Malaysian Airlines 777 down on Ukraine / Russia Border?

Malaysian Airlines 777 down on Ukraine / Russia Border?

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Discussion

vonuber

17,868 posts

165 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
skyrover said:
An estimated 10,000 to 15,000 Russian soldiers have been deployed in Ukraine

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/01/russi...
Makes complete sense with the sudden turnaround in the situation on the ground.
Some people on this thread for some reason seem to have a really warped view of Putin and Russia. Must be all the topless hunting pictures.

Munter

31,319 posts

241 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
vonuber said:
Makes complete sense with the sudden turnaround in the situation on the ground.
Some people on this thread for some reason seem to have a really warped view of Putin and Russia. Must be all the topless hunting pictures.
It could be that they are members of this go getting and dynamic bunch? hehe
www.cpgb.org.uk

Jimbeaux

33,791 posts

231 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
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A former White House Security Analyst pointed out that this is less a military attack on Ukraine as it is an economic one. Ukraine's economy was already poor, by introducing more instability into the country, Putin is discouraging the foreign investment needed; therefore, it will get so bad that Ukraine will be forced to cut a deal favorable to Russia.

scherzkeks

4,460 posts

134 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
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Cobnapint said:
Then, if you want a bit more, you bully the incumbent government of that particular sovereign state you are 'dealing' with, until you get a bit more.
How did that interim government come to power? Let's rehash that part. IIRC it was a violet coup, in which there was ample evidence that the United States and possibly other Western governments were contributing financial and material support to groups like Svoboda. There were even US contractors photographed on the ground -- Xe/Academi/Blackwater I believe (or perhaps they have chosen to hide behind a new name now). These tactics mimic what the US govt. has been doing to destabilize countries like Venezuela and others in South America for years.



Edited by scherzkeks on Tuesday 2nd September 21:32

Jimbeaux

33,791 posts

231 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
Work on the pipeline between Russia and China is well underway. Russia does not want to have to depend soley on Europe as a customer. Good business I suppose; however, that gives Putin the upper hand in that he will be able to afford to cut off Europe instead of just threatening to if they take action he dislikes.

toppstuff

13,698 posts

247 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
Jimbeaux said:
Work on the pipeline between Russia and China is well underway. Russia does not want to have to depend soley on Europe as a customer. Good business I suppose; however, that gives Putin the upper hand in that he will be able to afford to cut off Europe instead of just threatening to if they take action he dislikes.
True - but the Chinese are just hedging their exposure with the Russian pipeline. The Chinese will get their energy from anywhere and everywhere and diversify across multiple sources.

The Chinese and the Russians are like two silverback gorillas however. They ain't never going to be friends.

And it is China who is in charge.

Jimbeaux

33,791 posts

231 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
toppstuff said:
Jimbeaux said:
Work on the pipeline between Russia and China is well underway. Russia does not want to have to depend soley on Europe as a customer. Good business I suppose; however, that gives Putin the upper hand in that he will be able to afford to cut off Europe instead of just threatening to if they take action he dislikes.
True - but the Chinese are just hedging their exposure with the Russian pipeline. The Chinese will get their energy from anywhere and everywhere and diversify across multiple sources.

The Chinese and the Russians are like two silverback gorillas however. They ain't never going to be friends.

And it is China who is in charge.
Oh no, they will never be friends, and yes the Chinese will get energy elsewhere. I was speaking specifically of the Russians looking for a way to make the cut off threat to Europe more real.

DMN

2,983 posts

139 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
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China has already used the current situation to get a better energy deal out of the Russians. Don't rule out them taking further advantage.

XJ Flyer

5,526 posts

130 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
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Cobnapint said:
XJ Flyer said:
Since when did NATO have any interests in Crimea whatsoever and what changed and why in that case.Unfortunately Russia understandably doesn't see it the same as you do.Whatever Russia's interests are in the region they are obviously more than ours and naval and air defence assets and keeping supply routes from Russia open to them,obviously form a large part of those interests.
That's what I'm saying, they (NATO) didn't. The interest they are showing now is because Russia has broken the Budapest agreement, entered an independant country and taken part of it for themselves. That doesn't usually go down too well on the international stage a) because it's morally and legally wrong, and b) because everybodys wondering who could be next.

Technically speaking, despite the 'referendum', the international community should be standing up for the rights of Ukrainian international borders and sending in the troops (like we did for Kuwait, and Poland) to get the Russians out.
That is what the UN and international agreements actually exist for.

