Scottish Referendum / Independence - Vol 6

Scottish Referendum / Independence - Vol 6

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Strocky

2,642 posts

113 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
McWigglebum4th said:
they won 44% of the vote in the 2011 election

you know the election where 50.1% of electorate actually voted


so roughly 22% of the electorate


Yeah

That is a vast majority of scotland
Semantics and you know it, unless you can show me any Westminster Government that was voted in with an absolute "majority" in terms of total votes cast / total electorate

Strocky

2,642 posts

113 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
5pen said:
If the SNP wanted to control ALL the economic levers of the country why was their favoured plan to enter into a currency union with the rest of the UK? Even after they were advised that this was a non-starter.

Majority, noun, "The greater part or number; the number larger than half the total"
It was to allay fears to the purse clutching stebags and to force Westminster into either backing a CU or allowing an IS to start with no debt

simoid

19,772 posts

158 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Thank goodness an unpredictable reserve like oil is only a couple of % of our tax receipts, and not 10x that proportion.

Strocky

2,642 posts

113 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
andymadmak said:
Apparently about one in six Scots (16.7%) who voted in 2010 got the (Conservative) Government they voted for - It rises to just under 36% if you include the Lib Dem voters.

The SNP polled 19.9%

Interestingly the Conservative vote was up by almost 1% compared to the previous election.
Scottish voters do vote tactically for two different parties depending on it being a UK or Scottish GE

Strocky

2,642 posts

113 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Risky Shift said:
Another two Labour votes here; I'll gladly swallow my feelings about how much of a shambles they currently are to try and hold back the SNP tide.
Scottish voting intentions for the May 2015 UK general election :

SNP 43.6% (+2.6)
Labour 26.0% (-1.1)
Conservatives 15.6% (-1.0)
Liberal Democrats 6.3% (-0.7)
UKIP 4.6% (+0.7)
Greens 2.3% (-0.6)

http://scotgoespop.blogspot.co.uk/

redface

Strocky

2,642 posts

113 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Janluke said:
Normally vote tory, voted SNP once but voting labour this time purely as I think they have the best chance of beating the SNP. Its a hard choice as I believe my local area is very well served by SNP councillors/MSP, they work hard, listen to local opinion but I feel so strongly about remaining part of the Union I won't vote for any party holding separatist views
So you'd seriously rather proudly proclaim being British even if it meant you had worse local services for you and your fellow citizens? eek

Do you suck your thumb when you're lying under your UJ duvet?

simoid

19,772 posts

158 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Strocky said:
Risky Shift said:
Another two Labour votes here; I'll gladly swallow my feelings about how much of a shambles they currently are to try and hold back the SNP tide.
Scottish voting intentions for the May 2015 UK general election :

SNP 43.6% (+2.6)
Labour 26.0% (-1.1)
Conservatives 15.6% (-1.0)
Liberal Democrats 6.3% (-0.7)
UKIP 4.6% (+0.7)
Greens 2.3% (-0.6)

http://scotgoespop.blogspot.co.uk/

redface
So that's probably broadly similar to the latest elections - the 2011 Holyrood?

(The SNP are actually down in support since then - 44% of votes in 2011 IIRC)

simoid

19,772 posts

158 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Strocky said:
Janluke said:
Normally vote tory, voted SNP once but voting labour this time purely as I think they have the best chance of beating the SNP. Its a hard choice as I believe my local area is very well served by SNP councillors/MSP, they work hard, listen to local opinion but I feel so strongly about remaining part of the Union I won't vote for any party holding separatist views
So you'd seriously rather proudly proclaim being British even if it meant you had worse local services for you and your fellow citizens? eek

Do you suck your thumb when you're lying under your UJ duvet?
I'm sure my local SNP councillors work hard and listen to local opinion.

Doesn't mean they're not utter roasters intent on splitting Scotland for personal and party political gain.

