ebola, anyone else mildly terrified?
Discussion
TVR1 said:
Yes, but much like an Ebola outbreak, your thread was effectively eliminated as a result of efficient protocols. In the case of Ebola, good biohazard drills, and in the case of your thread, lack of interest.
eharding said:
TVR1 said:
Yes, but much like an Ebola outbreak, your thread was effectively eliminated as a result of efficient protocols. In the case of Ebola, good biohazard drills, and in the case of your thread, lack of interest.Ginetta G15 Girl said:
Ebola has a mortality rate of up to 90% so some people will always survive.
However, given its incubation period of 2-21 days, mortality rate, rapid onset of symptoms to death time (7 days), as well as the fact that the 4 strains lethal to humans are passed via infected bodily fluids, Ebola is a particularly inefficient virus in terms of spread.
Rapid quarantining of an infected area, coupled with good aseptic techniques, means that any outbreak should rapidly 'burn out'.
Whilst Ebola, as you say , is a very inefficient virus, you can't discount sudden mobility of the population that it infects. However, given its incubation period of 2-21 days, mortality rate, rapid onset of symptoms to death time (7 days), as well as the fact that the 4 strains lethal to humans are passed via infected bodily fluids, Ebola is a particularly inefficient virus in terms of spread.
Rapid quarantining of an infected area, coupled with good aseptic techniques, means that any outbreak should rapidly 'burn out'.
It's an exponential curve. Some African airlines have always been stopping passengers with Ebola/Marburg virus symptoms.
What if they can't stop everyone?
Imagine a lone infected passenger, on a flight to Heathrow from Africa.....
Ebola Symptomatic.
What next?
Ginetta G15 Girl said:
Ebola has a mortality rate of up to 90% so some people will always survive.
However, given its incubation period of 2-21 days, mortality rate, rapid onset of symptoms to death time (7 days), as well as the fact that the 4 strains lethal to humans are passed via infected bodily fluids, Ebola is a particularly inefficient virus in terms of spread.
Rapid quarantining of an infected area, coupled with good aseptic techniques, means that any outbreak should rapidly 'burn out'.
Whilst Ebola, as you say , is a very inefficient virus, you can't discount sudden mobility of the population that it infects. However, given its incubation period of 2-21 days, mortality rate, rapid onset of symptoms to death time (7 days), as well as the fact that the 4 strains lethal to humans are passed via infected bodily fluids, Ebola is a particularly inefficient virus in terms of spread.
Rapid quarantining of an infected area, coupled with good aseptic techniques, means that any outbreak should rapidly 'burn out'.
It's an exponential curve. Some African airlines have always been stopping passengers with Ebola/Marburg virus symptoms.
What if they can't stop everyone?
Imagine a lone infected passenger, on a flight to Heathrow from Africa.....
Ebola Symptomatic.
What next?
So an Ebola incubating patient gets on an aeroplane (very unlikely given the locii of Ebola outbreaks vs distance from an airport).
Then what?
Someone showing the symptoms of a Hemorrhagic fever is on board an aircraft (fair enough it could be Lassa, Marburg, or raft of others). We are going to let them just get off at Heathrow? Seriously? You are telling me the Crew are just going to sit there and do nothing?
Ebola spreads through contact with bodily fluids, it is not airborne (aside from Ebola Reston which is not pathogeinc in humans).
Even if there were to be spread on board an Airliner, the spread downstream would be minimal because of the way Ebola spreads. It really isn't a virus adapted to the Western world.
Were it to become airborne, however...
There are far more dangerous diseases out there (in terms of spread vs pK) than Ebola.
Then what?
Someone showing the symptoms of a Hemorrhagic fever is on board an aircraft (fair enough it could be Lassa, Marburg, or raft of others). We are going to let them just get off at Heathrow? Seriously? You are telling me the Crew are just going to sit there and do nothing?
Ebola spreads through contact with bodily fluids, it is not airborne (aside from Ebola Reston which is not pathogeinc in humans).
Even if there were to be spread on board an Airliner, the spread downstream would be minimal because of the way Ebola spreads. It really isn't a virus adapted to the Western world.
Were it to become airborne, however...
There are far more dangerous diseases out there (in terms of spread vs pK) than Ebola.
TVR1 said:
Whilst Ebola, as you say , is a very inefficient virus, you can't discount sudden mobility of the population that it infects.
It's an exponential curve. Some African airlines have always been stopping passengers with Ebola/Marburg virus symptoms.
What if they can't stop everyone?
Imagine a lone infected passenger, on a flight to Heathrow from Africa.....
Ebola Symptomatic.
What next?
It's an exponential curve. Some African airlines have always been stopping passengers with Ebola/Marburg virus symptoms.
What if they can't stop everyone?
Imagine a lone infected passenger, on a flight to Heathrow from Africa.....
Ebola Symptomatic.
What next?
TVR1 said:
Whilst Ebola, as you say , is a very inefficient virus, you can't discount sudden mobility of the population that it infects.
It's an exponential curve. Some African airlines have always been stopping passengers with Ebola/Marburg virus symptoms.
What if they can't stop everyone?
Imagine a lone infected passenger, on a flight to Heathrow from Africa.....
Ebola Symptomatic.
What next?
Like Ebola, your posts do seem to be replicating. If you could just stay very still for a minute or so, we'll fetch the flame-thrower, bleach and a large fuel-air explosive device. Nothing to worry about.It's an exponential curve. Some African airlines have always been stopping passengers with Ebola/Marburg virus symptoms.
What if they can't stop everyone?
Imagine a lone infected passenger, on a flight to Heathrow from Africa.....
Ebola Symptomatic.
What next?
otolith said:
Bill said:
otolith said:
The numbers are small, but I don't like the look of the shape of that curve.
You wouldn't see it next to the winter flu curve.To update; my daughter heads to Sierra Leonne a week Saturday. As things stand she has decided to go.
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