UKIP - The Future - Volume 4

Author
Discussion

MGJohn

10,203 posts

183 months

Wednesday 29th April 2015
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TTwiggy said:
I noted the arrest. It still doesn't provide enough information for MGJohn's assertion that this is what happens when you 'open your doors to all and sundry'.

Nutter makes threat. Threat is reported. Nutter is arrested. If it gets as far as a court and he's up on terrorist charges, then maybe there's something in it. Otherwise it remains a threat from a nutter, to be filed away with all the other nutter-related activity that occurs in this country on a regular (probably daily) basis. And while I'm not a BiB, I'm sure that in these days of social networks, the police spend a great deal of time on threats of this nature.
You stress threats. You appear determined to miss the point. I was referring to realities. Not this single nutter threat or any other threats. There again he may not have been a nutter but someone all set to turn a threat to reality.

Not threats, actual serious criminal incidents many of which could have been nipped in the bud from the outset and thus avoided. Had their criminal history in their country of origin been revealed by a simple process then such undesirable criminal immigrants would not be allowed in at all. We need to discriminate on the quality of the individual irrespective of their race, colour, religion or what have you.

However, they are already here having come in their numbers via our unchecked open to all ever wider doors free passage policy.

Obviously we need more of these types immigrants ... You know it makes sense.

MGJohn

10,203 posts

183 months

Wednesday 29th April 2015
quotequote all
smn159 said:
MGJohn said:
Yes indeed. Who said he was... did you ?

However, even after sanitisation imbalance of the headlines, numerous immigrants have enriched our crime statistics. FACT! Who said that you may well ask. I can tell you, our beloved media including the lefty-pc-riddled BBC said that each and every time they report such higher profile heinous crimes over the years..

All clear now ...
Not really, no.

Are you saying that immigrants commit disproportionately more crime that the indigenous population or that they commit some crimes?
Pointless question without you or I having access to the true statistics. Statistics which could show things one way or another .... unless they too have been sanitised in much the same way as we are assured "recorded" serious crime has decreased... depends on how boxes are ticked or crimes not recorded.

One thing is an undeniable certainty. If we checked all comers for their criminal history in their place of origin or elsewhere, serious crime by immigrants to the UK would be much fewer in number.

JustAnotherLogin

1,127 posts

121 months

Wednesday 29th April 2015
quotequote all
jogon said:
JustAnotherLogin said:
Farage's nightmare?

Ashcroft said:
In Thanet South I found the Conservatives two points ahead of UKIP, 34% to 32%, despite nearly nine out of ten voters there saying they have had campaign contact from the challengers. In my recent polls in the constituency I have found the Labour share drifting down as the Tory share edges up, suggesting that Labour supporters may be lending their vote to the Conservatives to stop Nigel Farage. However, the lead remains well within the margin of error and the seat could still go either way.
It's gone from a 9pt lead to now 2pts down in a matter of days. Take of of what you will but the bookies ain't altered much.
I agree the polls are volatile, hence the question mark. It is Ashcroft's analysis that is Farage's nightmare. Whether it is true we will see in just over a week's time

However I think it is touching the faith people have in bookies odds

They do just reflect how much money people put on each option, not any in-depth analysis

Though if you think they are the best guide you may care to note that the best odds on the Tories are 6/4 and UKIP evens. Which suggests the Tories are ahead in South Thanet

Personally I think that is irrelevant though

TTwiggy

11,538 posts

204 months

Wednesday 29th April 2015
quotequote all
MGJohn said:
You stress threats. You appear determined to miss the point. I was referring to realities. Not this single nutter threat or any other threats. There again he may not have been a nutter but someone all set to turn a threat to reality.

Not threats, actual serious criminal incidents many of which could have been nipped in the bud from the outset and thus avoided. Had their criminal history in their country of origin been revealed by a simple process then such undesirable criminal immigrants would not be allowed in at all. We need to discriminate on the quality of the individual irrespective of their race, colour, religion or what have you.

However, they are already here having come in their numbers via our unchecked open to all ever wider doors free passage policy.

Obviously we need more of these types immigrants ... You know it makes sense.
If you have a particular point to make then maybe you should be clearer in future, rather than assuming that a tenuous link to a non-story concerning a possible death threat made by a person who may or may not be an immigrant will be enough to get your message across. HTH

MGJohn

10,203 posts

183 months

Wednesday 29th April 2015
quotequote all
JustAnotherLogin said:
jogon said:
JustAnotherLogin said:
Farage's nightmare?

