Tesla Master Plan part deux

Author
Discussion

Jader1973

3,992 posts

200 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
babatunde said:
This argument (and I use that word loosely) is typically wrong, you can't conclude whether or not he will save money based on a supposition (you know an idea or theory that you believe is true even though you do not have proof) that his system won't last 10 years. Bearing in mind that most solar panels come with 20-25 year warranties and Tesla offer a 10 year warranty on their Powerwall units.
.
On a slightly related note places like the outback of Australia are an ideal test bed for solar power as network electricity is impractical, transporting fuel is also very expensive and they get plenty of sun. EV's on a ranch actually might make a lot of sense
Given that his payback calculation is based on both the battery and the panels maintaining 100% efficiency for 10 years (which they don't) I'd reckon it is a pretty safe bet that he will either breakeven or get a couple of years of free electricity. He certainly isn't going to be coining it in. I also doubt the 10 year warranty on the Tesla battery is coincidental - they'll have done the maths.


Slightly related to your comments about the suitability of solar to outback Australia: the states here are winding back solar rebates / funding because they've realised that if everyone takes it up there will be huge excesses of generated electricity and a massive grid to maintain - and the power companies that own the stations and grid are talking about starting to increase prices because of loss of income.

However, they are talking about building a solar power station in South Australia someplace and using batteries the size of 40ft containers to store the power. Funny thing is the environmentalists moan about the impact on the visual landscape. No pleasing some people.

TEKNOPUG

18,951 posts

205 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
otolith said:
TEKNOPUG said:
otolith said:
TEKNOPUG said:
Very true. But in the countryside, where there are less people, less cars, less traffic and less demand, the benefits of EV are also less.
On the other hand, the more remote your dwelling, the more likely you are to have off street parking for charging your car, and the greater a pain in the arse having to visit petrol stations is.
Most people live in towns and cities though. So it's an answer to an issue that only a small minority have.
Hang on, you were just saying that they were of less benefit to people outside towns and cities. I was pointing out that actually there are benefits to them too. So we can agree that there are benefits for everyone then?
No, that's not what I said. I said the benefits are less in the countryside as there are less people, less cars, less traffic and less demand. So having low pollution vehicles that reduce the total number of vehicles on the road and by being autonomous, reduce congestion and increase efficency, has far less impact in the countryside, than it does in a town or a city. I didn't say that they were less of a benefit to people outside towns and cities.

FurtiveFreddy

8,577 posts

237 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
Daimler unveils its first all-electric eTruck

http://electrek.co/2016/07/27/daimler-etruck-first...

scratchchin

anonymous-user

54 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
Digga said:
On one occasion I was even able to diagnose the problem without even stopping, on account of having had to swerve around a con-rod in the middle of the road. I st you not.
hehe
It could have been an electrical problem! Depends what it hit on its way out the block.

Tonsko

6,299 posts

215 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
More gigafactory news: http://arstechnica.co.uk/cars/2016/07/elon-musk-an...

...and while he's doing that, SpaceX takes aim at delivering payload to Mars by 2018. http://arstechnica.co.uk/science/2016/07/spacex-re...

What a loser eh?

ex1

2,729 posts

236 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
FurtiveFreddy said:
Daimler unveils its first all-electric eTruck

http://electrek.co/2016/07/27/daimler-etruck-first...

scratchchin
Daimler own 10% of Tesla.

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

254 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
ex1 said:
Daimler own 10% of Tesla.
No they dont?

1. FMR LLC 16,368,104
2. BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO 11,929,032
3. PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ 7,370,248
4. BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ 4,871,570
5. (4.6%) VANGUARD GROUP INC 4,315,910

Read more: http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/tsla/ownership-summar...

ninja-lewis

4,241 posts

190 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
ex1 said:
Daimler own 10% of Tesla.
No they dont?

1. FMR LLC 16,368,104
2. BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO 11,929,032
3. PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ 7,370,248
4. BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ 4,871,570
5. (4.6%) VANGUARD GROUP INC 4,315,910

Read more: http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/tsla/ownership-summar...
They sold their stake in 2014.

http://www.ft.com/fastft/2014/10/21/post-224222/

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

255 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
ninja-lewis said:
RobDickinson said:
ex1 said:
Daimler own 10% of Tesla.
No they dont?
They sold their stake in 2014.
Wonder why?

