Petrol Prices

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unrepentant

Original Poster:

21,257 posts

256 months

Wednesday 5th November 2014
quotequote all
IroningMan said:
unrepentant said:
Dog Star said:
Stating the obvious - the higher the proportion of tax on your fuel the correspondingly smaller reduction in price you will see, no? The OPs comparison isn't really valid.
Yeah but... I think the tax is 70p a litre? So on the 1.31 61p wasn't tax so if that fell by 25% it should give you a 15p per litre reduction.
There's VAT as well as fuel duty.

And VAT on the fuel duty, too...
I forgot VAT. We have 7% local sales tax included in ours.

dazren

22,612 posts

261 months

Wednesday 5th November 2014
quotequote all
GetCarter said:
Still driving Porkers Daz? Must be 10 years since we were last at Brunters on the same day...
Oh yes . You got your turbo at a similar time to me so it would have been at least 10 years ago meeting at VMAX. I still have my 02 996 turbo now on 81k miles. Also got a 991 GT3 in December 13, despite three months parked up for an engine change earlier in the year, it's already done 7,500 miles. Still do an annual Scotland trip, 2014 in a loan car Panamera diesel, 2013 in the 996 turbo, 2012 in an M5 for 1/2 a day then 1,500 miles in a chevrolet Spark+ hire car!

cheers

DAZ wavey

unrepentant

Original Poster:

21,257 posts

256 months

Wednesday 5th November 2014
quotequote all
oyster said:
unrepentant said:
Dog Star said:
Stating the obvious - the higher the proportion of tax on your fuel the correspondingly smaller reduction in price you will see, no? The OPs comparison isn't really valid.
Yeah but... I think the tax is 70p a litre? So on the 1.31 61p wasn't tax so if that fell by 25% it should give you a 15p per litre reduction.
£1.31 back in the summer was $2.23.
£1.20 now is about $1.93.
That's 13% in USD terms, but only 8% in GBP.
I haven't factored in exchange rate changes, just the headline prices 1.31/litre and $3.82/gallon against ? litre today and $2.72 last night per (US) gallon here. Our price has dropped by 29% in real terms at the pump.

AlexHat

1,327 posts

119 months

Wednesday 5th November 2014
quotequote all
I think my local is steady at 1.23.9 a litre

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

198 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
Nice bit of political pressure.


Thing is just like the income tax statement the same should be done for fuel and people will realise that so much of the fuel price is tax then even 50% reductions in oil price will not make vast differences to forecourt prices.

gruffalo

7,521 posts

226 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
Nice bit of political pressure.


Thing is just like the income tax statement the same should be done for fuel and people will realise that so much of the fuel price is tax then even 50% reductions in oil price will not make vast differences to forecourt prices.
Especially when production and logistic costs that are relatively constant are included, the actual crude costs are quite a small part.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

198 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
Its c£0.86 taxes so given we have seen about a 5% price reduction so far at best we should be looking at £1.18ppl so yes some more to come so a useful £4 saving per tank plus all the saving logistics will save thus entire inflation may drop further/deflation??

Vaud

50,476 posts

155 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
Its c£0.86 taxes so given we have seen about a 5% price reduction so far at best we should be looking at £1.18ppl so yes some more to come so a useful £4 saving per tank plus all the saving logistics will save thus entire inflation may drop further/deflation??
You can look at the influence here:

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/infographics/how-cpi-is-...

MikeT66

2,680 posts

124 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29924710

It's this kind of thing that really gets me though - it's the government's tax(es) that increase the price so blooming much, but hey, let's ignore that facet of the overall cost, shall we?

to3m

1,226 posts

170 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
Danny Alexander has been blathering about all of this: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29924710 (My favourite quote - "While no research supports this, the thought of this effect creates ill feeling, he will say." - that will be a very productive contribution to the discussion I am sure.)

The article gets its maths wrong, because when helpfully converting the old cost per barrel into £ they use the current exchange rate. Here's my attempt to do it with hopefully better figures. Roughly, you get ~185L of products out of a barrel of oil, so divide the barrel cost by that to get an estimate of how much the oil contributes to the cost of a litre of product.

Before: $115 / 1.70 (June exchange rate) = £67/barrel; £67 / 185L = £0.36/L
After: $84 / 1.60 (current exchange rate) = £52.50/barrel; £52.50 / 185L = £0.28/L

So you'd expect a drop of £0.36 - £0.28 = £0.08. And you got a drop of £1.317 - £1.242 = £0.075.

A poor foundation for political grandstanding in my book!

(edit - looks like this post took longer to write than I thought smile)

unrepentant

Original Poster:

21,257 posts

256 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
gruffalo said:
Welshbeef said:
Nice bit of political pressure.


Thing is just like the income tax statement the same should be done for fuel and people will realise that so much of the fuel price is tax then even 50% reductions in oil price will not make vast differences to forecourt prices.
Especially when production and logistic costs that are relatively constant are included, the actual crude costs are quite a small part.
Except here in the States the forecourt price has dropped by almost 30%!

Gargamel

14,987 posts

261 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all

I love that the press reported that Petrol was down to "only" 1:23 a litre.... ONLY FFS

I heard that tax was currently 57p per litre, excluding VAT

121.9 round my way

catso

14,787 posts

267 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
MikeT66 said:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29924710

It's this kind of thing that really gets me though - it's the government's tax(es) that increase the price so blooming much, but hey, let's ignore that facet of the overall cost, shall we?
Indeed, Politicians are not doing themselves any favours by reminding us of the price of fuel and the fact that the oil companies 'should' be giving it us a couple of pence cheaper when the tax take is so huge... furious


Roo

11,503 posts

207 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
I was surprised at the fuel price when I was out there in April.

Vegas was just under $4 a gallon with LA being just over.

Back in '02 most places were under $1 a gallon so it's gone up a hell of a lot in the intervening years.

Hub

6,434 posts

198 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
MikeT66 said:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29924710

It's this kind of thing that really gets me though - it's the government's tax(es) that increase the price so blooming much, but hey, let's ignore that facet of the overall cost, shall we?
If the lower prices last that long won't they re-introduce the fuel duty escalator anyway?

unrepentant

Original Poster:

21,257 posts

256 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
Roo said:
I was surprised at the fuel price when I was out there in April.

Vegas was just under $4 a gallon with LA being just over.

Back in '02 most places were under $1 a gallon so it's gone up a hell of a lot in the intervening years.
It follows the oil price pretty closely. In CA they tax it more so CA always has the highest prices in the US. Back in '08 we were at about $2 then it spiked to over $4 after the crash (presumably oil futures became a "safe haven") and again in '12. We've been in the $3.50 - $3.90 range for most of this year until the recent drop to the $2.80 range. It's not unusual to see a 10% hike or drop overnight.

eatcustard

1,003 posts

127 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
Hub said:
If the lower prices last that long won't they re-introduce the fuel duty escalator anyway?
Only if you vote Red Ed, if they won the last election petrol would be 20ppl more expensive.

joe_90

4,206 posts

231 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
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Saw a 120.9 today, its practically free!!.

/Thinks back when I started driving, it was practically free frown

moanthebairns

17,938 posts

198 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
127.9 last night for super unleaded rolleyes

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

198 months

Thursday 6th November 2014
quotequote all
MikeT66 said:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29924710

It's this kind of thing that really gets me though - it's the government's tax(es) that increase the price so blooming much, but hey, let's ignore that facet of the overall cost, shall we?
As were spending more than we collect of Tax then removing Fuel duty where would you like the tax rise? Infact we need much higher taxes or devastating cuts