£5000 subsidy for electric cars.

£5000 subsidy for electric cars.

Author
Discussion

98elise

26,683 posts

162 months

Tuesday 9th February 2016
quotequote all
Mr GrimNasty said:
What, that you can't even give electric cars away, re-sellers don't want then, makers are consolidating models because of lack of interest, markets without massive subsidy/compulsion are shrinking, that the only way electric cars will become mainstream is by compulsion, because they are a bad engineering solution to a non-existent problem, and if they did become mainstream, we wouldn't have the grid generating capacity to power them.
Ford have said they will have 13 new EV's by 2020, you might want to let them know about the shrinking market thing.

With regard to capacity, are you confusing peak POWER with ENERGY capacity? The average driver would need kWh per day. Unless your lights go out when you cook a meal then thats not a lot of energy, especially if you plan to charge overnight like most people would.

s2art

18,937 posts

254 months

Tuesday 9th February 2016
quotequote all
98elise said:
The average driver would need kWh per day. Unless your lights go out when you cook a meal then thats not a lot of energy, especially if you plan to charge overnight like most people would.
? What is the basis of this claim? A KWh per day???

turbobloke

104,070 posts

261 months

Tuesday 9th February 2016
quotequote all
98elise said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
What, that you can't even give electric cars away, re-sellers don't want then, makers are consolidating models because of lack of interest, markets without massive subsidy/compulsion are shrinking, that the only way electric cars will become mainstream is by compulsion, because they are a bad engineering solution to a non-existent problem, and if they did become mainstream, we wouldn't have the grid generating capacity to power them.
Ford have said they will have 13 new EV's by 2020, you might want to let them know about the shrinking market thing.
Better to direct them to Sir Clive Sinclair's C5 marketing strategy surely wink

otolith

56,266 posts

205 months

Tuesday 9th February 2016
quotequote all
I think the interesting calculation might be - on average, how far does a car drive in a day? On average, how many kWh of charging does that require? On average, how long does a car spend sat doing nothing? If you can provide charging at the various points it spends sat doing nothing, so that the charge is spread out over that whole idle period, how many kW does it actually need to draw?

The average car does 7900 miles a year, so about 22 a day. Using the EPA economy figure rather than the battery capacity/max range numbers, a Nissan Leaf needs about 6 kWh to cover that distance. If we assume a worse case situation where that the entire mileage is done crawling in traffic at 10mph, that still leaves 22 hours of charging time. If you can plug it in at home and plug it in at your destination, I make that an average consumption of 273 watts.

Obviously the daily consumption is going to vary, with some cars being less efficient than a little snail like the Leaf, but if we move away from the assumption that we run the cars empty and then try to recharge them to full as quickly as possible with as much power as we can cram in without blowing them up or burning out the substation, the numbers look a lot less inconvenient.

s2art

18,937 posts

254 months

Tuesday 9th February 2016
quotequote all
otolith said:
I think the interesting calculation might be - on average, how far does a car drive in a day? On average, how many kWh of charging does that require? On average, how long does a car spend sat doing nothing? If you can provide charging at the various points it spends sat doing nothing, so that the charge is spread out over that whole idle period, how many kW does it actually need to draw?

The average car does 7900 miles a year, so about 22 a day. Using the EPA economy figure rather than the battery capacity/max range numbers, a Nissan Leaf needs about 6 kWh to cover that distance. If we assume a worse case situation where that the entire mileage is done crawling in traffic at 10mph, that still leaves 22 hours of charging time. If you can plug it in at home and plug it in at your destination, I make that an average consumption of 273 watts.

Obviously the daily consumption is going to vary, with some cars being less efficient than a little snail like the Leaf, but if we move away from the assumption that we run the cars empty and then try to recharge them to full as quickly as possible with as much power as we can cram in without blowing them up or burning out the substation, the numbers look a lot less inconvenient.
Too optimistic. Maybe a Leaf can do that in ideal conditions, but try it in the dark and cold in winter. And as you say, a Leaf isnt going to suit most people, many need bigger, more potential range and will use more power.
And you didnt factor in charging losses. A safer bet would be 4 or 5 times your estimate.