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

255 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
If you EV fans get your way, causing demand for petrol/diesel to dwindle and price to rise, what happens to the cost of air travel?

Will it become prohibitively expensive to fly?

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

254 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
mybrainhurts said:
If you EV fans get your way, causing demand for petrol/diesel to dwindle and price to rise, what happens to the cost of air travel?

Will it become prohibitively expensive to fly?
Why do you think less demand would push up prices??

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

255 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
mybrainhurts said:
If you EV fans get your way, causing demand for petrol/diesel to dwindle and price to rise, what happens to the cost of air travel?

Will it become prohibitively expensive to fly?
Why do you think less demand would push up prices??
High cost of producing less of the stuff.

In fact, would there be any profit in it at all?

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

254 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
mybrainhurts said:
High cost of producing less of the stuff.

In fact, would there be any profit in it at all?
There is a whole list of products created from crude oil, and many uses (bitumen, plastic, fuel oil, diesel etc etc).

Petrol is expensive to produce because naturally its only a small fraction of the whole, and heavier oils need to be cracked to produce more of it.

Jet fuel is a medium weight oil needing far less processing than petrol.

If we need less crude oil we can use the easier to access sources rather than shale etc.

I cant see it becoming more expensive.

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

255 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
Oh, that's all right then. Praise be.

For a horrible moment there, I thought only people like Musky would be able to afford to fly.

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

254 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
phew that was a worry aye!

Oh and there is a lot of research into making EV planes too..

otolith

56,135 posts

204 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
TEKNOPUG said:
otolith said:
TEKNOPUG said:
otolith said:
TEKNOPUG said:
Very true. But in the countryside, where there are less people, less cars, less traffic and less demand, the benefits of EV are also less.
On the other hand, the more remote your dwelling, the more likely you are to have off street parking for charging your car, and the greater a pain in the arse having to visit petrol stations is.
Most people live in towns and cities though. So it's an answer to an issue that only a small minority have.
Hang on, you were just saying that they were of less benefit to people outside towns and cities. I was pointing out that actually there are benefits to them too. So we can agree that there are benefits for everyone then?
No, that's not what I said. I said the benefits are less in the countryside as there are less people, less cars, less traffic and less demand. So having low pollution vehicles that reduce the total number of vehicles on the road and by being autonomous, reduce congestion and increase efficency, has far less impact in the countryside, than it does in a town or a city. I didn't say that they were less of a benefit to people outside towns and cities.
That all works out fine then - it will only be necessary to compel people in big conurbations, consumer choice will take care of the rest.

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

255 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
Oh and there is a lot of research into making EV planes too..
Aye...ducted fans that can do 550mph.

Can't wait.

Edited by mybrainhurts on Thursday 28th July 00:23

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

254 months

Wednesday 27th July 2016
quotequote all
FurtiveFreddy said:
Daimler unveils its first all-electric eTruck

http://electrek.co/2016/07/27/daimler-etruck-first...

scratchchin
Interesting, quite a short range but possibly enough for a days work for local delivery stuff. Will need a few hours to recharge minimum.

26 tons locally, which isnt enough for a fully loaded container , shame.

Range = weight = less usable.


Jader1973

3,992 posts

200 months

Thursday 28th July 2016
quotequote all
FurtiveFreddy said:
Daimler unveils its first all-electric eTruck

http://electrek.co/2016/07/27/daimler-etruck-first...

scratchchin
Interesting.

I read yesterday that MB made some programming changes to a production E Class at an event in the US and switched it over to being fully autonomous. They then said that while they could do it today with the tech they have they wouldn't because they believe the tech needs to be introduced gradually.

I think they are actually way ahead of Tesla with this stuff and they are just being much more conservative with the release because they appreciate the risks.

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

254 months

Thursday 28th July 2016
quotequote all
MB are working with the same company Tesla have been (mobileye) though Tesla have just ditched them for a complete in house system I think