Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 4

Russia Invades Ukraine. Volume 4

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RichFN2

3,389 posts

180 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
As much as we laugh at the Russian tanks that are now nicknamed 'turtles' 4 were able to launch a successful attack despite being under attack.

It might only be 4 but historically all would have been wiped out by FPV drones, if all tanks get these modifications on the frontline then we have a problem.
https://t.me/combatfootageua/15389?single

W12GT

3,533 posts

222 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
RichFN2 said:
pingu393 said:
hidetheelephants said:
pingu393 said:
I don't know if it's UKR or ruzzian, but the latest post on Denys' Telegram is of a T72? that looks like a garden shed with a barrel. The only target for a drone is the tracks.

No thick armour, just corrigated iron.
I'm sure it's not resistant to a 155mm shell and no doubt there's a Ukrainian developing a drone that can fire an NLAW.
The current threat is a drone with a grenade. Defending against multiple threats is not easy. Tank on tank fighting is not really happening, and if a 155 shell has your name on it, there's not much you can do about it.

I wouldn't be surprised if the tank is actually UKR.


When I was in Iraq, one of our threats was stainless steel welding wire strung across the road at head height. Our solution was a strip of steel in front of the guy on top cover. Simple solution eliminated a nasty threat.

This is a simple solution that may eliminate the latest threat. If NLAW drones come, then they will probably take the reactive armour off the tank and put it on the corrigated iron. The corrigated iron can also be upgraded to armour plate.
It's a Russian tank, it's very crude but so far proving to be affective.

They also have signal jammers on top so it's purely for drone protection.


https://t.me/combatfootageua/15147?single
Surely this massively limits functionality ie side visibility, turret movement and of course terrain clearance thus enabling ground attack? Surely some ground drones would work nicely here either with explosives if close enough or any tank mines and tease them to run over them?

RichFN2

3,389 posts

180 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
It completely takes away the attack factor unless you are directly in front of the tank, so as a battle tank its almost useless.

Pre turtle mode they were being destroyed by FPV drones before getting into a direct fire fight, judging by a few recent videos they are now able to actually make it to their planned destination. If they can keep doing this then it will drastically reduce the amount of tanks and armoured vehicles have been losing.

borcy

2,937 posts

57 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
I wonder if they are more likely to get bogged and stuck.

Zamikaze drones could start hitting the tracks and immobilise them for artillery.

RichFN2

3,389 posts

180 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
The ground is dry now and the construction really doesn't look very substantial so I suspect it weighs less than 250kg.

From what I have seen they and clear ground ok(Russian tanks have always been slower despite being lighter than ours)

The difference is the tanks and personnel are arriving in one piece and alive.

AmyRichardson

1,090 posts

43 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
RichFN2 said:
The ground is dry now and the construction really doesn't look very substantial so I suspect it weighs less than 250kg.

From what I have seen they and clear ground ok(Russian tanks have always been slower despite being lighter than ours)

The difference is the tanks and personnel are arriving in one piece and alive.
All the above; it's a response to a very specific threat environment - and one that seems to work (on balance) in that context. If it was the US army it would be a lovely bar armour conservatory that rotated with the turret, but when God gives you scrap metal and crinkled tin...

If the threats evolve, with situational awareness and returning fire moving up the agenda, then its grinder out and shed off.

eldar

21,801 posts

197 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
Make the 'bombs' pointy enough to penetrate the corrugated metal?

Spare tyre

9,595 posts

131 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
borcy said:
I wonder if they are more likely to get bogged and stuck.

Zamikaze drones could start hitting the tracks and immobilise them for artillery.
I’d imagine the clever Ukrainians will be landing drones with mines in front of these so they can run them over

Digga

40,354 posts

284 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
Fascinating video on the demographic crisis for Russia:



This guy puts some estimates on te real cost of the war. On the flows of people to both the military effort and also fleeing to other nations.

He points out a few interesting facts too; one being not to forget that a few hundred thousand Russian men willingly signed-up for $2k per month to go kill Ukrainians. So though there are plenty of Russians, like himself, who not only opposed the war, but also had great sympathy for Ukraine, there's plenty that don't share those views.

bloomen

6,927 posts

160 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
Ukraine is the one with the most urgent demographic disaster.