Ashcroft said:
In Thanet South I found the Conservatives two points ahead of UKIP, 34% to 32%, despite nearly nine out of ten voters there saying they have had campaign contact from the challengers. In my recent polls in the constituency I have found the Labour share drifting down as the Tory share edges up, suggesting that Labour supporters may be lending their vote to the Conservatives to stop Nigel Farage. However, the lead remains well within the margin of error and the seat could still go either way.
It's gone from a 9pt lead to now 2pts down in a matter of days. Take of of what you will but the bookies ain't altered much.
I agree the polls are volatile, hence the question mark. It is Ashcroft's analysis that is Farage's nightmare. Whether it is true we will see in just over a week's time

However I think it is touching the faith people have in bookies odds

They do just reflect how much money people put on each option, not any in-depth analysis

Though if you think they are the best guide you may care to note that the best odds on the Tories are 6/4 and UKIP evens. Which suggests the Tories are ahead in South Thanet

Personally I think that is irrelevant though
... smile ... Ashcroft's "the seat could still go either way." negates all he's written previously...

Statin' the bleedin' init... rolleyes ... smile

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Is that Tories 6-4 Against or 6-4 ON?

Just checked two on-line bookies. Your 6/4 must be Odds against so Tories actually second favourites.

Their odds for South Thanet both show UKIP at odds-on favourites @ 8/11 ( 11 to 8 on ) and @ 4/6 ( 6 to 4 ON) , Tories 11/8 ( 11 to 8 Against ) and 6/4 ( 6 to 4 Against ). So with those two bookies and no doubt many others, UKIP is the clear favourite ...

So clearly a close running two horse race for the bookies with Labour a distant 9 to 1 Against and 150-1 and upwards others including the Pub Landlord @ 150-1... smile

Money does talk but not always accurately. Here's why. To some folks a few thousand quid on a bet is loose change to them. To him losing that large sum means less to him that my throwing away twenty quid on a losing bet. It's all relative.

Some years ago, someone I know told me he saw a well known race commentator place a few thousand on an ante-post horse race bet. Ante-post being days or even months before the event which usually means far better odds than on race day. True wealth is relative. I remember the horse and watched the race on TV sometime later. Amazingly, that commentator was actually commentating on that race and as "his" horse drew away from all the others as they approached the winning line, you could not tell from the commentator's voice or demeanour that he had just won the equivalent of the value of my house! You'd have never known. A true professional!

I find it all a fascinating subject.

A really wealthy person decides to throw away say a few thousand betting one of the candidates and money talks thus odds usually change. Large sums like that are loose change to them. Doesn't make it a certainty irrespective of the amounts involved. Loose change to me is a fiver or tenner and I sometimes throw away that on a joke bet fancy.

MGJohn

10,203 posts

183 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
TTwiggy said:
If you have a particular point to make then maybe you should be clearer in future, rather than assuming that a tenuous link to a non-story concerning a possible death threat made by a person who may or may not be an immigrant will be enough to get your message across. HTH
You read into it whatever you like. I assumed nothing. You still come across determined to see things that are clearly not there.

TTwiggy

11,538 posts

204 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
MGJohn said:
You read into it whatever you like. I assumed nothing. You still come across determined to see things that are clearly not there.
So why did you draw a link between our apparent open door immigration policy and the story about the Ukip candidate who received the death threat? I don't think that I'm the one intent on seeing things that aren't there.

MGJohn

10,203 posts

183 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
TTwiggy said:
MGJohn said:
You read into it whatever you like. I assumed nothing. You still come across determined to see things that are clearly not there.
So why did you draw a link between our apparent open door immigration policy and the story about the Ukip candidate who received the death threat? I don't think that I'm the one intent on seeing things that aren't there.
I refer TTwiggy to my earlier response :~

MGJohn said:
You read into it whatever you like. I assumed nothing. You still come across determined to see things that are clearly not there.

TTwiggy

11,538 posts

204 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
So, either you have no idea why you posted what you did, or you are unwilling to explain.

Which is it?

NicD

3,281 posts

257 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
TTwiggy said:
So, either you have no idea why you posted what you did, or you are unwilling to explain.

Which is it?
he has already answered :

'You stress threats. You appear determined to miss the point. I was referring to realities. Not this single nutter threat or any other threats. There again he may not have been a nutter but someone all set to turn a threat to reality.

Not threats, actual serious criminal incidents many of which could have been nipped in the bud from the outset and thus avoided. Had their criminal history in their country of origin been revealed by a simple process then such undesirable criminal immigrants would not be allowed in at all. We need to discriminate on the quality of the individual irrespective of their race, colour, religion or what have you.'

Move on.

TTwiggy

11,538 posts

204 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
NicD said:
he has already answered :

'You stress threats. You appear determined to miss the point. I was referring to realities. Not this single nutter threat or any other threats. There again he may not have been a nutter but someone all set to turn a threat to reality.

