sky news debate

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anonymous-user

54 months

Saturday 28th March 2015
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DJRC said:
The political parties are voting to keep Cameron out of No 10? Eh?

Right, well whenever you have sorted out your English syntax into whatever it is you thought you wanted to say let us know, in the meantime Ill try and put my point across again because, well frankly, Id made sense.

The
Country
Isn't
Voting
Ed
Into
No 10.

Got it? Cameron, Clegg, Wee Eck, Sturgeon, Farage, the Green bird...all irrelevant. The simple...really really really...simple point is that the 15% of so of the voting demographic who make up the floating voter mob are going to pause in front of the paper holding the pencil and remember Ed. They are going to remember that they think he is a prat. Weak, incompetent, silly looking, silly minded,, silly sounding, wet lettuce prat. And then they are going to vote for anyone else. It may or may not be CMD, Farage, Clegg, etc but it won't be Ed. Yes, yes, some of them will actually give a fk who their MP will be, but 99% of them won't. It will be about who is delivered into No 10. And it won't be Ed.
The bits in bold are correct. They also undermine your conclusion.

If the floaters coalesce around a single alternative, Miliband won't win. If they fracture across a number of alternatives, as seems much more probable right now, Labour's vote will hold to within a couple of percentage points of the Tories. And with the voting boundaries as they are, that hands a win to Ed. It may be a minority Government, but it will be a Government nonetheless. With Miliband as PM, and Balls in No 11.

The Tories will then go into infighting mode, one of the things they do best, and will be a weak opposition. The boundaries will never be changed with a Labour Government. Bear in mind that Cameron could not get an outright majority even after the giant financial meltdown. Just consider how bad things will have to be under a future Labour government before a majority Tory government has a chance of being elected.

So whilst I'd like to take your prediction to the bank, I'm really not anywhere near as optimistic as you that it will eventuate.

Ecosseven

1,980 posts

217 months

Saturday 28th March 2015
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mikal83 said:
Tories will win.
Lib Dems will lose a lot of seats.
Tories will again form a coalition with everyone bar Labour and the SNP and st fein.
If the polls are right then the Lib Dems will indeed lose a lot of seats and SNP will gain a significant number of seats. The big problem for the Tories is that even if they wanted a coalition with the Lib Dems and UKIP this still wouldn't give them a majority in the HoC. It is likely that Labour could achieve a majority if it went into a coalition with the SNP, Greens and Plaid Cymru. I know Milliband has previously said that he wouldn't have any SNP MP's in his cabinet but I wouldn't bet on this being the case. All this is based on the latest polls. Interesting times.

I think the most likely outcome will be a minority Government led by Labour.





Snozzwangler

12,230 posts

194 months

Saturday 28th March 2015
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Slug Miliband would do anything for power.


As has been demonstrated.

Wills2

22,834 posts

175 months

Saturday 28th March 2015
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Ecosseven said:
mikal83 said:
Tories will win.
Lib Dems will lose a lot of seats.
Tories will again form a coalition with everyone bar Labour and the SNP and st fein.
If the polls are right then the Lib Dems will indeed lose a lot of seats and SNP will gain a significant number of seats. The big problem for the Tories is that even if they wanted a coalition with the Lib Dems and UKIP this still wouldn't give them a majority in the HoC. It is likely that Labour could achieve a majority if it went into a coalition with the SNP, Greens and Plaid Cymru. I know Milliband has previously said that he wouldn't have any SNP MP's in his cabinet but I wouldn't bet on this being the case. All this is based on the latest polls. Interesting times.

I think the most likely outcome will be a minority Government led by Labour.
Surely the DUP would support a tory/lib government they have 9 seats so the tories and liberals need to do better than the polls suggest but still doable.

The spectre of a minority Labour government relying on support from the SNP should be enough to see the tories over the line.

mikal83

5,340 posts

252 months

Saturday 28th March 2015
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Wills2 said:
Surely the DUP would support a tory/lib government they have 9 seats so the tories and liberals need to do better than the polls suggest but still doable.

