UK General Election 2015
Discussion
U
He might care, but very few in the conservative party are interested considering the tiny number of their MPs who voted against the aid budget increases which are now enshrined in law during these austere times - five people, if I recall correctly.
JustAnotherLogin said:
have you put up your UKIP poster? That would attract attention keen to infringe your rights
Considering the budget cuts imposed on our policing force by the Tory led coalition I doubt the bobby has time to deal with such trivial matters - I wonder if he'd have time to discuss the increasing UK foreign aid budget, though, which has been protected whilst frontline UK services suffer.He might care, but very few in the conservative party are interested considering the tiny number of their MPs who voted against the aid budget increases which are now enshrined in law during these austere times - five people, if I recall correctly.
JustAnotherLogin said:
FiF said:
Just had a rozzer on foot patrol round our way. Last time this happened was in the run up to GE2010. Coincidence?
have you put up your UKIP poster? That would attract attention keen to infringe your rightshttp://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2015/feb/09/wil...
theindependent said:
General election: New poll shows big gains for Labour and Tories – at expense of Lib Dems and Ukip
theindependent said:
A new poll suggests that support for Ukip has fallen below 10 per cent for the first time since November 2013, as Nigel Farage prepared to launch his election campaign.
As the party leader gave a speech in Essex in which he declared that Ukip was “picking up support from across every social spectrum”, an Ipsos Mori poll for the Evening Standard showed the party down two points at nine per cent.
The Lib Dems were also down in the poll at six per cent – its lowest level for 25 years. Nick Clegg admitted to listeners on LBC Radio that his party had “clearly taken a hit in the national polls”.
Gaining from both their losses were the Tories and Labour, with Ed Miliband’s party up two and now firmly leading the way on 36 per cent. The Conservatives gained a single point, up to 34 per cent.
Nigel Farage’s own personal ratings have also received a hit, down five points since the last Ipsos Mori survey – but it is worth noting that half of voters said they could yet change their minds between now and the general election in May.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/generalelection/has-the-ukip-bubble-burst-new-poll-shows-big-gains-for-labour-and-tories-at-expense-of-lib-dems-and-nigel-farages-party-10041358.htmlAs the party leader gave a speech in Essex in which he declared that Ukip was “picking up support from across every social spectrum”, an Ipsos Mori poll for the Evening Standard showed the party down two points at nine per cent.
The Lib Dems were also down in the poll at six per cent – its lowest level for 25 years. Nick Clegg admitted to listeners on LBC Radio that his party had “clearly taken a hit in the national polls”.
Gaining from both their losses were the Tories and Labour, with Ed Miliband’s party up two and now firmly leading the way on 36 per cent. The Conservatives gained a single point, up to 34 per cent.
Nigel Farage’s own personal ratings have also received a hit, down five points since the last Ipsos Mori survey – but it is worth noting that half of voters said they could yet change their minds between now and the general election in May.
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/re...
I had noticed that the minor parties support seems to be 'weaker' in Ashcroft's polls. In particular when you get to the definitely will vote that way it tends to fade - more so for LD and Greens than UKIP, but noticeable.
Thinking about demographics and possible tactical voting by some I guess it makes sense
Also interesting to note the other differences. Like younger people tend to favour Labour, the ones that support the Tories are more likely to say they will definitely vote.
So weather could be a factor for many aspects in May
Thinking about demographics and possible tactical voting by some I guess it makes sense
Also interesting to note the other differences. Like younger people tend to favour Labour, the ones that support the Tories are more likely to say they will definitely vote.
So weather could be a factor for many aspects in May
JustAnotherLogin said:
I had noticed that the minor parties support seems to be 'weaker' in Ashcroft's polls. In particular when you get to the definitely will vote that way it tends to fade - more so for LD and Greens than UKIP, but noticeable.
Thinking about demographics and possible tactical voting by some I guess it makes sense
Also interesting to note the other differences. Like younger people tend to favour Labour, the ones that support the Tories are more likely to say they will definitely vote.
So weather could be a factor for many aspects in May
Getting 'missing' voters back will also be a factor. Which is why Labour are so worried about this:Thinking about demographics and possible tactical voting by some I guess it makes sense
Also interesting to note the other differences. Like younger people tend to favour Labour, the ones that support the Tories are more likely to say they will definitely vote.
So weather could be a factor for many aspects in May
"1m voters lost from electoral roll, says Ed Miliband "
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jan/16/ed...
That article is wrong where it claims that universities were prevented from registering students to vote. Sheffield Hallam did nothing, while Sheffield University proper sorted it at registration beginning of academic year. Details recorded at registration passed to the council.
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/01/sheff...
https://www.sheffield.ac.uk/registration/newstuden...
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/01/sheff...
https://www.sheffield.ac.uk/registration/newstuden...
I've spoken to hundreds of prospective voters in London boroughs over the last few weeks.
some surprising results to me.
UKIP support really not that strong.
A tory/UKIP coalition ties with Labour/SNP coalition as nightmare scenarios.
More than a few previously LD voters going Tory to avoid either of the above.
Labour strong amongst older lifelong voters, but Milliband a concern for younger voters even if they identify as Labour.
The above anecdotal, I've done no data crunching, just the feeling I was picking up.
some surprising results to me.
UKIP support really not that strong.
A tory/UKIP coalition ties with Labour/SNP coalition as nightmare scenarios.
More than a few previously LD voters going Tory to avoid either of the above.
Labour strong amongst older lifelong voters, but Milliband a concern for younger voters even if they identify as Labour.
The above anecdotal, I've done no data crunching, just the feeling I was picking up.
