Tory MP defection.

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Discussion

AJS-

15,366 posts

236 months

Sunday 31st August 2014
quotequote all
BlackLabel said:
"Poll suggests Ukip set for big win in Clacton by-election

Ukip look set to win the Clacton by-election convincingly, according to a new poll.

The by-election follows the decision by MP Douglas Carswell to defect from the Conservatives to Nigel Farage's party.

The Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday has Ukip on 64%, way ahead of the Tories on 20%, with Labour on 13% and the Lib Dems on just 2%."


http://www.itv.com/news/story/2014-08-30/nigel-far...
This could potentially be a game changer for 2015. I must admit my first thought was to question whether Carswell would keep the seat under a UKIP banner, but if this carries through then he could even increase his majority. What then for other Eurosceptic Tory MPs? What do the Conservatives offer them if not the "safe" option of a Conservative seat?

powerstroke

10,283 posts

160 months

Sunday 31st August 2014
quotequote all
AJS- said:
BlackLabel said:
"Poll suggests Ukip set for big win in Clacton by-election

Ukip look set to win the Clacton by-election convincingly, according to a new poll.

The by-election follows the decision by MP Douglas Carswell to defect from the Conservatives to Nigel Farage's party.

The Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday has Ukip on 64%, way ahead of the Tories on 20%, with Labour on 13% and the Lib Dems on just 2%."


http://www.itv.com/news/story/2014-08-30/nigel-far...
This could potentially be a game changer for 2015. I must admit my first thought was to question whether Carswell would keep the seat under a UKIP banner, but if this carries through then he could even increase his majority. What then for other Eurosceptic Tory MPs? What do the Conservatives offer them if not the "safe" option of a Conservative seat?
Yes and Cameron's rabble and every other knuckle dragger will be doing there damdest to stop him can't have any change can we!?!

AJS-

15,366 posts

236 months

Sunday 31st August 2014
quotequote all
Well like it or not we have change.

People are very poor at dealing with anything that doesn't have a precedent, as we can see every time someone pops up to say that all these "lost Tories" will fall back into line once faced with a general election and the vety real possibility of a Labour government.

On these numbers we could very well be going into the next election with a handful of UKIP MPs and the real possibility of many more. It's never happened before but it's happening now and it doesn't seem likely that Cameron posturing will stop it.

powerstroke

10,283 posts

160 months

Sunday 31st August 2014
quotequote all
AJS- said:
Well like it or not we have change.

People are very poor at dealing with anything that doesn't have a precedent, as we can see every time someone pops up to say that all these "lost Tories" will fall back into line once faced with a general election and the vety real possibility of a Labour government.

On these numbers we could very well be going into the next election with a handful of UKIP MPs and the real possibility of many more. It's never happened before but it's happening now and it doesn't seem likely that Cameron posturing will stop it.
well I'm hoping we really can't go on with the political
establishment serving this gray and insipid ping pong game of one fking the economy selling assets and burdening us with debt and uncontrolled immigration and the other lot giving us gruel and a misery induceing energy policy and Brocken promises plenty of stick and not much carrot ..

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
And we have another:


"Rochester and Strood MP Mark Reckless quits Conservative Party for UKIP"

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-29394697

edit -

his constituency at the last general election:

Con 23,604
Lab 13,651
Lib Dem 7,800
English Democrats 2,182
Green 734

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rochester_and_Strood_...

UKIP did not field a candidate here in 2010 ' because of Mr Reckless's well-documented Euro-scepticism'.

Edited by BlackLabel on Saturday 27th September 14:59

Puggit

48,446 posts

248 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
Another by-election too. Risky but potentially devastating strategy

sjn2004

4,051 posts

237 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
Puggit said:
Another by-election too. Risky but potentially devastating strategy
I guess he has an idea of UKIP support due to local and euro results. When does the Conservative conference start???

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
Puggit said:
Another by-election too. Risky but potentially devastating strategy
A Reckless strategy one might say. wink I think it will resonate with the electorate though.

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
sjn2004 said:
When does the Conservative conference start???
Tomorrow.

schmunk

4,399 posts

125 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
Rochester and Strood is another one of "those areas"...

unrepentant

21,260 posts

256 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
Everytime I read the title of this thread it reads as "Tory MP Defecation".

At a subliminal level that must seem more appropriate...........

smegmore

3,091 posts

176 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
Heh.

The tory party is coming apart at the seams, well done CMD.

For the next bunch of freeloading clowns due in next year, my precious shilling is on labour with a nice new UKIP bunch in the punch and judy show.

Happy days ahead smile

Mr_B

10,480 posts

243 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
schmunk said:
Rochester and Strood is another one of "those areas"...
Explain please.

smegmore

3,091 posts

176 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
schmunk said:
Rochester and Strood is another one of "those areas"...
Populated by 'them' ???

wow, must keep away from there, mind you it is down south...smile

jimbobsimmonds

1,824 posts

165 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
schmunk said:
Rochester and Strood is another one of "those areas"...
As a constituent I will agree there are some of 'those areas' but all in, it isn't that bad. There is a lot of rural areas, not full of 'those' types, on my road alone there is an Aston, 2 Bentley's, numerous Rangies; none of 'those' types; and some of Rochester is positive ly lovely. But bits are st! Bit like anywhere really...


It's certainly not Chatham or Gillingham.

Anyhow. Interesting times ahead...


Edited by jimbobsimmonds on Saturday 27th September 21:22

smegmore

3,091 posts

176 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
jimbobsimmonds said:
As a constituent I will agree there are some of 'those areas' but all in, it isn't that bad.


It's certainly not Chatham or Gillingham.

Anyhow. Interesting times ahead...
You could move to Dewsbury.

unrepentant

21,260 posts

256 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
jimbobsimmonds said:
As a constituent I will agree there are some of 'those areas' but all in, it isn't that bad. There is a lot of rural areas, not full of 'those' types, on my road alone there is an Aston, 2 Bentley's, numerous Rangies; none of 'those' types; and some of Rochester is positive ly lovely. But bits are st! Bit like anywhere really...
Driving a Bentley or an Aston doesn't preclude someone from being a xenophobic little Englander.

avinalarf

6,438 posts

142 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
unrepentant said:
Driving a Bentley or an Aston doesn't preclude someone from being a xenophobic little Englander.
Phew ...that's alright then,was beginning to get a bit worried.

schmunk

4,399 posts

125 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
Mr_B said:
Explain please.
Read the rest of the thread.

peterpeter

6,437 posts

257 months

Saturday 27th September 2014
quotequote all
powerstroke said:
Fantastic news another step forward , even if all it does is hasten Cameron's
Demise it will be good , UKIP'S rise is a very positive thing ..
Yes wonderful news for milliband