The 'No to the EU' campaign

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tumble dryer

2,016 posts

127 months

Friday 5th February 2016
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turbobloke said:
My view is that there are plenty of voters who will be voting 'Out' viscerally as opposed to analytically, in which case arguments involving analytics won't be of much use to the campaign bods for the Inners.
My view is that there will be LOTS of voters who haven't a clue WTF they're voting for. But they'll vote anyway. (I predict a riot second vote.)

Then a riot. smile






turbobloke

103,955 posts

260 months

Friday 5th February 2016
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tumble dryer said:
My view is that there will be LOTS of voters who haven't a clue WTF they're voting for.
hehe

Are you suggesting that sections of the eletorate aren't that sophisticated?!

Seems about right.

anonymous-user

54 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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mph1977 said:
turbobloke said:
mph1977 said:
plus the reality that the FUD over out is real and not just as some presume set dressing by in ...
People are seeing with their eyes the risks of being in, and staying in, a shambles in which (for example) the EZ is teetering on the brink. There's plenty of FUD on both sides.
like the scottish referendum - the 'in ' issues are known and documented, the out issues rely on people beleiving that he out campaign will get what it wants and that France, the PIIGS and Eastern Europe won't punish the UK as much as Frau Merkel and the other Noerthern European leaders want a smooth exit if it comes to that ...
Do you ever read what you post? That is simply unintelligible.

Guybrush

4,350 posts

206 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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Something I think most thinking people knew anyway...

"'EU law will always prevail': Leading British law officer says David Cameron's plan to win back British sovereignty won't work unless we quit the EU..."

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3433469/To...



steveatesh

4,899 posts

164 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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Guybrush said:
Something I think most thinking people knew anyway...

"'EU law will always prevail': Leading British law officer says David Cameron's plan to win back British sovereignty won't work unless we quit the EU..."

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3433469/To...
Dr Richard North (EU Referendum blog) clarifying the debate about the results of the "negotiations" being binding. As usual he quotes the relevant article paragraphs etc rather than just relying on what somebody has told him.

Not binding at all, and that Cameron has lied to the House.

It's a shame Norths knowledge is not used more by the mainstream press, probably because he always slags them off so much of course.

turbobloke

103,955 posts

260 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
quotequote all
steveatesh said:
Guybrush said:
Something I think most thinking people knew anyway...

"'EU law will always prevail': Leading British law officer says David Cameron's plan to win back British sovereignty won't work unless we quit the EU..."

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3433469/To...
Dr Richard North (EU Referendum blog) clarifying the debate about the results of the "negotiations" being binding. As usual he quotes the relevant article paragraphs etc rather than just relying on what somebody has told him.

Not binding at all, and that Cameron has lied to the House.


EU context, naturally.

AstonZagato

12,703 posts

210 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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Listening to R4 this morning and the consensus was that Cameron would have to resign if he led the In campaign and lost. Really? Yes, his credibility be damaged (his "deal" would have been rejected) but he wasn't elected to keep us in the EU. He tried to renegotiate, he got whatever "thin gruel" he could and presented that to the people - all as promised.

s2art

18,937 posts

253 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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AstonZagato said:
Listening to R4 this morning and the consensus was that Cameron would have to resign if he led the In campaign and lost. Really? Yes, his credibility be damaged (his "deal" would have been rejected) but he wasn't elected to keep us in the EU. He tried to renegotiate, he got whatever "thin gruel" he could and presented that to the people - all as promised.
Problem is that CMD appears to be a committed 'inner'. How could he credibly lead the negotiations for exit?

Scuffers

20,887 posts

274 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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s2art said:
Problem is that CMD appears to be a committed 'inner'. How could he credibly lead the negotiations for exit?
Exactly...

So, what happens next?

Langweilig

4,326 posts

211 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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AstonZagato said:
Listening to R4 this morning and the consensus was that Cameron would have to resign if he led the In campaign and lost. Really? Yes, his credibility be damaged (his "deal" would have been rejected) but he wasn't elected to keep us in the EU. He tried to renegotiate, he got whatever "thin gruel" he could and presented that to the people - all as promised.
But do we know if he negotiated through a position of strength-not adopting the Euro and not being part of the Schengen agreement?

s2art

18,937 posts

253 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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Scuffers said:
s2art said:
Problem is that CMD appears to be a committed 'inner'. How could he credibly lead the negotiations for exit?
Exactly...