The spectre of a minority Labour government relying on support from the SNP should be enough to see the tories over the line.
Agree. Just the though of any SNP politician bulking up the Scottish banks/bennies/coffers should send a shudder down every English/Welsh/NI mans spine.

groucho

12,134 posts

246 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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The Sunday Times headline...."Labour race into 4-point lead after Miliband's TV success"

This country has gone mad. SUCCESS??? Perhaps I'm going mad and watched a different program.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

198 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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groucho said:
The Sunday Times headline...."Labour race into 4-point lead after Miliband's TV success"

This country has gone mad. SUCCESS??? Perhaps I'm going mad and watched a different program.
Yep I was surprised at this but its a 4% swing towards Labour from Tory following the first TV debate.

groucho

12,134 posts

246 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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We're in the st, aren't we?

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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groucho said:
We're in the st, aren't we?
Yup.

Had a long conversation with my father last night about me returning to the UK in around 5 years for a bit to retire and allow my wife (happily long time married) to gain her Brit passport before we bugger off and start travelling.

I simply said that if Labour get in, I'm not sure there will be anything to go back to in 5 years time and if there is anything left it will be a smoldering clusterfk of epic proportions.

groucho

12,134 posts

246 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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I find it totally bizarre that people have such short memories and how Labour can have such a following.

NicD

3,281 posts

257 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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groucho said:
I find it totally bizarre that people have such short memories and how Labour can have such a following.
++++++

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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It really does boggle the mind. I can only assume that 38% of the population really are as thick as pig st. I mean really, really, stupid.

davepoth

29,395 posts

199 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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Asterix said:
It really does boggle the mind. I can only assume that 38% of the population really are as thick as pig st. I mean really, really, stupid.
IMO The current incarnation of Labour doesn't do much to attract floating voters at all - but there's such a number of people who would vote for Labour even if the leader was a potted plant and their only policy was "kill everybody" that their vote is holding up despite the current political climate.

There are now so many options for people on the left that if people really were thinking about who they were voting for I think the vote would be spread out a little more.

NailedOn

3,114 posts

235 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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Asterix said:
It really does boggle the mind. I can only assume that 38% of the population really are as thick as pig st. I mean really, really, stupid.
We'd be lucky if it was as low as 38%.
A pal of mine who is old school Labour recently used the expression 'F;;ck the shareholders,' in reponse to some news item.
A week or two later he asked my advice on his pension fund. It was not showing the level of predicted pension he was hoping for. This pal is holds down a senior post and is bright enough. But trying to explain to him the relationship between profits and pensions was almost impossible.
Labour: Profits are bad. Simple as that.

McWigglebum4th

32,414 posts

204 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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davepoth said:
people who would vote for Labour even if the leader was a potted plant
It would be an improvement

MarshPhantom

9,658 posts

137 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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davepoth said:
IMO The current incarnation of Labour doesn't do much to attract floating voters at all - but there's such a number of people who would vote for Labour even if the leader was a potted plant and their only policy was "kill everybody" that their vote is holding up despite the current political climate.

Tory voters are no different, worse even.


Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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McWigglebum4th said:
davepoth said:
people who would vote for Labour even if the leader was a potted plant
It would be an improvement
Virtual pint if someone remembers what this is from.


ralphrj

3,528 posts

191 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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The Adventure Game?

Asterix

24,438 posts

228 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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Yup hehe

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

198 months

Sunday 29th March 2015
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NailedOn said:
We'd be lucky if it was as low as 38%.
A pal of mine who is old school Labour recently used the expression 'F;;ck the shareholders,' in reponse to some news item.
A week or two later he asked my advice on his pension fund. It was not showing the level of predicted pension he was hoping for. This pal is holds down a senior post and is bright enough. But trying to explain to him the relationship between profits and pensions was almost impossible.
Labour: Profits are bad. Simple as that.
Did you explain to him that G Brown stealth taxes stripped £50billion from pension funds and continues to this day -- so why he black hole or oddly enough a similar value....


I've family members who are staunch labour too yet come to me about £ questions and then its oh yea but that's only for the bankers nasty bankers (always saying it twice the second time replacing the B for W).

Mindless - though they are very bright all first class degree.