Strocky

2,642 posts

113 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
simoid said:
Thank goodness an unpredictable reserve like oil is only a couple of % of our tax receipts, and not 10x that proportion.
A bit more meat for your bones

http://www.ifs.org.uk/bns/bn135.pdf

simoid

19,772 posts

158 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Strocky said:
simoid said:
Thank goodness an unpredictable reserve like oil is only a couple of % of our tax receipts, and not 10x that proportion.
A bit more meat for your bones

http://www.ifs.org.uk/bns/bn135.pdf
Read it a while ago, when it was relevant to my life and decision making. Is there a point you're trying to make?

Strocky

2,642 posts

113 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
simoid said:
Read it a while ago, when it was relevant to my life and decision making. Is there a point you're trying to make?
Nope, was just adding more sustenance to your throwaway "stat"

simoid

19,772 posts

158 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Strocky said:
simoid said:
Is there a point you're trying to make?
Nope
Thought not.


Janluke

2,581 posts

158 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Strocky said:
So you'd seriously rather proudly proclaim being British even if it meant you had worse local services for you and your fellow citizens? eek

Do you suck your thumb when you're lying under your UJ duvet?
I think what I trying to say is I don't have a black and white view of the SNP or indeed Yes voters. I can acknowledge the SNP have done some good for Scotland but the independence issue is something I feel strongly about. I think the local services across the board would be worse if we where independent.

I realise your last point was tongue in cheek but I'm not a great fan of flags I think the only one in the house is a small one on my Triumph bike. Thumb sucking I'll admit to :-)

McWigglebum4th

32,414 posts

204 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Strocky said:
So you'd seriously rather proudly proclaim being British even if it meant you had worse local services for you and your fellow citizens? eek

Do you suck your thumb when you're lying under your UJ duvet?
Since this whole debate has started

I have told people i am english

As being scottish is too embarrassing as folk think of angry little tts like you

NoNeed

15,137 posts

200 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
I wonder which one of the banned sepratists strocky is

5pen

1,888 posts

206 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Strocky said:
5pen said:
If the SNP wanted to control ALL the economic levers of the country why was their favoured plan to enter into a currency union with the rest of the UK? Even after they were advised that this was a non-starter.

Majority, noun, "The greater part or number; the number larger than half the total"
It was to allay fears to the purse clutching stebags and to force Westminster into either backing a CU or allowing an IS to start with no debt
That worked well then.

I thought it was because they had no credible plan for a currency of their own and wanted to retain the BoE as a lender of last resort to a foreign country?

Whatever, the point is that their plan was not in any way going to give them control of ALL economic levers as you suggested was their aim.

///ajd

8,964 posts

206 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
NoNeed said:
I wonder which one of the banned sepratists strocky is
Yes, he seems to talk the same amount of nonsense (an unrelenting torrent of utter horse poo).

Just look at that complete tosh about a CU and 'forcing westminster' to leave an IS with no debt. The SNP realised there was no escape from the debt, they just said sh*t like that as they realised some (most?) of their supporters were stupid enough to believe it and spout it.



simoid

19,772 posts

158 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
///ajd said:
Yes, he seems to talk the same amount of nonsense (an unrelenting torrent of utter horse poo).

Just look at that complete tosh about a CU and 'forcing westminster' to leave an IS with no debt. The SNP realised there was no escape from the debt, they just said sh*t like that as they realised some (most?) of their supporters were stupid enough to believe it and spout it.
Ya. Does them no harm, but polarizes opinion.

Quite the modus operandi.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

198 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Giving Devo Max and the fact that Scotland will raise all of its borrowing is a very smart move --- why? Over the period of time the legacy debt will errode down/need refinancing at each point Scotland will take the chunk of that debt --- basically snookered them from ever trying to walk away with zero debt.


Also it will prove beyond doubt that they cannot run a balanced budget with oil revenue a key factor of the tax revenue.





One question IF Osbourne announces that Borth Sea get tax breaks for investment does that mean Scotland get less via block grant to pay for that or is it simply considered a freebie?

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Thursday 4th December 2014
quotequote all
Strocky said:
So to the Unionists on here, who are you voting for in the UK GE and then the Scottish GE and why?
Labour - just to try and keep the SNP out which should happen where I live since Labour have a 15 or 16k majority here.

I think the polls which show the Nats getting 45+ seats in May are over estimations. They will get 20 plus/minus 5 imo

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