It was already depopulating pre war.

Now something like half of all children under 10 are abroad. I expect the proportion who will never return home will be high. Plenty of them will have no memory of Ukraine by the time it's safe, and others will have little to none.

Cheib

23,284 posts

176 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
pinchmeimdreamin said:
paua said:
PRTVR said:
Over the last few weeks Ukrainian has been focusing on the Russians air defence radars, possibly prior to the F16 becoming operational, I don't think that it will be long before we see them,
in the latest UK military assistance to Ukraine air to air missiles and glide bombs are on the list.
Yesterday it was reported that dummy missiles were launched over crimea and NATO were monitoring the radar returns and passing the data to Ukraine, its only a matter of time before a certain bridge is no more.
Hope you're right.
Have they got the firepower to drop the bridge though ?

Will it need bunker busters or would enough missiles do the job ?
I think the bridge has been studied in great detail and the ability to drop it worked out, the Ukrainians say they will do it and the support they have from all over the world I have no doubt they will.
Let’s hope this happens, I think it will. The Ukranians have proved incredibly resourceful, not much has been made of that bomber that got shot down way behind Russian lines last week. Way beyond the range of known defence systems that Ukraine has.

We’ve seen for the first time with these long range ATACMS that weapons have been supplied without it being telegraphed to Russia. I wouldn’t be surprised if the same thing is happening with weapons to take down the Crimean bridge.

Two very good podcast listens today. Battleground - They had someone on talking about Ukraine developing its own drone capability, they are aiming to build drones entirely themselves, all components built in Ukraine. Will make them much harder for Russia to jam/interfere with. Also mentioned were new long range drones.

Telegraph Podcast was very good as well. Had a US political commentator on. Very interesting on the political manoeuvring to get the Ukraine bill through congress. Apparently a lot of work was done on Johnson to get him to change his mind…and also to make sure he wouldn’t lose his job is he did get it through.

Also apparently the US told the Russians that if they were supplied with long range missiles by Korea the US would send long range missiles to Ukraine. That’s why Biden sent the long range ATACMS. Obviously we’ve seen it was in the bill that was passed but quite amusingly those members of Congress that pushed for that had no idea that Biden had already sent them.


nikaiyo2

4,754 posts

196 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
pinchmeimdreamin said:
Have they got the firepower to drop the bridge though ?

Will it need bunker busters or would enough missiles do the job ?
Bridges are really really hard things to kill.

In Vietnam the Americans lost 11 aircraft trying to destroy Thanh Hóa Bridge. The first attack used 79 aircraft, 46 were attack planes. It was hit by about 300 bombs (including tv guided and laser guided) from 1968 to 1972 when it was eventually destroyed.

paulw123

3,233 posts

191 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
paua said:
PRTVR said:
Over the last few weeks Ukrainian has been focusing on the Russians air defence radars, possibly prior to the F16 becoming operational, I don't think that it will be long before we see them,
in the latest UK military assistance to Ukraine air to air missiles and glide bombs are on the list.
Yesterday it was reported that dummy missiles were launched over crimea and NATO were monitoring the radar returns and passing the data to Ukraine, its only a matter of time before a certain bridge is no more.
Hope you're right.
Would love to wake up one day to hear that bridge no longer exists

loafer123

15,453 posts

216 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
nikaiyo2 said:
Bridges are really really hard things to kill.

In Vietnam the Americans lost 11 aircraft trying to destroy Thanh Hóa Bridge. The first attack used 79 aircraft, 46 were attack planes. It was hit by about 300 bombs (including tv guided and laser guided) from 1968 to 1972 when it was eventually destroyed.
I’m no expert, but I suspect weapons have moved on since 1972.

PRTVR

7,120 posts

222 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
nikaiyo2 said:
pinchmeimdreamin said:
Have they got the firepower to drop the bridge though ?

Will it need bunker busters or would enough missiles do the job ?
Bridges are really really hard things to kill.

