RBS: Panic! Sell everything! Meltdown looming!

RBS: Panic! Sell everything! Meltdown looming!

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Discussion

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 8th February 2016
quotequote all
Digga said:
That an increase capital allowances for investment in plant and equipment.
Can you explain that Digga? I read the UK has 500k annual investment allowance right? Does that mean investments in machinery over that are not deductible from 'profit' for tax purposes? If a business had gross earnings of 1m and spent 1m on machinery, they would have to pay tax on 500k 'profit'?

Zod

35,295 posts

259 months

Monday 8th February 2016
quotequote all
Sam All said:
Zod said:
I blame the immigrants.
Au contraire, they provide fresh blood and keep costs contained. smile
Indeed they do.

More seriously, every recession over the last century has been preceded by a large oil price spike, affecting the cost of doing business and consumers' ability and willingness to pay. Current market weakness is based on low, unsustainable commodities prices, due in the main part to reduced Chinese demand.

Digga

40,354 posts

284 months

Monday 8th February 2016
quotequote all
fblm said:
Digga said:
That an increase capital allowances for investment in plant and equipment.
Can you explain that Digga? I read the UK has 500k annual investment allowance right? Does that mean investments in machinery over that are not deductible from 'profit' for tax purposes? If a business had gross earnings of 1m and spent 1m on machinery, they would have to pay tax on 500k 'profit'?
For one thing, the allowance is up and down like a we's drawers, so long term budgeting and planning (the sort we need for real growth) is simply not possible. Currently they are £200k, down from £500k last year. You still get depreciation against tax, and 18% write down on figures higher than the allowance but the maximum allowance against profit is £200k.

Well the next Mazak CNC machine tool we're likely to buy - and we're only a piddling little engineering firm - will be over £250k. Cash is king and every little helps SMEs.

ETA yes, your calculation, based on last year's allowance is correct.

Sam All

3,101 posts

102 months

Monday 8th February 2016
quotequote all
Zod said:
Indeed they do.

More seriously, every recession over the last century has been preceded by a large oil price spike, affecting the cost of doing business and consumers' ability and willingness to pay. Current market weakness is based on low, unsustainable commodities prices, due in the main part to reduced Chinese demand.
Consumer benefits, governments lose some tax revenue.
Leveraging/dependance by oil producers much much higher this time, likely to cascade down to banks.

But hey Shell super unleaded is still well over a quid.



anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 8th February 2016
quotequote all
Digga said:
For one thing, the allowance is up and down like a we's drawers, so long term budgeting and planning (the sort we need for real growth) is simply not possible. Currently they are £200k, down from £500k last year. You still get depreciation against tax, and 18% write down on figures higher than the allowance but the maximum allowance against profit is £200k.

Well the next Mazak CNC machine tool we're likely to buy - and we're only a piddling little engineering firm - will be over £250k. Cash is king and every little helps SMEs.

ETA yes, your calculation, based on last year's allowance is correct.
Thanks

Digga

40,354 posts

284 months

Monday 8th February 2016
quotequote all
fblm said:
Digga said:
For one thing, the allowance is up and down like a we's drawers, so long term budgeting and planning (the sort we need for real growth) is simply not possible. Currently they are £200k, down from £500k last year. You still get depreciation against tax, and 18% write down on figures higher than the allowance but the maximum allowance against profit is £200k.

Well the next Mazak CNC machine tool we're likely to buy - and we're only a piddling little engineering firm - will be over £250k. Cash is king and every little helps SMEs.

ETA yes, your calculation, based on last year's allowance is correct.
Thanks
Apropos the Italians, this picture is from the Twitter feed of the upcoming Bauma 2016 exhibition in Munich. There are more Italian exhibitors than any other nation; more even than China and the USA combined. This is a global show - the biggest exhibition of any kind on earth - so 'everyone' is there. Granted, some of the US and CHinese firms will individually be very big, but it is nonetheless striking:


Digga

40,354 posts

284 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
BlackLabel said:
IMHO: Yes, next question.

This is certainly where it gets harder to kick the can down the road (or as the better analogy has it, keep kicking the football uphill).

turbobloke

104,042 posts

261 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
Digga said:
BlackLabel said:
IMHO: Yes, next question.

This is certainly where it gets harder to kick the can down the road (or as the better analogy has it, keep kicking the football uphill).
yes

From the article and not related, but related.

Deutsche Bank five year default probability spike

Credit Suisse CEO Tidjane Thiam shrugs off first loss since 2008

Digga

40,354 posts

284 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Credit Suisse CEO Tidjane Thiam shrugs off first loss since 2008
It's pass the parcel, but instead of a present inside there's something rather odious. Thiam's just unlucky (unwise?) enough to have been caught holding the parcel at the wrong time. It's not like what is inside these parcels - for all the banks - did not exist until today.

speedy_thrills

7,760 posts

244 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Credit Suisse CEO Tidjane Thiam shrugs off first loss since 2008
I've seen him talk a few times now and been very unimpressed by each, it seems to me they may have been sold a pup.

