Is Boris sh*tting himself?

Author
Discussion

e8_pack

1,384 posts

181 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
Having watched the Boris victory speech again and listening very carefully, I heard nothing more than a gloat free, respectable recognition of CMDs achievements and governance, with a steady way forward to begin the process of unraveling ourselves from the EU with a sensible and measured approach.

Some people have too much time on their hands. We made the decision, now let's get on with it. Remainers, please get a grip for Christ sake, if you are still shaking with fear, find your closest leaver for a few strong words of encouragement and quick slap around the chops.

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
Not entirely uninteresting, but from February, 16 weeks is a long time in politics.

pim

2,344 posts

124 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
///ajd said:
That post above is worth pasting

If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.

Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.

With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.

How?

Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor.

And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.

The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.

The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50?

Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?

Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-maneouvered and check-mated.

If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act.

The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.

When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.

All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign.
Very good post.Good insight or guessing?

vonuber

17,868 posts

165 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
mybrainhurts said:
Well done.

So, you're a closet mum, eh? Who's have thunk it?
Que?

Sorry, it's Brexit isn't it.

What?

Don

28,377 posts

284 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
pim said:
///ajd said:
That post above is worth pasting

If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.

Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.

With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.

How?

Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor.

And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.

The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.

The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50?

Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?

Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-maneouvered and check-mated.

If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act.

The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.

When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.

All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign.
Very good post.Good insight or guessing?
Guys, This is horsest. Really it is. The reality of what we're facing is real. This is now going to happen no matter what you think. For worse or for better. We don't know. And there's no way to predict all of the outcomes. The only question that's left is how we face it.

I reckon head on is better.

Whining about how it might not happen is like fiddling while Rome burns.

schmalex

13,616 posts

206 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
///ajd said:
That post above is worth pasting

If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.

Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.

With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.

How?

Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor.

And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.

The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.

The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50?

Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?

Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-maneouvered and check-mated.

If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act.

The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.

When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.

All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign.
This.

Cameron's resignation was a master stroke. BJ and MG know they are cornered and have been completely out-played by DC.

Eric Mc

122,032 posts

265 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
Boris is actually wetting himself.


This is his moment. He needs to grab the opportunity with both hands. It may never arise again.

king arthur

6,566 posts

261 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
e8_pack said:
Having watched the Boris victory speech again and listening very carefully, I heard nothing more than a gloat free, respectable recognition of CMDs achievements and governance, with a steady way forward to begin the process of unraveling ourselves from the EU with a sensible and measured approach.

Some people have too much time on their hands. We made the decision, now let's get on with it. Remainers, please get a grip for Christ sake, if you are still shaking with fear, find your closest leaver for a few strong words of encouragement and quick slap around the chops.
Agreed.

Was there anybody on the planet who was actually surprised by Cameron's decision to quit? You don't really believe Boris couldn't see that coming do you? This is all nonsense. If Remain had won, how would that have furthered Boris' ambition to become PM? Those weren't clever tactics by Cameron - his voice was breaking at the end of his speech, that isn't a man who is enacting a masterful plan.

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
Boris is actually wetting himself.


This is his moment. He needs to grab the opportunity with both hands. It may never arise again.
I don't think he's up to it, and I never have.

Don't care for any of the other major contenders either to be honest, oh well...

don'tbesilly

13,933 posts

163 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
pim said:
///ajd said:

Stuff
Very good post.Good insight or guessing?


Probably a recipe from The Guardian with a dash of FT/ pinch of BBC and an ounce of hyperbole.

The taste suits some, but not the 52%.

powerstroke

10,283 posts

160 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
Eric Mc said:
Boris is actually wetting himself.

.
No the left and other hard of thinking people are wetting themselves....

Mr_B

10,480 posts

243 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
don'tbesilly said:
pim said:
///ajd said:

Stuff
Very good post.Good insight or guessing?


Probably a recipe from The Guardian with a dash of FT/ pinch of BBC and an ounce of hyperbole.

The taste suits some, but not the 52%.
Its from the Guardian comments section.

mondeoman

11,430 posts

266 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
Mr_B said:
don'tbesilly said:
pim said:
///ajd said:

Stuff
Very good post.Good insight or guessing?


Probably a recipe from The Guardian with a dash of FT/ pinch of BBC and an ounce of hyperbole.

The taste suits some, but not the 52%.
Its from the Guardian comments section.
oh dear, didn't even have the decency to say that he'd lifted it. naughty.

gibbon

2,182 posts

207 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
s3fella said:
Not sure about Boris, but you seem to be the one stting yourself about a "3p rise in fuel price".

And if you are hanging about on the likes of MUmsnet, with the sort of trivial shyte they worry about, it is no wonder.

I'd suggest man the fk up you doom monger, but I fear you are done for. So just get the op and move over to Mumsnet to talk about what went on on Loose Women today of how your "DH" doesn't love you anymore. laugh
s3fella, seriously, i dont know where to start with this, but it certainly paints you in an appalling light.

don'tbesilly

13,933 posts

163 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
Mr_B said:
don'tbesilly said:
pim said:
///ajd said:

Stuff
Very good post.Good insight or guessing?


Probably a recipe from The Guardian with a dash of FT/ pinch of BBC and an ounce of hyperbole.

The taste suits some, but not the 52%.
Its from the Guardian comments section.
I shouldn't but...........................................rofl

AndrewEH1

4,917 posts

153 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
mondeoman said:
oh dear, didn't even have the decency to say that he'd lifted it. naughty.
The first line of the post says where it was from if you had read the thread thoroughly.

saaby93

32,038 posts

178 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
I don't think he's up to it, and I never have.

Don't care for any of the other major contenders either to be honest, oh well...
May

gibbon

2,182 posts

207 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
s3fella said:
I disagree. I think the best thing all round now is for no one from British Gov to say anything on the issue for the next few weeks. Let the EU piffle mongers vent their spleens that someone has made a stand and decided to not "invest" the £10BN ad infinitum, and their gravy train may come under scrutiny once and for all, and get on with quietly outing things in place for the new leadership and negotiating team.

Let the media go round sticking microphones in the faces of people who are unhappy about it all, and let UK Gov maintain a dignified silence for a few weeks.
Jesus, you really dont understand a thing do you. Little Britain at its best, the odd thing is, i suspect its people like you that will suffer the most, you will have less chance of making the relevant changes to evolve in this new world we are likely creating for ourselves. You will continue to fail to adapt and prosper and simply look for someone else to blame rather looking within.

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

244 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
Einion Yrth said:
I don't think he's up to it, and I never have.

Don't care for any of the other major contenders either to be honest, oh well...
May
God's teeth no, this is the woman who wants all of your internet traffic watched, she makes Genghis Khan look like a libertarian. No, just no.

Halb

53,012 posts

183 months

Saturday 25th June 2016
quotequote all
don4l said:
Yesterday, the BBC wailed that the FTSE fell by 7%. Actually, by the close, the FTSE100 had lost 3%. It was still 2%, or 115 points, above last Friday.
It was higher?

How did the sterling thing affect it?