Results

[andyps]

vonuber said:

Under the new rules of registration won't a lot of uni students be registered back home?

I've no idea but surely the pollsters are not so inept that they missed it if the case.

[SeeFive]

Experts forecasting eh.

And we all were expected to follow their predictions of economic disaster and global war doom in the campaign.

And he couldn't do 20% of 45 million in his head

[Esseesse]

~20% of votes made by post.

[FreeLitres]

This is tight!

[anonymous-user]

VolvoT5 said:

So is Newcastle a blip in the polling companies models.... or if Newcastle an indicator that we may actually vote leave?

And that, dear readers, is the crucial question that vexes us for now...

But by tomorrow we shall know.

[sanf]

TLandCruiser said:

sanf said:

bloody hell....Newcastle, ouch!!

Experts looking confused now.

What did the experts predict?

This has been discussed a bit *apparently Newcastle is younger, trendy, Labour, vote in, type town. As such they were initially expecting around 60/40, they said 55/45 would be bad for remain. So the actual result is nuts!!

The professor chap instantly said...either, the polls are all wrong, or Newcastle may be just a blip, and more results will be needed to confirm.

Sunderland, they think anything less than 60/40 leave is bad for leave. 65+ leave is good for leave. Everyone is definitely baffled!!

[Halb]

Polls wrong? Never heard of that.

[B'stard Child]

It's all in play - few more results needed to get a better picture.....

[Esseesse]

Twitter: "REMAIN now down to 74% chance on Betfair. At one stage it was over 90%"

[VolvoT5]

sanf said:

This has been discussed a bit *apparently Newcastle is younger, trendy, Labour, vote in, type town. As such they were initially expecting around 60/40, they said 55/45 would be bad for remain. So the actual result is nuts!!

Labour outers are already going on in interviews saying this proves just how disconnected the party is from its core voters.... They figured Labour city = easy remain win but that just isn't the case. Corbyn could have won a lot of voters back to Labour if he had stuck with his euro sceptic princples.

As it is I suspect Labour PLP are making moves to try and oust Jezza after this vote, regardless of the outcome.

[Esseesse]

http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2016/06/23/brexit/

[CaptainSlow]

Are there any financial markets open at the moment?

[Norfolkit]

SNP woman is still fking campaigning!

[jsc15]

Betfair was odds of 16-to-1 on a Leave result about 30 mins ago

It's now down to 2.5-to-1

[Esseesse]

CaptainSlow said:

Are there any financial markets open at the moment?

Are currency markets not always open?

[tim0409]

I'm at the East Lothian count and it's looking like 63% for remain (according to early sampling).

[EddieSteadyGo]

Esseesse said:

http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2016/06/23/brexit/

John Redwood said:

...From what I have seen and heard I am anticipating a win for Leave.

Let's see

[Esseesse]

tim0409 said:

I'm at the East Lothian count and it's looking like 63% for remain (according to early sampling).

What was expected before counting began?

[Ridgemont]

The funny thing about this is that the North, as per forecast, might be critical but the key thing will be the importance of brute numbers. If Scotland has fallen asleep then that is huge for Leave..

[Esseesse]

Ridgemont said:

The funny thing about this is that the North, as per forecast, might be critical but the key thing will be the importance of brute numbers. If Scotland has fallen asleep then that is huge for Leave..

Good thinking. Not used to this every vote counts system.