Justayellowbadge said:
I've spoken to hundreds of prospective voters in London boroughs over the last few weeks.
some surprising results to me.
UKIP support really not that strong.
A tory/UKIP coalition ties with Labour/SNP coalition as nightmare scenarios.
More than a few previously LD voters going Tory to avoid either of the above.
Labour strong amongst older lifelong voters, but Milliband a concern for younger voters even if they identify as Labour.
The above anecdotal, I've done no data crunching, just the feeling I was picking up.
UKIP support in London boroughs is abysmal. That's been consistent since before the European elections and not expected to change. some surprising results to me.
UKIP support really not that strong.
A tory/UKIP coalition ties with Labour/SNP coalition as nightmare scenarios.
More than a few previously LD voters going Tory to avoid either of the above.
Labour strong amongst older lifelong voters, but Milliband a concern for younger voters even if they identify as Labour.
The above anecdotal, I've done no data crunching, just the feeling I was picking up.
Justayellowbadge said:
I've spoken to hundreds of prospective voters in London boroughs over the last few weeks.
some surprising results to me.
UKIP support really not that strong.
A tory/UKIP coalition ties with Labour/SNP coalition as nightmare scenarios.
More than a few previously LD voters going Tory to avoid either of the above.
Labour strong amongst older lifelong voters, but Milliband a concern for younger voters even if they identify as Labour.
The above anecdotal, I've done no data crunching, just the feeling I was picking up.
That is very interesting JAYB, Ukip support really not that strong.some surprising results to me.
UKIP support really not that strong.
A tory/UKIP coalition ties with Labour/SNP coalition as nightmare scenarios.
More than a few previously LD voters going Tory to avoid either of the above.
Labour strong amongst older lifelong voters, but Milliband a concern for younger voters even if they identify as Labour.
The above anecdotal, I've done no data crunching, just the feeling I was picking up.
In fact, it's bloody encouraging! Kipper support in London boroughs - even I'm scared to mention Kipper in London - is non-existent, so I see 'really not that strong' indicating a surge!
JustAnotherLogin said:
I had noticed that the minor parties support seems to be 'weaker' in Ashcroft's polls. In particular when you get to the definitely will vote that way it tends to fade - more so for LD and Greens than UKIP, but noticeable.
Thinking about demographics and possible tactical voting by some I guess it makes sense
Also interesting to note the other differences. Like younger people tend to favour Labour, the ones that support the Tories are more likely to say they will definitely vote.
So weather could be a factor for many aspects in May
Things are definitely looking up for Dave's lot. Support for UKIP is dropping and it now looks as if the Tories will be the major beneficiaries of the Lib Dem slump. Thinking about demographics and possible tactical voting by some I guess it makes sense
Also interesting to note the other differences. Like younger people tend to favour Labour, the ones that support the Tories are more likely to say they will definitely vote.
So weather could be a factor for many aspects in May
That said, Labour are still doing better in the key marginals (if opinion polls are to be believed).
"A new poll conducted by ComRes for ITV News reveals that Labour continues to hold on to its lead over the Conservatives in the forty most marginal swing seats where the two parties are fighting head-to-head against each other ahead of the General Election in May. Labour’s vote share is at 40% with the Conservatives on 31%. Both parties were on 37% in these seats at the last General Election."
http://comres.co.uk/polls/itv-news-marginal-seats-...
BlackLabel said:
JustAnotherLogin said:
I had noticed that the minor parties support seems to be 'weaker' in Ashcroft's polls. In particular when you get to the definitely will vote that way it tends to fade - more so for LD and Greens than UKIP, but noticeable.
Thinking about demographics and possible tactical voting by some I guess it makes sense
Also interesting to note the other differences. Like younger people tend to favour Labour, the ones that support the Tories are more likely to say they will definitely vote.
So weather could be a factor for many aspects in May
Things are definitely looking up for Dave's lot. Support for UKIP is dropping and it now looks as if the Tories will be the major beneficiaries of the Lib Dem slump. Thinking about demographics and possible tactical voting by some I guess it makes sense
Also interesting to note the other differences. Like younger people tend to favour Labour, the ones that support the Tories are more likely to say they will definitely vote.
So weather could be a factor for many aspects in May
That said, Labour are still doing better in the key marginals (if opinion polls are to be believed).
"A new poll conducted by ComRes for ITV News reveals that Labour continues to hold on to its lead over the Conservatives in the forty most marginal swing seats where the two parties are fighting head-to-head against each other ahead of the General Election in May. Labour’s vote share is at 40% with the Conservatives on 31%. Both parties were on 37% in these seats at the last General Election."
http://comres.co.uk/polls/itv-news-marginal-seats-...
What's somewhat amusing is that not so long ago someone picked up on the poll which had UKIP at 23% and they were criticised for picking what seems to be an outlier.
Someone else picks up an what is an outlier at the other end of the spectrum and this means things are looking up for Dave apparently.
It does seem as if aggregate support for the two main parties has picked up few percent from the depths where they were around 60% and slightly below.
Lab still in lead though not by the amount they should be if things follow a typical path. But this isn't going to be a typical election so maybe that's a poor guide.
But thought it was worth picking up on the consistency of people grasping at anything they favour.
Someone else picks up an what is an outlier at the other end of the spectrum and this means things are looking up for Dave apparently.
It does seem as if aggregate support for the two main parties has picked up few percent from the depths where they were around 60% and slightly below.
Lab still in lead though not by the amount they should be if things follow a typical path. But this isn't going to be a typical election so maybe that's a poor guide.
But thought it was worth picking up on the consistency of people grasping at anything they favour.
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