However I don't believe European banking is in any deeper than the level to which it has grown accustomed. Banking is at the intersection of difficulties with squeezed margins and increasing regulatory focus (R&C and Quality people are proliferating at an almost alarming rate making banks very parochial and conservative) are hindering top line growth. In many ways squeezing and reorganizing is probably what banks need to figure out what they are in individually good at, what needs to be pruned and how they can eek their way back to growth.

turbobloke

104,042 posts

261 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
speedy_thrills said:
turbobloke said:
Credit Suisse CEO Tidjane Thiam shrugs off first loss since 2008
I've seen him talk a few times now and been very unimpressed by each, it seems to me they may have been sold a pup.

However I don't believe European banking is in any deeper than the level to which it has grown accustomed...
hehe

Thanks for those words of comfort wink

Sam All

3,101 posts

102 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
speedy_thrills said:
I've seen him talk a few times now and been very unimpressed by each, it seems to me they may have been sold a pup.

.
Yes deeply unimpressive speaker. And past performance at the Pru no guarantee of future results.

speedy_thrills

7,760 posts

244 months

Wednesday 2nd March 2016
quotequote all
speedy_thrills said:
...what they are individually good at, what needs to be pruned and how they can eek their way back to growth.
Or perhaps in Barclays case a tourniquet on one leg while hacking off the other. They're slashing remuneration, implementing a long term hiring freeze and selling off chunks. Brutal stuff and I hope they have a business left to run when they are finished. Must be a strange place to work.


Zod

35,295 posts

259 months

Wednesday 2nd March 2016
quotequote all
speedy_thrills said:
speedy_thrills said:
...what they are individually good at, what needs to be pruned and how they can eek their way back to growth.
Or perhaps in Barclays case a tourniquet on one leg while hacking off the other. They're slashing remuneration, implementing a long term hiring freeze and selling off chunks. Brutal stuff and I hope they have a business left to run when they are finished. Must be a strange place to work.
Barclays is in a never-ending cycle of building up and then cutting back enormously. Why anyone with a choice goes to work there is beyond me.

Digga

40,354 posts

284 months

Wednesday 2nd March 2016
quotequote all
fblm said:
Digga said:
That an increase capital allowances for investment in plant and equipment.
Can you explain that Digga? I read the UK has 500k annual investment allowance right? Does that mean investments in machinery over that are not deductible from 'profit' for tax purposes? If a business had gross earnings of 1m and spent 1m on machinery, they would have to pay tax on 500k 'profit'?
Lack of productivity growth, as a result of a lack of investment, due to interest rates and business uncertainty. This is the problem for developed economies and nothing seems to be being done about it.

Greenspan said:
We’re in trouble basically because productivity is dead in the water,” he said. “Real capital investment is way below average. Why? Because business people are very uncertain about the future.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-01/greenspan-says-negative-rates-warp-investment-behavior

markcoznottz

7,155 posts

225 months

Wednesday 2nd March 2016
quotequote all
Digga said:
fblm said:
Digga said:
That an increase capital allowances for investment in plant and equipment.
Can you explain that Digga? I read the UK has 500k annual investment allowance right? Does that mean investments in machinery over that are not deductible from 'profit' for tax purposes? If a business had gross earnings of 1m and spent 1m on machinery, they would have to pay tax on 500k 'profit'?
Lack of productivity growth, as a result of a lack of investment, due to interest rates and business uncertainty. This is the problem for developed economies and nothing seems to be being done about it.

Greenspan said:
We’re in trouble basically because productivity is dead in the water,” he said. “Real capital investment is way below average. Why? Because business people are very uncertain about the future.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-01/greenspan-says-negative-rates-warp-investment-behavior
In other news bears go into the woods. Don't employ art graduates in government..,.

Digga

40,354 posts

284 months

Wednesday 2nd March 2016
quotequote all
markcoznottz said:
In other news bears go into the woods. Don't employ art graduates in government..,.
In the same way that the EU fails to see the problems at the heart of the Greek economy, so the UK and US administrations are completely and utterly clueless as to the source of productivity and economic growth.

st will really hit the fan for many businesses next year with the double-impact of dividend taxation and compulsory pension legislation.

speedy_thrills

7,760 posts

244 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
UK banks are really taking a hammering including those mentioned above.

turbobloke

104,042 posts

261 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
speedy_thrills said:
UK banks are really taking a hammering including those mentioned above.
Good time to buy.