Does air pollution kill 40000 people a year in the UK?

Does air pollution kill 40000 people a year in the UK?

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Dr Jekyll

Original Poster:

23,820 posts

261 months

King Herald

23,501 posts

216 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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It is just the latest tedium dredged up from somewhere and regurgitated all over, until it becomes fact.

MKnight702

3,108 posts

214 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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No, next question

Rick101

6,967 posts

150 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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That's what? 1 in 10, 1 in 12?

Air pollution is an issue but these figures are stretching it. It is no doubt on the same logic that speed is a contributory factor in accidents.

bearman68

4,652 posts

132 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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The problem for me is there is no rational debate on how bad diesel engines are - and if they are so bad, what proportion passenger cars contribute. There's little point in banning diesel cars, if it only helps by 0.0001% for example.
I have studied the scientific data quite carefully, (as it's a hot topic in our workshop), and can only find 1 paper that statistically proves a link between road (not diesel) pollution and lung cancer - and then only a change in risk of about 1% for a certain section of society. And while no-one want lung cancer, the idea that many thousands of people are dying in the UK due to diesel engines is not (yet) supportable.
I also understand that there is a pollution concern here, that is not defined by health issues, and a risk issue that well might be.
I get that diesel is not flavour of the month, but at least talk about scientifically proven fact before throwing out 20 years of technological improvement, and investment of 100's of millions of £.

And I also wonder, if we did 'ban' diesel engines, what the alternative would be - it might be that we increase reliance on another form of fuel that is equally or more dangerous, or indeed by removing diesel engines from daily life, there are other unforeseen consequences that are more damaging to various section of society.

Just my thoughts from an engineer with 25 years experience, and whose wife has a doctorate in biochemistry.

grumbledoak

31,532 posts

233 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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Numbers like these are just pulled out of someone's arse. Like the passive smoking ones. I imagine this time they are angling at banning cars.

drip. drip. drip.

vonuber

17,868 posts

165 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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grumbledoak said:
drip. drip. drip.
http://www.pimlicoplumbers.com

eldar

21,718 posts

196 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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Some 800,000 people a year die. If you add up all the claimed reasons for premature deaths - diesel, alcohol, smoking, sugar, obesity, petrol, teenage sex, burgers, drugs, speeding and hospital acquired infections that number should be around 1.2 million.

But it isn't, so someone, somewhere hasn't got good data, Then add climate change and we all died a fortnight ago.

FredClogs

14,041 posts

161 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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There's always going to be people who don't believe in science or just what's plain obvious fact, like the people who campaigned against the smoking ban, unleaded fuel or the spinning jenny- there's really nowt you can do for them, they're just like that.

They will ban dirtier pre euro standard engines, but only when there's so few left on the road as it makes no difference.

Jonesy23

4,650 posts

136 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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Betteridge's law of headlines tells you all you ever need to know about any story like this.

Saves a lot of reading.

Willy Nilly

12,511 posts

167 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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I like clean air an don't think we should pollute it, but I'm beginning to think we have been sold a pub on vehicle air pollution.

If 40,000 people are dying from relatively clean, modern engines, how many were dying at the height of the industrial revolution or in the 1950's smogs?

eldar

21,718 posts

196 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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Willy Nilly said:
I like clean air an don't think we should pollute it, but I'm beginning to think we have been sold a pub on vehicle air pollution.

If 40,000 people are dying from relatively clean, modern engines, how many were dying at the height of the industrial revolution or in the 1950's smogs?
4,000

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Smog_of_London

mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

255 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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grumbledoak said:
Numbers like these are just pulled out of someone's arse.
If you find the source of the research, it admits the numbers are somewhere between 800 and 800,000 or something.

Sorry, lost the link.

FredClogs

14,041 posts

161 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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mybrainhurts

90,809 posts

255 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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There was also some research in the near past that suggested dangerous air pollution is worse in the home than on the roads.

Willy Nilly

12,511 posts

167 months

Monday 20th February 2017
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mybrainhurts said:
There was also some research in the near past that suggested dangerous air pollution is worse in the home than on the roads.
There is a cocktail of cleaning product fumes in most houses.

King Herald

23,501 posts

216 months

Tuesday 21st February 2017
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bearman68 said:
And I also wonder, if we did 'ban' diesel engines, what the alternative would be - it might be that we increase reliance on another form of fuel that is equally or more dangerous, or indeed by removing diesel engines from daily life, there are other unforeseen consequences that are more damaging to various section of society.

Just my thoughts from an engineer with 25 years experience, and whose wife has a doctorate in biochemistry.
I'd like to know why my four year old diesel Mundano only costs 30 notes a year for road fund license, which indicates it was an environmentally desirable/acceptable car at the time. How has it gone to being a hated murder vehicle in just four years???

gareth_r

5,720 posts

237 months

Tuesday 21st February 2017
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King Herald said:
I'd like to know why my four year old diesel Mundano only costs 30 notes a year for road fund licence, which indicates it was an environmentally desirable/acceptable car at the time. How has it gone to being a hated murder vehicle in just four years???
A cynic would answer "Because it only costs £30/year.". smile

Sylvaforever

2,212 posts

98 months

Tuesday 21st February 2017
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King Herald said:
bearman68 said:
And I also wonder, if we did 'ban' diesel engines, what the alternative would be - it might be that we increase reliance on another form of fuel that is equally or more dangerous, or indeed by removing diesel engines from daily life, there are other unforeseen consequences that are more damaging to various section of society.

Just my thoughts from an engineer with 25 years experience, and whose wife has a doctorate in biochemistry.
I'd like to know why my four year old diesel Mundano only costs 30 notes a year for road fund license, which indicates it was an environmentally desirable/acceptable car at the time. How has it gone to being a hated murder vehicle in just four years???
TAX! You know most people are becoming quite aware of these campaigns that inform of us of some calamity that can ONLY BE addressed by costing more.
It's like the SNP. When they are off the news for 3-4 days you JUST KNOW another pronouncement from Krazy Krankie is about to be thrown at us via that virtue of public broadcasting the BBC....

MrNoisy

530 posts

141 months

Tuesday 21st February 2017
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No, of course it doesn't. In the same way that 1 in 12 children don't live in poverty in the UK, cooking toast wrong doesn't kill you and hate crime (wtf is that?) is not "off the chart".

It worries me that I have otherwise seemingly intelligent and professional friends who swallow this crap up whole.