Climate change - the POLITICAL debate. Vol 3

Climate change - the POLITICAL debate. Vol 3

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hidetheelephants

24,461 posts

194 months

Monday 20th April 2015
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Pan Pan Pan said:
Exactly.` We' may not have the answer to over population effects (if any) on either the supply side, or the downstream effects of the waste products.
I don't believe there is a `humane' way of controlling the global human population. The Earth however is likely to find a way, but nature, by its very nature means it probably wont be humane.
Did you not look at any of the link I threw in your path, or did you not believe it? Economic development slows population growth, the numbers bear this out; the sooner the developing world can be developed the better it will be for everyone.

Edited for speelung.

Edited by hidetheelephants on Monday 20th April 19:32

turbobloke

104,009 posts

261 months

Monday 20th April 2015
quotequote all
hidetheelephants said:
...the sooner the developed world can be developed the better it will be for everyone.
They (developing countries) need fossil fuels for rapid development but political wizards in the 'developed' nations know better, ho ho ho.


Scuffers

20,887 posts

275 months

Monday 20th April 2015
quotequote all
http://www.breitbart.com/london/2015/04/20/bbc-sta...

watched it live, they really are all barking.

My only beef is Roger needs to push more, he was in danger of being on the quiet sidelines with the shouty shrill from Labour....

rovermorris999

5,203 posts

190 months

Monday 20th April 2015
quotequote all
hidetheelephants said:
Did you not look at any of the link I threw in your path, or did you not believe it? Economic development slows population growth, the numbers bear this out; the sooner the developing world can be developed the better it will be for everyone.

Edited for speelung.

Edited by hidetheelephants on Monday 20th April 19:32
This is a good documentary, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wd7K4cgrjng


Pan Pan Pan

9,925 posts

112 months

Tuesday 21st April 2015
quotequote all
hidetheelephants said:
Pan Pan Pan said:
Exactly.` We' may not have the answer to over population effects (if any) on either the supply side, or the downstream effects of the waste products.
I don't believe there is a `humane' way of controlling the global human population. The Earth however is likely to find a way, but nature, by its very nature means it probably wont be humane.
Did you not look at any of the link I threw in your path, or did you not believe it? Economic development slows population growth, the numbers bear this out; the sooner the developing world can be developed the better it will be for everyone.

Edited for speelung.

Edited by hidetheelephants on Monday 20th April 19:32
Not in the UK it doesn't, where despite being a `developed' country the population is still rising at a rate that has never been seen here. Nor in America, another so called developed country. If as some contend we are using increasing (not decreasing) volumes of the Earths resources NOW (oil, fish, potable water, viable land for `living space' etc) to meet the demands of the `current' global population, how is it going to be improved when we have added another 3 to 4 billion humans to the planet, as predicted to occur in just the next 30 to 40 years?
To be honest I don't really give a monkeys what we do, as I will be long gone by the time all this happens, But hearing ecomentalists whingeing on about climate change caused by humans, whilst at the same time ignoring the effects of human population levels which is likely to be the root cause of everything they tell us we must worry about, is irritating to say the least.
Unique species being endangered by human habitat encroachment NOW. Why is that happening?
Square miles of rain forest being cut down every day NOW. Why is that happening?
Square miles of forest being lost to hydro power pen stock lakes NOW. Why is that happening?
Oil and other minerals (all finite) being extracted at increasing, not decreasing rates NOW. Why is that happening?
Global, (not Europe centric) fish stocks declining NOW. Why is that happening?
If the UK and its roads for example are considered to be crowded now, as the saying goes
wait a bit, because you have`nt seen nothing yet.

Pan Pan Pan

9,925 posts

112 months

Tuesday 21st April 2015
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P.s whilst economic development `may' have a slowing effect on population growth (except in reality it doesn't seem to be working here, or in the US and many other so called developed countries) It tends to INCREASE the take up of resources, as so called developed countries tend to want more oil / coal / living space / electricity / houses / flats / shops /schools / hospitals /roads/ water / cars/ planes- airports / trains /ships / TV`s / computers / entertainment / and of course food.

Blib

44,183 posts

198 months

Tuesday 21st April 2015
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Our population is growing due to nett immigration. So, just the same number of folk moving about the planet.

motco

15,965 posts

247 months

Tuesday 21st April 2015
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Blib said:
Our population is growing due to nett immigration. So, just the same number of folk moving about the planet.
Of people from underdeveloped places, with underdeveloped mind-sets.

turbobloke

104,009 posts

261 months

Tuesday 21st April 2015
quotequote all
The Supreme Court has recently heard (last week iirc) a case against the UK Government over its failure to meet legal limits for air pollution. The case was brought by ClientEarth and relates to 16 areas of the country where the Government failed to apply to the EU/European Commission for a time extension to achieve target values for NOx.

