Lib Dems: Making a great comeback?

Lib Dems: Making a great comeback?

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footnote

924 posts

106 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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Timmy40 said:
yes in all this uncertainty and mess they have a chance to look organised and offer clarity of vision whilst Labour and the Tories pull themselves to pieces.

There's disgruntled business sponsors and votes galore to be hoovered up if they get it right. And as someone else has said for many the EU is an issue that trumps all others.

And although the tuition fee debacle haunts them, I think most people feel they did a very good job as coalition partners to the Tories. Not afraid to make hard decisions but perhaps softening some of the Tories political instincts.

The centre ground will be up for grabs if a post CMD Tory party swings right and Labour obliterates itself in a leftward spiral.
Agree - Labour especially, but Conservatives too, will be all over the shop in a general election. Labour will probably hang onto their main safe seats but Tories will lose at least half of everything they last gained from Labour as whichever Leader they choose will alienate half the party.

There will be a lot of seats for the Lib Dems to work on and UKIP (if they bother any further) will be disdained by any protest voters as people have now got Farage's number.

don4l

10,058 posts

176 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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Timmy40 said:
That said I still maintain the LibDems will see a huge poll surge on this.
If they increase their seats by 50% they would have 12 seats.

madala

5,063 posts

198 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
loads of disgruntled young voters

Well they should have got out of their smelly pits and made it to the polls ...... the young are beyond a bore ...... they want it all on plate ...... I dislike them intensely ...... fck them ....... frown

Esseesse

8,969 posts

208 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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Hopefully the EU says that they're not playing Hokey Cokey, come back in 20 years.

Apart from anything else, if we rejoin I think we would have to adopt the Euro and Schengen?

footnote

924 posts

106 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
I think a lot of people have looked into the abyss now and the idea of monumental change is beginning to look a lot less appetising.

The idea of 'going over the top' just because you said you would, when you now know what's on the other side, doesn't have so much of a hold on people anymore.

There's more willingness to consider altering course when danger has appeared on the horizon.

Esseesse

8,969 posts

208 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
The best thing I think that could come about from the LibDems taking a bold position on the EU, is that it may force the others to follow suit and declare on one side or the other.

This is the significant division in our society that the parties should reflect, rather than splitting over a few % increases (or not) for NHS funding.

ATG

20,575 posts

272 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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Mr Happy said:
This is a Lib Dem return to form IMO - they're in the political wilderness (again) with no chance of power so they can say whatever they like.

The whole furore around the student fees issue has probably caused an entire generation of voters to never vote lib dem again, either that or the students will have to u-turn and show just how short their short term memories are.
Student fees is a pretty trivial issue in the grand scheme of things, or at least it would be if people had a sense of perspective. The u-turn was not even much of a u-turn as the policy was obviously a complete non-starter for the Lib Dem's much larger coalition partner.

If this move breathes life back into the Lib Dems we should all breathe a sigh of relief even if we're never going to vote for them ourselves. It would mark a small step back towards political normality in the UK and help foster a saner level of discussion.

footnote

924 posts

106 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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By the sounds of things there's no real desire in the Conservatives to leave without a general election anyway - we haven't left anything yet.


S10GTA

Original Poster:

12,678 posts

167 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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It looks like a GE is on the cards for the Autumn unless I am mistaken. This is a very clever move by the LD.

ATG

20,575 posts

272 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Esseesse said:
The best thing I think that could come about from the LibDems taking a bold position on the EU, is that it may force the others to follow suit and declare on one side or the other.

This is the significant division in our society that the parties should reflect, rather than splitting over a few % increases (or not) for NHS funding.
I agree. Are the two main parties capable of picking sides or will one or both of them split? I do wonder if we're going to see some kind of SDP style splits followed by a centerist coalition.

footnote

924 posts

106 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
ATG said:
If this move breathes life back into the Lib Dems we should all breathe a sigh of relief even if we're never going to vote for them ourselves. It would mark a small step back towards political normality in the UK and help foster a saner level of discussion.
Good point. After Labour's collapse in Scotland we were in a position of possibly never having a viable opposition of any form. If the Lib Dems can come forward to a point where there's at least the potential for a multi-party opposition, it's got to be better.

markcoznottz

7,155 posts

224 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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andy_s said:
Mr Happy said:
The whole furore around the student fees issue has probably caused an entire generation of voters to never vote lib dem again, either that or the students will have to u-turn and show just how short their short term memories are.
Students are only students for a few years, so that seems likely.
According to the piece Martin Lewis did on it, most will never pay them back anyway?

motco

15,956 posts

246 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Esseesse said:
Hopefully the EU says that they're not playing Hokey Cokey, come back in 20 years.