Pablo16v

2,096 posts

198 months

Tuesday 9th February 2016
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
98elise said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
What, that you can't even give electric cars away, re-sellers don't want then, makers are consolidating models because of lack of interest, markets without massive subsidy/compulsion are shrinking, that the only way electric cars will become mainstream is by compulsion, because they are a bad engineering solution to a non-existent problem, and if they did become mainstream, we wouldn't have the grid generating capacity to power them.
Ford have said they will have 13 new EV's by 2020, you might want to let them know about the shrinking market thing.
Better to direct them to Sir Clive Sinclair's C5 marketing strategy surely wink
I'm just back from a week travelling around Holland and the amount of electric cars on the road there was astonishing. I saw a few Golf GTE's, Leaf's, i3's and Zoe's, but what impressed me the most was the amount of Teslas. On Thursday alone I saw 5, on the drive between Groningen and Ijmuiden, which is more than I've seen in 6 months here in Aberdeen, and theres also a few acting as Taxis at Schiphol. generous subsidies will be helping of course.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plug-in_electric_v...

turbobloke

104,070 posts

261 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
Pablo16v said:
turbobloke said:
98elise said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
What, that you can't even give electric cars away, re-sellers don't want then, makers are consolidating models because of lack of interest, markets without massive subsidy/compulsion are shrinking, that the only way electric cars will become mainstream is by compulsion, because they are a bad engineering solution to a non-existent problem, and if they did become mainstream, we wouldn't have the grid generating capacity to power them.
Ford have said they will have 13 new EV's by 2020, you might want to let them know about the shrinking market thing.
Better to direct them to Sir Clive Sinclair's C5 marketing strategy surely wink
I'm just back from a week travelling around Holland and the amount of electric cars on the road there was astonishing. I saw a few Golf GTE's, Leaf's, i3's and Zoe's, but what impressed me the most was the amount of Teslas. On Thursday alone I saw 5, on the drive between Groningen and Ijmuiden, which is more than I've seen in 6 months here in Aberdeen, and theres also a few acting as Taxis at Schiphol. generous subsidies will be helping of course.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plug-in_electric_v...
Having seen my first on-the-road i3 yesterday, given that I'd already seen an i8 or two and a Tesla parked outside the more fashioable restaurants and bars, I'm not surprised your report didn't mention seeing lots of i3 bugs bimbling around, they are unfeasibly ugly for a BMW before going any further than skin deep. Unless perhaps you saw quite a few but your memory has deleted the experience due to deep trauma wink

otolith

56,266 posts

205 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
otolith said:
I think the interesting calculation might be - on average, how far does a car drive in a day? On average, how many kWh of charging does that require? On average, how long does a car spend sat doing nothing? If you can provide charging at the various points it spends sat doing nothing, so that the charge is spread out over that whole idle period, how many kW does it actually need to draw?

The average car does 7900 miles a year, so about 22 a day. Using the EPA economy figure rather than the battery capacity/max range numbers, a Nissan Leaf needs about 6 kWh to cover that distance. If we assume a worse case situation where that the entire mileage is done crawling in traffic at 10mph, that still leaves 22 hours of charging time. If you can plug it in at home and plug it in at your destination, I make that an average consumption of 273 watts.

Obviously the daily consumption is going to vary, with some cars being less efficient than a little snail like the Leaf, but if we move away from the assumption that we run the cars empty and then try to recharge them to full as quickly as possible with as much power as we can cram in without blowing them up or burning out the substation, the numbers look a lot less inconvenient.
Too optimistic. Maybe a Leaf can do that in ideal conditions, but try it in the dark and cold in winter. And as you say, a Leaf isnt going to suit most people, many need bigger, more potential range and will use more power.
And you didnt factor in charging losses. A safer bet would be 4 or 5 times your estimate.
Aren't the EPA test figures reasonably realistic (compared to NEDC) and measured wall-to-wheel rather than battery-to-wheel?

98elise

26,683 posts

162 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
98elise said:
The average driver would need kWh per day. Unless your lights go out when you cook a meal then thats not a lot of energy, especially if you plan to charge overnight like most people would.
? What is the basis of this claim? A KWh per day???
I missed the actual number! I meant 7 kWh per day, which is like running a cooker/hob for an hour (or a decent electric shower for 30 minutes)

"need kWh per day" doesn't even mean "A kWh per day"

98elise

26,683 posts

162 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
otolith said:
I think the interesting calculation might be - on average, how far does a car drive in a day? On average, how many kWh of charging does that require? On average, how long does a car spend sat doing nothing? If you can provide charging at the various points it spends sat doing nothing, so that the charge is spread out over that whole idle period, how many kW does it actually need to draw?