A European Court of Justice previous ruling said that where a member EU State has not applied for an extension, it was for the national courts to “take any necessary measure, such as an order” to ensure the Government established a plan which would restrict the period during which the limit values were exceeded to “as short a period as possible”.

The final judgment is expected in one to three months and any order issued by the Supreme Court will be binding on the Government of the day. It would be poetic justice if this landed in the lap of Labour but I'd prefer not all things being equal.

An interesting point is how the UK gov't will restrict NOx emissions from coniferous forests, lawns and from burning vegetation in gardens. Emissions from these taken together exceed totals from transport and industrial sources. This matters because targets are exceeded by a wide margin, being 40% to 50% on the high side in places, but less than half of those levels is likely to be amenable to policy - unless we concrete over all lawns, keep gardeners indoors and chop down our own coniferous forests.

If they go for something similar on PM10s it'll be interesting to see how an Order and the subsequent Plan will prevent weather systems bringing dense trans-boundary pollution clouds up from the south i.e. europe, not all of which (in continental rather than political terms) is subject to the omnipotence of eurocrats.

LongQ

13,864 posts

234 months

Tuesday 21st April 2015
quotequote all
Pan Pan Pan said:
But hearing ecomentalists whingeing on about climate change caused by humans, whilst at the same time ignoring the effects of human population levels which is likely to be the root cause of everything they tell us we must worry about, is irritating to say the least.
That's one thing I can certainly agree with.

However the most committed of them are aware of the contradictions.

As I recall there is a chap in Colorado (naturally) who believes that the sustainable human population for the planet is about 300k people (or it may have been 3million but whatever it was a remarkably tiny number compared to current levels). Didnt stop him having 3 kids though.

In the UK we have the organisation that used to be known as the Optimum Population Trust (now rebranded as to the rather tired Population Matters http://www.populationmatters.org/about/) who also believe that world population needs to be cut and quickly. All sorts of popular luminaries on board with that one, starting with David Attenborough.

It would be interesting to ask them to list which of their relatives they would vote for to be eliminated first should their plans come to reality.

On a purely personal level I can think of plenty of people I would not miss. Most of them should, I would have thought, be keen to sacrifice themselves to save "the planet" based on their righteous outpourings. Associates of the Population Matters pressure group would, I would expect, be proud to join the front of the queue. The proposed Mars trip might be an option though too expensive and too slow to produce the desired results.



Pan Pan Pan said:
Global, (not Europe centric) fish stocks declining NOW. Why is that happening?
Well, if you read the report I linked to a page or so back there seem to be indicators that it isn't. In which case it's a bit dubious to keep repeating the mantra isn't it?

2013BRM

39,731 posts

285 months

Tuesday 21st April 2015
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Some interesting analysis here

http://www.prb.org/Publications/Datasheets/2012/wo...

you can see in the first graph that the rise is tailing off

LastLight

1,339 posts

185 months

Tuesday 21st April 2015
quotequote all
Scuffers said:
http://www.breitbart.com/london/2015/04/20/bbc-sta...

watched it live, they really are all barking.

My only beef is Roger needs to push more, he was in danger of being on the quiet sidelines with the shouty shrill from Labour....
How the hell was Roger Horror-bin allowed to be there as an implied neutral "expert" (hah!) commentator?

Aslo, I wonder how many of us knew, or rather didn't, that Labour - the party on the green side most likely to have real, major influence on policy - have as deluded a plan as the Greens, viz. the 'de-carbonsation' of UK energy?! Will see that when it happens... but I might not be able to see over the piled up bodies of frozen pensioners.

hidetheelephants

24,461 posts

194 months

Wednesday 22nd April 2015
quotequote all
Religious extremists proclaim the end of days, again; it's almost certainly the last chance to save the earth from almost certain doom-laden doom, until the next one.

BAGWBC said:
The UN meeting in December is "the last chance" to avert dangerous climate change, according to the Earth League.
Edited by hidetheelephants on Wednesday 22 April 05:00

Pan Pan Pan

9,925 posts

112 months

Wednesday 22nd April 2015
quotequote all
Blib said:
Our population is growing due to nett immigration. So, just the same number of folk moving about the planet.
Except that the global population is growing at net rates of up between 247 and 346 thousand per DAY.

chris watton

22,477 posts

261 months

Wednesday 22nd April 2015
quotequote all
Pan Pan Pan said:
Except that the global population is growing at net rates of up between 247 and 346 thousand per DAY.
So what's your solution, do you think: Either bring the poor nations up to speed with education, cheap power and better lifestyle, or leave them in the Dark Ages and let them die?

The more advanced country's get, the less children they breed?

It could be argued, with some degree of validity, that Green ideology is responsible for the deaths of thousands per day.


Edited by chris watton on Wednesday 22 April 15:43

Pan Pan Pan

9,925 posts

112 months

Wednesday 22nd April 2015
quotequote all
LongQ said:
Pan Pan Pan said:
But hearing ecomentalists whingeing on about climate change caused by humans, whilst at the same time ignoring the effects of human population levels which is likely to be the root cause of everything they tell us we must worry about, is irritating to say the least.
That's one thing I can certainly agree with.

