Oldham West and Royton by-election

[Beati Dogu]

Axionknight said:

Does the weather really put folk off from voting? Wow.

It disproportionately puts Labour voters off voting apparently.

[Esseesse]

anonymous said:

[redacted]

They should have to as they will have the figures. Transparency is of utmost importance. They should give a breakdown by ballot box and counter too (protecting identity if required).

[tim0409]

As a bit of political anorak I will be staying up for this one; even if Labour only scrape through with a few 1000's majority I doubt it will have any impact on JC.

[Halb]

tim0409 said:

As a bit of political anorak I will be staying up for this one; even if Labour only scrape through with a few 1000's majority I doubt it will have any impact on JC.

Not immediately.

[Esseesse]

Twitter suggesting that Labour have done quite well, especially on postal votes.

[Pesty]

Esseesse said:

Twitter suggesting that Labour have done quite well, especially on postal votes.

[dandarez]

Labour now confidently predicting they will win. Ukip have said they have lost.

Looks like Corbyn is saved. The doomsayers (I am one) seem to have got it very wrong.
One saying margin of win as much as 10,000!!

Crikey, imagine if CMD's bombing goes very wrong, civilians killed or atrocities here (UK is safer now), Corbyn will look like a saint.
As Wilson said, a week in politics is a long time.

[Halb]

dandarez said:

One saying margin of win as much as 10,000!!

No way?!

[Scuffers]

Esseesse said:

Twitter suggesting that Labour have done quite well, especially on postal votes.

No st....

7,115 postal votes cast from 27,795 total.

[Pesty]

Seems legit.

[Halb]

Paul Nuttalls - " POSTAL vote postal vote postal vote!!!!"

[dandarez]

Nuttall making strong points about the postal voting. Up 15% on day one. Affront to democracy, huge number voted by post a week before election.

[Pesty]

I wonder what the breakdown of the postal votes was and if it matched the overall results.

[Esseesse]

Pesty said:

I wonder what the breakdown of the postal votes was and if it matched the overall results.

Nuttal said 99% Labour!

[johnxjsc1985]

He seems like a decent local man good luck to him going into that mad house

[Scuffers]

At what point do they have to investigate these postal frauds?

[dandarez]

Over 10,000 majority! Bigger share of vote than Meacher had. 62.5%. Astonishing!

Corbyn has been saved?

Looks like postal voting will now be looked into.

And polling again, way out.

Edited by dandarez on Friday 4th December 01:11

[Halb]

Christ, UKiPs woman is scrabbling. 'Very good second?'

[Halb]

Result at the 2015 General Election
General Election 2015: Oldham West and Royton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Michael Meacher 23,630 54.8 +9.3
UKIP Francis Arbour 8,892 20.6 +17.4

Labour up 7 and UKiPs up 3. Even thought actual votes are down.

[Scuffers]

Halb said:

Result at the 2015 General Election
General Election 2015: Oldham West and Royton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Michael Meacher 23,630 54.8 +9.3
UKIP Francis Arbour 8,892 20.6 +17.4

Labour up 7 and UKiPs up 3. Even thought actual votes are down.

As a % there up, in hard votes, they are all down.

All that aside, what does this tell us?