Climate Cat out of the Bag? Potentially dynamite revelations

Climate Cat out of the Bag? Potentially dynamite revelations

Author
Discussion

Marf

22,907 posts

241 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
Has it been put on Wikileaks?

turbobloke

Original Poster:

103,943 posts

260 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
Another apt comment, apt in every way:

"If these emails about peer-review are real it is sickening"

If real - check
Sickening - check

B Oeuf

39,731 posts

284 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
AshVX220 said:
I'm trying not to get to excited about it yet though, there are too many powerful people and organisations that will do whatever it takes to continue leading the public down this particular path. Don't under-estimate the power of spin.
Seems likely they'll want to "Do A True Believer" and say blah blah then lie low for a while before popping up again as if nothing happened.

If true, this though may be a bit too much for that time-worn twostep.
How the hell do you get in touch with newspaper editors these days, this needs to be shouted from the rooftops

FunkyGibbon

3,782 posts

264 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
ludo said:
An occasional individual scientist does that sort of thing, but an organized conspiracy? Not likely.
But they may not be working on a conspiracy, they may just be doing what they are asked by governments based on a political. On the big debate thread:

ludo said:
it is not unreasonable for them [governments] to ask the scientists to investigate such a scenario and make projections based on their best understanding of the physics (as built into the models).
So maybe that's exactly what they have done, but as the data doesn't support the wishes of the pay masters people may have become more "flexible" with interpretation.

Just a thought.

However, I agree that until there is any voracity on the provenance of this material it is all speculation.

loafer123

15,440 posts

215 months

Friday 20th November 2009
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Sounds like something for Guido Fawkes to get his teeth into...

andy_s

19,400 posts

259 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
It's Weapons of Mass Destruction all over again....

It does a diservice to the arguement either way, Governemts just need to 'fess up, tell us they are getting us off the strategic fuels for geo-political reasons and resign themselves to the fact they can't make money out of it now.

Were they bullstting all along? (or just redacting the inconvenient bits together - like a conspiracy but, well, scientific)

Are they victims of a well planned and detailed forgery? As ever, cui bono?


B Oeuf

39,731 posts

284 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
The Excession said:
The 'RulesOfTheGame.pdf' document is pure dynamite!
link?

grumbledoak

31,532 posts

233 months

Friday 20th November 2009
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Bedford Rascal said:
Watching with interest...


Sadly, my suspicion is that this will be denied, buried, and largely unreported.

B Oeuf

39,731 posts

284 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
grumbledoak said:
Bedford Rascal said:
Watching with interest...


Sadly, my suspicion is that this will be denied, buried, and largely unreported.
too big....in every sense

Le TVR

3,092 posts

251 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
B Oeuf said:
grumbledoak said:
Bedford Rascal said:
Watching with interest...


Sadly, my suspicion is that this will be denied, buried, and largely unreported.
too big....in every sense
yes

Expect a pandemic of flyingpig flu very shortly to divert public attention.

jshell

11,006 posts

205 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
Guam said:
....however after "alien Autopsy" it pays to be cautious) smile
Anyone thought that real, or are you being ironic?

turbobloke

Original Poster:

103,943 posts

260 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
B Oeuf said:
The Excession said:
The 'RulesOfTheGame.pdf' document is pure dynamite!
link?
It's one of the documents in the zip file (the leaked messages and documents) downloadable from various web sources. There's a link below here a bit of a way down the posts now.

Dan_1981

17,389 posts

199 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
ANY mainstream media interest in any of this yet?

AshVX220

5,929 posts

190 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
ludo said:
You would have to be bloody stupid to do so with climate change, as if you know it is bullst, you will be proved wrong by the climate within your own lifetime, so there is little to gain (other than a prison sentence for fraud).
And yet you still don't see that because of the point you made above that it is most likely to be real and not bullst?
I'm being cautious with this whole story, as are many others TB included. You really should consider doing the same until more info becomes available. This is an evolving story which is yet to hit the mainstream, but it is big, and it will be heavily scrutinised.
Whichever side of the fence we sit on (ludo et al, Tb et al) someone will be eating their words when this is over and someone will be celebrating. This will end the debate I feel. Currently it looks like it will end it in the skeptics favour, but we shall see what government/climate "scientist" spin can do.

Marf

22,907 posts

241 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
Dan_1981 said:
ANY mainstream media interest in any of this yet?
Nothing on Google News

http://news.google.co.uk/news/search?aq=f&um=1...

Plenty of hits on the search engine though, but none mainstream

http://www.google.co.uk/search?hl=en&safe=off&...

AshVX220

5,929 posts

190 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
Guam said:
I would be more inclined to believe (if this is what occurred) that the bulk is correct and selected items may have been forged.
Thats a concern for me as that would raise question marks over the whole thing. frown

turbobloke

Original Poster:

103,943 posts

260 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
One response and a riposte from elsewhere:

“Most cyber attacks are opportunistic and against soft targets. I doubt that CRU has gaping holes in their security systems, precisely because they fear the risk of attack from people wanting access their data.”


“Gary McKinnon faces extradition to the United States, where he is wanted for allegedly hacking into computers at the Pentagon and NASA.”

ludo

5,308 posts

204 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
FunkyGibbon said:
ludo said:
An occasional individual scientist does that sort of thing, but an organized conspiracy? Not likely.
But they may not be working on a conspiracy, they may just be doing what they are asked by governments based on a political. On the big debate thread:

ludo said:
it is not unreasonable for them [governments] to ask the scientists to investigate such a scenario and make projections based on their best understanding of the physics (as built into the models).
So maybe that's exactly what they have done, but as the data doesn't support the wishes of the pay masters people may have become more "flexible" with interpretation.

Just a thought.
Not really the same situation, as in the IPCC report the document the projection using a scenario requested by governments, so the scientists are not doing anything other than good science. The implications of the emails is that the scientists are deliberately fraudulent in the performing the science, which as I have said isn't a game that is likely to pay off for them if they know what they are saying to be untrue.

Funky Gibbon said:
However, I agree that until there is any voracity on the provenance of this material it is all speculation.
yes, absolutely. One way to provide voracity would be to reproduce the studies where the results have been doctored using the original data sources, most of which are not controlled by CRU/Hadley. The doctoring ought to be detectable if it is there.

grumbledoak

31,532 posts

233 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
ludo said:
...which as I have said isn't a game that is likely to pay off for them if they know what they are saying to be untrue.
Rubbish. The 'Coming Ice Age' of the 1970s was a very profitable wheeze for some climate 'scientists'...

ludo

5,308 posts

204 months

Friday 20th November 2009
quotequote all
AshVX220 said:
ludo said:
You would have to be bloody stupid to do so with climate change, as if you know it is bullst, you will be proved wrong by the climate within your own lifetime, so there is little to gain (other than a prison sentence for fraud).
And yet you still don't see that because of the point you made above that it is most likely to be real and not bullst?
No, funnily enough I don't. I would have thought that the fact that the scientists would almost certainly leave themselves with their reputations in ruins and quite possibly in prison for fraud, when the climate data prove them wrong, is pretty good evidence that the hacked material is a hoax. I certainly don't see how it makes it less likely to be a hoax.