Hottest August in 300 yrs?
Discussion
not sure about pre bertha weather (resists urge to say after Bertha...ooops) but the weather over the Otley Chevin at LBA looks like Mordor right now it is actually almost night time here in horsforth, leeds.
would not want to be on a plane coming in at this point.....LBA is bad on a calm day.
would not want to be on a plane coming in at this point.....LBA is bad on a calm day.
Oldred_V8S said:
Does anyone pay any attention to what the met office or these rags have to say about the weather?
Wasn't last winter predicted to have been the driest on record? Anyone remember the floods?
The previous winter was supposed to have had more snow than the previous two years combined. It was grey and manky!
And what of the previous predictions of a BBQ summer? It was dank and miserable.
I just take what they predict and turn it 180 degrees, I am often more right than they are.
Might amuse some of you. Blog post from about a year ago but still reasonably relevant:Wasn't last winter predicted to have been the driest on record? Anyone remember the floods?
The previous winter was supposed to have had more snow than the previous two years combined. It was grey and manky!
And what of the previous predictions of a BBQ summer? It was dank and miserable.
I just take what they predict and turn it 180 degrees, I am often more right than they are.
It’s eight o’clock in the morning. Outside the sun shines brightly and even now the heat is starting to build; it’s going to be another scorcher. We’ve already had the customary news reports about melting motorways and train lines twisting in the heat; the photos of smiling ice-cream sellers and pretty girls lunching in London’s parks. Finally, at long last, summer is here. Yet for the scientists working to find the Holy Grail of climate study – the link between human activity and what happens to our weather – could it be that this seemingly unexpected bout of entirely seasonal July warmth finally provides the unequivocal evidence – the yearned for smoking gun?
As we bask in sunshine we have, quite literally, never seen before the connection is becoming apparent. Like all scientific discoveries the answer was always there; held tantalisingly just beyond our reach until the puzzle could eventually be solved. It was just a matter of considering the evidence; evidence that has always been right in front of our noses but, by over-complicating the issue, we somehow managed to miss.
Until now. Let’s take a moment and consider the clues. The alarm bells should have started to ring about six years ago. Britain’s winter had been a typically dull affair, characterised by grey skies and temperatures cold enough to be miserable without ever being spectacular. Not to worry though, the Met Office popped up some time around the spring to promise us a ‘barbecue summer’. Remember that? Of course you do, Rihanna was in the charts with one of those inescapable songs that worms its way into your consciousness, whether you want it there or not. It was called ‘Umbrella’ and it was singularly appropriate – it pissed down all summer long.
Fear not, said the Met Office, at least – thanks to our old friend Global Warming – cold winters were ‘a thing of the past’. The first snowflake dropped from the sky on 17 December. It heralded the beginning of the coldest winter for decades. The entire country was covered in a thick blanket of snow and boy, did it just keep on falling. For weeks the transport system faced severe problems. The army was deployed to help stranded motorists and a full-on national emergency was only just avoided. The salt mines beneath Cheshire went into overdrive as local authorities across the land ran out of grit for their roads – having listened to the Met Office, they hadn’t ordered nearly enough.
Then, just a few weeks ago, they did it again. Citing an increase in greenhouse gases and the warming of the Jetstream (or was it the cooling of the Atlantic?), they issued a gloomy prediction: ‘a trend of mild winters and wet summers for the next ten years’. Almost within minutes of the announcement, Andy Murray was triumphing at Wimbledon in 40 degree heat, sunblock was flying off the shelves and clouds of barbecue smoke were drifting through the air.
Want to know what’s going to happen next? Want to find a link between human activity and what happens to the weather? Dead easy; it’s the UK’s venerable Met Office. Nobody but the most backwards, closed-minded, flat-earth sceptic can deny it. It can no longer be considered a coincidence that whenever they make an announcement, the polar opposite ensues.
Thankyou4calling said:
Met office official stats show 2013 to have been the hottest, driest and sunniest sumner since 2006.
Which of itself proves AGW is s***e. You see, CO2 figures did not reduce between 2006 and 2013. Thus there is no correlation.ETA - and not to mention it's not been hugely warm most days!
turbobloke said:
The latest on Big Bertha from Mystic Met.
Update by M.O. 8 August 10:57 There is the potential for severe weather over much of the UK during Sunday as a depression tracks over, or close to, the UK. There continues to be a great deal of uncertainty in the forecast but the public should be aware of the risk of flooding due to heavy rain as well as very strong winds and
large waves (what, not inland surely?) particularly on the southern side of the depression. Given the unseasonable nature of the weather this could be sufficient to disrupt transport and make outdoor activities dangerous. This is a particularly volatile situation, and this alert is likely to be updated (because we are, to be honest, totally clueless!) as the event approaches. The public are advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts and alerts through the weekend.
Footnote (added by poster, just in case you think it's the MO
)We will keep looking out the window and let you know what's happening at the same time as you encounter whatever is going to happen. Is that clear? To be honest, we have no idea.
Further update:
Chief meteorologist at the MO, Paul Gundersen says:
'...there is still a chance that the system may pass to the south of the country giving the UK a brighter day.'
So, get the barbies out!
Edited by dandarez on Saturday 9th August 12:54
According to this report, the Met's least probable 10% route is turning out to be the one closest to the actual track.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/11023534...
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/11023534...
article on the BBC website said:
Rain had begun arriving in Cornwall, Devon, Somerset and Wales on Saturday evening ahead of the forecast storms, BBC Weather said.
High winds and heavy rain are expected to lash much of the UK as remnants of what was Hurricane Bertha reach the country early on Sunday.
The stormy weather is expected to hit southern England first, before heading north and battering Scotland on Sunday evening and into Monday.
Parts of the country are expected to see between half an inch and an inch of rain on Sunday.
So far in this part of the SW we've been 'lashed' by a couple of showers and 'battered' by winds that rustled nearby trees. High winds and heavy rain are expected to lash much of the UK as remnants of what was Hurricane Bertha reach the country early on Sunday.
The stormy weather is expected to hit southern England first, before heading north and battering Scotland on Sunday evening and into Monday.
Parts of the country are expected to see between half an inch and an inch of rain on Sunday.
Presumably the BBC are showing photos of Cambridgeshire on their site as there's not a lot to see from Bertha (as yet). Apparently it's all happening later today.
Diderot said:
Wind is picking up a little here in coastal West Sussex. A few drops of rain. Hatches are battened, 3 week's supply of food at the ready, and emergency power generation on standby.
Here in tractor territory the latest shower has turned out to be a bit more pissistently wet and looks like it could be here for a while...may need an umbrella for the Sunday morning walk to the shops. It's what I would describe as 'raining' and as such it simply must be due to global warming.
Negative Creep said:
funkyrobot said:
Any news on the storm hitting the south west yet?
Well at the moment it's a bit windy here and the cat was acting up during the night. If I don't make it I want you to al know that it's been emotional.
So, it's windy and wet, but not quite the destructive force some places have made it out to be?
It seems to be windy with persistent rain now in Lincs.
hope it doesn't get too bad.
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