the crew unconsciuos", because it required very conscious crew to perform the path flown. So your explanation isn't least unlikely but least likely.

Edited by AreOut on Saturday 7th March 10:07

Steffan

10,362 posts

229 months

Saturday 7th March 2015
quotequote all
AreOut said:
Steffan said:
Perhaps unsurprisingly given the anniversary date a rerun of the possible explanations by the Malasian Government abound in the news this morning

see: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-31777060

In reality it would seem to me that until some real physical evidence of where the plane actually lies appears, there is as yet nothing concrete on what actually happened. Tragic accident of some sort seems the most probable explanation to me. But what actually happened we are really no nearer identifying. Desperate situation for all the relatives who lack real closure. Desperate tragedy for all those killed.

As ever, what seems to me to be, the least unlikely explanation gets my vote, which is some form of accident rendering the crew and passengers unconsious. But until real physical evidence is found this remains an unsolved mystery.
Inmarsat pings ARE evidence, malaysian radar track IS genuine, those two completely dismiss any "accident rendering the crew unconsciuos", because it required very conscious crew to perform the path flown. So your explanation isn't least unlikely but least likely.

Edited by AreOut on Saturday 7th March 10:07
Very possibly. I am not suggesting that I have any more idea than anyone else on here what has actually happened to that plane. Early on, I did think that oxygen starvation might be an explanation. However as matters in the search have stagnated I am no longer offering any prognosis personally. Until we have direct phtysical evidence with some certainty of the probable events I have an open mind. Desperate tragedy for the crew, the passengers and their relatives. I hope this evidence will be uncovered before much longer but I have my doubts.

Edited by Steffan on Saturday 7th March 12:23

Steffan

10,362 posts

229 months

Saturday 7th March 2015
quotequote all
Just spotted this on NBC:

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/missing-jet/mh370...

It does make me wonder whether this is the start of a new approach. Australian PM is also indicating cost concerns. Understandably these ocean searches must be very expensive. Softening the media up because they are really doubtful about finding anything? I do not know but it does seem another tack to me?

gowmonster

2,471 posts

168 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
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tis relly annoying it's not been found, I'm looking forward to the Discovery Channel Air Crash investigation episode covering this...

MitchT

15,879 posts

210 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
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If they do find it, what do we expect to learn that we don't know already?

We can safely assume that the plane was deliberately flown in the direction that it went in - either by hand or by reprogramming the route on the autopilot. All the FDR will confirm is which of the two was the case. The CVR will likely be of little use. The first two hours, which are likely to be the most interesting, will have been overwritten and the last two hours, if everyone was dead by then, will have nothing on it other than alarms being made by the computers as the plane runs of of fuel and stalls. The FDR will likely have indicated that these warnings were sounding already. And, that's if the FDR and CVR hadn't been disabled somehow.

Obviously people want closure but what more will the FDR and CVR reveal than confirmation of what we already suspect?

TTmonkey

20,911 posts

248 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
quotequote all
MitchT said:
If they do find it, what do we expect to learn that we don't know already?

We can safely assume that the plane was deliberately flown in the direction that it went in - either by hand or by reprogramming the route on the autopilot. All the FDR will confirm is which of the two was the case. The CVR will likely be of little use. The first two hours, which are likely to be the most interesting, will have been overwritten and the last two hours, if everyone was dead by then, will have nothing on it other than alarms being made by the computers as the plane runs of of fuel and stalls. The FDR will likely have indicated that these warnings were sounding already. And, that's if the FDR and CVR hadn't been disabled somehow.

Obviously people want closure but what more will the FDR and CVR reveal than confirmation of what we already suspect?
Agreed. If they had found it soon after the event, the bodies would have told us how people died, but that's all gone now.

Finding it will just mean that most questions will remain unanswered, the only info will be knowing, in fact, where it is, not why/how it got there

KTF

9,809 posts

151 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
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Welshbeef said:
Ch5 HD 8pm tonight a documentary on this - one year on.



March 2014 239 passengers and crew vanishes without a trace. A unique event we've never seen it before.

12 months on.

Its not a game changer its a world changer - it entered space smile
One hour of filler. How many times can they say that the only 'fact' is that it is missing. Anything else is pure speculation.

Claudia Skies

1,098 posts

117 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
quotequote all
KTF said:
One hour of filler.
I generally don't watch Ch 5 for that very reason.

There's greater hope on National Geographic at 8pm tonight. A proper TV channel. smile

Morningside

Original Poster:

24,110 posts

230 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
quotequote all
I know the latest thing is they are saying the distress batteries are out of date.
Do they mean they are flat or just old? I have some old torch batteries that are way out of date but still work.

gowmonster

2,471 posts

168 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
quotequote all
turns out there already is an Air Crash Investigation episode for this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iRxjdwJoObo

AreOut

3,658 posts

162 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
quotequote all
Morningside said:
I know the latest thing is they are saying the distress batteries are out of date.
Do they mean they are flat or just old? I have some old torch batteries that are way out of date but still work.
just old, but they shouldn't be as they have to endure 30 days

Langweilig

4,329 posts

212 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
quotequote all
Morningside said:
I know the latest thing is they are saying the distress batteries are out of date.
Do they mean they are flat or just old? I have some old torch batteries that are way out of date but still work.
And that the batteries expired a year before the crash. How can this be? There's a finite amount of energy in a smoke alarm battery. When it's almost exhausted, your smoke alarm makes noises, indicating that you need to fit an new battery.

Is there not a similar low battery warning on board the aircraft?

Edited by Langweilig on Sunday 8th March 21:49

uk66fastback

16,570 posts

272 months

Sunday 8th March 2015
quotequote all
Typical Air Crash Investigation ... an hour of *facts* - all of which are in this thread - the pings etc, the various theories - so the world is no nearer knowing what happened - not that I was thinking they'd come up with some brilliant theory themselves ...

I like ACI - I count how many times they use the phrase "shocking discovery" right before a break ...

Hilts

4,392 posts

283 months

Monday 9th March 2015
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After the transponder was switched off, did the aircraft immediately turn to a new course? Do we know if that was flown manually or through the FMS (is that tech for the autopilot?) or couldn't we tell?

jshell

11,032 posts

206 months

Monday 9th March 2015
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I think I said on this thread before that I've looked for st on the seabed in 1200m of water, 60 miles from land. st that I put there, and big st too. We had good charts and co-ords from the DGPS and it still took us ages to find it. I'm not completely surprised that something like this hasn't been found, though I'd have expected some debris by now.

AreOut

3,658 posts

162 months

Monday 9th March 2015
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jshell said:
I think I said on this thread before that I've looked for st on the seabed in 1200m of water, 60 miles from land. st that I put there, and big st too. We had good charts and co-ords from the DGPS and it still took us ages to find it.
well it might be because st dissolves in water

jshell

11,032 posts

206 months

Monday 9th March 2015
quotequote all
AreOut said:
jshell said:
I think I said on this thread before that I've looked for st on the seabed in 1200m of water, 60 miles from land. st that I put there, and big st too. We had good charts and co-ords from the DGPS and it still took us ages to find it.
well it might be because st dissolves in water
smile This st was solid steel... wobble

EzyQ

149 posts

218 months

Tuesday 10th March 2015
quotequote all
saw this in the dailymail this morning looks promising and supports the theory if the plan did crash in the indian ocean

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2987078/Is...