Not threats, actual serious criminal incidents many of which could have been nipped in the bud from the outset and thus avoided. Had their criminal history in their country of origin been revealed by a simple process then such undesirable criminal immigrants would not be allowed in at all. We need to discriminate on the quality of the individual irrespective of their race, colour, religion or what have you.'

Move on.
I'm sorry, but I still don't see the connection between the story he commented on and the point he was trying to make.

It's interesting however that you think I should 'move on'. I don't recall you handing out similar advice when one of the regulars spent five pages hounding someone about a tattoo issue that never was.

wc98

10,391 posts

140 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
JustAnotherLogin said:
Though if you think they are the best guide you may care to note that the best odds on the Tories are 6/4 and UKIP evens. Which suggests the Tories are ahead in South Thanet
if that is your understanding of how the betting odds work it makes some of your other posts on this thread a bit easier to understand wink

BGARK

5,494 posts

246 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
Might be short notice but where can I get a UKIP sign for outside my house?

WinstonWolf

72,857 posts

239 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
TTwiggy said:
NicD said:
he has already answered :

'You stress threats. You appear determined to miss the point. I was referring to realities. Not this single nutter threat or any other threats. There again he may not have been a nutter but someone all set to turn a threat to reality.

Not threats, actual serious criminal incidents many of which could have been nipped in the bud from the outset and thus avoided. Had their criminal history in their country of origin been revealed by a simple process then such undesirable criminal immigrants would not be allowed in at all. We need to discriminate on the quality of the individual irrespective of their race, colour, religion or what have you.'

Move on.
I'm sorry, but I still don't see the connection between the story he commented on and the point he was trying to make.

It's interesting however that you think I should 'move on'. I don't recall you handing out similar advice when one of the regulars spent five pages hounding someone about a tattoo issue that never was.
Oh there most definitely was a tattoo issue. What was it you called it? Ah yes, bullying. I hope you're not going to resort to that, are you? wink

DrDeAtH

3,587 posts

232 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
BGARK said:
Might be short notice but where can I get a UKIP sign for outside my house?
Phone the Ukip office...

Scuffers

20,887 posts

274 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
DrDeAtH said:
BGARK said:
Might be short notice but where can I get a UKIP sign for outside my house?
Phone the Ukip office...
followed by a call to these guys:

http://www.crimeshieldmanufacturing.co.uk/windowsh...


Esseesse

8,969 posts

208 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
Scuffers said:
DrDeAtH said:
BGARK said:
Might be short notice but where can I get a UKIP sign for outside my house?
Phone the Ukip office...
followed by a call to these guys:

http://www.crimeshieldmanufacturing.co.uk/windowsh...
Sadly yes frown

don4l

10,058 posts

176 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
TTwiggy said:
PRTVR said:
My point was that it looks like violence is been used to control what people say , not just directly but indirectly due to fear, for me that is just totally wrong in a democracy.
Except that nobody in this country is actually having their views silenced by fear, are they? This bloke made a threat and was dealt with.

There are many countries in the world where people on all areas of the political spectrum are too afraid to speak out. This country is not one of them.
Wrong.

http://www.oxfordmail.co.uk/news/12881691.Controve...

I struggle to understand the mentality of someone who thinks that it is acceptable to issue death threats on the basis of political beliefs.

Would it be acceptable to issue death threats on the basis of skin colour? Or sexuality?

Surely, all death threats are wrong, and should be condemned?

Esseesse

8,969 posts

208 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
don4l said:
TTwiggy said:
PRTVR said:
My point was that it looks like violence is been used to control what people say , not just directly but indirectly due to fear, for me that is just totally wrong in a democracy.
Except that nobody in this country is actually having their views silenced by fear, are they? This bloke made a threat and was dealt with.

There are many countries in the world where people on all areas of the political spectrum are too afraid to speak out. This country is not one of them.
Wrong.

http://www.oxfordmail.co.uk/news/12881691.Controve...

I struggle to understand the mentality of someone who thinks that it is acceptable to issue death threats on the basis of political beliefs.

Would it be acceptable to issue death threats on the basis of skin colour? Or sexuality?

Surely, all death threats are wrong, and should be condemned?
Indeed wrong TTwiggy, I might consider a UKIP board outside the house except I value my windows (although I've recently ordered new ones so maybe it's worth the risk scratchchin).

DeanR32

1,840 posts

183 months

Thursday 30th April 2015
quotequote all
What is the kipper consensus on the best scenario we can hope for in this up coming election? I'm not talking ukip seats as such, more who, or what combo would suit the country, and ukip leading the country for the next term.