The average car does 7900 miles a year, so about 22 a day. Using the EPA economy figure rather than the battery capacity/max range numbers, a Nissan Leaf needs about 6 kWh to cover that distance. If we assume a worse case situation where that the entire mileage is done crawling in traffic at 10mph, that still leaves 22 hours of charging time. If you can plug it in at home and plug it in at your destination, I make that an average consumption of 273 watts.

Obviously the daily consumption is going to vary, with some cars being less efficient than a little snail like the Leaf, but if we move away from the assumption that we run the cars empty and then try to recharge them to full as quickly as possible with as much power as we can cram in without blowing them up or burning out the substation, the numbers look a lot less inconvenient.
Too optimistic. Maybe a Leaf can do that in ideal conditions, but try it in the dark and cold in winter. And as you say, a Leaf isnt going to suit most people, many need bigger, more potential range and will use more power.
And you didnt factor in charging losses. A safer bet would be 4 or 5 times your estimate.
The average is correct.

A powerful EV with a bigger battery does not use more power to move it. EV's don't bleed power like ICE's do through heat losses. EV's typically use about 0.3kWh per mile.

Take for example the Tesla S. Regardless of the peak power options (from 400 to nearly 800bhp) the efficiency remains almost identical in like for like driving. Its also backed up by simple physics. To move two objects at a set speed you need to counter the losses. In and EV the losses are pretty much the same (rolling resistance and drag). In an ICE there is also a considerable loss in just running the engine.

Why do you think cold and dark will multiply your energy needs by 500%? It will probably be more like 10-20%.

s2art

18,937 posts

254 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
98elise said:
s2art said:
otolith said:
I think the interesting calculation might be - on average, how far does a car drive in a day? On average, how many kWh of charging does that require? On average, how long does a car spend sat doing nothing? If you can provide charging at the various points it spends sat doing nothing, so that the charge is spread out over that whole idle period, how many kW does it actually need to draw?

The average car does 7900 miles a year, so about 22 a day. Using the EPA economy figure rather than the battery capacity/max range numbers, a Nissan Leaf needs about 6 kWh to cover that distance. If we assume a worse case situation where that the entire mileage is done crawling in traffic at 10mph, that still leaves 22 hours of charging time. If you can plug it in at home and plug it in at your destination, I make that an average consumption of 273 watts.

Obviously the daily consumption is going to vary, with some cars being less efficient than a little snail like the Leaf, but if we move away from the assumption that we run the cars empty and then try to recharge them to full as quickly as possible with as much power as we can cram in without blowing them up or burning out the substation, the numbers look a lot less inconvenient.
Too optimistic. Maybe a Leaf can do that in ideal conditions, but try it in the dark and cold in winter. And as you say, a Leaf isnt going to suit most people, many need bigger, more potential range and will use more power.
And you didnt factor in charging losses. A safer bet would be 4 or 5 times your estimate.
The average is correct.

A powerful EV with a bigger battery does not use more power to move it. EV's don't bleed power like ICE's do through heat losses. EV's typically use about 0.3kWh per mile.

Take for example the Tesla S. Regardless of the peak power options (from 400 to nearly 800bhp) the efficiency remains almost identical in like for like driving. Its also backed up by simple physics. To move two objects at a set speed you need to counter the losses. In and EV the losses are pretty much the same (rolling resistance and drag). In an ICE there is also a considerable loss in just running the engine.

Why do you think cold and dark will multiply your energy needs by 500%? It will probably be more like 10-20%.
A bigger EV will be a heavier EV and will also (V. probably) have more electrical equipment. Heavier, bigger tyres etc, means more rolling resistance. Bigger means more air resistance.
Why cold and dark means greater consumption? Just how much power will heating and lights consume? On a cold winter day the heater alone will need over 1Kw or much more depending on the car size. So just sitting in the traffic with heater and lights on (and all the other electrical equipment drain) will require well in excess of 1KW. And you need to add approx 20% for charging and discharging losses.