Apart from anything else, if we rejoin I think we would have to adopt the Euro and Schengen?
"You put your left wing in..."

hairyben

8,516 posts

183 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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Esseesse said:
The best thing I think that could come about from the LibDems taking a bold position on the EU, is that it may force the others to follow suit and declare on one side or the other.

This is the significant division in our society that the parties should reflect, rather than splitting over a few % increases (or not) for NHS funding.
The fundamental problem is that 52% of those motivated to vote completely rejected anything and everything the main political representation had to offer, and that includes the clegg. The problem is an apparent majority feel they have no real political representation, trust or respect for those in Westminster. I hardly see what that bunch of also-ran very much worship-at-the-alter-of-the-eu weasels that are the lib dems are going to entice them with?

Tories or labour could take a election victory with a new no-nonsense "I'm going to get a deal for britain" that appeals to both sides- the promise of stability for the remains combined with more rights/powers for the leaves - fighting from the middle as do most successfull campaigns. But labour are a complete fking shambles, tories aren't much better with boris but his stock is overstretched even with those who once supported him- I'm not sure he expected or wanted this.

Underlying problem is a complete lack of real leadership and calibre in politics, even if better leadership would have let it come to a referendum they'd have convinced/galvanised the country to vote the way they wanted. Perhaps that lack of leadership and individualism in politics is an effect of succumbing to the eu, but whether we are in or out of the eu isn't the biggest matter - how well we do is all about leadership- to lead the country or to fight for britains place within the eu.

Back to the piffling squabble about in/out.

anonymous-user

54 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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madala said:
loads of disgruntled young voters

Well they should have got out of their smelly pits and made it to the polls ...... the young are beyond a bore ...... they want it all on plate ...... I dislike them intensely ...... fck them ....... frown
But next time, and there will be one this year, they will learn by their mistake & reverse this madness .

Silverage

2,034 posts

130 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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Guardian poll taken over the weekend has the LibDems on 7%, less than half than UKIP, so I don't think they'll be getting back to the heady days of 2010 for a while.

s2art

18,937 posts

253 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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S10GTA said:
It looks like a GE is on the cards for the Autumn unless I am mistaken. This is a very clever move by the LD.
Cant see it. The Tories are not going to want a GE until the Boundaries Commission has done its job.

footnote

924 posts

106 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
Silverage said:
Guardian poll taken over the weekend has the LibDems on 7%, less than half than UKIP, so I don't think they'll be getting back to the heady days of 2010 for a while.
It's all early days though. The response is just warmimg up.

The Tory leadership contest gives everyone until September.

Both Britain and EU have shown their hands and Merkel et al know Britain doesn't actually have the appetite to swallow what it's bitten off.

The more disruption there is, higher petrol prices, more expensive holiday money etc - all of these things hit the poor more than the rich.

The urban areas where Remain did well will turn to the Lib Dems, taking seats from the Tories and Labour whose 'Leave because we have to not because we want to' attitude won't cut the mustard.

I can't see people voting for UKIP in future.



glazbagun

14,280 posts

197 months

Monday 27th June 2016
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As much as I love #MysticClegg, I can't see it happening with Fallon as leader. Having said that, they've gained 5000 members since the EU ref.

Maybe like the Scottish Indy vote this has woken people up to politics.

rover 623gsi

5,230 posts

161 months

Monday 27th June 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
S10GTA said:
It looks like a GE is on the cards for the Autumn unless I am mistaken. This is a very clever move by the LD.
Cant see it. The Tories are not going to want a GE until the Boundaries Commission has done its job.
Does NO ONE remember the Fixed Term Parliament Act 2011???