So, what happens next?
If Cameron still in charge, then he would have to appoint a credible negotiating team. How about Redwood (its only logical), Rees-Mogg (to snob them to death), Davies (the Muscle), Cash (bore them into submission) and Boris (create confusion/distraction etc). May as well throw Farage into the mix as a shouty irritant. With that bunch their team will just want to get it over with very quickly.

don4l

10,058 posts

176 months

Saturday 6th February 2016
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s2art said:
If Cameron still in charge, then he would have to appoint a credible negotiating team. How about Redwood (its only logical), Rees-Mogg (to snob them to death), Davies (the Muscle), Cash (bore them into submission) and Boris (create confusion/distraction etc). May as well throw Farage into the mix as a shouty irritant. With that bunch their team will just want to get it over with very quickly.
Good suggestion. Could I suggest that Dan Hannan be included.

If you don't know who he is, then watch this wonderful Youtube speech:-

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=94lW6Y4tBXs

AJS-

15,366 posts

236 months

Sunday 7th February 2016
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Like the fantasy negotiation team. Could we add Godfrey Bloom in for entertainment value?

Scuffers

20,887 posts

274 months

Sunday 7th February 2016
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Watching the Andrew Marr show...

he's got Carswell on.

I really think Mr Carswell needs to take a few steps back and stop being so naive.


FiF

44,080 posts

251 months

Sunday 7th February 2016
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So 44 Conservative party chairman have written to Cameron warning him about the disdain he has shown telling MPs to ignore the opinions of the grassroots constituency members and that there will be repercussions. He does not have a right to rule.

Meanwhile His Nigelness reckons he can sway the referendum. Not with the arguments you're presenting on your own Nige, you need more ideas and points than those.

Yet again the Telegraph shows up EU waste, apparently there's a fleet of private jets just for Juncker's etc to commute around the place. Journeys such as Brussels to Strasbourg which are amply covered by train and commercial flights.

Gove also needs to man up and stop wavering and go with his Eurosceptic tendencies. Come on Michael you've got more spine than this.

Carswell, needs to grow up.

steveatesh

4,899 posts

164 months

Sunday 7th February 2016
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Richard North covers the emergency brake in fine style here:

http://www.eureferendum.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=8...

I thought this bit was particularly pertinent:

"One can only imagine the transformative effect the detail might have, if prominently featured in the British media, pointing out that Mr Cameron was relying on a provision of the EEA Agreement, in force since 1994 and which could have been implemented at any time since.

What would also be interesting to see would be the effect this would have on the debate when it was pointed out that Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein have the power to invoke this provision unilaterally (and that Liechtenstein already has), whereas the UK requires the permission of the European commission".

So the emergency brake is already in place and Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein have more say in it than we will have.

Sadly he has pointed this all out to a Journalist who for one reason or another has not followed through with an article in their newspaper.

Norfolkit

2,394 posts

190 months

Sunday 7th February 2016
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Bullett said:
From the Times

"The YouGov survey found that 45 per cent of people will vote to leave the EU compared with 36 per cent who want to remain, while 19 per cent do not know or would not vote. Excluding the “don’t knows”, this means 56 per cent want to leave while 44 per cent want to remain."

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/politics/articl...
I'm not sure it actually matters, however we vote it will be a vote to stay. The EU has a long and shameful history of ignoring the electorate when they don't like the result

PRTVR

7,105 posts

221 months

Sunday 7th February 2016
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Norfolkit said:
Bullett said:
From the Times

"The YouGov survey found that 45 per cent of people will vote to leave the EU compared with 36 per cent who want to remain, while 19 per cent do not know or would not vote. Excluding the “don’t knows”, this means 56 per cent want to leave while 44 per cent want to remain."

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/politics/articl...
I'm not sure it actually matters, however we vote it will be a vote to stay. The EU has a long and shameful history of ignoring the electorate when they don't like the result
Hotel California..... You can check out but you can never leave.

Laurel Green

30,779 posts

232 months

Sunday 7th February 2016
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Starts honing pitchfork.

robinessex

11,059 posts

181 months

Sunday 7th February 2016
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When we leave, can we have street parties !!
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