Edited to add: Some Tesla owners have measured 7Kw for the heater.
See https://forums.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/how-mu...

Edited by s2art on Wednesday 10th February 14:07

BigBen

11,653 posts

231 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
98elise said:
s2art said:
otolith said:
I think the interesting calculation might be - on average, how far does a car drive in a day? On average, how many kWh of charging does that require? On average, how long does a car spend sat doing nothing? If you can provide charging at the various points it spends sat doing nothing, so that the charge is spread out over that whole idle period, how many kW does it actually need to draw?

The average car does 7900 miles a year, so about 22 a day. Using the EPA economy figure rather than the battery capacity/max range numbers, a Nissan Leaf needs about 6 kWh to cover that distance. If we assume a worse case situation where that the entire mileage is done crawling in traffic at 10mph, that still leaves 22 hours of charging time. If you can plug it in at home and plug it in at your destination, I make that an average consumption of 273 watts.

Obviously the daily consumption is going to vary, with some cars being less efficient than a little snail like the Leaf, but if we move away from the assumption that we run the cars empty and then try to recharge them to full as quickly as possible with as much power as we can cram in without blowing them up or burning out the substation, the numbers look a lot less inconvenient.
Too optimistic. Maybe a Leaf can do that in ideal conditions, but try it in the dark and cold in winter. And as you say, a Leaf isnt going to suit most people, many need bigger, more potential range and will use more power.
And you didnt factor in charging losses. A safer bet would be 4 or 5 times your estimate.
The average is correct.

A powerful EV with a bigger battery does not use more power to move it. EV's don't bleed power like ICE's do through heat losses. EV's typically use about 0.3kWh per mile.

Take for example the Tesla S. Regardless of the peak power options (from 400 to nearly 800bhp) the efficiency remains almost identical in like for like driving. Its also backed up by simple physics. To move two objects at a set speed you need to counter the losses. In and EV the losses are pretty much the same (rolling resistance and drag). In an ICE there is also a considerable loss in just running the engine.

Why do you think cold and dark will multiply your energy needs by 500%? It will probably be more like 10-20%.
A bigger EV will be a heavier EV and will also (V. probably) have more electrical equipment. Heavier, bigger tyres etc, means more rolling resistance. Bigger means more air resistance.
Why cold and dark means greater consumption? Just how much power will heating and lights consume? On a cold winter day the heater alone will need over 1Kw or much more depending on the car size. So just sitting in the traffic with heater and lights on (and all the other electrical equipment drain) will require well in excess of 1KW. And you need to add approx 20% for charging and discharging losses.

Edited to add: Some Tesla owners have measured 7Kw for the heater.
See https://forums.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/how-mu...

Edited by s2art on Wednesday 10th February 14:07
The main feature of cold weather is that the battery does not work as well, I see about a 13% range drop winter compared to summer before leaving the house. Driving with the lights on etc does not seem to make much difference to range, e.g. the journey to work uses 10 miles of estimated range in both circumstances, just from a lower start point in winter.



98elise

26,683 posts

162 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
98elise said:
s2art said:
otolith said:
I think the interesting calculation might be - on average, how far does a car drive in a day? On average, how many kWh of charging does that require? On average, how long does a car spend sat doing nothing? If you can provide charging at the various points it spends sat doing nothing, so that the charge is spread out over that whole idle period, how many kW does it actually need to draw?

The average car does 7900 miles a year, so about 22 a day. Using the EPA economy figure rather than the battery capacity/max range numbers, a Nissan Leaf needs about 6 kWh to cover that distance. If we assume a worse case situation where that the entire mileage is done crawling in traffic at 10mph, that still leaves 22 hours of charging time. If you can plug it in at home and plug it in at your destination, I make that an average consumption of 273 watts.

Obviously the daily consumption is going to vary, with some cars being less efficient than a little snail like the Leaf, but if we move away from the assumption that we run the cars empty and then try to recharge them to full as quickly as possible with as much power as we can cram in without blowing them up or burning out the substation, the numbers look a lot less inconvenient.
Too optimistic. Maybe a Leaf can do that in ideal conditions, but try it in the dark and cold in winter. And as you say, a Leaf isnt going to suit most people, many need bigger, more potential range and will use more power.
And you didnt factor in charging losses. A safer bet would be 4 or 5 times your estimate.
The average is correct.

