Malaysia Airlines Plane "Loses Contact"

Malaysia Airlines Plane "Loses Contact"

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Martin4x4

6,506 posts

132 months

Saturday 15th August 2015
quotequote all
Steffan said:
From the start the Malaysians have been less than forthright in confirming the details that they presumably must know by now?
I have some experience of Malaysians and found them to be generally very dishonest.

What matters to them more than anything is appearances, they will lie to your face and deny having done something when you both know they have. They never admit anything that will make themselves look bad in any way and will tie themselves in knots to cover up anything that appears bad.

This is what we are seeing in this situtation.

Edited by Martin4x4 on Sunday 16th August 11:32

Mr GrimNasty

8,172 posts

170 months

Saturday 15th August 2015
quotequote all
The Maldives sighting is the most credible even though nothing was seen on radar - there was some suspicious wreckage washed up near the time that was perhaps discounted too quickly, a lot of people independently described a very loud very low jet with the right markings. If it crashed nearer the Maldives (i.e. the calculated search zone is wrong) it would make the flap find much more probable.

TheSnitch

2,342 posts

154 months

Saturday 15th August 2015
quotequote all
Jimboka said:
Interesting that if the calculactions are correct, the plane went down somewhere else in all likelihood . As suspected all along. So the much maligned eye witnesses on the Maldives could have been right all along?
Hmmmm, not sure about that. Some of the people he quotes have arrived at a completely different conclusion. Reunion was projected to be a possible site for debris to wash up, so I can't see how the fact that it has should change anything. Certainly not on the basis of a single find, anyway

AreOut

3,658 posts

161 months

Saturday 15th August 2015
quotequote all
TheSnitch said:
I wonder if you can explain something to me?

Only one piece of confirmed wreckage has been recovered. The location is therefore the equivalent of a single data point on a graph.

The location is within the projected range suggested by the various models, assuming a crash site as previously modelled.

The author of this unpublished, non peer-reviewed paper, however seems rather confused, claiming that other destinations for drift of wreckage are ''more probable''

If, however, the location is within the hypothesized zone then the model is valid. Any re-evaluation would only be possible with the recovery of numerous pieces of wreckage. It would be a different matter if it had washed up in Norfolk, or anywhere else highly unlikely given the drift projections and calculated crash site.

I think what I am trying to get at is that it's a heap of crap, but I'm trying to go about it nicely.


Edited by TheSnitch on Saturday 15th August 10:02
the thing is if you had put 1000 pieces of anything in current search area and 1000 of those some 1000 miles to the north, tough chance that any would wash ashore on Reunion Island from the current search area while hundreds of those would from the northern area (after given amount of time)

Jimboka said:
Interesting that if the calculactions are correct, the plane went down somewhere else in all likelihood . As suspected all along. So the much maligned eye witnesses on the Maldives could have been right all along?
no, the plane is along the 7th arc which is too far from Maldives, who knows what they saw there (if they say anything)



Mr GrimNasty

8,172 posts

170 months

Saturday 15th August 2015
quotequote all
AreOut said:
no, the plane is along the 7th arc which is too far from Maldives, who knows what they saw there (if they say anything)
OK, just a mass hallucination then!

Steffan

10,362 posts

228 months

Saturday 15th August 2015
quotequote all
Martin4x4 said:
Steffan said:
From the start the Malaysians have been less than forthright in confirming the details that they presumably must know by now?
I have some experience of Malaysians and found them to be generally very dishonest.

What matter to them more than anything is appearances, they will lie to your face and deny having done something when you both know they have. They never admit anything that will make themselves look bad in any way and will tie themselves in knots to cover up anything that appears bad.

This is what you are seeing in this situtation.
I appreciate your comments. In circumstances such as these where hundreds of innocent passengers have lost their lives one would hope honesty would be the automatic approach. Clearly not in this case.

