Greece snap elections - 25th Jan

Greece snap elections - 25th Jan

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Discussion

Yazar

Original Poster:

1,476 posts

120 months

Monday 29th December 2014
quotequote all
Leftwing Syriza are leading the polls and their 2 stage plan is to wipe out Greek debts and lift austerity. Never a dull moment with the EU hehe

Tsipras said:
“Be optimistic and cheerful, austerity will soon be over,” said Alexis Tsipras, Syriza’s firebrand leader, as he left parliament after the vote. “The Samaras government which looted society and decided to take further austerity measures is finished.”

toppstuff

13,698 posts

247 months

Monday 29th December 2014
quotequote all
Yazar said:
Leftwing Syriza are leading the polls and their 2 stage plan is to wipe out Greek debts and lift austerity. Never a dull moment with the EU hehe

Tsipras said:
“Be optimistic and cheerful, austerity will soon be over,” said Alexis Tsipras, Syriza’s firebrand leader, as he left parliament after the vote. “The Samaras government which looted society and decided to take further austerity measures is finished.”
Well that will be a problem for the whole EU project. Having a dissenting member ignoring the rules will really, really, upset the Germans.

Magog

2,652 posts

189 months

Monday 29th December 2014
quotequote all
toppstuff said:
Yazar said:
Leftwing Syriza are leading the polls and their 2 stage plan is to wipe out Greek debts and lift austerity. Never a dull moment with the EU hehe

Tsipras said:
“Be optimistic and cheerful, austerity will soon be over,” said Alexis Tsipras, Syriza’s firebrand leader, as he left parliament after the vote. “The Samaras government which looted society and decided to take further austerity measures is finished.”
Well that will be a problem for the whole EU project. Having a dissenting member ignoring the rules will really, really, upset the Germans.
If they default on bonds denominated in Euros it could be an issue for all of us.

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Monday 29th December 2014
quotequote all
It was only a few weeks ago that eurogroup ministers agreed to give the Greek government a two-month extension to its bailout. It's like that old adage if you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem. Will be interesting to see how this develops.

Jasandjules

69,869 posts

229 months

Monday 29th December 2014
quotequote all
Magog said:
If they default on bonds denominated in Euros it could be an issue for all of us.
I reckon they are on the phone to Ocean Finance as we speak**



  • Other such companies are available.

LucreLout

908 posts

118 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
Yazar said:
Leftwing Syriza are leading the polls and their 2 stage plan is to wipe out Greek debts and lift austerity. Never a dull moment with the EU hehe

Tsipras said:
“Be optimistic and cheerful, austerity will soon be over,” said Alexis Tsipras, Syriza’s firebrand leader, as he left parliament after the vote. “The Samaras government which looted society and decided to take further austerity measures is finished.”
It's a three stage plan. The final stage sees Greece achieve something akin to an economic stone age.

I'll be happy to buy a holiday home there in a few years though, once they cost about 50p in real money.

Magog

2,652 posts

189 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
Reasoned analysis from the economist here;


http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21637334-com...

hidetheelephants

24,224 posts

193 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
LucreLout said:
It's a three stage plan. The final stage sees Greece achieve something akin to an economic stone age.

I'll be happy to buy a holiday home there in a few years though, once they cost about 50p in real money.
The Germans have managed that for them quite well; Greek output is down to 1970s levels, when Greece was a military dictatorship.

powerstroke

10,283 posts

160 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
Must be going soft!! Maybe the left aren't so bad after all!!

LucreLout

908 posts

118 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
hidetheelephants said:
The Germans have managed that for them quite well; Greek output is down to 1970s levels, when Greece was a military dictatorship.
Sure, but now add a default to the mix and a weak new currency that nobody will trust, and watch the fx rate go down quicker than Paris Hilton.

It may be ok if you have no fixed assets or have capital abroad, but for those with a euro denominated mortgage, it means repossession. For the young it means no mobility, trapped in a country where anything they earn isn't worth so much as a cheeseburger elsewhere.

Not a good choice. Better to shrink the state and slash and burn the perks paid to their state employees. At least the young have a chance of a better life then.... Not a great chance, but somewhere above zero which is where things are heading.

MrCarPark

528 posts

141 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
Current polling:

SYRIZA 28.1%
New Democracy 25.1
Potami 6.1
G. Dawn 5.9
KKE 5.4
PASOK 4.6
Ind Grks 3
Others 8.7
Undecided 9.6

powerstroke

10,283 posts

160 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
LucreLout said:
hidetheelephants said:
The Germans have managed that for them quite well; Greek output is down to 1970s levels, when Greece was a military dictatorship.
Sure, but now add a default to the mix and a weak new currency that nobody will trust, and watch the fx rate go down quicker than Paris Hilton.