A powerful EV with a bigger battery does not use more power to move it. EV's don't bleed power like ICE's do through heat losses. EV's typically use about 0.3kWh per mile.

Take for example the Tesla S. Regardless of the peak power options (from 400 to nearly 800bhp) the efficiency remains almost identical in like for like driving. Its also backed up by simple physics. To move two objects at a set speed you need to counter the losses. In and EV the losses are pretty much the same (rolling resistance and drag). In an ICE there is also a considerable loss in just running the engine.

Why do you think cold and dark will multiply your energy needs by 500%? It will probably be more like 10-20%.
A bigger EV will be a heavier EV and will also (V. probably) have more electrical equipment. Heavier, bigger tyres etc, means more rolling resistance. Bigger means more air resistance.
Why cold and dark means greater consumption? Just how much power will heating and lights consume? On a cold winter day the heater alone will need over 1Kw or much more depending on the car size. So just sitting in the traffic with heater and lights on (and all the other electrical equipment drain) will require well in excess of 1KW. And you need to add approx 20% for charging and discharging losses.

Edited to add: Some Tesla owners have measured 7Kw for the heater.
See https://forums.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/how-mu...

Edited by s2art on Wednesday 10th February 14:07
Tesla's energy consuption is a little over 0.3kWh per mile, and if you want to drive like a nun they it will do much better than that (thats from actual use, not manufacturer claims). EV's also have very low cd.

Its pointless quoting peak power for heating. Unless you live in Alaska the average will be more like 2kW, so the heater would last about 40 hours. Driving will consume the battery in about 4-5 hours. Thats about 10% so i'm still not seeing the 500% you claim.

Edited to add....a quick poke around the internet says its 7-15% range loss when needing the heaters on a tesla (thats from owners rather than manufacturer claims)


Edited by 98elise on Wednesday 10th February 19:54

FiF

44,175 posts

252 months

Wednesday 10th February 2016
quotequote all
Surely the peak power for heating being quoted is those first few minutes when the heat pump is on full welly and supplemented by the resistance heating, plus heated seats etc etc etc.

Anyway even if it is 7kw for a short time then SFW.

Even in the extreme cold weather recently over on the EV forum people were saying that the range fir a Leaf dropped down to 60 miles.

So for a 10 mile each way commute, it matters not a single bean.

If someone has a commute which means that they can't do it reliably on a single charge and they don't have a definite charging point at the other end, humbly suggest they've bought the wrong car.

turbobloke

104,070 posts

261 months

Friday 12th February 2016
quotequote all

turbobloke

104,070 posts

261 months

Friday 12th February 2016
quotequote all
PS a comment about fusion is music to the ears:

"Let's not forget fusion energy. When that gets mature... Viola."

Mr GrimNasty

8,172 posts

171 months

Friday 12th February 2016
quotequote all
Buy a battery car, support child abuse.

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/01/Chi...

BigBen

11,653 posts

231 months

Saturday 13th February 2016
quotequote all
Mr GrimNasty said:
Buy a battery car, support child abuse.

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/01/Chi...
Or a laptop or a smartphone.....

otolith

56,266 posts

205 months

Saturday 13th February 2016
quotequote all
BigBen said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
Buy a battery car, support child abuse.

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/01/Chi...
Or a laptop or a smartphone.....
Or any number of manufactured products.


http://batteryuniversity.com/learn/article/bu_310_...



It's a good job that the only components of any car involving unethical sourcing are exclusively found in EVs, though.


AnotherClarkey

3,602 posts

190 months

Saturday 13th February 2016
quotequote all
otolith said:
BigBen said:
Mr GrimNasty said:
Buy a battery car, support child abuse.

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/01/Chi...
Or a laptop or a smartphone.....
Or any number of manufactured products.


http://batteryuniversity.com/learn/article/bu_310_...



It's a good job that the only components of any car involving unethical sourcing are exclusively found in EVs, though.
Yes, let us be thankful that the oil industry has never been responsible for any exploitation or conflict in the world.