Trouble is, there's alot of unfathomable history down in that corner of the world, the population of Crimea doesn't seem to mind it, and the world doesn't really need another ststorm of a war if it can help it - especially one where the enemy is Russia.



Edited by Cobnapint on Tuesday 2nd September 02:13
All of which is a contradiction in arguing with my view and then agreeing with it at the same time.Firstly it seems obvious that the Budapest agreement was drawn up during a different time under different circumstances.Those being a non EU and NATO aligned Ukraine.When NATO became a factor in that agreement then it is obvious that from Russia's point of view it ( rightly ) no longer exists.

Which then leaves the question of do we really want to go to war with Russia over moving NATO into Eastern Ukraine and Crimea as opposed to letting Russia keep it.Which is basically what the argument is all about.

XJ Flyer

5,526 posts

130 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
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DMN said:
Now we have the thinnly veiled threat from Putin:

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/02/putin...


For all of XJ-Tinfoliers rhetoric about stopping NATO's expansion eastwards, its not working out that way for Putin is it. All he is doing is drawing those countries further towards NATO.

If he wants to stop NATO, then he needs to stop sending his troops in the Ukraine.
NATO's eastward expansion having nothing whatsoever to do with Putin because it started before Putin was ever in office is a fact not tinfoil hat theory.In addition to the 'fact' that NATO's intent to move into all of Ukraine against the wishes of Russia was clear as of 2008 at least.The bit I would say is from Russia's point of view 'if' he wants to stop NATO then the way to do it is by using the Russian nuclear threat to the US homeland.Not by sending in troops to deal the problem on NATO's terms as NATO. expects.Which I'd guess is what he was referring to concerning his nuclear cababilities.Being that there's no point in trying to hold onto Eastern Ukraine and nuking it to do it.The problem is that America is so far in denial that the Cold War is back on that it doesn't even realise or understand the threat.


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:29


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:32


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:40

XJ Flyer

5,526 posts

130 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
alfaman said:
XJ Flyer said:
Octoposse said:
vonuber said:
The main thing of course is that if Russia hadn't intervened directly, the fighting would in all likelihood have been well over by now.
Yep - and if we'd encouraged Kiev to seek a political solution rather than a military one it wouldn't even have started . . .
The problem simply being that 'we' in the form of the EU and NATO don't want to seek a compromise solution because NATO has obvious strategic designs on interfering with Russia's Black Sea region strategic interests.Which all seems to be part of Bush's plan to 'contain' Russia where America wants it.All based on the catastrophic miscalculation that Russia won't push back up to and including the use of the nuclear option if that's what it takes.
You really do talk some utter lopsided crap/ come across as willfully blind.

Ukraine is a sovereign state who wants to turn it's back on Russian control and interference.

It has every right to do that.

You seem to think Ukraine belongs to Russia. It doesn't.

Using your warped conspiratorial logic ... If Scotland voted for independence and join the euro : England would have a right to mass it's army on the border , invade , take over southern Scotland, cause mayhem, to 'protect English interests in Scotland whose rights were being denied by the scots' - especially if the scots didn't want an English puppet as their leader.
No assuming that there was a Loyalist majority as in Ulster and the nationalists then called in Russia to help to kick the loyalists and the English government out.So the Russians could take over Faslane amongst other UK defence interests I'd imagine that might just lead to war with Russia and the nationalists.

XJ Flyer

5,526 posts

130 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
toppstuff said:
The Chinese and the Russians are like two silverback gorillas however. They ain't never going to be friends.

And it is China who is in charge.
There seems to be some strange idea amongst the British that China is more of a threat to Russia than it is to us.Almost,if not,to the point of seeing China as an ally.Bad idea.In general no one with any sense arms their enemies.

www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/27/us-china-russia...


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:57

skyrover

12,671 posts

204 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
XJ Flyer said:
There seems to be some strange idea amongst the British that China is more of a threat to Russia than it is to us.Almost,if not,to the point of seeing China as an ally.Bad idea.In general no one with any sense arms their enemies.

www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/27/us-china-russia...


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:57
And two years later not a single piece of military equipment has changed hands.

It is believed this is because the claims of Chinese arm's sales were fabricated by the Russian manufacturer's to drum up interest on the international markets.

Arguably the Chinese have already reached parity with the Russian's military technology.

skyrover

12,671 posts

204 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
Massive column of Russian armour near Luhansk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uisl4gqfIl0

rich85uk

3,367 posts

179 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
skyrover said:
Massive column of Russian armour near Luhansk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uisl4gqfIl0
Christ! well surely thats the end of Ukraine as we know it, there is no way they have an answer to even slow that lot down let alone stop it seeing as they are already running away from rebels recent growth.