It may be ok if you have no fixed assets or have capital abroad, but for those with a euro denominated mortgage, it means repossession. For the young it means no mobility, trapped in a country where anything they earn isn't worth so much as a cheeseburger elsewhere.

Not a good choice. Better to shrink the state and slash and burn the perks paid to their state employees. At least the young have a chance of a better life then.... Not a great chance, but somewhere above zero which is where things are heading.
Sounds to me like they are so screwed that a default with a few years pain would be better than lifetime debt being beholden to the EU as it is !!!

Art0ir

9,401 posts

170 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
Ireland defaulted on its loans last year. I bet you never even heard it in the news. In fact, the day after the markets rewarded them.

Esseesse

8,969 posts

208 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
LucreLout said:
Sure, but now add a default to the mix and a weak new currency that nobody will trust, and watch the fx rate go down quicker than Paris Hilton.

It may be ok if you have no fixed assets or have capital abroad, but for those with a euro denominated mortgage, it means repossession. For the young it means no mobility, trapped in a country where anything they earn isn't worth so much as a cheeseburger elsewhere.

Not a good choice. Better to shrink the state and slash and burn the perks paid to their state employees. At least the young have a chance of a better life then.... Not a great chance, but somewhere above zero which is where things are heading.
With a weak currency won't they be by far the most competitive holiday destination on the Med in Europe?

Octoposse

2,158 posts

185 months

Tuesday 30th December 2014
quotequote all
LucreLout said:
I'll be happy to buy a holiday home there in a few years though, once they cost about 50p in real money.
I wouldn't - all the pain from the trail of tears they're embarking on will be blamed on foreigners.

Yazar

Original Poster:

1,476 posts

120 months

Saturday 17th January 2015
quotequote all
Just a week to go for election day!

telegraph said:
Every opinion poll for the past two months has put Syriza in first place with a consistent lead of between three and five percentage points. The latest survey showed the party widening its advantage, reaching 34.5 per cent compared with 29 per cent for New Democracy.

Unless there is a shock of earthquake proportions, Syriza is set to win this election – and Mr Tsipras will then become prime minister of Greece and one of the youngest national leaders in the world.

He may fall short of an overall majority in the 300-seat parliament, but the electoral system awards an extra 50 seats to whichever party comes first in the popular vote, with the remaining 250 being handed out on a proportional basis. If the pundits are right and Syriza tops the poll, Mr Tsipras will hold the whip-hand in any coalition government.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/g...

Rovinghawk

13,300 posts

158 months

Saturday 17th January 2015
quotequote all
Yazar said:
wipe out Greek debts and lift austerity.
Sounds so much better than welshing on what they owe & spending money they don't have, doesn't it?

If they don't pay what they owe, who exactly will lend them money for the new debts to finance their inaustere lifestyle?

eharding

13,676 posts

284 months

Saturday 17th January 2015
quotequote all
Rovinghawk said:
Sounds so much better than welshing on what they owe & spending money they don't have, doesn't it?
...but, henceforth, the practice will be known as "greeking" on a deal.

Art0ir

9,401 posts

170 months

Saturday 17th January 2015
quotequote all
Rovinghawk said:
If they don't pay what they owe, who exactly will lend them money for the new debts to finance their inaustere lifestyle?
Markets don't have memories. They don't care what happened yesterday.

Steffan

10,362 posts

228 months

Saturday 17th January 2015
quotequote all
Interesting conundrum the current Greek situation. It does seem very probable that the left wing parties suggesting Greece cannot continue with the consequences of austerity are very likely to end up as effectively the winners of this election. However what their actual policies will be to effect major changes is distinctly open to question.

As the current falls of the Euro are already clearly demonstrating there is serious trouble with confidence in the markets on the probability of the EU being able to square the economic circle with the failing EU members within the Euro. The reality of the reduction in living standards and quality of life in Greece already well beyond the point where the electorate will accept more financial sacrifice. Hence the snap ecetion.

The EU may find some way of keeping the nonsense running short term. But the reality is that wholly insolvent sovereign states cannot actually afford to remain within the EU. They never could and still cannot survive in a currency dominated by Germany.

Whether Greece will be the first to fail is a moot point, but one way or another this nonsense must fail. Matter of time.