AreOut

3,658 posts

161 months

Saturday 15th August 2015
quotequote all
Mr GrimNasty said:
OK, just a mass hallucination then!
noone from that mass had a simple smartphone to take the picture/video of the plane that shouldn't be there?

in reality couple of people probably saw some plane that wasn't MH370, that's all

TheSnitch

2,342 posts

154 months

Sunday 16th August 2015
quotequote all
AreOut said:
the thing is if you had put 1000 pieces of anything in current search area and 1000 of those some 1000 miles to the north, tough chance that any would wash ashore on Reunion Island from the current search area while hundreds of those would from the northern area (after given amount of time)
As I have already said, the location is within the projected area for debris to wash up, and you cannot determine anything significant based on a single find, other than confirmation that the plane ended up in the water

motomk

2,150 posts

244 months

TheSnitch

2,342 posts

154 months

Sunday 16th August 2015
quotequote all
motomk said:
Thank you very much for that.

I think it goes to show there is often a simple explanation

Martin4x4

6,506 posts

132 months

Sunday 16th August 2015
quotequote all
Steffan said:
I appreciate your comments. In circumstances such as these where hundreds of innocent passengers have lost their lives one would hope honesty would be the automatic approach. Clearly not in this case.
I too would hope so, but I don't think that would be the case.

The magnitude of the situation, results in a big loss of face, likely increasing the vehemence.

This is also why I'm highly sceptical of the Malaysian Military Radar data, which appeared sometime after the international media were incredulous about early reports of the inability to track planes accuratly.



Edited by Martin4x4 on Sunday 16th August 12:35

davepoth

29,395 posts

199 months

Sunday 16th August 2015
quotequote all
I think it's telling that there were so many Chinese people aboard the plane. Looking at the Tianjin explosion, Beijing's attitude of "everything's fine" even though there was a cyanide cloud above the site seems to have rubbed off on the Malaysians in this case.

AreOut

3,658 posts

161 months

Sunday 16th August 2015
quotequote all

hidetheelephants

24,293 posts

193 months

Sunday 16th August 2015
quotequote all
Martin4x4 said:
This is also why I'm highly sceptical of the Malaysian Military Radar data, which appeared sometime after the international media were incredulous about early reports of the inability to track planes accuratly.
It's entirely normal behaviour for military organisations to be incredibly shy about revealing how good(or bad) their radar coverage and tracking ability is. This information is kept secret for sensible reasons.

Axionknight

8,505 posts

135 months

Monday 17th August 2015
quotequote all
TheSnitch said:
motomk said:
Thank you very much for that.

I think it goes to show there is often a simple explanation
Sounds like the chap in question just wanted a free holiday to the Maldives hehe

TTmonkey

20,911 posts

247 months

Monday 17th August 2015
quotequote all
AreOut said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
OK, just a mass hallucination then!
noone from that mass had a simple smartphone to take the picture/video of the plane that shouldn't be there?

in reality couple of people probably saw some plane that wasn't MH370, that's all
I thought it was a bunch of simple fisher folk on some out lying islands that reported seeing the Plane? I doubt if they have much use for smart phones.

2013BRM

39,731 posts

284 months

Monday 17th August 2015
quotequote all
TTmonkey said:
AreOut said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
OK, just a mass hallucination then!
noone from that mass had a simple smartphone to take the picture/video of the plane that shouldn't be there?

in reality couple of people probably saw some plane that wasn't MH370, that's all
I thought it was a bunch of simple fisher folk on some out lying islands that reported seeing the Plane? I doubt if they have much use for smart phones.
and would they have the time to whip out a phone, select the camera and get off a shot of a low flying plane? I've tried doing that at Duxford and got a distant smudge if I was lucky

KTF

9,805 posts

150 months

Friday 4th September 2015
quotequote all
motomk said:
That isn't really 'news' as it was almost certain to belong to it.

Composite Guru

2,207 posts

203 months

Friday 4th September 2015
quotequote all
motomk said:
No sh!t Sherlock!! They have taken all that time to say that!! biggrin