In Vietnam the Americans lost 11 aircraft trying to destroy Thanh Hóa Bridge. The first attack used 79 aircraft, 46 were attack planes. It was hit by about 300 bombs (including tv guided and laser guided) from 1968 to 1972 when it was eventually destroyed.
Some are but others are quite easy, just look at the way the baltimore bridge collapsed with a gentle nudge from a ship.

nikaiyo2

4,754 posts

196 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
loafer123 said:
I’m no expert, but I suspect weapons have moved on since 1972.
Sure but a 2000lb laser guided bomb will still do a LOT of damage if dropped in 1972 or now.

I think the Walleye TV and Paveway Laser guided bombs used in 1972 were similar to what we saw in first gulf war. So not state of the art by today’s standards but still able to ruin your day.



B'stard Child

28,450 posts

247 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
nikaiyo2 said:
pinchmeimdreamin said:
Have they got the firepower to drop the bridge though ?

Will it need bunker busters or would enough missiles do the job ?
Bridges are really really hard things to kill.

In Vietnam the Americans lost 11 aircraft trying to destroy Thanh Hóa Bridge. The first attack used 79 aircraft, 46 were attack planes. It was hit by about 300 bombs (including tv guided and laser guided) from 1968 to 1972 when it was eventually destroyed.
Some are but others are quite easy, just look at the way the baltimore bridge collapsed with a gentle nudge from a ship.
Hmm a ship has a st load of momentum - that isn’t going to be stopped - the gentle nudge I’m pretty sure wasn’t

Evanivitch

20,149 posts

123 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
PRTVR said:
nikaiyo2 said:
pinchmeimdreamin said:
Have they got the firepower to drop the bridge though ?

Will it need bunker busters or would enough missiles do the job ?
Bridges are really really hard things to kill.

In Vietnam the Americans lost 11 aircraft trying to destroy Thanh Hóa Bridge. The first attack used 79 aircraft, 46 were attack planes. It was hit by about 300 bombs (including tv guided and laser guided) from 1968 to 1972 when it was eventually destroyed.
Some are but others are quite easy, just look at the way the baltimore bridge collapsed with a gentle nudge from a ship.
As already said, that wasn't a gentle nudge, it was ship with a displacement twice that of the QE Carrier!

And as already shown on the hits on the bridge, hitting the deck is a bit pointless! 307 piers, which are huge structures in themselves.

Just how many you'd have to destroy to put the bridge out of long term use is beyond me, but I suspect a combination of HE and extreme precision is needed.

Tango13

8,454 posts

177 months

Friday 26th April
quotequote all
Evanivitch said:
PRTVR said:
nikaiyo2 said:
pinchmeimdreamin said:
Have they got the firepower to drop the bridge though ?

Will it need bunker busters or would enough missiles do the job ?
Bridges are really really hard things to kill.

In Vietnam the Americans lost 11 aircraft trying to destroy Thanh Hóa Bridge. The first attack used 79 aircraft, 46 were attack planes. It was hit by about 300 bombs (including tv guided and laser guided) from 1968 to 1972 when it was eventually destroyed.
Some are but others are quite easy, just look at the way the baltimore bridge collapsed with a gentle nudge from a ship.
As already said, that wasn't a gentle nudge, it was ship with a displacement twice that of the QE Carrier!

And as already shown on the hits on the bridge, hitting the deck is a bit pointless! 307 piers, which are huge structures in themselves.

Just how many you'd have to destroy to put the bridge out of long term use is beyond me, but I suspect a combination of HE and extreme precision is needed.
Best way to drop the Kerch bridge would be with a very near miss instead of a direct hit in the same way the RAF dropped the Bielefeld viaduct in WW2, a 22,000lb bomb from altitude next to one of the islands that support the central arch would create a huge camouflet or underground void into which one end of the arch would collapse.

The precision for a near miss is easily achievable but the problem is the lack of laser guided Tallboys or Grandslams.

https://www.militaryhistories.co.uk/viaduct

Biggy Stardust

6,930 posts

45 months

Saturday 27th April
quotequote all
Tango13 said:
The precision for a near miss is easily achievable but the problem is the lack of laser guided Tallboys .
Would a Little Boy be considered excessive?