However the most committed of them are aware of the contradictions.

As I recall there is a chap in Colorado (naturally) who believes that the sustainable human population for the planet is about 300k people (or it may have been 3million but whatever it was a remarkably tiny number compared to current levels). Didnt stop him having 3 kids though.

In the UK we have the organisation that used to be known as the Optimum Population Trust (now rebranded as to the rather tired Population Matters http://www.populationmatters.org/about/) who also believe that world population needs to be cut and quickly. All sorts of popular luminaries on board with that one, starting with David Attenborough.

It would be interesting to ask them to list which of their relatives they would vote for to be eliminated first should their plans come to reality.

On a purely personal level I can think of plenty of people I would not miss. Most of them should, I would have thought, be keen to sacrifice themselves to save "the planet" based on their righteous outpourings. Associates of the Population Matters pressure group would, I would expect, be proud to join the front of the queue. The proposed Mars trip might be an option though too expensive and too slow to produce the desired results.



Pan Pan Pan said:
Global, (not Europe centric) fish stocks declining NOW. Why is that happening?
Well, if you read the report I linked to a page or so back there seem to be indicators that it isn't. In which case it's a bit dubious to keep repeating the mantra isn't it?
Apologies but that is only one report, When I google peak fish, I get numerous reports, indicating that the world past peak fish, in circa 1986. (and this is with the demand for fish protein based on the `current' global population) So which reports are to be believed?
Even on the incidental viewing of a program about the Mekong river, the native Cambodians were stating that the fish they depend on, were getting scarcer and harder to find, so who is to be believed?
Additionally, how will adding another 3 to 4 billion people to the existing 7 billion on the planet (in just the next 30 to 40 years) who will want fish protein (and just about everything else one could think of) improve the situation?

Blib

44,183 posts

198 months

Wednesday 22nd April 2015
quotequote all
Pan Pan Pan said:
Blib said:
Our population is growing due to nett immigration. So, just the same number of folk moving about the planet.
Except that the global population is growing at net rates of up between 247 and 346 thousand per DAY.
That was not the point that I was addressing.

Pan Pan Pan

9,925 posts

112 months

Wednesday 22nd April 2015
quotequote all
chris watton said:
Pan Pan Pan said:
Except that the global population is growing at net rates of up between 247 and 346 thousand per DAY.
So what's your solution, do you think: Either bring the poor nations up to speed with education, cheap power and better lifestyle, or leave them in the Dark Ages and let them die?

The more advanced country's get, the less children they breed?

It could be argues, with some degree of validity, that Green ideology is responsible for the deaths of thousands per day.
I have already stated that I do not believe there is a solution. Nature may well provide one, but it is unlikely to be humane.
We have no control whatsoever over global population levels, so like many species do, we will grow our numbers to take advantage of, and absorb whatever resources are available as quickly as possible, Once these are gone, what will happen would be anyone's guess.
Also once a country becomes `advanced' its population increase `may' slow down, but its take up of resources increases per capita. This why we are told that people in `advanced' countries use many times the resources per capita than those in undeveloped countries.
Until we learn how to produce children who don't want to eat or drink, wear clothes, who don't want a house to live in, don't want transport of any kind. don't want schools, universities, hospitals, who don't want to be warm in winter and cool in summer, children who don't want entertainment, computers, Ipads, pop festivals, cinemas, etc, etc, then each new human produced will be a resource consuming, emissions producing entity, which we are increasing globally at net rates up 346 thousand per DAY.
Personally it wont effect me, I will be long gone by the time things start to get `difficult' But increasing the take up of finite elements, which include the Earth itself
can it seems, only end up one way.

Pan Pan Pan

9,925 posts

112 months

Wednesday 22nd April 2015
quotequote all
Blib said:
Pan Pan Pan said:
Blib said:
Our population is growing due to nett immigration. So, just the same number of folk moving about the planet.
Except that the global population is growing at net rates of up between 247 and 346 thousand per DAY.
That was not the point that I was addressing.
po;pullation

When you mentioned the word planet, I assumed you were referring to overall population.
But in the UK It really does not whether the population growth is from the indigenous population, or immigration. the bottom line, is that the UK`s population has soared to over 64 million from circa 35 million since WW2, with 10 million added since 1964 and is now well on its way to 70 million. So the trend here, is the same as all around the globe.

hidetheelephants

24,461 posts

194 months

Wednesday 22nd April 2015
quotequote all
Pan Pan Pan said:
I do not believe there is a solution. Ochone, ochone.
As you're repeating yourself I'll join in; economic growth slows and eventually stops population growth. As pithily presented by Hans Rosling the point at which this occurs is around the point of widespread affordability of electric washing machines and a reliable electricity and water supply to run them.
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