Got to feel sorry them though as not that long ago they had Luhansk and Donetsk surrounded and cut off, then the humanitarian aid arrived and seems to have made the Ukrainian army run st scared as far as Mariupol. And that will be taken fairly easily..

QuantumTokoloshi

4,162 posts

217 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
rich85uk said:
Christ! well surely thats the end of Ukraine as we know it, there is no way they have an answer to even slow that lot down let alone stop it seeing as they are already running away from rebels recent growth.

Got to feel sorry them though as not that long ago they had Luhansk and Donetsk surrounded and cut off, then the humanitarian aid arrived and seems to have made the Ukrainian army run st scared as far as Mariupol. And that will be taken fairly easily..
Remember the humanitarian bombing of Libya, this is a humanitarian column in a similar vein.

Octoposse

2,158 posts

185 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
alfaman said:
You really do talk some utter lopsided crap/ come across as willfully blind.

Ukraine is a sovereign state who wants to turn it's back on Russian control and interference.

It has every right to do that.

You seem to think Ukraine belongs to Russia. It doesn't.
Well, the colossal opening flaw in your argument is that Ukraine – as a matter of unimpeachable fact – did notwant to turn it's back on Russian control and interference . . .

OK, there were internal division on the issue, but the outcome of the democratic and peaceful political process in Ukraine was the opposite. Strangely (by you logic) it somehow didn’t have every right to do that – so we went for regime change, from which all the subsequent tragedies have flowed.

But never mind the facts, let’s entirely accept your premise: what then is your suggested way forward? Encourage Kiev to fight to the last Ukrainian, or fast track them into NATO so we can fight to the last Dane? We could start the humanitarian appeal now for food, shelter and medical aid for half a million or so refugees.

Or maybe, just maybe, compromise on the sort of deal (recognition of Russian sovereignty in Crimea, minor tweaks to the Ukrainian Constitution, mutual security guarantees) that Moscow is clearly eager to sign up to, and has been eager to sign up to for six months now.

irocfan

40,429 posts

190 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
skyrover said:
Massive column of Russian armour near Luhansk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uisl4gqfIl0
wow!!! That is a fkload of amour there frown

XJ Flyer

5,526 posts

130 months

Tuesday 2nd September 2014
quotequote all
skyrover said:
XJ Flyer said:
There seems to be some strange idea amongst the British that China is more of a threat to Russia than it is to us.Almost,if not,to the point of seeing China as an ally.Bad idea.In general no one with any sense arms their enemies.

www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/27/us-china-russia...


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:57
And two years later not a single piece of military equipment has changed hands.

It is believed this is because the claims of Chinese arm's sales were fabricated by the Russian manufacturer's to drum up interest on the international markets.

Arguably the Chinese have already reached parity with the Russian's military technology.
But not because Russia has any issues about arming China.The fact is if/when push comes to shove in the form of an east west fight China is more likely to be an ally of Russia than an enemy.While if we do go to war with Russia it shouldn't be over Crimea and as has been the case since at least the 1960's the outcome at best can only be one of mutually assured destruction.With ours obviously being a lot more assured than Russia's bearing in mind how few warheads would be required to wipe out such a small geographic area.

http://thediplomat.com/2014/03/china-backs-russia-...


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 22:43

DMN

2,983 posts

139 months

Wednesday 3rd September 2014
quotequote all
XJ Flyer said:
NATO's eastward expansion having nothing whatsoever to do with Putin because it started before Putin was ever in office is a fact not tinfoil hat theory.In addition to the 'fact' that NATO's intent to move into all of Ukraine against the wishes of Russia was clear as of 2008 at least.The bit I would say is from Russia's point of view 'if' he wants to stop NATO then the way to do it is by using the Russian nuclear threat to the US homeland.Not by sending in troops to deal the problem on NATO's terms as NATO. expects.Which I'd guess is what he was referring to concerning his nuclear cababilities.Being that there's no point in trying to hold onto Eastern Ukraine and nuking it to do it.The problem is that America is so far in denial that the Cold War is back on that it doesn't even realise or understand the threat.


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:29


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:32


Edited by XJ Flyer on Tuesday 2nd September 16:40
Your "argument" is that Putin is pushing back to stop NATO.

The fact is, it isn't working.

Instead of making theose he wishes to have power over come running back, their going even further towards NATO.

If Putin is trying to build a buffer between Russia and NATO, he has failed.