Tory Leadership Election

Poll: Tory Leadership Election

Total Members Polled: 433

BoJo Boris Johnson (Leave): 72
I-Spy Theresa May (Remain): 219
Andrea Leadsom (Leave): 70
Gay can be cured Stephen Crabb (Remain): 17
Dr Jeremy Hunt (Remain): 5
Free Jolly Liam Fox (Leave): 9
Sajid Javid (Remain): 7
Beaker Nicky Morgan (Remain): 3
Jezza Corbyn (um): 14
I back JoBo honest Mike Gove: 30
Author
Discussion

Puggit

48,455 posts

249 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all

eatcustard

1,003 posts

128 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
I think May will get the top job.

She did not do much for the remainers, so brexiters would still be happy-ish, she has said we will leave the EU and sort out immigration, so that may swing in her favour.

Halb

Original Poster:

53,012 posts

184 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
What's this?! Has Gove been looking across the chamber and thought, 'bit of skulduggery, I like the sound of that!!'

I've joked about it, but current UK politics is more like Game of Thrones than ever.

Halb

Original Poster:

53,012 posts

184 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
vonuber said:
May and Merkel would work well together i suspect.
What about May and Hilary...

don4l

10,058 posts

177 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
A Gove/Leadsom team would get my vote.

Leadsom would make a better PM IMHO, but she isn't very well known yet.

klootzak

624 posts

217 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
paulrockliffe said:
I don't think that's the case. A General Election that elected a different party on the basis of a multi-policy manifesto would be 1-1 at best. Of course that muddies the water, the winner would claim a mandate to remain in the EU that wouldn't be there. The referendum result was clear and should be respected.

There's no need for an election because of a change of leader and you can look to the history of both parties to see there is plenty of precedent.
Haha ... even saint Nigel was arguing that 52/48 wouldn't be conclusive (up to last Thursday, at least).

Given that any general election would have to be fought on an in/out basis by the parties, it would be defensible. Who knows, you may even get Jezza to stand for what he really believes. You'd vote for that, surely?

k

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
Can we restart the poll because Gove entering changes everything IMHO

paulrockliffe

15,714 posts

228 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
klootzak said:
paulrockliffe said:
I don't think that's the case. A General Election that elected a different party on the basis of a multi-policy manifesto would be 1-1 at best. Of course that muddies the water, the winner would claim a mandate to remain in the EU that wouldn't be there. The referendum result was clear and should be respected.

There's no need for an election because of a change of leader and you can look to the history of both parties to see there is plenty of precedent.
Haha ... even saint Nigel was arguing that 52/48 wouldn't be conclusive (up to last Thursday, at least).

Given that any general election would have to be fought on an in/out basis by the parties, it would be defensible. Who knows, you may even get Jezza to stand for what he really believes. You'd vote for that, surely?

k
So because Nigel said it I must agree with it? You might want to look further into the context of what Farage said, though I don't agree with it, it doesn't apply here.

I'll be voting for Corbyn in due course, don't worry.

Halb

Original Poster:

53,012 posts

184 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
jsf said:
Can we restart the poll because Gove entering changes everything IMHO
I've asked.


This is most interesting, in my head it was basically BoJo/May....but Gove makes it a threeway now....although, still behind those two in my mind.

Balmoral

40,920 posts

249 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
My prediction is May as PM and Gove as Brexit Minister (a done deal already between the two, IMO). Boris is toast.

Puggit

48,455 posts

249 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
Halb said:
I've asked.


This is most interesting, in my head it was basically BoJo/May....but Gove makes it a threeway now....although, still behind those two in my mind.
Guido's current arithmetic:


JNW1

7,795 posts

195 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
eharding said:
The will of the people as of 23rd June 2016 is noted, and respected. The will of the people in October 2016 may well be very different.
Don't really understand why people are talking as if a general election in the autumn is almost a dead certainty; it might happen but I don't think the new leader of the Conservative Party would be under any obligation to call one? However, should it come to pass I can see it could morph into an "EU Referendum 2", especially if one of the main parties made remaining in the EU a manifesto pledge....

klootzak

624 posts

217 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
paulrockliffe said:
I'll be voting for Corbyn in due course.
You go girl smile

Big Al.

68,867 posts

259 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
wavey Can't see anyway the mods can change it, all we can do on the 10 available names (max no.) is edit any typo's/replace/remove rows. smile

Dromedary66

1,924 posts

139 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
JNW1 said:
Don't really understand why people are talking as if a general election in the autumn is almost a dead certainty; it might happen but I don't think the new leader of the Conservative Party would be under any obligation to call one? However, should it come to pass I can see it could morph into an "EU Referendum 2", especially if one of the main parties made remaining in the EU a manifesto pledge....
Me either. They're wrong and there is no appetite in the Conservative party to hold a general election in light of the Leave vote winning. It's truly bizarre that people keep wittering on about this.

Derek Smith

45,672 posts

249 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
It was always the intent of Gove to go for the leadership. I've said that all along and been derided for it on these forums, but it has been clear for years.

His wife, rather conveniently, published a 'private' email which criticised Johnson more than a little. How convenient, eh? Just before Gove goes live.

I doubt he has enough support in the party to get a nomination. I am bemused as to why he is trying. Perhaps for the next leadership challenge? I don't know, but at the moment it would seem to be a two horse race. It is a long time before voting though. If May and Johnson get the nominations, then the party faithful will go with the fat one. May the one true god, or all of them, protect us from idiots, and those who vote for them.

What confuses me is Gove's plan. He's not stupid, but there's little chance of him winning. Further, if the vote is for the exit crafters the Johnson will get it and he'd probably be a bit miffed with Gove whom he felt was behind him.

There's been a spat I think, or else Johnson's support for the Norwegian option has ruffled his feathers.

Derek Smith

45,672 posts

249 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
Dromedary66 said:
JNW1 said:
Don't really understand why people are talking as if a general election in the autumn is almost a dead certainty; it might happen but I don't think the new leader of the Conservative Party would be under any obligation to call one? However, should it come to pass I can see it could morph into an "EU Referendum 2", especially if one of the main parties made remaining in the EU a manifesto pledge....
Me either. They're wrong and there is no appetite in the Conservative party to hold a general election in light of the Leave vote winning. It's truly bizarre that people keep wittering on about this.
Indeed. There would have to be some form of cataclysmic event to trigger and election now, when the party is starting with a new leader.


Halb

Original Poster:

53,012 posts

184 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
Derek Smith said:
Indeed. There would have to be some form of cataclysmic event to trigger and election now, when the party is starting with a new leader.
Well...both main gangs in turmoil, country in turmoil (split anyway), the economy/market in turmoil. Chaos is a ladder for those who wanna make a bid. No time like the present? biggrin

Sam All

3,101 posts

102 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
Balmoral said:
My prediction is May as PM and Gove as Brexit Minister (a done deal already between the two, IMO). Boris is toast.
If the bookies are predicting that, Boris will win. biggrin

klootzak

624 posts

217 months

Thursday 30th June 2016
quotequote all
Derek Smith said:
What confuses me is Gove's plan.
To shaft Boris and the posh boys. HTH.

k

ETA - Boris and the Posh Boys sounds like a fine name for a particularly shabby early 80s band.